beazley results2016
TRANSCRIPT
Disclaimer notice
2
Certain statements made in this presentation, both oral and written, are or may constitute “forward looking statements”with respect to the operation, performance and financial condition of the Company and/or the Group. These forwardlooking statements are not based on historical facts but rather reflect current beliefs and expectations regarding futureevents and results. Such forward looking statements can be identified from words such as “anticipates”, “may”, “will”,“believes”, “expects”, “intends”, “could”, “should”, “estimates”, “predict” and similar expressions in such statements or thenegative thereof, or other variations thereof or comparable terminology. These forward looking statements appear in anumber of places throughout this document and involve significant inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors, known orunknown, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or industry results, to bematerially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward lookingstatements. Given these uncertainties, such forward looking statements should not be read as guarantees of futureperformance or results and no undue reliance should be placed on such forward looking statements. A number of factorscould cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in these forward looking statements.The information and opinions contained in this presentation, including any forward looking statements, are provided, andreflect knowledge and information available, as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change withoutnotice. There is no intention, nor is any duty or obligation assumed by the Company, the Group or the Directors tosupplement, amend, update or revise any of the information, including any forward looking statements, contained in thispresentation.All subsequent written and oral forward looking statements attributable to the Company and/or the Group or to personsacting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above and containedelsewhere in this document.
Contents
Overview of 2015 4-8
FinancialsPerformance 10Investments 11-12Reserves 13-14Capital 15-16Proposed new holding company 17
Underwriting review 18-22
Our vision and strategy 23
Outlook for 2016 24
Appendix 25-36
3
Pages
Increased premiums, profits and dividends
• Profit before income tax of $284.0m (2014: $261.9m)
• Return on equity of 19% (2014: 17%)
• Gross premiums written increased by 3% to $2,080.9m (2014: $2,021.8m)
• Combined ratio of 87% (2014: 89%)
• Rate reduction of 2% on renewal portfolio (2014: reduction of 2%)
• Prior year reserve releases of $176.3m (2014: $158.1m)
• Net investment income of $57.6m (2014: $83.0m)
• Second interim dividend of 6.6p (2014: 6.2p) taking full year dividend to 9.9p (2014:Full year 9.3p). Special dividend of 18.4p (2014: 11.8p)
5
• Investment in our teams:
People – ranked in top quartile for employee engagement
We passed the 1,000 employee landmark
We continue to attract talent
• We grew 21% in the US and opened our Los Angeles office
• Started our Korean Re partnership
• Strong balance sheet and active capital management maintained
• Received our Solvency II Internal Model approval from the CBI
• We propose to establish a new UK tax resident group holding company
Continued progress with our strategic initiatives
6
Cover
7
Sustained high performance
1,712.51,895.9 1,970.2 2,021.8 2,080.9
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross premiums written ($m)
62%53%
45% 49% 48%
37%
38%39%
40% 39%
99%91%
84%89% 87%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Combined ratio* (%)
Expense ratio Claims ratio
7.9 8.3 8.8 9.3 9.9
8.4
16.111.8
18.4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Dividends per share (p)
Special Interim and second interim
6%
19%21%
17%19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Return on equity (%)
Excellent total shareholder return - TSR 33.5% per annum since 31.12.09
8
Sh
are
ho
lder
retu
rn(%
)
* Average NAV growth (including dividends) over the past 6 years of 17.3%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
150%
175%
200%
225%
250%
275%
300%
325%
350%
375%
400%
31 December 2009 31 December 2010 31 December 2011 31 December 2012 31 December 2013 31 December 2014 31 December 2015
NAV target range(RFR +10% p.a. toRFR +15% p.a.)
