bhushan steel, 1q fy 2014

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  • 7/27/2019 Bhushan Steel, 1Q FY 2014

    1/13

    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Quarterly performance (Standalone)Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) 4QFY13 % chg (qoq)Net sales 2,374 2,747 (13.6) 2,694 (12)EBITDA 737 862 (14.5) 922 (20)

    % margin 31.1 31.4 (33)bp 34.2 (315)bp

    Adj. PAT 76 206 (63.0) 280 (73)Source: Company, Angel Research

    For 1QFY2014, Bhushan Steel (Bhushan) reported a decline in its top-line as well

    as bottom-line due to lower volumes and higher costs. Werecommend a Reducerating on the stock.Net sales falls 13.6% yoy: During 1QFY2014, Bhushans net sales declined by13.6% yoy to `2,374cr mainly on account of lower volumes which although were

    partially offset by higher realisations. Flat products sales volumes decreased by

    13.0% yoy to 438,547 tonne, whereas long products sales volumes declined by

    21.0% yoy to 77,950 tonne in 1QFY2014. Nevertheless, average gross

    realizations increased marginally by 2.0% yoy to `52,873/tonne.

    Higher depreciation and interest costs hit bottom-line: The EBITDA decreased by14.5% yoy to `737cr mirroring the fall in net sales. EBITDA/tonne stood at

    `14,276 in 1QFY2014 compared to `14,342 in 1QFY2013 and `14,668 in

    4QFY2013. Depreciation expense increased 13.3% yoy to `234cr on account ofincreased capacity. Interest expenses also increased 6.6% yoy to `403cr due

    to increase in debt. Consequently, the net profit declined by 63.0% yoy to `76cr.

    Outlook and valuation: Bhushan has nearly doubled its steel capacity over thepast five years. We expect the benefits of its phase III expansion to be witnessed

    during FY2014-15 with strong volume growth. However, we remain concerned

    over its high leverage (2.5x for FY2014E and 2.3x for FY2015E). Further, at the

    current market price, the stock is trading at 9.1x FY2014E and 6.7x FY2015E

    EV/EBITDA, ie at a significant premium over its peers. Valuing the stock at 6.5xFY2015 EV/ EBITDA, we derive a target price of `419 and recommend a Reducerating on the stock.Key financials (Standalone)

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015ENet sales 9,623 10,306 12,640 15,667% chg 42.2 7.1 22.7 23.9

    Net profit 1,024 909 549 819% chg 1.8 (11.2) (39.5) 49.0

    EPS (`) 47.8 42.8 25.9 38.6OPM (%) 31.2 32.2 28.5 31.5

    P/E (x) 9.5 10.7 17.7 11.9

    P/BV (x) 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0

    RoE (%) 15.4 11.2 6.1 8.5RoCE (%) 8.7 7.4 6.6 8.9

    EV/Sales (x) 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.1

    EV/EBITDA (x) 10.1 9.5 9.1 6.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research: Note: CMP as of August 14, 2013

    REDUCECMP `459

    Target Price `419

    Investment Period -

    Stock Info

    Sector

    20,687

    Bloomberg Code BHUS@IN

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 70.7

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 2.8

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 1.8Indian Public / Others 24.7

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex (4.5) 9.2 6.6

    BSL (1.0) (0.8) 45.0

    Face Value (`)

    BSE Sensex

    Nifty

    Reuters Code

    Steel

    Avg. Daily Volume

    Market Cap (` cr)

    Beta

    52 Week High / Low

    Net Debt (` cr)

    2

    19,368

    5,742

    BSSL.BO

    10,405

    0.7

    506/421

    79,347

    Bhavesh ChauhanTel: 022- 3935 7800 Ext: [email protected]

    Vinay RachhTel: 022- 39357600 Ext: 6841

    [email protected]

