basics of analysis chapter 5 © 2011 cengage learning. all rights reserved. may not be scanned,...
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Basics of Analysis
Chapter 5
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #2
• Liquidity– Measures a firm’s ability to meet its current obligations
• Leverage (borrowing capacity)– Measures the degree of protector for long-term creditors
• Profitability– Measures the earning ability of a firm
• Investor-focused
• Cash flow– Indicate liquidity, borrowing capacity, and profitability
Ratio Analysis
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #3
Ratio Analysis
• Interpreted in comparison with– Prior ratios– Competitor ratios– Industry ratios– Predetermined standards
• Trend and variability of a ratio are important considerations.
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #4
Complexities and Context
• Use of average data from balance sheet accounts– Necessary when comparing against income
statement data– Does not
• Eliminate cyclical or seasonal variations• Capture changes that occur unevenly throughout the year
• Analysis must be performed and understood within the context of– Native accounting principles– Native business practices and culture
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #5
• The use of percentages is usually preferable to the use of absolute amounts
• Vertical analysis– All amounts of a year expressed as a percentage of
a base amount (e.g., net sales revenue, total assets)
• Horizontal analysis– Amounts for comparative years are expressed as a
percentage of the base year amount
Common-Size Analysis
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #6
Vertical Analysis
Sales revenue 100,000$ 100.0% 95,000$ 100.0% 91,000$ 100.0%Cost of goods sold 65,000 65.0% 60,800 64.0% 56,420 62.0%
Gross profit 35,000 35.0% 34,200 36.0% 34,580 38.0%
Operating expenses:Selling expense 14,000 14.0% 11,400 12.0% 10,000 11.0%General expense 16,000 16.0% 15,200 16.0% 13,650 15.0%
Total operating expense 30,000 30.0% 26,600 28.0% 23,650 26.0%
Operating Income before taxes 5,000 5.0% 7,600 8.0% 10,930 12.0%Taxes related to operations 1,500 1.5% 2,280 2.4% 3,279 3.6%
Net Income 3,500$ 3.5% 5,320$ 5.6% 7,651$ 8.4%
Melcher CompanyIncome Statement
2009 2008 2007For the Years Ended December 31
Each financial statement element is presented as a percentage of a designated base which is sales revenue on the Income Statement.
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #7
Horizontal Analysis
2009 2008 2007 2009 2008 2007
Sales revenue 100,000$ 95,000$ 91,000$ 109.9% 104.4% 100.0%Cost of goods sold 65,000 60,800 56,420 115.2% 107.8% 100.0%
Gross profit 35,000 34,200 34,580 101.2% 98.9% 100.0%
Operating expenses:Selling expense 14,000 11,400 10,000 140.0% 114.0% 100.0%General expense 16,000 15,200 13,650 117.2% 111.4% 100.0%
Total operating expense 30,000 26,600 23,650 126.8% 112.5% 100.0%
Operating Income before taxes 5,000 7,600 10,930 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%Taxes related to operations 1,500 2,280 3,279 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%
Net Income 3,500$ 5,320$ 7,651$ 45.7% 69.5% 100.0%
Melcher CompanyIncome Statement
For the Years Ended December 31
Each financial statement element is presented as a percentage of a base amount from a selected year.
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #8
• Use both absolute and percentages• Guidelines:
– When an item has value in the base year and none in the next period, the decrease is 100%
– A meaningful percent change cannot be computed when one number is positive and the other number is negative
– A percent change is incomputable when there is no figure for the base year.
Year-to-Year Change Analysis
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #9
• Financial components vary by type of industry• Merchandising
– Inventory is a principal asset– Sales may be primarily for cash or on credit
• Service– Inventory is low or nonexistent
• Manufacturing– Large inventory holdings– Substantial investment in plant assets
Industry Variations
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #10
• Narrative data– Annual report– Trade periodicals– Industry reviews
• Further explains the financial position of a firm
Descriptive Information
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #11
• Provides context for analysis of ratios and financial data
• Common types– Trend analysis– SIC: Standard Industrial Classification. The U.S. Department
of Labor provides website for searching for key words (http://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/sksearch.html)
– NAICS: North American Industry Classification System– Industry averages; competitor comparisons
Comparisons
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #12
• A study of the financial history of a firm• Longitudinal ratio comparison
– Falling– Rising– Relatively constant
• Highlight– Effective management– Evidence of problems
Comparisons: Trend Analysis
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #13
• Classifies business by industry
• Defines industries in accordance with the composition and structure of the economy
• Coding structure– Division
– Major group
– Industry group
– Industry
• Reported in SEC registrant filings
Comparisons: SIC
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #14
• Joint creation of NAFTA partners: Canada, U.S., and Mexico
• Industry is defined by similar production processes• Coding structure
– Sector, sub-sector, industry group, NAICS industry and national industry
– U.S. Census Bureau provides website: www.census.gov and under “business and industry click on NAICS.
