beef & veal market situation cmo committee 20 november 2014
TRANSCRIPT
BEEF & VEALMARKET SITUATION
CMO Committee 20 November 2014
20 November 2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
T O T A L B O V I N E
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
T O T A L B O V I N E L I V E S T O C KJUNE SURVEY
L I V E S T O C KJUNE SURVEY
May/Jun %Var %Var %Var %Var2014 2014 2014 2014
1000 Hd 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013
BE 2 560 2 484 2 433 2 521 +3.6% 759 701 689 734 +6.5% 495 498 495 506 +2.1% 1 306 1 284 1 248 1 282 +2.7%BGCZDK 1 645 1 629 1 603 1 585 -1.1% 550 544 523 528 +1.0% 328 322 328 318 -3.0% 766 763 752 739 -1.7%DE 12 563 12 477 12 587 12 702 +0.9% 3 800 3 850 3 849 3 874 +0.7% 2 993 2 912 3 011 3 004 -0.2% 5 771 5 715 5 727 5 824 +1.7%EEIE 6 493 6 754 6 903 6 926 +0.3% 1 845 2 036 1 968 1 878 -4.6% 1 528 1 660 1 811 1 767 -2.4% 3 119 3 058 3 123 3 280 +5.0%ELES 6 048 6 003 5 822 6 008 +3.2% 1 994 2 084 2 026 2 172 +7.2% 963 862 801 795 -0.8% 3 091 3 057 2 995 3 041 +1.5%FR 19 714 19 282 19 179 19 286 +0.6% 5 701 5 602 5 497 5 530 +0.6% 3 502 3 452 3 529 3 476 -1.5% 10 512 10 227 10 153 10 280 +1.3%IT 6 151 5 914 6 053 6 197 +2.4% 1 693 1 455 1 587 1 703 +7.3% 1 424 1 316 1 480 1 445 -2.3% 2 673 2 756 2 986 3 049 +2.1%
CYLVLTLUHUMTNL 3 868 3 879 4 000 4 067 +1.7% 1 551 1 569 1 616 1 642 +1.6% 623 614 624 634 +1.6% 1 695 1 696 1 759 1 791 +1.8%AT 1 982 1 957 1 939 1 937 -0.1% 614 614 604 613 +1.4% 437 428 435 424 -2.6% 931 915 900 901 +0.1%PL 5 762 5 777 5 860 5 920 +1.0% 1 481 1 469 1 586 1 609 +1.4% 1 300 1 344 1 422 1 433 +0.8% 2 981 2 964 2 852 2 879 +1.0%PTRO 2 113 2 054 2 069 +0.7% 509 467 478 479 +0.3% 249 242 236 236 +0.1% 1 332 1 332 1 340 1 354 +1.0%SISKFISE 1 512 1 500 1 506 1 493 -0.8% 475 481 468 472 +0.9% 378 368 381 370 -2.8% 659 651 657 651 -1.0%UK 9 933 9 900 9 843 9 829 -0.1% 2 847 2 905 2 808 2 798 -0.4% 2 420 2 419 2 474 2 393 -3.3% 4 667 4 576 4 561 4 638 +1.7%
EU 80 343 77 557 79 781 80 541 +1.0% 23 819 23 777 23 698 24 031 +1.4% 16 639 16 439 17 027 16 801 -1.3% 39 503 38 996 39 055 39 708 +1.7%
Source : EStat Newcronos EU %Var is calculated considering only countries available in 2013 AND 2014
BOVINE 1-2 Year BOVINE > 2 YearTOT LIVESTOCK BOVINE < 1 Year
20 November 2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
T O T A L B O V I N E
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
T O T A L B O V I N E L I V E S T O C KJUNE SURVEY
L I V E S T O C KJUNE SURVEY
May/Jun %Var %Var %Var2014 2014 2014
1000 Hd 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013 2011 2012 2013 2014 2013
