basf corporate strategy and portfolio development
DESCRIPTION
BASF will have a new CEO at the end of the year. This is a perfect time to think through the portfolio restructuring of the last 10 years. What was the strategic rationale behind it? Do you think this rational is still valid and should be further pursued? The corporation is thinking about further major enhancements of efforts in the agrobusiness. This means that they would have to up-scale their respective R&D even further, but potentially make some aquisitions as well. There is an option to acquire a major EU seed company for about 1.5 – 2.0 bn USD. Is this option worth to be pursued further?TRANSCRIPT
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1 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Strategy Case Study: Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Tuebingen, 2011/01/24
University of Tuebingen
A case study in the context of the masters seminar
Competitive Strategies
Winter semester 2010/2011
Prof. Dr. Wilhelm Rall
Torsten Arnold
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2 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Purpose and Organization of the Research
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3 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Questions to be answered
1. BASF will have a new CEO at the end of the year. This is a perfect time to
think through the portfolio restructuring of the last 10 years. What was the
strategic rationale behind it? Do you think this rational is still valid and
should be further pursued?
2. The corporation is thinking about further major enhancements of efforts in
the agrobusiness. This means that they would have to up-scale their
respective R&D even further, but potentially make some aquisitions as
well. There is an option to acquire a major EU seed company for about 1.5
– 2.0 bn USD. Is this option worth to be pursued further?
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4 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Outline
1. Understanding the context
1.1 BASF – The Chemical Company
1.2 Portfolio Analysis – Basic Methods
2. BASF - Acquisitions and Divestures
2.1 Empirical Analysis
2.2 Strategic Rationales
2.3 A New Acquisition Target
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5 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
1. Understanding the context
1.1 BASF – The Chemical Company
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6 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF – The Chemical company
• Remain the world`s leading chemical company
• Committed to operational excellence, innovation and
investment in growth markets
• Actions are guided by sustainability
• Distinguish from competitors through innovation
(R&D investments consistently high)
• Increase competitiveness through active portfolio
management
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7 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Four strategic guidelines form the basis of
BASF`s activities
Activities
Earn a premium on the cost of
capital
Form the best team in the industry
Ensure sustainable
development
Help the customers to
be even more
successful
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8 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Growth in almost all segments (2001-2006)
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Sale
s p
er
sege
mn
t (i
n m
illio
n €
)
Chemicals Plastics Performance Products Agricultural Products & Nutritions Oil & Gas
Figure 1: Sales per segment from 2001-2006, Source: BASF Annual Reports
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9 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Increasing fluctuation in the industry
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
2007 2008 2009
Sale
s p
er
sege
mn
t (i
n m
illio
n €
)
Chemicals Plastics Performance Products
Functional Solutions Agricultural Solutions Oil & Gas
Figure 2: Sales per segment from 2007-2009, Source: BASF Annual Reports
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10 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Integrated production – The Verbund concept
• Production plants at large sites, closely interlinked,
creating efficient value chains
• Production plants, energy, waste flows, logistics and
site infrastructure are all integrated
• Cost-efficient production through six world-scale
Verbund sites in all major regions
• Savings of around € 500 Mio each year only at its
Ludwigshafen site.
• BASF`s greatest asset when
it comes to efficient use of
resources
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11 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Vertical integration and resource efficiency
Oil & Gas Basic
Chemicals Intermediates
Plastics & Performance
Products
Agricultural Solutions & Functional Solutions
• Creating value-adding chains from basic chemicals to
higher value products
• Implement all business segments into the production
process using interdependence
• Provides new opportunities for more flexible
response to economic fluctuations
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12 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
1. Understanding the context
1.2 Portfolio Analysis – Basic Methods
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13 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Why do we need portfolio analysis?
• Portfolio-optimization is one of the corner stones of
value creation
• Gives a direct overview of the existing portfolio
• Portfolio planning methods help selecting strategic
options (future acquisitions or divestures)
• How to set up a flow of capital and other resources
among the business units of a diversified company
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14 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
The Nine-box matrix – The basic framework
of portfolio planning methods
Figure 3: Nine-box matrix. Source; McKinsey and Company. 2000. Thinking strategically.
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15 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• Nine-box matrix only applies to product markets
(selling goods and services to customers)
• However a strategy also needs to help the company
to analize business units on a higher level
(acquisitions, mergers, joint-ventures, sale)
A new advanced analytical framework is
needed
Market activated corporate
strategy (MACS) framework
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16 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
MACS – Key Insights
• Adds a measure of a business`s units suitability for
sale to other companies.
• Analize a corporation`s ability to extract value from a
business unit relative to other potential owners
• Less to do with the unattractiveness of a business unit
but more whether a corporation is suited to run it
• The tool can be used to plan acquisitions or
dispositions and to identify the efforts a parents
corporation should be engaged in
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17 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
MACS - Overview
Figure 4: Market activated corporate strategy framework. Source; McKinsey and Company.
2000. Thinking strategically.
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18 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• Sale of structurally attractive businesses if they are
worth more to somebody else
• Keep structurally moderate or even poor business
units if you can extract more value out of them then
somebody else
• Top priority to business units at the far left of the
matrix
MACS – Possible strategic results
Finding the best combination of corporate capabilities
and business units that provide the best overall
scope for creating value.
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19 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
What about risk?
• Almost all theories of portfolio management were
established on the foundation of the financial portfolio
theory (risk vs. return)
• However until now “risk” is not considered
• Similar risk profiles of the business units can lead to
an unforeseeable overall risk
• Including risk in the analysis can radically change the
expected value of a companies portfolio
Combining the basic MACS framework
with a risk perspective
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20 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Contemporary portfolio theory – Risk/Return
Matrix
• Combination of a business units’
attractiveness and its risk component
• Both factors are assessed on a stand alone
base and under the consideration of overall
portfolio interdependences
Figure 5: Risk/Return Matrix. Source; Rall, W. and König, B., 2003. Aktuelle Herausforderungen an das strategische Management. Handbuch
strategisches Management
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21 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
2. BASF - Acquisitions and Divestures
2.1 Empirical Analysis
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22 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Empirical Analysis: Basic Methods (1/3)
1st step: Based on second generation portfolio theory
• „stand-alone attractiveness“
Market position, competitive situation, product
differentiation, growth potential
• „parenting advantage“
Synergistic effects through integration (Verbund), scale
effects, effects on exisiting market position
At best: A
D
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23 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Empirical Analysis: Basic Methods (2/3)
2nd step: risk integration
• „stand-alone business risk“
• „correlation with portfolio risk“
Effects of acquisition/divesture on overall portfolio risk
(increase/decrease)
Assumption: acquisitions are negatively correlated with
portfolio since they are supposed to reduce risk in overall
portfolio in the long term
At best:
A
D
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24 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Empirical Analysis: Basic Methods (3/3)
3rd step: Third generation portfolio theory
• „expected rentability“
• „risk delta of portfolio“ (combining stand-alone risk with
risk impact on portfolio, ex-ante)
Investors dislike high volatilities of portfolio return
At best: A
D
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25 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF Acquistions - 1st Step:
Strengthen portfolio plus high ROI chances
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26 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF Acquistions - 2nd Step:
Decrease overall portfolio risk
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BASF Acquisitions - 3rd Step:
Risk/Return integration
01
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15 16 17
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22 23
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33 34
02
1 Cyanamide/AHP: agricultural products Agricultural Solutions
2 Treffert Group: Foil Coatings business (outside of Germany) Functional Solutions
3 Foam Enterprises: American rigid polyurethane foam producer Plastics
4 Merck KGaA electronic chemicals business Chemicals
5 BASF Coatings Japan Ltd. Functional Solutions
6 Orgamol: Swiss fine chemicals Chemicals
7 BASF Akzo Nobel --> BASF Coatings Australia Functional Solutions
8 Huntsman: global TDI business Plastics
9 Leuna-Miramid GmbH: engineering plastics Europe Plastics
10 Rhenania Coatings GmbH: coil coatings business Functional Solutions
11 Degussa: construction chemicals business Functional Solutions
12 Engelhard: catalysis and surface finishing Functional Solutions
13 Johnson Polymer: resins Performance
Chemicals
14 Lanxess: SAN business Plastics
15 CropDesign: biotechnology company Agricultural Solutions
16 PEMEAS: fuel cell components
17 Chinese motorcycle catalyst business Functional Solutions
18 Chinese Hi Con: concrete admixtures Chemicals
19 Billakksenteret AS: Coatings, R-M sales activities Functional Solutions
20 Autolacke Handel GmbH: Coatings,R-M sales activities Functional Solutions
21 Dutch Polymer Chemical Company: Polyurethane System
House
Plastics
22 DERIS and Château-Arnoux Peinture: Coatings, R-M sales
activities
Functional Solutions
23 Michel DE-RIS S.A.S. France Functional Solutions
24 SABIC Innovative Plastics joint venture Plastics
25 BCD Rohstoffe für Bauchemie HandelsGmbH (Austria) Chemicals
26 Multi Chemical Est.:: polyurethane business Plastics
27 Yasar BASF Automotive Coatings Ltds Functional Solutions
28 Revus Energy ASA (Wintershall) Oil & Gas
29 Recticel: car windows, polyurethane specialities business Plastics
30 Ciba Holding AG. Chemicals
31 Sorex pest control business, Whitmire Micro-gen Agricultural Solutions
32 NOF Thailand: motorcycle coatings business Functional Solutions
33 Kejie: concrete admixture business Chemicals
34 Cognis Holding Luxembourg S.à r.l. Functional Solutions
19 20
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28 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF Divestitures – 1st Step: Sell units with low level
of attractiveness and low parenting advantage
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29 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF Divestitures – 2nd Step:
Reduce overall portfolio risk
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30 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF Risk/Return Matrix: Divestitures
02
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04
05
06 07 09 10
11
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13 14
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18 19 20 21 22
23 01
08
1 pharmaceutical and nutrition
market
Pharmaceuti
cal
2 Phenoxy Business Agriculture
3 Fiber Board Coating business in
Spain and Italy (Treffert)
Functional
Solutions
4 Polystyrene Specialty
Compounds business
Plastics
5 Dystar BASF Chemicals
6 triforine business Agriculture
7 polystyrene business: U.S.,
Canadian
Chemicals
8 sell stakes in Basell Functional
Solutions
9 decoration color business Performanc
e Products
10 14 percent shareholding in DENC
11 major assets of Micro Flo Comp. Agricultural
Solutions
12 global terbufos insecticide
business
Agricultural
Solutions
13 animal feed premix sites,
Netherlands
Chemicals
14 Chemische Fabrik Wibarco GmbH Chemicals
15 exit human nutrition premix
marketplace
Chemicals
16 rail cargo company RAIL4CHEM
17 Seal Sands site, UK Chemicals
18 Shreveport site Pharmaceuti
cal
19 China process catalysts site Functional
Solutions
20 Ako site to Kansai Paint Functional
Solutions
21 styrene monomer site in Korea
22 polystyrene business in Brazil
23 European starch business Chemicals
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31 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
2. BASF - Acquisitions and Divestures
2.2 Strategic Rationales
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32 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
BASF`s strategic rationales - Overview
BASF Core Business
Acquisitions
• High attractiveness (e.g. eROI), low portfolio risk
• Strengthen less cyclical businesses (specialty chemicals)
• Penetrate emerging markets
• Hedge against environmental risks
Divestures
• Low attractiveness and high portfolio risk
• Low synergies
• Non-strategic
• Improve leadership in other segments
Figure 6: BASF strategic rationales, Reasons for Acquisitions and Divestures; Source: Own illustration
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33 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Hedge against cyclicality and widen R&D
intensive businesses
Figure X: EBIT by segments. Source: BASF Homepage, Strategy, Portfolio Optimization
Oil & Gas plus
Agricultural solutions
build a stable earnings
base -> Strengthen
Divest unattractive and
cyclical segments
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34 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• Strengthen less cyclical businesses
“The strategic logic of the transaction is convincing, since the combined businesses
will be strengthened sustainably and positioned for long-term profitable
growth.” (Dr. Jürgen Hambrecht, Chairman of the Board on the acquisition of Ciba
Holding AG)
“The aim is to strengthen our involvement in less cyclical areas that are driven by
innovation and offer growth above the average of the chemicals market.” (Dr. Hans-
Ulrich Engel, Member of the Board on the largest acquisition within the last years)
“Construction chemicals is an innovative business area with cyclically resilient
margins that we will develop into a profitable growth sector in BASF’s portfolio.” (Dr.