Comparisons: NAICS
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #15
• Industry comparison complicated by highly diversified companies
• Financial services– Base their analysis on industry placement– Provide composite industry data
Comparisons: Industry
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #16
Financial Services’ Publications
Publication Service Coverage Data ClassificationThe Department of Commerce Financial Report
Economic Surveys Division, Bureau of the Census
Manufacturing, mining, and trade corporations
Income statement and balance sheet data and ratios
NAICS
Annual Statement Studies
Risk Management Association
Manufacturing, wholesaling, retailing, service, agriculture, and construction
Common-size financial statements and ratios
NAICS and SIC
Standard & Poor’s Industry Surveys
Standard & Poor’s
50 North American and global industries
Industry write-ups and statistics
NAICS
Almanac of Business and Industrial Financial Ratios
CCH, Inc. 192 industries Corporate tax return data
NAICS
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #17
Financial Services’ Publications (cont’d)
Publication Service Coverage Data ClassificationIndustry Norms and Key Business Ratios
Dun & Bradstreet 800 business lines; 5 segments
Condensed financial statements; ratios
SIC
[various] Value Line Investment Service
98 industries Longitudinal financial information
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #18
Comparisons: Caution
Ratios are subject to variance from:• Differing data• Inconsistent formula construction• Optional (elective) accounting treatment• Different fiscal year-ends• Varying financial policies• Inconsistent basis (before or after tax)
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #19
Relative Size of Firm
• Comparison of disparate size firms– Capital market access– Economy of scale (purchasing)– Wider customer base
• Information– Absolute: amplifies comparison difficulty– Common-size: eliminates some of the difficulty
• Percent of market helps to define relative size
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #20
• Domestic private and public companies
• Up to 20 items of information are provided for each company listed
• Ward’s Business Directory went digital in 2007 under Gale Directory Library.
Other Resources: Ward’s Business Directory
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #21
• Companies listed on various stock exchanges
• Alphabetical by exchange– NYSE– American Stock Exchange– NASDAQ stock market– Regional exchanges
Other Resources: Standard & Poor’s Stock Reports
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #22
• 2-volumes– V1 Alphabetical by firm name– V2§2 Industries in 7 subsections
Other Resources: Standard & Poor’s Register Of Corporations, Directors, And Executives
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #23
• Selected income statement and balance sheet items
• Related ratios
• Applicable to Standard & Poor’s industry group stock price indexes
Other Resources: Standard & Poor’s Analyst’s Handbook
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #24
• U.S. corporations– Background information– Detailed financial statistics
Standard & Poor’s Standard Corporation Descriptions
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #25
• Covers 5,300 common and preferred stocks. It contains:– Trading activity– Price range– Dividends
Other Resources: AQ1 Standard & Poor’s Security Owner’s Guide
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #26
• Industry statistics– Agriculture– Metals– Building– Transportation– etc.
Other Resources: Standard & Poor’s Statistical Service
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #27
• Available in may academic libraries
• Other publication available with Net Advantage– Standard & Poor’s stock reports– Standard & Poor’s Register of Corporations,
Directors and Executives– Stand and Poor’s Standard Corporation
Descriptions
AQ2 Standard & Poor’s Net Advantage
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #28
Mergent Dividend Record Standard & Poor’s Annual Dividend Record
• Provide a dividend record of payments on virtually all publicly owned American and some foreign companies.
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #29
• Companies must meet at least one of two inclusion requirements: - $9 million or more in sales volume - 180 or more employees if company is in single location, 900 or more if employees if company is a branch.
• Company listings– Alphabetical– Geographically– SIC
Other Resources: D&B® Million Dollar Directory®
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #30
• Corporate information– Divisions– Subsidiaries– Affiliates
• Indexes– Alphabetical– Geographical– SIC
Other Resources: Directory Of Corporate Affiliates
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #31
• Comprehensive reference– Products– Services– Company profiles– Catalog file
Other Resources: Thomas Register Of American Manufacturers
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #32
• Covers 2000 industrial corporations• New York and American Stock Exchanges
– History– Business– Properties– Subsidiaries– Financial statements– SIC codes
Other Resources: Mergent Industrial Manual and News Reports
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #33
• Principle corporate officers– Year of birth– Education– Military service– Present business position– Previous positions
Other Resources: D&B Reference Book of Corporate Managements
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #34
Other Resources: Compact Disclosure
• Database of textual and financial information• Annual and periodic reports filed with the SEC• Contents
– Major financial statements– Financial ratios– Institutional holdings– Insider ownership– President’s letter– Financial notes
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #35
• Accounting, legal, newspaper, and periodical information
• Financial statements from annual reports
Other Resources: Lexis-Nexis
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 5, Slide #36
The Users of Financial Statements
• Management– Analyze information from the perspective of both
investors and creditors
• Investors– Analysis of past and present information to project
the future prospects of the entity
• Creditors– Short-term: focus is on current resources– Long-term: consider the future prospects of the firm
© 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.