BE 1 029 1 035 1 007 971 -3.5% 507 509 510 522 +2.5% 521 525 498 449 -9.7%BGCZDK 686 688 678 664 -2.1% 575 582 576 563 -2.3% 110 106 102 101 -1.0%DE 4 884 4 865 4 896 4 981 +1.7% 4 185 4 191 4 223 4 311 +2.1% 699 673 673 670 -0.4%EEIE 2 240 2 289 2 313 2 355 +1.8% 1 139 1 141 1 163 1 226 +5.4% 1 102 1 149 1 150 1 129 -1.8%ELES 2 734 2 638 2 595 2 716 +4.7% 851 836 823 876 +6.5% 1 882 1 803 1 772 1 840 +3.8%FR 7 860 7 706 7 682 7 759 +1.0% 3 589 3 536 3 545 3 615 +2.0% 4 272 4 170 4 137 4 144 +0.2%IT 2 106 2 168 2 381 2 382 +0.1% 1 718 1 800 1 989 2 053 +3.2% 388 367 392 329 -15.9%
CYLVLTLUHUMTNL 1 568 1 583 1 637 1 655 +1.1% 1 463 1 484 1 553 1 572 +1.2% 105 99 84 82 -2.4%AT 792 782 769 770 +0.2% 532 529 524 534 +2.0% 260 253 245 236 -3.7%PL 2 626 2 578 2 531 2 479 -2.0% 2 473 2 441 2 361 2 310 -2.1% 153 137 170 169 -0.7%PTRO 1 195 1 205 1 222 1 224 +0.2% 1 181 1 188 1 208 1 207 -0.1% 14 18 13 17 +27.3%SISKFISE 542 540 539 531 -1.6% 347 348 346 344 -0.6% 197 193 193 186 -3.5%UK 3 489 3 469 3 393 3 406 +0.4% 1 814 1 812 1 782 1 828 +2.6% 1 675 1 657 1 611 1 578 -2.0%
EU 31 752 31 546 31 642 31 894 +0.8% 20 374 20 397 20 603 20 963 +1.7% 11 378 11 149 11 040 10 931 -1.0%
Source : EStat Newcronos EU %Var is calculated considering only countries available in 2013 AND 2014
OTHER COWSTOTAL COWS DAIRY COWS
P R O D U C T I O N P R O D U C T I O N % E V O L U T I O N
H E A D S
% E V O L U T I O N
H E A D S
Estimates for last month of period : Source : EStat - Newcronos
Cow
Heifer
Calve
Bull
Jan-Aug 13/14
EU15 EU28HEADS
-4.6% -1.8%
Meat of bovine animals
-0.0% +0.8%
-2.3% -3.0%
+7.8% +7.8%
-0.4% +0.4%
Bullock
Young cattle
-1.0%
-9.7% -9.9%
-1.9%
+3.
6%
-19.
9%
-0.8
%
-1.4
%
+3.
2%
+6.
2%
+12
.1%
-7.3
%
-4.1
% -2.1
%
-5.4
%
-16.
7%
-3.0
%
-4.1
%
+6.
7%
+3.
7%
-0.3
%
+3.
3%
-1.3
%
-3.6
%
+14
.9%
-8.1
%
-3.2
% -0.5
%
-7.5
%
+0.
9% +2.
0%
+1.
2%
- 20 %
- 10 %
0%
+ 10 %
- 20 %
- 10 %
0%
+ 10 %
BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR HR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
EU : - 1.0%
20 November 2014
P R O D U C T I O N P R O D U C T I O N % E V O L U T I O N
T O N N E S
% E V O L U T I O N
T O N N E S
Estimates for last month of period : Source : EStat - Newcronos
Meat of bovine animals
-0.2%-1.1%
-10.5% -10.6%Young cattle
Calve
+0.7%
Heifer
Bull -2.1%
+9.1%
+1.3%
+2.4%
-2.7%
-4.4%
Cow
Bullock +9.1%
+1.8%
-2.2%
TONNESEU15 EU28
Jan-Aug 13/14
+2.
5%
-21.
8%
-0.1
%
-0.1
%
+3.
0%
+8.
7%
+15
.1%
-8.6
%
-3.5
% -1.1
%
-4.7
%
-18.
9% -15.
9%
-1.5
%
+9.
6%
+4.
3%
-2.2
%
+2.
6%
-2.3
%
-3.6
%
+17
.8%
-6.7
%
-0.6
%
-1.9
%
-9.0
%
+1.
3% +3.
5%
+3.
