Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

quantitative data analysis and modelling

climate and fishing-induced

species comp, spatial structure, trophic network

ability to absorb disturbance and maintain function

fish and benthos communities

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: more specific questions

•What are the key characteristics of past temporal and spatial variations in fish and benthos communities and how are these related to past climate variability and fishing pressure?

•How does climate variability and change propagate through the Barents Sea ecosystem and influences species interactions?

•How can the combined effects of fisheries and climate modify the spatial distribution of plankton, benthos and fish species in the Barents Sea?

•What determines vulnerability or resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem and how will these be affected by possible future changes in climate and fisheries regimes?

•Can we detect early warning signals and can we evaluate management strategies with regards to ecosystem resilience?

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: The structure

WP1: Community

structure

WP2: Trophic

interactions

WP3: Population distribution

WP4: Resilience

& Early warningS

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Sta

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Thinking Working Disseminating

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: The Stakeholder Panel

Sta

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Pa

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Thinking Working Disseminating

provide advice to ensure that results are presented in a

form understandable

and useful to managers

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: previous meetings

Kick-off - June 20103 days, in TromsøProject Participants and Scientific Advisory Panel

Annual meeting – October 20113 days, in HerdlaProject Participants, Scientific Advisory PanelStakeholder Panel

Start – June 2010 End – May 2013

You are here

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Annual meeting 2012: BarEcoRe Science highlights

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Questions and comments from SHP in 2011

• Concrete examples of possible applications to management

• New tools in support to management

• Predictability of Barents Sea ecosystem

• Fill in knowledge gap

• Dissemination through Arctic Council and NFR plateforms

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

How did BarEcoRe address these issues?

• Clarifying the concept of ecological resilience

• Assessing ecosystem resilience

• Perspectives on predictability

• Dissemination

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What is going to happen now?

4 Days meeting

1st Day: presentation of scientific results to SAP2nd Day: feedback from SAP and discussion

3rd Day: presentation of project science and dissemination to SHP and discussion

4th Day: activity planning for 2013

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What is going to happen on DAY 3

9:00-10:30: BarEcoRe in a nutshell, • introduction• What is ecosystem resilience• Assessment of resilience, a geographical synthesis• Perspectives on the predictability of the Barents Sea ecosystem

Break11:00-12:00: Discussion

Lunch break13:30-15:00: Group work

• Project Participants: Action plan for 2013• Stakeholder Panel: Dissemination

Break15:30-17:00: BarEcoRe dissemination, discussion

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla