best practices for exporting digital books

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BRIAN F. O’LEARY MAGELLAN MEDIA CONSULTING PARTNERS ASSOCIATION OF CANADIAN PUBLISHERS ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING JUNE 13, 2011 Best practices for exporting digital books

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Presentation given at the Association of Canadian Publishers annual general meeting (professional development day). Provides an overview of a research paper written for and published by Livres Canada Books.

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Page 1: Best practices for exporting digital books

BRIAN F. O ’LEARY

MAGELLAN MEDIA CONSULTING PARTNERS

ASSOCIATION OF CANADIAN PUBLISHERS

ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

JUNE 13 , 2011

Best practices for exporting digital books

Page 2: Best practices for exporting digital books

Overview of today’s talk

BackgroundGoalsPrimary findingsMarket intelligenceOptions for international rightsRecommendations

Page 3: Best practices for exporting digital books

Background

LCB missionImpact of new technologies(Widely) different market profilesPrepare ‘now’

Page 4: Best practices for exporting digital books

Research goals

Market intelligenceOptions to maintain, sell or license rightsRecommendations to maximize digital incomeProvide an annex of resources

Page 5: Best practices for exporting digital books

Primary findings: content

U.S. leads the waySignificant expansion expected in U.K.,

FranceEmerging: Spain, Germany, NetherlandsRegional rights sales a challenge

Page 6: Best practices for exporting digital books

Primary findings: technologies

Content forms are evolvingDedicated eReaders and multifunction

devicesTablets may supplant other devices for

reading

Page 7: Best practices for exporting digital books

Market intelligence

WorldwideU.S.U.K.FranceNew and emerging markets

Page 8: Best practices for exporting digital books

Worldwide trends

$4.6 Billion (2009), largely U.S.Education, trade, professional marketsSpecial-interest salesBroader, pan-market issues

Evolving value chain Workflow VAT policies Impact of piracy

Page 9: Best practices for exporting digital books

Qualifying potential markets

Affordable, attractive eReading devicesWide range of contentPerceived price competitivenessEasy interfaces

Page 10: Best practices for exporting digital books

Market share by sales channel (U.S.)

24%

23%

22%

14%

10%

7%

OtherOnlineLarge chainBook clubsMass marketIndependent

Source: Barclays Capital (2010)

Page 11: Best practices for exporting digital books

Growth in digital book share (U.S.)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Barclays Capital PwC

Page 12: Best practices for exporting digital books

Current profile: United States

Online, chain dominanceDigital content availabilityMultiple platformsAgency pricingVertical storesDiscovery starts with content

Page 13: Best practices for exporting digital books

Market share by sales channel (U.K.)

37%

22%

18%

14%

7%

2%

IndependentsDistributorsSchoolsBookstore chainsSupermarketsOthers

Source: Barclays Capital (2010)

Page 14: Best practices for exporting digital books

Growth in digital book share (U.K.)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

Barclays Capital PwC

Page 15: Best practices for exporting digital books

Current profile: United Kingdom

Independents still prevalentOnline sales underdevelopedConcerns about market size, rightsLess optimistic about agency pricingConsumption profile parallels the U.S. in

2008

Page 16: Best practices for exporting digital books

Market share by sales channel (France)

37%

15%15%

12%

11%

10%

ChainsSupermarketsOnlineDirect mailOther shopIndependent

Source: Barclays Capital (2010)

Page 17: Best practices for exporting digital books

Growth in digital book share (France)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

PwC

Page 18: Best practices for exporting digital books

Current profile: France

Chains and supermarketseBook market just developingThree digital platformsUniform pricingPotentially younger market

Page 19: Best practices for exporting digital books

Growth in digital book share (emerging markets)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

Spain (1) Germany (2) Netherlands (2)

1Barclays Capital estimates; 2PriceWaterhouseCoopers estimates

Page 20: Best practices for exporting digital books

Current profile: Emerging markets

Spain, Germany, NetherlandsGenerally not Canadian publishing targetsPotential growth: India, AustraliaPlatform competition a signalWorth watching all of these markets

Page 21: Best practices for exporting digital books

International rights: current models

Sell rights by territory or languageRetain rights, sell through aggregatorsRetain rights, sell direct

Sources: Magellan analysis

Page 22: Best practices for exporting digital books

Selling rights by territory or language

“Traditional” modelRegion, country or languageTypically takes time to negotiateWith digital, a lag can cause frustrationSome (small) markets may be missed

Page 23: Best practices for exporting digital books

Making digital work with the traditional model

Broader negotiations, concluded more quickly

Partner with publishers that can offer both print and eBook distribution

Test eBook-only in smaller markets

Page 24: Best practices for exporting digital books

Selling digital and print rights separately

May affect willingness of local partners to buy or promote a print title

Can work with international aggregators (Kobo, Apple, Google)

Can also work with local aggregators (complex arrangements; may be publisher-specific)

Page 25: Best practices for exporting digital books

Retaining digital rights and selling direct

Improved margins; publisher controls pricingDirect selling can provide insightChallenges: discoverability and accessNeed content depth or focusCan try “verticals”, consortia

Page 26: Best practices for exporting digital books

Emerging models

Lending (consumers, libraries)SubscriptionConsortia“Netflix”-likeDigital-only or digital-first

Page 27: Best practices for exporting digital books

Preparing for new digital models

Be sure that rights are well-tracked and up to date

Know where your files are (ideally, in-house)Align your metadata with partner

requirementsIf you want to sell content components, plan

aheadThink globally

Page 28: Best practices for exporting digital books

Recommendations: Getting started

EPUBSimple before enhancedIf enhanced, think platform

Page 29: Best practices for exporting digital books

Recommendations: Going global

Direct sales? Devices and markets are complex

Partners can helpIf geographically focused, you can chooseWorldwide rights gaining in value

Page 30: Best practices for exporting digital books

Recommendations: Internal assessments

Subscription and component salesCost containment and agile contentPiracy can point out demandKeep up with VATBuy and use eReaders

Page 31: Best practices for exporting digital books

Digital penetration in selected markets

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

US - 1US - 2UK -1UK - 2

Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis

Page 32: Best practices for exporting digital books

Digital penetration in selected markets

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

FranceSpainGermanyNetherlands

Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis

Page 33: Best practices for exporting digital books

Additional resources

Livres Canada Books, “Exporting digital books: A guide to best practices”

Barclays Capital, “eBooks – Digital positive for once?”, 17 Sep 2010

Outsell, “Worldwide eBooks market size and forecast report”, 21 Jun 2010

PwC, “Turning the page: The future of eBooks”, 2010

[email protected]