7%
- 25 %
- 15 %
- 5 %
+ 5 %
+ 15 %
- 25 %
- 15 %
- 5 %
+ 5 %
+ 15 %
BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR HR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
EU : - 0.2%
20 November 2014
P R O D U C T I O N P R O D U C T I O N H I S T O R I C
T O N N E S
H I S T O R I C
T O N N E S
500
550
600
650
700
750
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1.00
0 T
on
ne
s
2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4
Beef & Veal Production (E28 Slaughtering) - Tonnes
Source : EStat-Newcronos
20 November 2014
20 November 2014
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G BOVINE 8-12M– Z.R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G BOVINE 8-12M– Z.R3
Z - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
367.35 370.49Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
300
320
340
360
380
400
300
320
340
360
380
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States Z - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G B U L L – A.R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Y O U N G B U L L – A.R3
20 November 2014
A - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
359.55 360.24% change y/y : - 4.9% % change y/y : - 4.0%
Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
300
320
340
360
380
400
300
320
340
360
380
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States A - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
S T E E R – C.R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
S T E E R – C.R3
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
20 November 2014
C - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
403.65 398.95% change y/y : - 3.8% % change y/y : - 4.8%
Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
300
325
350
375
400
425
450
300
325
350
375
400
425
450
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States C - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A / C / Z . R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
A / C / Z . R3
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
20 November 2014
ACZ - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
367.45 366.51% change y/y : - 5.4% % change y/y : - 5.2%
165.2%% Ref. Price in wk 45 :
Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
289.1
311.4
333.6
355.8
378.1
400.3
422.6
130%
140%
150%
160%
170%
180%
190%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/100 kg cwe
2007-2011 Avg2012
% of Reference Price
Source : Member States ACZ - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
C O W – D.O3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
C O W – D.O3
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
20 November 2014
D - O 3 > Wk.45-2014
265.55 273.48% change y/y : - 7.6% % change y/y : - 6.7%
Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States D - O 3 > Wk.45-2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
H E I F E R – E.R3
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
H E I F E R – E.R3
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
20 November 2014
E - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
387.05 385.64% change y/y : - 4.6% % change y/y : - 4.9%
Price in week 45 : Average price in October 2014 :
310
330
350
370
390
410
430
310
330
350
370
390
410
430
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013 2014
Source : Member States E - R 3 > Wk.45-2014
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
All CAT GLOBAL VIEW
P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S P R I C E S C A R C A S S E S
20 November 2014
200
250
300
350
400
450
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Z R3
A R3
C R3
D O3
E R3
Source : Member StatesLast Update : Week 45 - 2014
Store cattle (€/100 kg live weight)
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
MALE STORE CATTLE
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
MALE STORE CATTLE
P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S
20 November 2014
