bilal research
TRANSCRIPT
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BY
Bilal Ahmad
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To test the proposition that Gross Domestic Product,
TariffRates adaptability and Inflation rate has a
significant/insignificant relation with Foreign Assistance.
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` Relationship between Foreign Aidand Gross
Domestic Product.
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` Tariffrates
` Dutch Disease (negative consequences in large
increase ofany thing)
` Volatility in consumption andinvestment
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` What will this thesis unleash ?
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` Why has foreign financialassistance hadbecome
amajorvariable to run this country.
` Therefore, foreign aidbecoming the centre of
attention.
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limitations
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1) Ho: To test the Hypothesis that Gross Domestic Product has ansignificant relation with Foreign Aid.
H1: To test the Hypothesis that Gross Domestic Product has not asignificant relation withconsumer Foreign Aid.
2) Ho: To test the Hypothesis that TariffRates have an insignificantrelation with Foreign Aid.
H1: To test the Hypothesis that TariffRates have a significantrelation with Foreign Aid.
3) Ho: To test the Hypothesis that Inflation Rates have aninsignificant relation with Foreign Aid.
H1: To test the Hypothesis that Inflation Rates have a significantrelation with Foreign Aid.
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` My sampling techniques are Convenience samplingand SnowBall Sampling.
` Convenience Sampling: The Sampling procedure used to obtainthose units or people most conveniently available.
` Snow Ball Sampling: A sampling procedure in whichinitialrespondents are selectedby probability methods andadditionalrespondents are obtainedfrom the information providedby theinitial respondents.
` Snow ball sampling techniques is used so that sample size andcosts can be reduced, where as convenience samplingis used
so that large number ofcompleted questionnaires can beobtained quickly and economically.
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Dependent variable: F.AID
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Standard T
Parameter Estimate Error Statistic P-Value
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CONSTANT -3.20046E9 7.71484E8 -4.14845 0.0060
GDP 0.000956376 0.0001775 5.3868 0.0017
INFLATION -3.82561E7 2.19016E7 -1.74672 0.1313
TARIFF 1.08015E7 8.37467E6 1.28979 0.2446-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Analysis of Variance
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Source Sum of Squares Df Mean Square F-Ratio P-Value
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Model 1.89225E18 3 6.3075E17 15.64 0.0031
Residual 2.42005E17 6 4.03342E16-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total (Corr.) 2.13425E18 9
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R-squared = 88.6609 percent
R-squared (adjusted for d.f.) = 82.9914 percent
Standard Error of Est. = 2.00834E8Mean absolute error = 1.18549E8
Durbin-Watson statistic = 1.57117
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` The output shows the results offittingamultiple
linear regression model to describe the
relationship between Foreign Aidand 3
independent variables. The equation of the fittedmodelis
` Foreign AID = -3.20046E9 + 0.000956376*GDP -
3.82561E7*INFLATION + 1.08015E7*TARIFF
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` Foreign Aid with respect to Gross DomesticProduct
` A significant relationship exists between ForeignAid with respect to Gross Domestic Product.The p value is 0.0017 i.e. less than 0.10 whichmeans that there is a significant relation shipbetween the two variables. The t value is0.0001775 whichalso lie in the critical region.
Hence we can say that there is a significantrelationship between these two variables.
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` Foreign aid with respect to INFLATION.
` According to the results of the regression analysis
the p value forcustomer service orientation came
out to be 0.1313 whichis more than 0.10 whichproves the fact true that there is no significant
relationship between consumerforeign aidand
inflation. Then the t value came out to 2.19016
whichalso again show the insignificantrelationship between the two variables.
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Foreign aid with respect to Tariff Rates
According to the multiple regression models the p
value is 0.2446
whichis again more than 0.10 which shows thatthere is no significant relationship between foreign
aidand tariffrates. The t value is also 8.37467
whichagain lie in the rejection region which shows
that there is a negative relationship between thesetwo variables.