Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Addressing Adaptation in the Planning Context

The German perspective

Professor Dr. Ing. Albert Göttle

President of the Bavarian Environment Agency

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle2

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Bavaria in Germany

Danube River Basin

Rhine River Basin

Bavaria

River Main

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle3

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Regional Trends of Climate Change in Germanyobserved 1901 to 1998 (data from the DWD, Gerstengarbe et al. 2003)

Change in Temperature

Change in Precipitation

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle4

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

The Bavarian Alps

2006 Flood in Nothern Bavaria

Picture courtesy of WWA Kronach

Allgäuer Alpen. Taken at the Heini Klopfer Schanze

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle5

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Future Temperatures (GCM Simulation)

Regionalisation for South Germany

Assessment of Impacts

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle6

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

March 2007 : Düsseldorf Declaration

The German Planning System

Specify Aims

Defines Basic Goals

Federal Government

Individual States

Coping with Climate Change

Mainly responsible for Adaptation

Federal Government

Individual States

Mainly responsible for Mitigation

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle7

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Summer Winter

Studying the effects of climate change on the water sector in southern Germany

One result of the Bavarian Case Study carried out in ESPACE:

The coloured dots show the estimated increase in damage due to climate change [m.€] for towns along the river Fränkische Saale.

European Spatial Planning Adapting to Climate Events

Change in precipitation [%] for a future scenario (2021 - 2050) compared to present conditions (1971 - 2000)

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle8

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Production of Raw Materials

Agriculture

Forestry

Development of Settlements

Traffic

Technical Flood Protection

Leisure

Vulnerable Areas / Natural Hazards

Climate Change Adaptation and Spatial Planning:

Interaction with different sectors

Professor Dr. Ing Albert Göttle9

29th June 2007 - ESPACE Final Conference Bavarian EnvironmentAgency

Europe in a Changing Climate

Thank You for Your Attention