Young Store Cattle Price in Week 45 2.39 Yearling Male Store Cattle Price in Week 45 2.18
Yearling Female Store Cattle Price in Week 45 2.28 €/kg live weight
200
210
220
230
240
250
260
270
200
210
220
230
240
250
260
270
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2007-2011 Avg 2012 20132014 Young Store Cattle Yearling Male Store CattleYearling Female Store Cattle
Source : Member States Store cattle > Wk. 53
Male calves aged between 8 days and 4 weeks (€/head)
P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Male Calves – 8D4W
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Male Calves – 8D4W
20 November 2014
Male Rearing Calves Beef type Price in Week 45 212.70 Male Rearing Calves Dairy type Price in Week 45 67.91
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
205
225
245
265
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
205
225
245
265
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012 2013
2014 Male Rearing Calves Beef type Male Rearing Calves Dairy type
Source : Member States 8D4W > Wk.53
Calves slaughtered before the age of less than 8 months (€/100 kg cw)
P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S P R I C E S L I V E B O V I N E S
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Butcher Calves
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Butcher Calves
20 November 2014
Price in Week 45 534.20 € / 100 kg of carcasse weight
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
620
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007-2011 Avg 2012
Source : Member States Calves > Wk. 53
M A R G I N M A R G I N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
20 November 2014
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014
€uro
/ hea
d
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3, minus costs for calf purchased and feedcost for grain fattening
Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Calf price when purchased
average remainder incl. extra gain Intensive Feedcost x*6
M A R G I N M A R G I N E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
E.U. E V O L U T I O N
Animal + Feed Purchase COST
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014
€uro
/he
ad
Remainder of: Selling price AR 3, minus costs forcalf purchased and feedcost for grain/ grass fattening
Extra gain of FCR between 7- 6 Remainder Young Bulls A.R 3 Calf price when purchased
Pasture Feedcost x*6 average remainder incl. extra gain20 November 2014
2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Sep 13
Russia 135 991 28.7% 138 910 22.3% 97 829 19.2% 72 299 15.9% 87 768 21.7% + 78.3%
Hong Kong 12 292 2.6% 19 449 3.1% 17 895 3.5% 28 536 6.3% 40 032 9.9% + 110.5%
Lebanon 35 814 7.6% 25 200 4.0% 27 474 5.4% 26 367 5.8% 27 807 6.9% + 45.9%
Ghana 11 561 2.4% 21 979 3.5% 28 693 5.6% 40 793 9.0% 25 897 6.4% - 12.5%
Bosnia-Herz. 17 082 3.6% 21 423 3.4% 19 715 3.9% 26 844 5.9% 24 809 6.1% + 37.6%
Switzerland 22 619 4.8% 26 720 4.3% 19 911 3.9% 26 574 5.9% 21 284 5.3% + 4.9%
Ivory Coast 14 831 3.1% 18 177 2.9% 15 929 3.1% 21 620 4.8% 20 498 5.1% + 37.2%
Algeria 16 259 3.4% 17 970 2.9% 17 324 3.4% 25 935 5.7% 12 252 3.0% - 28.1%
Libya 2 551 0.5% 2 473 0.4% 11 974 2.4% 18 628 4.1% 11 348 2.8% - 19.3%
Angola 5 228 1.1% 8 935 1.4% 8 258 1.6% 10 590 2.3% 8 755 2.2% + 27.8%
For.JRep.Mac 9 713 2.1% 13 244 2.1% 11 447 2.3% 10 630 2.3% 8 538 2.1% + 8.5%
Israel 9 234 2.0% 8 720 1.4% 8 435 1.7% 9 378 2.1% 6 349 1.6% - 15.1%
Norway 1 636 0.3% 7 115 1.1% 14 621 2.9% 10 247 2.3% 6 219 1.5% - 37.1%
Uzbekistan 419 0.1% 4 271 0.7% 4 196 0.8% 7 729 1.7% 5 972 1.5% + 1.5%
China 1 375 0.3% 3 808 0.6% 5 561 1.1% 7 532 1.7% 5 883 1.5% + 3.2%
Turkey 71 029 15.0% 166 776 26.7% 101 474 20.0% 5 151 1.1% 3 571 0.9% - 19.6%
Other Destinations 105 494 22.3% 118 936 19.1% 97 736 19.2% 104 949 23.1% 86 561 21.5%
EXTRA EU 473 128 624 104 508 473 453 803 403 543
% change + 32% - 19% - 11% + 23.2%
2012 Jan-Sep 142013
EU exports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