Andreas Kreimeyer, Member of the Board on the acquisition of Degussa's
construction chemicals)
Strategic rationale – Acquisitions of BASF
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35 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• Penetrate emerging markets:
“Our investment programs are geared to growth markets and to Asia and China in
particular. Examples include the $1.4 billion expansion of our Verbund site in
Nanjing, China” (Dr. Hans-Ulrich Engel, Member of the Board)
• Hedge against environmental risks
“Through this, we open up further opportunities for a long-term and reliable supply of
Russian natural gas in Europe to competitive conditions." (Dr. Jürgen Hambrecht,
Chairman of the Board on the joint venture between Gazprom and Wingas)
Strategic rationale – Acquisitions of BASF
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36 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Strategic rationale – Divestures of BASF
• Low synergies and non-strategic for BASF
“We have identified some products such as triforine that offer limited synergy for
us, however are clearly a better strategic fit for a specialized company” (Hans
W. Reiners, President, BASF Agricultural Products division on the sale of its triforine
business to Sumitomo Corporation)
“BASF considers the LAB business as non-strategic mainly due to its lack of
integration into the Verbund” (Patrick Prévost, head of BASF’s Performance
Chemicals division on the divesture of the Wibarco GmbH to Hansa Chemie
International AG)
“As the starch business is a regional, stand-alone business offering few synergies
with BASF’s paper chemical operations, we have taken the decision to divest this
business” (Christian Schulz, Vice President Business Management Paper Coating
and Starch Europe on the sales the European starch business)
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37 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
2. BASF - Acquisitions and Divestures
2.3 A New Acquisition Target
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38 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Acquisition Target – Overview
• Top-10 seed companies with strong position in corn,
sugar beet and wheat Strengthens BASF`s leading position
Fits into historical acquisition scheme of BASF (e.g.
Agricultural: Cyanamide/AHP 2000, € 3.8 bn; Biotechnology:
CropDesign, 2006; Sorex pest control, 2008)
• High one-digit growth rates in the last five years,
ROE 12 – 14 % range High attractiveness
Lowers overall portfolio risk
• R&D intensive business High entry barriers
Distinguish from competition
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39 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• BASF Annual Report 2009 on agricultural solutions:
“Innovation is decisive for success. That is why we
continuously invest in our active ingredients pipeline
and develop improved formulations. Successful
growth also means using the potential of new
business models and developing new market
segments, through acquisitions when appropriate”
Acquisition Target – BASF statement
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40 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• 1st step: Based on second generation portfolio theory High “stand-alone attractiveness” (high growth rates & high
ROE)
High “parenting advantage“ (strenghten leading position)
Acquisition Target – Portfolio analysis (1/3)
AT
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41 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• 2nd step: Risk Integration Low „stand-alone business risk“ (high growth rates, global scale
for already 30 years)
Relatively high negative correlation with portfolio risk“ (two
existing R&D cooperations with BASF)
Acquisition Target – Portfolio analysis (2/3)
AT
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42 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
• 3rd step: Thrid generation portfolio theory High attractiveness for the overall business of BASF
Low „risk delta of portfolio“ -> relatively low volatility of portfolio
returns
Acquisition Target – Portfolio analysis (3/3)
AT Strong buying
option for BASF
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43 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
Thank you for your attention!
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44 Torsten Arnold – BASF Corporate Strategy and Portfolio Development
List of figures
Figure 1: Sales per segment from 2001-2006, Source: BASF Annual Reports
Figure 2: Sales per segment from 2007-2009, Source: BASF Annual Reports
Figure 3: Nine-box matrix. Source; McKinsey and Company. 2000. Thinking strategically
Figure 4: Market activated corporate strategy framework. Source; McKinsey and Company. 2000. Thinking strategically.
Figure 5: Risk/Return Matrix. Source; Rall, W. and König, B., 2003. Aktuelle Herausforderungen an das
strategische Management. Handbuch strategisches Management
Figure 6: BASF strategic rationales, Reasons for Acquisitions and Divestures; Source: Own illustration