biretail knowledge series 20111125 - manage your stock

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  • 8/3/2019 BIRetail Knowledge Series 20111125 - Manage Your Stock

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    MANAGE YOUR STOCK

    Page No | 0

    t WAYTHE+

    SMARTTO GROW

    WAY

    YOUR

    BUSINESS

    Manage your

    Stock

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    MANAGE YOUR STOCK

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    How much stock do I have?

    Two of the most important measures of the amount of stock held by a retailer are Stock

    Days and Age of Stock. They are often confused and used in place of the other. This

    article will show the correct usage of each measure, the conventional calculation

    method and the BIRetail proprietary method of calculating these measures to give more

    accurate results.

    Age of Stock

    This is, in plain English, a measure of how old the stock is. Sales patterns here are

    irrelevant all that matters is when the stock was bought. Indeed, the calculation of Age

    of Stock does not even require access to sales data.

    Let us consider the following purchase patterns:

    (For these examples, we assume todays date is 1/11/2011 and that our current stock is

    500 units).

    Purchase Pattern 1 Purchase Pattern 2

    01 -01- 2011 200

    01 -02- 2011 200 100

    01 -03- 2011 200

    01 -04- 2011 200 100

    01 -05- 2011 200 100

    01 -06- 2011 200 200

    01 -07- 2011 200 300

    01 -08- 2011 200 200

    01 -09- 2011 200 700

    01 -10- 2011 200 300

    Total 2,000 2,000

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    Conventionally, the age of stock is calculated by looking at the total purchases in a

    period, calculating a purchase per month figure and using that to derive the Age of the

    stock. So, in pattern 1, the purchases were 1,200 units over six months or 200 per

    month. Thus, the age of the stock is 2.5 months (500 units divided by 200 purchased per

    month) roughly 75 days. BIRetail use a more sophisticated algorithm (that is verycomputer intensive) to calculate a more accurate Age of Stock figure. This is done by

    moving backwards through the purchase history till purchase records have been found

    for all currently held stock and then doing a weighted average calculation of the age of

    the stock.

    The results of the Age of Stock calculations can be summarized as follows:

    6 Month Purchase Pattern 1 Purchase Pattern 2

    Conventional Method

    (Calculated exactly)76.7 days 56.9

    BIRetail Method 51.1 days 42.4

    BIRetails calculation is more accurate as it avoids the main problems with the

    conventional method:

    1. There is little or no averaging of results BIRetail considers the most recentdata as the most reliable for future predictions. So, the Age of Stock is calculated

    using the most recent data possible with as little averaging as possible. This is no

    superfluous data used in the BIRetail calculation.

    2. The number of days used to do the averaging calculation in the conventionalmethod is subject to judgment and will produce different results if different time

    periods are used. In the above table, 6 months wasused to do the averaging

    calculation. If however, the averaging was over 3 months, the results would look

    as follows:

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    Under purchase pattern 1 the 3 month conventional calculation gives us the same result

    as the 6 month calculation as there is no variation in the monthly purchase pattern.

    However, the 3 month conventional Age of Stock for pattern 2 is considerably less than

    the corresponding 6m figure as a lot more emphasis is placed in the period over which

    the averaging takes place merely changing the averaging period has had a majorimpact on the result - the results for BIRetail are insensitive to this subjective parameter

    and a lot more accurate.

    3 Month Purchase Pattern 1 Purchase Pattern 2

    Conventional Method

    (Calculated exactly)76.7 days 38.3

    BIRetail Method 51.1 days 42.4

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    Stock Days

    This is a measure of how long it will take to sell the current stock. In this calculation,

    purchasing data is ignored and only sales patterns are used.

    Let us consider the following example:

    (For these examples, we assume todays date is 19/08/2011 and that our current stock is

    26 units).

    Sales Pattern 1 Sales Pattern 2

    01 -08-2011 3 1

    02 -08-2011 3 2

    03-08-2011 3 1

    04-08-2011 3 4

    05-08-2011 3 2

    06-08-2011 3 3

    07-08-2011 3 1

    08-08-2011 3 3

    09 -08-2011 3 2

    10 -08-2011 3 3

    11-08-2011 3 2

    12-08-2011 3 5

    13-08-2011 3 3

    14-08-2011 3 4

    15-08-2011 3 5

    16-08-2011 3 4

    17-08-2011 3 4

    18-08-2011 3 5

    Total 54 54

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    For the same reasons as above, BIRetail produces results that are:

    1. More accurate due to a lack of averaging and use of most current data2. Insensitive to the period used in conventional averaging calculations

    Conventionally, the total sales in the period (in this case 18 days) are calculated and

    sales per day figure worked out. This is then used to calculate the projected number of

    days it will take to sell the existing stock.

    BIRetails method, once again very processor intensive, works backwards through sales

    data and finds how long it would have taken to sell the existing inventory hence, there

    is no judgment involved in what the appropriate averaging period should be.

    The results can be summarized as follows:

    The conventional and BIRetail method produce the exact same results under the

    uniform sales pattern 1. However, under a more realistic scenario, BIRetail produces themore robust result taking into account the surge in recent sales activity. The BIRetail

    method, correctly, shows that there is less of a reason to worry about current stock

    levels. When sales slow down this will be picked up more quickly using BIRetails

    method.

    Stock days and Age of Stock are just two of the vast library ofBIRetails calculations and

    metrics available to our customers. The same attention to detail and passion to produce

    accurate results from customer data is embedded in everything we do.

    3 Month Sales Pattern 1 Sales Pattern 2

    Conventional Method 8.7 days 8.7 days

    BIRetail Method 8.7 days 6.2 days

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    About BIRetail

    BIin a box

    As illustrated below, "BI ina Box" facilitates a rapid-adoption

    of Analytics for your business,

    improving decision-making and

    thus contributing to accelerated

    business growth.

    Customers

    Call for Demo

    Divya Srivastava : +91 80 43-010-010,

    Mob: +91 9008525308

    BIRetailis the only "Retail-ready" Analyticssolution available on theCloud

    Address

    #33 Millers Tank Bund Road, Bangalore

    560052, India

    Phone: +91-80-43 010 010

    Website: www.biretail.com

    Email: [email protected]