20 November 2014
EU exports of beef and live animals:Trade figures (COMEXT)
196 963121 506 184 753
542 150
646 012
633 396
1 227 806
927 618
1 059 672
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 Jan-Sep 14
1,00
0 E
UR
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (1000 EUR)
Russia Hong Kong Lebanon Ghana Turkey Other destinations
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. E X P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
69 412 49 23687 768
12 14219 022
40 032
172 580
206 333
218 468
383 602
327 682
403 543
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
450 000
Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 Jan-Sep 14
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Beef & Veal (Tonnes cwe)
Russia Hong Kong Lebanon Ghana Turkey Other destinations
20 November 2014
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
2014
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Exports of BEEF products
LIVE ANIMALS FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
20 November 2014
EU beef Exports to TURKEYTrade figures (COMEXT data) tonnes cwe
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o T U R K E Y
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o T U R K E Y
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan
10
Mar
10
May
10
Jul 1
0
Sep
10
Nov
10
Jan
11
Mar
11
May
11
Jul 1
1
Sep
11
Nov
11
Jan
12
Mar
12
May
12
Jul 1
2
Sep
12
Nov
12
Jan
13
Mar
13
May
13
Jul 1
3
Sep
13
Nov
13
Jan
14
Mar
14
May
14
Jul 1
4
Sep
14
Fresh Bovine "Compensated" quarters
Fresh Bovine (un)-separated Forequarters
Fresh Bovine (un)-separated Hindquarters
Frozen Bovine "Compensated" quarters
Live Animals
TOTAL
20 November 2014
EU beef Exports to RUSSIATrade figures (COMEXT data) tonnes cwe
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o R U S S I A
E.U. E X P O R T S
B e e f t o R U S S I A
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
20 000
22 000
24 000
Jan
10
Fe
b 1
0M
ar
10
Ap
r 1
0M
ay
10
Jun
10
Jul 1
0A
ug
10
Se
p 1
0O
ct 1
0N
ov
10
De
c 1
0Ja
n 1
1F
eb
11
Ma
r 1
1A
pr
11
Ma
y 1
1Ju
n 1
1Ju
l 11
Au
g 1
1S
ep
11
Oct
11
No
v 1
1D
ec
11
Jan
12
Fe
b 1
2M
ar
12
Ap
r 1
2M
ay
12
Jun
12
Jul 1
2A
ug
12
Se
p 1
2O
ct 1
2N
ov
12
De
c 1
2Ja
n 1
3F
eb
13
Ma
r 1
3A
pr
13
Ma
y 1
3Ju
n 1
3Ju
l 13
Au
g 1
3S
ep
13
Oct
13
No
v 1
3D
ec
13
Jan
14
Fe
b 1
4M
ar
14
Ap
r 1
4M
ay
14
Jun
14
Jul 1
4A
ug
14
Se
p 1
4
Live animals
Fresh Bovine meat
Frozen Bovine meat
Beef Offals
TOTAL
20 November 2014
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. E X P O R T S
L i v e A n i m a l s
E.U. E X P O R T S
L i v e A n i m a l s
621
.
1 05
2
.62
9
.2
015
.
3 11
2
.2
259
.
2 69
9
.2
760
.
2 06
1
.2
952
.
3 39
9
.3
834
.
6 55
2
.9
628
.
7 07
5
.7
576
.
6 09
6
.2
576
.
3 38
0
.4
416
.
8 02
6
.11
068
.7
263
.
6 50
3
.5
560
.
2 62
9
. 4 63
7
.2
152
.
868
.
974
.
596
.
388
.
204
.
414
.
205
.
215
.
199
.
42
.
192
.
231
.
276
.
153
.
103
.
166
.
160
.
355
.
708
.
559
.
405
.
3 34
8
.2
253
.
3 97
9
.1
563
.
3 25
9
.68
1
.1
548
.
1 11
5
.86
5
.1
030
.
1 99
5
.
5 16
1
.
1 74
7
.
3 20
6
.2
305
.
1 63
5
.2
016
.
1 43
5
. 1 35
0
.2
207
.
2 68
7
.1
998
.
2 03
0
.2
959
.
1 23
1
.3
805
.
3 60
5
.4
329
.
3 13
4
.3
717
.
1 99
5
.
2 09
8
.1
969
.
3 19
0
.3
373
.
4 75
2
.4
073
.
4 44
9
. 3 95
4
.4
885
.
5 96
7
.4
628
.
3 89
6
.3
765
.
3 57
0
.3
371
.
3 25
6
.3
889
.
3 75
1
. 4 34
0
.4
306
.
5 28
9
.6
954
.
5 88
4
.6
495
.
4 05
4
.3
171
. 5
738
. 4
292
.
3 82
0
.4
099
.
5 07
4
.3
746
.
3 70
5
.4
306
.
4 60
8
.5
934
.
3 82
2
.3
991
. 4
867
. 6
715
.
5 67
6
.4
527
.
4 67
7
.2
283
.
4 37
5
.5
163
.
4 80
5
.4
982
.
3 77
9
.4
636
.
4 87
8
.6
300
.
4 60
8
.5
321
.
4 10
4
.2
824
.
3 43
1
.0
.
0
.0
.
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
Jan
10
Mar
10
May
10
Jul 1
0
Sep
10
Nov
10
Jan
11
Mar
11
May
11
Jul 1
1
Sep
11
Nov
11
Jan
12
Mar
12
May
12
Jul 1
2
Sep
12
Nov
12
Jan
13
Mar
13
May
13
Jul 1
3
Sep
13
Nov
13
Jan
14
Mar
14
May
14
Jul 1
4
Sep
14
Nov
14
To
nn
es
CW
E
.