    Bhushan SteelPerformance Highlights

    1QFY2014 Result Update | Steel

    August 16, 2013

  • 7/27/2019 Bhushan Steel, 1Q FY 2014

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 2

    Exhibit 1:1QFY2014 performance (Standalone)Y/E March (` cr) 1QFY14 1QFY13 yoy % 4QFY13 qoq % FY2013 FY2012 yoy %Net sales 2,374 2,747 (13.6) 2,694 (11.9) 10,306 9,623 7.1Raw material 1,335 1,547 (13.7) 1,467 (9.0) 5,774 5,441 6.1% of net sales 56.2 56.3 54.5 56.0 56.5

    Staff cost 44 43 3.2 43 2.5 173 144 20.5

    % of net sales 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5

    Other expenditure 374 389 (3.8) 387 (3.3) 1,482 1,352 (71.3)

    % of net sales 15.8 14.2 14.4 14.4 14.0

    Total expenditure 1,754 1,979 (11.4) 1,898 (7.6) 7,429 6,937 7.1

    % of net sales 73.9 72.0 70.4 72.1 72.1

    Operating profit 621 768 (19.2) 796 (22.0) 2,877 2,686 7.1OPM(%) 26.1 28.0 29.6 27.9 27.9

    Other operating income 117 94 24.0 125 (7.1) 438 318 (60.6)

    EBITDA 737 862 (14.5) 922 (20.0) 3,315 3,004 10.3EBITDA margins (%) 31.1 31.4 34.2 32.2 31.2

    Interest 403 378 6.6 335 20.2 1,287 1,046 23.1

    Depreciation 234 207 13.3 210 11.3 831 620 34.0

    Other income 3 5 (28.2) 6 (40.9) 17 27 (36.7)

    Exceptional items - - - - -

    Profit before tax 104 282 (63.2) 382 (72.7) 1,214 1,365 (11.1)% of net sales 4.4 10.3 14.2 11.8 14.2

    Tax 28 76 (63.5) 102 (72.7) 349 305 14.3

    % of PBT 26.7 27.0 26.6 28.7 22.3

    Profit after tax 76 206 (63.0) 280 (72.8) 909 1,024 (11.2)Adjusted PAT 76 206 (63.0) 280 (72.8) 909 1,024 (11.2)

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:Quarterly production trend (Gross)(tonne) 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 yoy % qoq %Flat products 843,488 892,877 893,567 819,571 832,528 1,143,097 956,838 7 (16)Cold rolled steel 319,080 346,596 345,492 325,049 331,386 415,689 369,907 7 (11)

    Galvanized steel 156,166 165,217 161,521 160,843 171,734 185,312 186,084 15 0

    H&T 3,255 3,383 3,080 3,289 3,310 3,292 3,126 1 (5)

    HTSS 2,364 2,725 3,008 3,062 2,926 2,823 3,211 7 14

    Colour coating 29,897 38,084 41,844 43,985 38,318 48,283 43,241 3 (10)

    Hot rolled steel 323,487 326,886 334,241 279,967 284,854 487,698 351,269 5 (28)

    Long products 93,105 102,400 93,542 78,772 82,690 80,123 70,648 (24) (12)Billets 48,734 57,443 48,797 35,601 38,476 36,616 28,118 (42) (23)

    Sponge iron - - - - - - -

    Wire rods - - - - - - -

    Tube and shutters 44,371 44,957 44,745 43,171 44,214 43,507 42,530 (5) (2)

    Formed sections - - - - - - -

    Total production 936,593 995,276 987,109 898,343 915,218 1,223,220 1,027,486 4 (16)Source: Company, Angel Research

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 3

    Exhibit 3:Quarterly sales volume trend (net)(tonnes) 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 yoy % qoq %Flat products 432,729 532,422 502,091 456,774 482,949 548,717 438,547 (13) (20)Cold rolled steel 120,398 140,313 126,145 124,508 127,778 156,315 142,320 13 (9)Galvanized steel 109,511 138,350 122,351 107,834 123,409 137,268 145,520 19 6

    H&T 3,170 3,506 2,994 3,068 3,458 3,266 3,228 8 (1)

    HTSS 2,143 2,798 2,559 2,552 2,464 2,482 2,287 (11) (8)

    Colour coating 29,752 36,979 41,588 42,283 37,034 45,711 44,441 7 (3)

    Hot rolled steel 164,859 202,928 201,246 172,206 188,806 203,675 100,751 (50) (51)

    Long products 83,009 87,646 99,128 85,260 75,702 79,617 77,950 (21) (2)Billets 40,662 43,301 56,069 43,376 34,976 36,947 37,017 (34) 0

    Sponge iron - - - - - - -

    Wire rods - - - - - - -

    Tube and shutters 42,347 44,345 43,059 41,884 40,726 42,670 40,933 (5) (4)

    Formed sections - - - - - - -

    Total sales volume 515,738 620,068 601,219 542,034 558,651 628,334 516,497 (14) (18)Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 4:Quarterly realization trend (Gross)(`/tonne) 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 yoy % qoq %Flat products 49,122 48,158 50,604 49,782 46,783 46,779 49,889 (1) 7Cold Rolled Steel 49,130 50,517 51,834 51,274 49,007 48,084 47,812 (8) (1)

    Galvanized Steel 55,764 51,681 56,822 54,460 50,969 50,936 53,279 (6) 5

    H&T 95,086 87,251 94,322 93,763 95,431 90,141 92,918 (1) 3HTSS 62,566 60,482 65,891 65,931 66,558 69,560 70,425 7 1

    Colour Coating 66,696 64,494 67,366 66,729 63,509 63,645 63,751 (5) 0

    Hot rolled steel 39,690 40,457 41,841 40,590 38,113 38,217 39,967 (4) 5

    Long products 47,213 50,604 48,987 49,238 49,034 46,779 47,711 (3) 2Billets 38,835 41,469 42,342 41,427 41,228 39,385 39,379 (7) (0)

    Sponge Iron - - - - - - -

    Wire Rods - - - - - - -

    Tube and Shutters 55,258 55,436 57,646 57,331 55,738 54,604 55,245 (4) 1

    Formed Sections - - - - - - -

    Avg. gross realization 50,514 49,811 52,001 51,768 49,689 49,202 52,873 2 7Source: Company, Angel Research

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 4

    Result highlights

    Net sales decline 13.6% yoy

    During 1QFY2014, Bhushans net sales declined by 13.6% yoy to `2,374cr mainlyon account of lower volumes which although were partially offset by higher

    realisations. Flat products sales volumes decreased by 13.0% yoy to 438,547

    tonne, whereas long products sales volumes declined by 21.0% yoy to 77,950

    tonne in 1QFY2014. Nevertheless, average gross realizations increased

    marginally by 2.0% yoy to `52,873/tonne.

    Exhibit 5:Net sales down 13.6% yoy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    EBITDA down 14.5% yoy on higher other operating income

    The EBITDA decreased by 14.5% yoy to `737cr mirroring the fall in net sales.

    EBITDA/tonne stood at `14,276 in 1QFY2014 compared to `14,342 in

    1QFY2013 and `14,668 in 4QFY2013.

    Exhibit 6:EBITDA margin stood at 31.1%

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:EBITDA/tonne falls yoy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    2,318

    2,743 2,747

    2,4462,405

    2,694

    2,374

    (20)

    (10)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    2,600

    2,800

    3,000

    3 QFY1 2 4 QFY12 1Q FY1 3 2 QFY1 3 3 QFY1 3 4 QF Y13 1Q FY1 4

    (%)

    (`cr)

    Net sales yoy change (RHS)

    724

    898862

    749 782

    922

    737

    28

    29

    30

    31

    32

    33

    34

    35

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    (%)

    (`c

    r)

    EBITDA EBITDA margin (RHS)

    14,039

    14,475

    14,342

    13,825

    13,994

    14,668

    14,276

    13,400

    13,600

    13,800

    14,000

    14,200

    14,400

    14,600

    14,800

    3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    (`/tonne)

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 5

    Net profit falls 63.0% yoy

    Depreciation expense increased 13.3% yoy to `234cr on account of increased

    capacity. Interest expenses also increased 6.6% yoy to `403cr due to increase in

    debt. Consequently, the reported net profit decreased by 63.0% yoy to `76cr.

