beirut, 7-10 december 2009 neda jafar statistics division escwa workshop on mdg monitoring...
DESCRIPTION
“Not everything that can be counted counts; and not everything that counts can be counted.” —ALBERT EINSTEINTRANSCRIPT
Beirut, 7-10 December 2009
Neda JafarStatistics Division
ESCWA
Workshop on MDG Monitoring"Assessment of Data
Availability"
Availability of data
Discrepancy of data
ESCWA strategy Part I – current activitiesPart II – future plans
“Not everything that can be counted counts; and not
everything that counts can be counted.”
—ALBERT EINSTEIN
Finding - 1Major differences exist in the data availability
reported by the two sources.
The greater the difference in data availability reported, the higher the possibility of major shortcomings in the reporting mechanism between them
Regional average for national available data: 29 %
Regional average at UNSD database : 16 %UNSD therefore disseminates little more than half
the data reported in national sources
Data availability: national vs. UNSD
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Bahrain
Egyp
tIra
q Jordan
Kuwait
LebanonOman
Palestine
Qatar
Saudi
ArabiaSyr
ian
Arab
Republic
United
Arab
Emira
tes
Yemen
National data available
UNSD data available
Finding - 2 national data not reported in UNSD db(37 % - 78%)
0%
10%
20%
30 %
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Bahrain EgyptIraq Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Oman
PalestineQatar
Saudi
Arabia
Syrian
Arab
Republic
United
Arab
Emirates
Yemen
Finding – 3UNSD available data not found in national db(3%-53%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Bahrain
Egyp
t Iraq
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Oman
Palesti
neQata
rSa
udi
Arabia Sy
rian
Arab
RepublicUnite
d
Arab
Emirates
Yemen
Finding – 4National disaggregated data available and not reported in UNSD database
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Bahrai
n
Egypt Ira
qJo
rdan
Kuwait
Leba
non
Oman
Palesti
ne
Qatar
Saudi
Arabia
Syrian
Arab
Repub
lic United
Arab
Emirates
Yemen
Finding - 5Discrepancy in data value emanates from one
or more components related to metadata :Definitionmethod of calculationtargeted population and subpopulationsources of dataestimation methods.
18 % exact match39 % consistent in value (+ or – 10 per cent)44 % discrepant
Available data points for national and UNSD
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Bahrain
Egypt Iraq
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Oman
Palestine
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
SyrianArabRepublic
UnitedArabEmirates
Yemen
Exact Consistent Discrepant
8th SC PROPOSALS FOR IMPROVEMENT
@ national level: - Review current methodologies- Organize workshops- Publish metadata (handbooks and guidelines)- Carry out the required surveys and censuses - Improve administrative registers- Compile disaggregated and gender sensitive
indicators- Develop a central repository and making it
user-accessible- Publish new MDGR
@ regional level: - Identify regional priorities to improve MDG
production & analysis - Propose future courses of action- technical
cooperation and statistical capacity-building;- Develop and maintain a regional central
database derived from national databases - Monitor availability, track progress and plan
capacity-building activities in focused statistical areas;
- Discuss mechanisms available to agencies for gathering data from countries, their methods of compilation of international data series and imputations
- Identify ways to improve compilation of regional data series by improving reporting mechanisms from national statistical systems to international agencies;
- Compile, review and make recommendations to improve national metadata
ESCWA Strategy – Part IActivities: Compile data series for MDG Indicators Compile sources of data Consistency checks Quality checks Review data series with NSO Capacity building workshops
DevInfo workshops: users, administrators and trainers
MDG monitoring workshops Handbook on MDG Indicators - Arabic Review national DevInfo databases
StructureContentMetadata
Technical advisory services
Common mistakesCO2 emissions per capita
Countries provide data in Kg per capita, while it should be reported in ton per capita.
Ex. 0.629 ton per capita
CO2 emissions are calculated only in tons when it is calculated per capita,in Kg only when calculated per 1$ GDP (PPP)in metric tons when its calculated alone
The Carbon dioxide emissions are calculated by dividing carbon dioxide emissions by the number of people in the national population.
Outputs:
Repositories of national MDG datasetsNational DevInfoRegional DevInfoNational MDG Handbooks (metadata)ADITT – Arab DevInfo (DI) Training
Team
Current Status: Data availability since 2005
ICT indicators
The source of data is important to check whether the methodology is sound, for instance the number ofsubscribers for the below indicators should be obtained from administrative records compiled by national regulatory authorities or telecommunication operators: 8.14. Telephone lines per 100 population8.15. Cellular subscribers per 100 population While the below indicator can be based on user surveys.8.16. Internet users per 100 population
The share of women wage employment in non agriculture sector
Countries mistakenly assume that all the women wage employment are 100%
and calculate accordingly the proportion of them who work in non-agricultural sectors, the result is a high percentage.
It is the share of women from total number of persons in paid employment in the non-agricultural sector
Incidence rates associated with malaria Incidence rate should be reported and not the
number of cases
Death rates associated with tuberculosis Death rate should be reported and not the
number of death cases associated with TB
Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected under directly observed treatment short course
Indicator 6.10A and 6.10B should be provided as separate indicators cured under dotsdetected under dots
http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/mdg/Metadata.aspx
MDG
Activities:Tailoring MDGs at national and regional
levelsLinking to strategiesCustomizing MDGsLocalizing MDGS
Capacity buildingWorkshop(s) on MDG+Workshops on analysis and presentations
ESCWA Strategy – Part II
Outputs:
Extended list of development indicators (Sub) Regional Handbook on MDG+
IndicatorsRepositories of national development
indicatorsNational DevInfo +Regional DevInfo +NMDG+ Reports
Thank you