EU-28 Exports of LIVE Bovine Animals(Source COMEXT - Tonnes cwe)
Turkey Algeria Lebanon Other
20 November 2014
EU imports of beef and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Sep 13
Brazil 145 105 38.2% 126 142 39.1% 126 927 41.3% 145 969 43.6% 106 713 43.3% + 0.3%
Uruguay 67 160 17.7% 51 936 16.1% 52 579 17.1% 51 612 15.4% 37 830 15.3% - 8.0%
Argentina 80 186 21.1% 62 705 19.4% 51 697 16.8% 47 935 14.3% 30 853 12.5% - 14.0%
Australia 13 810 3.6% 18 278 5.7% 21 311 6.9% 28 108 8.4% 24 696 10.0% + 23.4%
USA 15 308 4.0% 22 999 7.1% 21 097 6.9% 22 298 6.7% 17 223 7.0% + 4.3%
New Zealand 13 712 3.6% 15 471 4.8% 15 377 5.0% 13 958 4.2% 11 868 4.8% + 1.6%
Namibia 13 571 3.6% 9 005 2.8% 8 848 2.9% 11 113 3.3% 7 140 2.9% - 12.4%
Switzerland 4 461 1.2% 5 661 1.8% 4 948 1.6% 4 286 1.3% 4 032 1.6% + 35.0%
Botswana 15 763 4.1% 980 0.3% 474 0.2% 6 280 1.9% 3 125 1.3% - 35.5%
Canada 716 0.2% 917 0.3% 826 0.3% 975 0.3% 651 0.3% - 2.8%
Ukraine 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 570 0.2% +++
Chile 2 441 0.6% 2 254 0.7% 1 710 0.6% 538 0.2% 558 0.2% + 21.1%
Russia 41 0.0% 100 0.0% 72 0.0% 150 0.0% 467 0.2% +++
Serbia 1 127 0.3% 789 0.2% 742 0.2% 618 0.2% 328 0.1% - 32.7%
Norway 293 0.1% 263 0.1% 150 0.0% 201 0.1% 232 0.1% + 103.7%
N.det.Extra 34 0.0% 5 0.0% 1 0.0% 0 0.0% 100 0.0% +++
Iceland 203 0.1% 399 0.1% 241 0.1% 196 0.1% 89 0.0% + 2.1%
Other Origins 5 980 1.6% 4 617 1.4% 387 0.1% 234 0.1% 255 0.1%
EXTRA EU 379 910 322 521 307 388 334 472 246 730
% change - 15% - 5% + 9% - 1.2%
2012 Jan-Sep 142013
20 November 2014
OriginsOrigins
EU imports of beef and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. I M P O R T S
Beef & Live Animals
91 994 106 413 106 713
40 02441 124 37 830
38 90535 892 30 853
27 451
29 774 29 415229 125
249 729 246 730
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 Jan-Sep 14
InTonnes
cwe
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Uruguay Argentina Australia USA Other origins
413 002 430 739 445 743
214 573 212 030 220 869
309 835 285 783 275 006
84 368 111 368 134 188
151 016 142 030149 907
1 289 046 1 304 0761 354 863
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 Jan-Sep 14
in 1000EUR
IMPORTS of Beef & Veal into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Uruguay Argentina Australia USA Other origins
20 November 2014
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
E.U. I M P O R T S
B e e f P r o d u c t s
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
2014
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Imports of BEEF products
FRESH FROZEN PREPARED OTHERS20 November 2014
452403
446401
436 429398
491 513 529565
513556
395431
379324 307
249
1 263
1 1711 120
825
1 028
736
598 598
481455
352292
248292
249
487
636
519
328
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Sep13
1000 Tonne
IMPORTS EXPORTS
452403
446401
436 429398
491 513 529565
513556
395431
380323 307
334
247
1 263
1 1711 120
825
1 028
736
598 598
481455
352292
248292
249
473
624
508454
404
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Sep14
1000 Tonne
IMPORTS EXPORTS
Trade balance of beef and live animals
T R A D E T R A D E E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
E.U. T R A D E B A L A N C E
Beef & Live Animals
20 November 2014
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