    Exhibit 8:Net profit stood at `76cr

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    277 331 206 202 221 280 76

    11.912.1

    7.5 8.29.2

    10.4

    3.2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    (%)

    (`

    cr)

    PAT PAT margin (RHS)

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 6

    Investment rationale

    Volume growth sweetened by increase in EBITDA/tonne

    With the commissioning of Bhushans Phase-III expansion plan, we expect the

    companys sales volume to grow by 24.2% in FY2014 and 20.5% in FY2015,

    much higher than its peers. Despite the company not being integrated, the cost of

    production is expected to be low due to a) combination of BF-EAF technology to

    produce steel and b) lower conversion costs. The usage of BF-EAF technology will

    result in lower coal costs.

    Exhibit 9: EV/EBITDA band

    Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

    Debt equity ratio at uncomfortable level for a non-integrated

    commodity producer

    On the back of massive expansion plans, the companys debt equity ratio is

    expected to remain high at 2.5x and 2.3x for FY2014E and FY2015E, respectively.

    This exposes the company to huge financial risk in case of a sharp decline in steel

    prices.

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E

    (%)

    (mntonnes)

    Sales Volume (LHS) Volume growth (RHS)

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 7

    Outlook and valuation

    Bhushan has nearly doubled its steel capacity over the past five years. We expect

    the benefits of its phase III expansion to be witnessed during FY2014-15 with

    strong volume growth. However, we remain concerned over its high leverage (2.5x

    for FY2014E and 2.3x for FY2015E). Further, at the current market price, the stock

    is trading at 9.1x FY2014E and 6.7x FY2015E EV/EBITDA, ie at a significant

    premium over its peers. Valuing the stock at 6.5x FY2015 EV/ EBITDA, we derive atarget price of `419 and recommend a Reduce rating on the stock.Exhibit 10: EPS Angel forecast vs. consensus

    Year (`) Angel forecast Bloomberg consensus Variation (%)FY2014E 25.9 49.2 (47.5)

    FY2015E 38.6 64.5 (40.2)

    Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11: EV/EBITDA band

    Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

    Exhibit 12: P/E band

    Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    Feb-0

    8

    Aug-0

    8

    Feb-0

    9

    Aug-0

    9

    Feb-1

    0

    Aug-1

    0

    Feb-1

    1

    Aug-1

    1

    Feb-1

    2

    Aug-1

    2

    Feb-1

    3

    Aug-1

    3

    (`

    cr)

    2x 5x 8x 11x 14x

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Feb-0

    8

    Aug-0

    8

    Feb-0

    9

    Aug-0

    9

    Feb-1

    0

    Aug-1

    0

    Feb-1

    1

    Aug-1

    1

    Feb-1

    2

    Aug-1

    2

    Feb-1

    3

    Aug-1

    3

    (`)

    5x 8x 10x 12x

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 8

    Exhibit 13: P/BV band

    Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

    Exhibit 14: Recommendation summary

    Companies CMP Target Reco. Mcap Upside P/E (x) P/BV (x) EV/EBITDA (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%)(`) Price (`) (` cr) (%) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E

    SAIL 44 - Neutral 18,007 - 8.3 6.5 0.4 0.4 6.3 4.7 5.2 6.5 4.7 6.6

    Tata Steel 250 313 Buy 24,260 25 6.5 4.8 0.6 0.6 4.6 4.1 10.4 12.9 9.1 10.6

    JSW Steel 534 - Neutral 12,911 - 8.5 7.1 0.7 0.7 5.1 4.7 8.5 9.6 8.5 9.0

    Bhushan 459 419 Reduce 10,405 (9) 17.7 11.9 1.0 1.0 9.1 6.7 6.1 8.5 6.6 8.9Source: Company, Angel Research

    Company BackgroundIncorporated in January 1983, Bhushan Steel is Indias third largest secondary

    steel producing company with an existing steel production capacity of 2.2mn

    tonne. The company is the largest auto-grade steel-maker in India and specializes

    in manufacturing value-added flat products. It has three manufacturing units in the

    states of Uttar Pradesh (Sahibabad Unit), Maharashtra (Khopoli unit), and Orissa

    (Meramandali unit) in India and has a sales network across many countries.