NAV growth(Including dividends)
TSR growth(1 month average)
Strong performance across all metrics
Year ended31 December 2015
Year ended31 December 2014
% Increase /(Decrease)
Gross premiums written ($m) 2,080.9 2,021.8 3%
Net premiums written ($m) 1,713.1 1,732.7 (1%)
Net earned premiums ($m) 1,698.7 1,658.9 2%
Profit before income tax ($m) 284.0 261.9 8%
Earnings per share (pence) 31.9 26.1
Dividend per share (pence) 9.9 9.3
Special dividend (pence) 18.4 11.8
Net assets per share (pence) 186.5 170.3
Net tangible assets per share (pence) 174.8 158.3
10
Portfolio delivered 1.3% annualised return
11
In
vestm
en
tre
turn
($
m)
An
nu
ali
sed
In
vestm
en
tR
etu
rn
22.5
36.1
46.843.5
16.8
46.5
43.3
36.2
14.1
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1st half 2nd half Return
Cash and CashEquivalents
15.0%
GovernmentQuasi
Government &Supranational
41.1%
InvestmentGradeCredit27.2%
Other Credit 1.6%
Senior Secured Loans2.5%
Equity Linked funds 3.3%
Hedge Funds(Uncorrelated Strategies)
7.3%
Illiquid Credit Assets 2.0%
Minor changes to portfolio mix
12
31 December 2015 31 December 2014
Cash and CashEquivalents, 8.2%
GovernmentQuasi
GovernmentSupranational
41.6%InvestmentGrade Credit
33.5%
Other Credit, 1.8%
Senior Secured Loans2.3%
Equity Linked funds, 3.3%
Hedge Funds(Uncorrelated Strategies)
8.3%
Illiquid Credit Assets,1.0%
Continued prior year reserve releases
13
Reserv
ere
leases
($
m)
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
-15
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
105
120
135
150
165
180
195
210
225
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Specialty lines Political risks and contingency Life accident and health Marine Property Reinsurance % of NEP
6.1%
6.7%6.4%
6.7%
7.5% 7.4%
8.2%7.9%
7.4%
6.9%
8.2%
7.1%
8.2%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Financial year
Surplus in net held reserves
Whole account reserve strength within our target range
14
Ab
ove
actu
ari
alesti
mate
(%
)
Capital management discipline continues
• We have returned capital of $952m in the past 7 years
• This represents 144% of our 2009 post rights-issue market capitalisation
15
Fu
nd
sre
turn
ed
tosh
are
ho
lders
($
m)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
150%
160%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Perc
en
tag
eo
fm
ark
et
cap
itali
sati
on
at
20
09
rig
hts
issu
e
Interim and final dividends Special dividend Share buybacks % of market capital
Updated capital position remains strong
16
Year ended31 December 2015
$m
Year ended31 December 2014
$m
Lloyd’s economic capital requirement (ECR) 1,326.9 1,359.0
Capital for US insurance company 107.7 107.7
1,434.6 1,466.7
• Group capital requirement:
• Our funding is made up of our own equity (on a Solvency II basis) plus $247.2m of debtand an undrawn banking facility of $225.0m
• At 31 December 2015 we have surplus capital of 49% of ECR, including Solvency IIadjustments
• We will be paying a special dividend of 18.4p, reducing the surplus to 35%, above ourtarget 15-25% range
Proposed new holding company
17
• Change will allow group management to be from the UK from the end of April
• Timetable is for a shareholder vote in March
• No change to the operating structure, expected profits or tax rates of the group
• Beazley plc will be retained as the name for our top company
Underwriting review – 2015 achievements
19
• Combined ratio of 87%, with improved combined ratio achieved by all divisions
• Growth in gross premiums written of 3% to $2,080.9m
Specialty lines, our largest division, achieved growth of 13%
21% growth in locally underwritten US premium
• Rate reductions of 2% across portfolio as a whole
• Favourable claims experience including lower than average catastrophe activity
• We continue to reserve consistently, maintaining our surplus over actuarial estimatebetween 5-10%
Underwriting review
Year Ended
31 December 2015
Year Ended
31 December 2014
% Increase/
(Decrease)
Gross premiums written ($m) 2,080.9 2,021.8 3%
Net premiums written ($m) 1,713.1 1,732.7 (1%)
Net earned premiums ($m) 1,698.7 1,658.9 2%
Expense ratio 39% 40%
Claims ratio 48% 49%
Combined ratio 87% 89%
Rate change on renewals (2%) (2%)
20
Cumulative rate changes since 2008
Rate
ch
an
ge
(%
)
21
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Underwriting year
Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Specialty lines Reinsurance All divisions
2016 underwriting outlook
22
• Competitive market conditions expected to continue
• Well diversified portfolio will allow efficient cycle management
• Disciplined underwriting in areas where competition is greatest
• We see opportunities for moderate growth in 2016
US underwritten premium
US ‘gap protection’ medical cover
Cyber demand continues to increase
Improved distribution channels for SME business
Our vision and strategic priorities
To become, and be recognised as,the highest performing
specialist insurer
Gro
wth
inSM
E
Sale
sand
Serv
ice
Gro
wth
inAsia
Pacific
Gro
wth
inU
S
Innovation
and
Pro
duct
Develo
pm
ent
Gro
wth
inEu
rop
e
23
New in 2015
Outlook for 2016 – our 30th year
• Continue our organic growth strategy
• Premium rates expected to decline across portfolio as a whole
• Continued growth opportunities in US
• Market consolidation offers opportunities to attract talent
• Pursue our refreshed strategic initiatives
• New corporate structure to enable us to run the group from the UK
24
73%
114%
88%
61%
49%44%
48% 51%
73% 75%
68% 66%60%
44%
29%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
1993-1996
1997-2000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Underwriting year
Specialty lines net incurred loss ratio at each development year 6 to latest
6
5
4
3
2
ULR
Specialty lines incurred claims remain in line with expectations
Net ultimate premium $m
27
Net
incu
rred
loss
rati
o(%
)
77 107 52 91 262 313 332 345 419 453 418 434 425 454 476 517
US gross premium over 11 years
28
US
gro
ss
pre
miu
ms
($
m)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Architects and engineers professional indemnity Technology, media and business services Other specialty lines Property PCG & Marine Accident and health
Cumulative rate changes since 2001
29
Cu
mu
lati
ve
rate
ch
an
ge
(%
)
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Underwriting year
Life, accident & health Marine Political risks & contingency Property Reinsurance Specialty lines All divisions
30
Portfolio management achieves consistent combined ratio through market cycles
Co
mb
ined
rati
o(%
)
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Year
Life accident & health
• Profit of $0.4m
• Combined ratio improved to 103%
(2014: 107%)
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 119.8 132.2
Net premiums written ($m) 106.6 113.7
Net earned premiums ($m) 110.8 103.0
Claims ratio 58% 60%
Rate change on renewals (1%) 9%
Percentage of business led 68% 68%
31
Marine
• Improved combined ratio of 77%
(2014: 78%)
• Second largest divisional contribution
to group’s profitability in 2015
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 269.3 325.2
Net premiums written ($m) 239.5 289.9
Net earned premiums ($m) 258.2 282.6
Claims ratio 38% 38%
Rate change on renewals (8%) (6%)
Percentage of business led 46% 43%
32
Political risks and contingency
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 123.6 123.2
Net premiums written ($m) 105.0 101.2
Net earned premiums ($m) 106.4 96.9
Claims ratio 29% 27%
Rate change on renewals (6%) (2%)
Percentage of business led 68% 70%
33
• Combined ratio of 76% (2014: 78%)
• Net earned premiums increased by
10%
Property
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 353.1 344.7
Net premiums written ($m) 304.8 297.6
Net earned premiums ($m) 297.8 287.9
Claims ratio 39% 42%
Rate change on renewals (4%) (1%)
Percentage of business led 75% 75%
34
• Improved combined ratio of 84%
(2014: 86%)
• Strong performance across all teams
• Net earned premiums increased by 3%
Reinsurance
• Combined ratio of 57% (2014: 69%)
• Market over supplied with capacity
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 199.9 200.8
Net premiums written ($m) 132.0 153.8
Net earned premiums ($m) 133.8 160.1
Claims ratio 22% 37%
Rate change on renewals (7%) (10%)
Percentage of business led 40% 39%
35
Specialty lines
• Highest divisional contribution to
group’s profitability with $77.0m
• Combined ratio of 96% (2014: 98%)
• Growth for a third consecutive year
Year ended 31 December
2015 2014
Gross premiums written ($m) 1,015.2 895.7
Net premiums written ($m) 825.2 776.5
Net earned premiums ($m) 791.7 728.5
Claims ratio 60% 61%
Rate change on renewals 2% -
Percentage of business led 97% 96%
36