EXCHANGE RATE INDEX / Euro
Main Trading Partners
EXCHANGE RATE INDEX / Euro
Main Trading Partners
BRL US$
I
Mar-94Apr-94May-94Jun-94
1994 Jul-94 1.21616Aug-94 1.12659Sep-94 1.10281Oct-94 1.05929Nov-94 1.08000Dec-94 1.03347
I Jan-95 1.02803Feb-95 1.06736Mar-95 1.07356Apr-95 1.17287May-95 1.21342Jun-95 1.14041
1995 Jul-95 1.22457Aug-95 1.24742Sep-95 1.20568Oct-95 1.23442Nov-95 1.26013Dec-95 1.25452
I Jan-96 1.23543Feb-96 1.20976Mar-96 1.24358Apr-96 1.24129May-96 1.22590Jun-96 1.21718
1996 Jul-96 1.24052Aug-96 1.27467Sep-96 1.29136Oct-96 1.29280Nov-96 1.29687Dec-96 1.31559
I Jan-97 1.28422Feb-97 1.23507Mar-97 1.20849Apr-97 1.22182May-97 1.20734Jun-97 1.23322
1997 Jul-97 1.22431Aug-97 1.16889Sep-97 1.18276Oct-97 1.21337Nov-97 1.22706Dec-97 1.26593
I Jan-98 1.24100Feb-98 1.24667Mar-98 1.22904Apr-98 1.23548May-98 1.25755Jun-98 1.30075
1998 Jul-98 1.26992Aug-98 1.29350Sep-98 1.29134Oct-98 1.38518Nov-98 1.43182Dec-98 1.38909
I Jan-99 1.42236Feb-99 1.97603Mar-99 2.12876Apr-99 2.00731May-99 1.78831Jun-99 1.80203
1999 Jul-99 1.84597Aug-99 1.90955
20 November 2014
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 |
Index of monthly exchange rates of the main trading partners compared to the €uro
notification on the 1st of the monthJanuary 2008 = 100
Real US$ Ruble AUS$ CDN$
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
E.U. I M P O R T S
BEEF MAIN IMPORTERS
E.U. I M P O R T S
BEEF MAIN IMPORTERS
Source : GTA * Excluding live animals (0102), fats, preparations of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
Chi
na +
H. K
ong
Chi
na +
H. K
ong
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Japa
n
Japa
n
Mex
ico
(up
to A
ug)
Mex
ico
(up
to A
ug)
Sout
h K
orea
Sout
h K
orea
EU
EU
Can
ada
Can
ada
Rus
sia
(up
to A
pr)
Rus
sia
(up
to A
pr)
Chi
le
Chi
le
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2013 (up to September) 2014 (up to September)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
Main Importers of BEEF Products (up to September)
No 2103 figures available for : Mexico, Taiwan, Chile, ...
* Excluding live animals (0102), fats, preparations of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
20 November 2014
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
E.U. E X P O R T S
BEEF MAIN EXPORTERS
E.U. E X P O R T S
BEEF MAIN EXPORTERS
Source : GTA * Excl udi ng l i ve ani mal s (0102) , f ats, preparat i ons of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
Aust
ralia
Aust
ralia
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Indi
a (u
p to
Aug
)
Indi
a (u
p to
Aug
)
New
Zea
land
New
Zea
land
Can
ada
Can
ada
EU
EU
Uru
guay
(up
to A
ug)
Uru
guay
(up
to A
ug)
Para
guay
Para
guay
Arge
ntin
a
Arge
ntin
a
Chi
na +
H. K
ong
Chi
na +
H. K
ong
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2013 (up to September) 2014 (up to September)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
Main Exporters of BEEF Products (up to September)
* Excluding live animals (0102), fats, preparations of several types of meat (0209, 0210 99 and 1602 90)
20 November 2014
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
STEER PRICES
US & EU
STEER PRICES
US & EU
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
weekly US & EU Steer prices in €uro/100kg carcase