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    Apr-08

    Dec-0

    8

    Aug-0

    9

    Apr-10

    Dec-1

    0

    Aug-1

    1

    Apr-12

    Dec-1

    2

    Aug-1

    3

    (`)

    0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 9

    Profit & loss statement (Standalone)

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014E FY2015EGross sales 6,003 7,332 10,455 11,336 14,045 16,937Less: Excise duty (363) (563) (831) (1,030) (1,404) (1,270)Net sales 5,640 6,769 9,623 10,306 12,640 15,667Other operating income 0 232 318 438 460 483

    Total operating income 5,640 7,000 9,941 10,744 13,101 16,150% chg 13.8 24.1 42.0 8.1 21.9 23.3

    Total expenditure 4,188 4,970 6,937 7,429 9,495 11,221

    Net raw materials 3,535 3,767 5,441 5,774 6,644 7,673

    Other mfg costs 569 1,080 1,352 1,482 2,617 3,256

    Personnel 84 123 144 173 234 293

    EBITDA 1,453 2,030 3,004 3,315 3,606 4,929% chg 41.1 39.8 48.0 10.3 8.8 36.7

    (% of Net sales) 25.8 30.0 31.2 32.2 28.5 31.5

    Depreciation 209 278 620 831 1,122 1,458

    EBIT 1,244 1,753 2,384 2,484 2,484 3,471% chg 56.5 40.9 36.0 4.2 0.0 39.7

    (% of Net sales) 22.0 25.9 24.8 24.1 19.7 22.2

    Interest charges 210 446 1,046 1,287 1,777 2,399

    Other income 118 70 27 17 25 19

    (% of PBT) 10.2 5.1 2.0 1.4 3.4 1.8

    Share in profit of asso. - - - - - -

    Recurring PBT 1,151 1,376 1,365 1,214 733 1,092% chg 105.3 19.5 (0.7) (11.1) (39.7) 49.0

    Extra. Inc/(Expense) - - - - - -

    PBT (reported) 1,151 1,376 1,365 1,214 733 1,092Tax 306 371 342 305 183 273

    (% of PBT) 26.5 26.9 25.0 25.1 25.0 25.0

    PAT (reported) 846 1,005 1,024 909 549 819Add: Earnings of asso. - - - - - -

    Less: Minority interest - - - - - -

    Extra. Expense/(Inc.) - - - - - -

    PAT after MI (reported) 846 1,005 1,024 909 549 819ADJ. PAT 846 1,005 1,024 909 549 819% chg 100.8 18.8 1.8 (11.2) (39.5) 49.0

    (% of Net sales) 15.0 14.8 10.6 8.8 4.3 5.2

    Basic EPS (`) 39.8 47.3 47.8 42.8 25.9 38.6Fully Diluted EPS ( ) 39.8 47.3 47.8 42.8 25.9 38.6% chg 100.8 18.8 1.0 (10.5) (39.5) 49.0

  • 7/27/2019 Bhushan Steel, 1Q FY 2014

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 10

    Balance sheet (Standalone)

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015ESOURCES OF FUNDSEquity share capital 42 111 128 135 135 135Reserves & surplus 3,949 5,785 7,268 8,632 9,156 9,950

    Shareholders funds 3,992 5,896 7,396 8,767 9,292 10,086Share warrants - - - - - -

    Minority interest - - - - - -Total loans 11,404 16,561 21,351 24,851 26,851 27,051Other liabilities - LT - 648 1,506 1,506 1,506 1,506Provisions - LT - - - - - -Deferred tax liability 330 698 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039

    Total liabilities 15,725 23,804 31,292 36,163 38,687 39,681APPLICATION OF FUNDSGross block 3,686 14,424 18,203 22,703 28,203 33,203

    Less: Acc. depreciation 1,607 1,858 2,469 3,300 4,422 5,880

    Net Block 2,079 12,566 15,734 19,403 23,781 27,323Capital work-in-progress 11,109 5,325 9,069 7,769 4,269 269

    Goodwill - - - - - -

    Investments 370 179 329 329 329 329Loans and advances - LT - 2,854 2,826 2,826 2,826 2,826

