brazil is many brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · new york, 8-11 may 2017 . ......

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Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence the actions have to be many: evaluating the implementation of social protection. Strategies for Eradicating Poverty to Achieve Sustainable Development for AllDr. Natália Sátyro - UFMG Brazil DSPD - United Nations New York, 8-11 May 2017

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Page 1: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Brazil is many Brazils,

poverty is multidimensional,

hence

the actions have to be many:

evaluating the implementation of social protection.

“Strategies for Eradicating Poverty

to Achieve Sustainable Development for All”

Dr. Natália Sátyro - UFMG – Brazil

DSPD - United Nations

New York, 8-11 May 2017

Page 2: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 1 – Evolution of Public Resources on Social

Assistance and Multidimensional Chronic Poverty Rate

Bil

lio

ns

of

Rea

is (

val

ues

of

Dec

20

14

)

Mult

idim

ensi

on

al C

hro

nic

Po

ver

ty R

ate

(%)

Social Assistance Resources Chronic Poverty

Page 3: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 2 - Evolution of poverty and extreme

poverty (%) with 95% of confidence

interval. Brazil 92-2014 Source: Jannuzzi and Sousa,

2016:36

Page 4: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014

Page 5: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Family Grant Effects

The beneficiaries children of the Family Grant Program

• They attend school more frequently than the non-

beneficiaries;

• They present greater school progression;

• They have fewer chances of repetition: generally, chances are

11% less, however, among children from 6 to 15 years which

meet 85% of the attendance, there is a 40% less chance of

repeating the year;

• As longer the benefit is received, as greater will be the

proficiency of the beneficiaries of the 4th grade of elementary

school.

Page 6: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Family Grant Effects

The Family Grant Program:

• it has showed the increase of food consumption in all food

groups, but mainly meat, milk and dairy products, cereals,

beans, sugar;

• it decreases acute malnutrition;

• more children were vaccinated;

• beneficiaries pregnant women were receiving prenatal care

more often than non-beneficiaries;

• and their babies were born with a greater weight compared to

the others.

Page 7: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

BUT, WHAT ABOUT THE OTHER

PROGRAMS?

Income

Education

Health

Living Standards

Page 8: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Family Grant Program

Continuous Cash Transfer

Brazil without Misery

Affectionate Brazil

Child Labour Eradication

Program (PETI)

Social assistance services

Energy Supply

Clear water

Page 9: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 4 - Simulation of the reduction on extreme poverty with no BFG, on extreme poverty after BFG, and extreme poverty with BFG and Brazil without Misery

Extreme poverty without

Family Grant Program

Extreme poverty with

FGP but without Brazil

without Misery

Extreme poverty with

both programs

Page 10: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Food Acquisition Program (PAA)

National School Feeding Program

(PNAE)

Popular restaurants and community

kitchens

Cisterns

National Program of Access to Technical

Education and Employment (Pronatec)

University for All Program (Prouni)

Higher Education Student Fund (FIES)

Law of Quotas

Page 11: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 5 - Prevalence of undernourishment

Brazil 1991 - 2015 Source: Pinto et al, 2016:61

Page 12: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 6 – Occupied between 5-17 years old and child labor, by age Brazil 1992 - 2015 Source: Montagner, 2016:89

Take them from early work

Page 13: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 7 – Number of Children and Adolescents

occupied, 5 to 15 years, by income.

Brazil, 2004-2014. Source: Montagner, 2016:95

Take them from early work

Page 14: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 8 - Evolution of accumulated

enrollment of Pronatec (Bolsa Formação),

Brazil Oct/11 to Jun/2014

Training them

Page 15: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 8 – Comparison of the percentage of the formal job before and after the

training program of those between 18 to 64 years old who finished the training,

by FGP and Single Registry origin (treatment groups), with those who were not

trained (control group), (Brazil, 2011 to 2014)

FGP Beneficiaries (treatment)

FGP Beneficiaries (control)

Single Registry (treatment)

Single Registry (control)

Before training After training

Training them

Page 16: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 9 – Proportion of individuals with at

least an enrollment on under graduation, by

age, Brazil 2009-2012

Put them on universities

Page 17: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Federal government

Single Registry

Induction mechanisms

State level

Municipalities

Place where the policies are implemented.

Social assistance services, in 2014:

- 120,435 public servants

- 256,858 workers

working in progress

STATE

CAPACITY

Page 18: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Figure 9 - Number of workers of the state

on social assistance services in public

equipment

25634

37117

43982

66267

78564

89788

98093

120435

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 19: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Lessons

• Conditional cash transfer is the begin of the fight against

hungry.

• We need to trace the main key dimensions of poverty and

customize program for them.

• Multidimensionality implies several different specificities and

it means to deal with segments of marked deficiencies and

high specificity.

• It is necessary to articulate with subnational levels and other

important institutions and social actors.

Page 20: Brazil is many Brazils, poverty is multidimensional, hence ... · New York, 8-11 May 2017 . ... 2016:36 . Figure 4 - Gini Index – Brazil – 1992 - 2014 . ... (Bolsa Formação),

Lessons

• State capacity: it is a prerequisite investment in high and

medium-level bureaucracies as well as on street-level

bureaucracies.

• The use of induction strategies from the central government to

the local entities.

• The institutional spaces to articulate and make agreements

among the federative entities were crucial.

• The results depend on the stability of processes such as

benefits or services. It means that need time to see real effects.