based on joint work with thibaud vergé (crest-lei, paris)€¦ · carrefour, auchan, casino; ......
TRANSCRIPT
Price control in vertical relations
Pros and Cons of Vertical Restraints Stockholm, November 7 2008
Patrick Rey
Toulouse School of Economics and IDEI
based on joint work with Thibaud Vergé (CREST-LEI, Paris)
1
Introduction
Policy perspective: vertical restraints
Hot debates in practice and in the IO literature
Large divergence law/economics for price restrictions
Research agenda: vertical /horizontal interaction
Vertical coordination
Rivalry between vertical structures
Consumer goods: interlocking relationships
2
Resale Price Maintenance
Various forms
Imposed price
Maximum price (price ceiling)
Minimum price (price floor)
Recommended, advertised prices
Specific product markets
Drugs
Books, newspapers
3
Competition Law
Price restrictions are “bad”
RPM (price floors) is illegal per se in the EU (out of a blacklist of two)
Non-price restrictions are more tolerated (rule of reason)
Caveats
US policy over time1911: price floors are per se illegal (Dr Miles)
1968 : price ceilings are per se illegal (Albrecht)
1997: rule of reason for price ceilings (State Oil)
2007: rule or reason for price floors as well (Leegin)
France“Loi Lang”: RPM mandatory for books and press
“Loi Galland”: RPM de facto for supermarkets
4
Economics
Academic literature: not so clear-cut
(OECD report on Franchising, EC Green paper, Rey-Vergé 2008)
Intrabrand coordination
Price and non-price restraints can have similar effects
Interbrand competition
Not necessarily favourable to non-price restrictions
5
Economics
Intrabrand competition
Free-riding on retail services (Telser JLE 1960),
quality certification (Marvel-McCafferty Rand 1984)
→ welfare effect
ambiguous/positive (Comanor-Frech AER 1985, Caillaud-Rey 1987)
similar for price and non-price restrictions
Producer’s opportunism (Hart-Tirole Brookings 1990)O’Brien-Shaffer Rand 1992
Rey-Vergé Rand 2004
→ welfare effect
negative
similar for price and non-price restrictions
6
Economics
Interbrand competition
Competition-dampening: strategic delegation, not RPMRey-Stiglitz EER 1988, Rand 1995 (Bonanno-Vickers JIE 1988)
Gal-Or EER 1991
Caillaud-Rey EER 1995
Foreclosure: tying/exclusive dealing, not RPM
Tacit Collusion (Jullien-Rey 2000)
Here: interlocking relationships
(joint with Thibaud Vergé)
RPM eliminates both intrabrand and interbrand competition
Territorial restrictions would not achieve the same outcome
7
Interlocking relationships
Market structure
2 (differentiated) manufacturers A and B, constant marginal cost c
2 (differentiated) retailers 1 and 2, constant marginal cost (=0)
demand pattern for 4 “products” (monopoly prices pM, profit ΠM)
Manufacturer A Manufacturer B
Retailer 1 Retailer 2
Consumers
A-1B-1
B-2A-2
8
Interlocking relationships
Competition game
Upstream competition
manufacturers offer two-part tariffs, with or w/o RPM
retailers (observe all tariffs) and accept / reject
Downstream competition: retailers set retail prices
Note: Dobson and Waterson (2007) on linear tariffs
Retail market power
No retail bottleneck
Potential competition at each retail location: selection process (BW 1985)
Bypass: manufacturers set-up own their own outlets or sell directly
Retail bottlenecks: a single retailer at each retail location (confer rents)
9
No retail bottleneck (and no RPM)
Interbrand competition, then intrabrand competition
→ retail prices are (somewhat) competitive (pc < pM)
Intuition
Manufacturers recover retail margins through fixed fees
Internalize impact of (retail) prices on
the entire margin on sales of own brand
the retail margin on sales of rival brand
→ for A: max Σj=1,2(pAj - c)DAj(p) + (pBj - wBj)DBj(p) – FBj
10
No retail bottleneck
Manufacturer A Manufacturer B
Retailer 1 Retailer 2
Consumers
11
No retail bottleneck
Intuition (cont’d)
Retail prices are driven by wholesale (marginal) prices
Maintaining high retail prices requires high wholesale prices
Positive upstream margins
Free-riding on rival manufacturer’s upstream margin
12
Resale Price Maintenance
Retail prices are directly set by manufacturers
Recover as before retail margins through franchise fees
→ internalize as before the impact of (retail) prices on
the entire margin on sales of own brand
the retail margin on sales of rival brand
No need anymore to use wholesale prices to maintain retail prices
squeezing upstream margins yields monopoly outcome
wij = c → each manufacturer residual claimant on all margins
→ set retail prices at the monopoly level (p = pM)
13
Resale Price Maintenance
Continuum of equilibria
For any given wholesale prices, there exists an equilibriumgiven p, A and 1 can share profits through either wA1 or FA1
→ A and 1 are thus indifferent about wA1
but wA1 affects A’s dealing with 2, and 1’s dealing with B
Eq. wholesale and retail prices are negatively correlatedw ↗ → p ↘
free-riding on rival’s upstream margin
Only one equilibrium robust to (even small) retail effortretailers as residual claimant
wholesale prices at cost, retail prices at monopoly level
14
Retail bottlenecks
Retailers earn positive rents
(pA1 - wA1)DA1 – FA1 + (pB1 - wB1)DB1 – FB1 ≥ (pB1 - wB1)ĎB1 – FB1
→ (pA1 - wA1)DA1 – FA1 ≥ (pB1 – wB1)[ĎB1 – DB1] > 0
→ max Σj=1,2 (pAj - c)DAj + (pBj - wBj)[DBj – ĎBj]
Retailers indifferent wrt dealing with both or only one
→ manufacturers can easily deviate to exclusive dealing
Questions
is “double common” agency still an equilibrium?