    Other non-current assets - 0.4 19 19 19 19

    Current assets 3,770 4,330 5,473 7,808 9,579 10,422Cash 120 35 335 2,819 3,597 3,583

    Loans & advances 953 644 607 607 607 607

    Other 2,697 3,652 4,532 4,382 5,375 6,232

    Current liabilities 1,604 1,451 2,159 1,992 2,116 1,507Net current assets 2,167 2,879 3,315 5,816 7,462 8,915Mis. exp. not w/off - - - - - -

    Total assets 15,725 23,804 31,292 36,163 38,687 39,681

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    Bhushan Steel | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 16, 2013 11

    Cash flow statement (Standalone)

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015EProfit before tax 1,151 1,376 1,365 1,214 733 1,092

    Depreciation 209 278 620 831 1,122 1,458Change in working capital (953) (825) (164) (17) (868) (1,467)

    Less: Other income 176 494 1,295 - - -

    Direct taxes paid 186 272 264 305 183 273

    Cash flow from operations 397 1,051 2,852 1,722 803 810(Inc.)/ Dec. in fixed assets (2,901) (5,642) (4,658) (3,200) (2,000) (1,000)

    (Inc.)/ Dec. in investments (259) 100 (146) - - -

    (Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and adv. - - - - - -

    Other income 24 24 12 - - -

    Cash flow from investing (3,136) (5,518) (4,792) (3,200) (2,000) (1,000)Issue of equity 700 875 893 474 - -

    Inc./(Dec.) in loans 3,062 5,130 4,041 3,500 2,000 200

    Dividend paid 11 11 30 12 25 25

    Others 1,017 1,612 2,645 - - -

    Cash flow from financing 2,735 4,382 2,259 3,962 1,975 175Inc./(Dec.) in cash (4) (85) 319 2,484 778 (15)

    Opening cash bal. 124 120 35 354 2,819 3,597Closing cash bal. 120 35 354 2,819 3,597 3,583

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    Key ratiosY/E March FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015EValuation ratio (x)P/E (on FDEPS) 11.5 9.7 9.5 10.7 17.7 11.9P/CEPS 9.2 7.6 5.9 5.6 5.8 4.3

    P/BV 2.5 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0

    Dividend yield (%) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2

    EV/Sales 3.7 3.9 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.1

    EV/EBITDA 14.2 12.9 10.1 9.5 9.1 6.7

    EV/Total assets 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8

    Per share data (`)EPS (Basic) 39.8 47.3 48.2 42.8 25.9 38.6

    EPS (fully diluted) 39.8 47.3 48.2 42.8 25.9 38.6

    Cash EPS 49.7 60.4 77.4 81.9 78.7 107.2

    DPS 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0

    Book value 186.2 277.7 348.3 412.8 437.5 474.9

    DuPont analysisEBIT margin 22.0 25.9 24.8 24.1 19.7 22.2

    Tax retention ratio (%) 73.5 73.1 75.0 74.9 75.0 75.0

    Asset turnover (x) 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5

    RoIC (Post-tax) 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.1 5.7 7.6

    Cost of debt (post tax) 1.6 2.3 4.1 4.2 5.2 6.7

    Leverage (x) 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.3

    Operating RoE 22.3 19.3 14.3 10.8 7.0 9.8

    Returns (%)RoCE (Pre-tax) 9.4 8.9 8.7 7.4 6.6 8.9

    Angel RoIC (pre-tax) 34.4 15.7 12.0 10.6 8.9 10.5

    RoE 26.5 20.4 15.4 11.2 6.1 8.5

    Turnover ratios (x)Asset turnover (gross block) 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5

    Inventory (days) 103 138 123 123 123 118

    Receivables (days) 44 33 32 32 32 27

    Payables (days) 80 72 52 52 52 52

    WC cycle (days) 106 132 110 106 99 107

    Solvency ratios (x)Net debt to equity 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.3

    Net debt to EBITDA 7.5 8.1 6.9 6.5 6.4 4.7

    Interest coverage 5.9 3.9 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.4

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