Steers 550-700lb Omaha (Nebraska) Feeder Steer 600-700lb Oklahoma CityEU Beef C R3 Steers 1050 - 1200lb Okla/ TexCanada: All Steers (agr,gc,ca) Australia: All SteersNew Zeal. Avg steers T2 NI & SI
20 November 2014
W O R L DB E E F M A R K E TW O R L DB E E F M A R K E T
ADULT MALE BOVINE PRICES
Brazil Argentina Uruguay EU
ADULT MALE BOVINE PRICES
Brazil Argentina Uruguay EU
20 November 2014
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| Year2009
| Year2010
| Year2011
| Year2012
| Year2013
| Year2014
|
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Market prices for Adult Male Bovine in Brazil (Pecuaria.com.br), Argentina (abc Consort), USA and EU
EU Beef A/C R3 AVG Arroba do Boi (6 St) (Pecuària.com.br)
US Beef Omaha Carc (USDA) (abc-consort) Argentina Novillo
High Quality BeefImport QuotasHigh Quality BeefImport Quotas
20 November 2014
Hilton Quota Regulation (EU) N° 593/2013
Use Use Use
09.4001 Australia 2 250 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%09.4004 Argentina 200 33.57 16.8% 15.71 7.9% 2.24 1.1%09.4450 Argentina 30 000 24 336.10 81.1% 23 663.86 78.9% 8 461.80 28.2%09.4451 Australia 7 150 6 441.07 90.1% 7 138.89 99.8% 3 458.92 48.4%09.4452 Uruguay 6 300 6 289.20 99.8% 6 278.75 99.7% 2 105.22 33.4%09.4453 Brazil 10 000 2 977.93 29.8% 4 078.92 40.8% 3 281.65 32.8%09.4454 New Zealand 1 300 1 281.13 98.5% 1 299.61 100.0% 379.47 29.2%09.4002 Canada/US 11 500 432.44 3.8% 431.80 3.8% 212.96 1.9%09.4455 Paraguay 1 000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total Beef 67 250 41 757.87 62.1% 42 891.83 63.8% 17 900.02 26.6%Total Buffalo 2 450 33.57 1.4% 15.71 0.6% 2.24 0.1%Total 69 700 41 791.44 60.0% 42 907.54 61.6% 17 902.26 25.7%
* up to 31/10/2014
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015*Quantity allocated
(Tons)
High Quality BeefImport QuotasHigh Quality BeefImport Quotas
20 November 2014
Quota ergaomnes Regulation (EU) No 481/2012
2012-Q3 2012-Q4 2013-Q1 2013-Q2 TOTALGatt 2012-2013 7 008 604 8 614 987 7 889 192 8 810 806 32 323 589 Available 9 825 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 45 975 000 Use 71.3% 71.5% 65.5% 73.1% 70.3%
2013-Q3 2013-Q4 2014-Q1 2014-Q2 TOTALGatt 2013-2014 10 190 908 10 493 437 10 349 842 10 304 157 41 338 344 Available 12 050 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 48 200 000 Use 84.6% 87.1% 85.9% 85.5% 85.8%
2014-Q3 2014-Q4 2015-Q1 2015-Q2 TOTALGatt 2014-2015* 11 811 589 6 350 248 - - 18 161 836 Available 12 050 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 12 050 000 48 200 000 Use 98.0% 52.7% 0.0% 0.0% 37.7%* Until 14/11/2014
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
-
2 000 000
4 000 000
6 000 000
8 000 000
10 000 000
12 000 000
14 000 000
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Gatt 2012-2013 Gatt 2013-2014 Gatt 2014-2015*
Forecast SummaryForecast Summary
20 November 2014
2012 2013 2014 2015
BALANCE - 340 - 434 - 169 - 171
EU - CARCASS PRICES 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sources : EStat New Cronos, Member States
- 0.71%
- 0.66%
( 1000T )
EU.15 PRODUCTION
( 1000T )
EU.15 CONSUMPTION
311.6+ 0.63%
6 655
313.6
395.8
7 089
( €/100 kg )
- 2.39%- 1.82%7 263
+ 2.13%387.6
+ 10.8%
- 3.87%6 923
- 4.06%
( €/100 kg )
ADULT MALE BOVINES
COWS
6 890
7 059
379.8
292.9
+ 3.53%
- 0.43%
- 4.04%
- 6.59%+ 15.8%
+ 0.53%
- 3.24%
381.9
283.4
6 841
7 012