best equilibrium? (industry profits / manufacturers’ profits)
15
Retail bottlenecks
Standard linear demand
Dij = 1 - pij + αphj + βpik + αβphk (α + β + αβ < 1)
Two-part tariffs
Double agency may cease to be an equilibrium
This happens for “low degrees” of substitutability (low β)
16
Retail bottlenecks
RPM
For ranges of parameters
continuum of double agency equilibria
including monopoly pricing (p = pM for some w < c)
As w ↗, p and retailers’ profits ↘ , manufacturers’ profits ↗
manufacturers prefer lowest retail prices
retailers prefer highest retail prices (even above pM)
17
Retail bottlenecks
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
No Double Common Agency
Equilibrium with Two-Part Tariffs
Equilibrium with RPM and
Monopoly Prices
18
Illustration: France
Current debate
1996 Laws (Galland, Raffarin)
Merger wave (5 large retailers)Carrefour, Auchan, Casino; Leclerc, Intermarché
Price evolution (Germany/France)
Proposed reformCanivet commission
Dutreil and Chatel laws
19
Illustration: France
Empirical evidence
France – Germany: branded products in supermarkets
Biscourp, Boutin and Vergé: market concentration and prices
Bonnet-Dubois-Simioni 2004French market for bottled water
Structural econometric model– Berry-Levinson-Pakes Eca 1995
– Berto Villas-Boas 2004
Linear prices / two-part tariffs / RPM
→ best fit: two-part tariff + RPM, monopoly prices
20
Research agenda
Inexistence of (double) common agency eq.
Source of the problemone side (the manufacturers) has “all” the bargaining power
by construction, in equilibrium the other side (retailers) is indifferent betweenaccepting all / rejecting some offers
generates many different types of deviation, difficult to rule all of them out
Possible solutionsMore balanced bargaining power– “Nash-bargaining” / cooperative game theory approaches
– Non-cooperative approaches: Stole-Zwiebel (RES 1996), …
Secret / public offer and acceptance decisions
Reacting to rejections– Small vs. drastic changes / dynamics
– renegotiation / contingent offers
21
Research agenda
Illustrations
De Fontenay – Gans (Rand forth, 2005)
secret contracts / observable acceptance-rejection decisions
contingent offers or renegotiation in case of rejection
→ no exclusion, no complete coordination
Rey – Vergé – Thal (work in progress)
public contracts, offers contingent on market structure
→ integrated monopoly outcome
Questions
Minimal flexibility needed for monopoly outcome / no exclusion ?
Role of contingent offers?
→ go back to “simpler” market structures
22
Interbrand competition (common agency)
2 manufacturers, 1 retailer
→ monopoly prices
(Bernheim-Whinston 1986)
IntuitionEach manufacturer sells “at cost”
→ retailer becomes residual claimant
→ sets retail prices at appropriate monopoly level
Manufacturers retrieve (part of) the profits
e.g. through franchise fees
RemarksDoes not depend on bargaining power
no need for contract observability
A B
R
Consumers
23
Intrabrand competition
1 manufacturer, 2 retailers
If bargaining power is upstream: monopoly
outcome
Wholesale prices above marginal cost
(maintain high retail prices despite intrabrand
competition)
Fixed fees to recover retail profits
Remark: Observability of wholesale contracts
Hart-Tirole Brookings 1990, O’Brien-Shaffer Rand 1992,
McAfee-Schwartz AER 1994, Rey-Vergé Rand 2004
1 2
M
Consumers
24
Intrabrand competition
Retailers’ bargaining power
Non-contingent contracts: exclusion (Marx-Shaffer Rand 2007)
Can be achieved through explicit ED or “three-part tariffs”
Upfront payments by manufacturers (slotting fees)
Conditional fixed fees (conditional on trade)
Contingent contracts: integrated monopoly outcome
(joint work with Thibaud Vergé and Jeanine Thal)
Can be achieved by “three-part tariffs”
But
– Can also be achieved without any slotting fees
– Slotting fees not required to generate exclusion in MS context
25
Intrabrand competition
Downstream Bargaining power and non-contingent
contracts (Marx-Shaffer Rand 2007)
Suppose there exists a double common agency equilibrium, and let Пim
denote the monopoly bilateral profit of M and Ri
M must be indifferent between accepting both or only one contract
… otherwise, rival retailer could increase its fixed fee
If M accepts only Ri’s offer, Ri obtains more than its equilibrium profit πi
M and Ri together gain from excluding the other retailer
26
Intrabrand competition
Contingent contracts
(work with Thibaud Vergé and Jeanine Thal)
Two-part tariffs
Directly of through fixed fees, each retailer internalizes the whole margin on itssales, and the upstream margin on the rival’s sales
Sustaining monopoly retail prices requires wholesale prices above cost
Each retailer has an incentive to free-ride on the rival’s downstream margin
Equilibrium wholesale prices w* yield lower prices and profit: p* < pM, П* < ПM
Double common agency only if П* > max {П1m,П2
m}
27
Intrabrand competition
Three-part tariffs
Upfront payments and conditional fixed fees
(the upfront payment can be replaced with a “free” quota)
Retailer i cannot gain more than its contribution to profits: ПM – Пjm
… otherwise, the others would exclude it
There exists an equilibrium
With integrated monopoly outcome (monopoly retail prices)
Giving each retailer the maximal profit
28
Concluding remarks
Concerns raised by RPM
Strategic lessening of competition
Sham agreements (horizontal in nature)
Upstream collusion (price transparency)
Interlocking relationships
Pervasive, visible, price floors
Policy implications
Potential benefits of RPM in the form of enhanced verticalcoordination
Per se illegality versus hard-core restriction (81.3)