biomass futures: biomass role in achieving the climate change & renewables eu policy targets....
TRANSCRIPT
BIOMASS FUTURES:Biomass role in achieving the Climate Change & Renewables EU policy targets. Demand and Supply dynamics under the perspective of stakeholders
EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011
Biomass: a very important component of RES policy & targets BUTClimate change
Demographic changes
Security of supply
Consumers’ attitude
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Questions remain: how can Europe deliver
on the biomass potential sustainably?
what role can biomass play in meeting the RES-D targets?
what will be the demand and how does this interact with supply?
how will sustainability indicators shape the biomass future?
how can policy makers get access to credible, up-to-date info in order to review/ validate biomass shares in NREAPs?
Project Summary
The project aims to quantify the sustainable role biomass can play to meet the RESD targets for 2020.
To do so, the consortium will work through a series of interrelated work packages in order to provide a better understanding of bioenergy demand and supply dynamics, and to what extend and how a sustainable production and use of domestic and imported biomass sources can contribute to EU27 energy needs.
The project will be executed in close collaboration with key stakeholders to identify sustainable options for bioenergy development and deployment to the year 2030, and to increase awareness about the opportunities and the risks, and how these can be addressed.
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June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010
Objectives & main steps The objective of this project is to use modeling frameworks in order
to inform policy with quantitative information on the role biomass can play to meet the RES-D targets for 2020. Main steps are:– Develop linkages to well established models (Admire- REBUS,
BIOTRANS, PRIMES), harmonise data and assumptions and refine spatial resolution
– Quantify demand and supply dynamics through market segmentation (heat, electricity-CHP and transport)
– Provide indicators for indirect land use, air, water, soil and social issues. Quantify their impacts on supply.
– Assess the role biomass can play in meeting the EU policy targets for RES-D at EU27 and MS level.
– Inform and support policy makers at European and national level and generate information for biomass role which will be taken into account in the formation of NAPs.
– Collaborate with stakeholders to monitor their perspectives & views, get their feedback and integrate it to the project outputs/ deliverables.
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June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010
Expected Results – Quantitative scenarios for sustainable demand & supply patterns for
biomass in EU27 with disaggregation at Member state level that will be useful for policy makers to address issues in implementing the Renewable Energy Directive.
– Concise and convincing conclusions and recommendations to stakeholders from the energy and fuels industry, biomass suppliers, and policy makers on the role biomass can play to the heat, electricity-CHP and transport markets demand in EU27 and per Member state.
– Spatially detailed information on biomass availability and costs in the EU27 and Member States, including the key parameters that affect this, and policy measures of influence
– Evaluation and quantification of the impacts that sustainability criteria (as they will be formed by the Commission) plus criteria on indirect land use change, water, air, soil and socials aspects can have on the availability and costs of biomass.
– Interactive communication with market and policy stakeholders to identify the demand and supply aspects required to increase the use of bioenergy and meet the RES-D targets.
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Policy Workshop
how will the very substantial increase in the use of biofuels, bioliquids, solid biomass
and biogas be supplied across Europe simultaneously?
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June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010
Aim of the workshop today
provide attendees with an improved understanding ofthe facts and evidence base:• presenting the nature of the demand set out in the
available NREAPs;• summarising the implications in terms of future EU land
use of expanding biomass demand;• presenting modelling work for the supply of biomass for
energy in EU27 & MS;• considering the sustainability of this supply; and• combining these results with anticipated models
describing the nature of EU energy demand into the future.
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June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010
Future work
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RED NREAPs
Transport
Heat
Electricity
SET Plan/ EIB
EEA
EC
BIOMASS FUTURES
– Share of biomass in heat, electricity/ CHP and transport for EU27 & MS
– Sustainability criteria impact on supply
– Align efforts with DG ENER & EEA
– Provide input Biofuel sustainability scheme and biomass sustainability report
– Provide input to MS for the 2010Progress monitoring of NREAPs
– Continue working alongside withStakeholders to ensure our work provides input to and is communicated/Validated through the key players of the sector and the general public
Website: www.biomassfutures.eu
Thank you!Dr Calliope PanoutsouCentre for Environmental Policy Imperial College [email protected]
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PARTNERS International Systems of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA,
AT) Centre for Renewable Energy Sources (CRES, GR) Oeko- Institut, Institute for Applied Ecology (Oeko, DE) Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN, NL) Alterra b.v. (NL) Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP, UK) Insitute of Communication and Computer Systems/ E3M
Lab (ICCS, GR)