Brexit and the new EU decision-making process

Impact on Industry Lobbying

By Daniel Guéguen

European Wooden Pallets and Packaging ManufacturersBrussels, Friday 21 October 2016

MY CV IN A NUTSHELL

Head of the European Sugar Lobby

Secretary General of COPA COGECA

CLAN Public Affairs

European Training Institute

PACT European Affairs

20

ye

ars

20

ye

ars

MANY BOOKS IN MANY LANGUAGES

ACADEMIC CAREER

LONG-STANDING ACADEMIC CONTRIBUTIONS

MY WRITTEN CONTRIBUTION ON 24th JUNE 2016THE DAY AFTER THE BREXIT REFERENDUM

BREXIT AND BETTER REGULATION

ARE TWINS

AND THE RESULT OF

A LACK OF POLITICAL VISION

A DOMINANT BUREAUCRACY

IN MY VIEW, BREXIT IS AN OPPORTUNITY

BUT FOR MOST OTHERS, IT IS A THREAT

“A TWO-CIRCLE

COMMUNITY”

MY KEYNOTE SPEECH:

INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENTS

IMPACT ON LOBBYING

POLITICAL OVERVIEW

SCHENGEN / REFUGEES

RISK FACTORS FOR THE EU

THE €

BAD GOVERNANCE

BREXIT

INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENTS

THE TRIANGLE IS NOW A SQUARE…

…OR EVEN BETTER: A SORT OF EIFFEL TOWER

EUROPEAN CONCIL DECIDES

EUROPEAN COMMISSION PROPOSESAND IMPLEMENTS

COUNCIL OF MINISTERS

EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT

CO-LEGISLATORS OR SCRUTINISERS?

A SHIFT TO SECONDARY LEGISLATION

BASIC LEGAL ACTS = FRAMEWORKS

SUBSTANCE LOCATED IN DELEGATED ACTS AND IMPLEMENTING ACTS

IS THE LEGISLATIVE AGENDA REALLY EMPTY?

IMPACT ON LOBBYING

CURRENT LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS 50-60

DELEGATED ACT/PRAC 300-400

IMPLEMENTING ACTS 1.800

IMPACT ON LOBBYING

INTENSE LEGISLATIVE / REGULATORY ACTIVITY

IMPACT ON LOBBYING

IS THERE LESS OR MORE ROOMFOR INFLUENCE?

TOWARDS A CHANGE IN BEHAVIOUR

DECIDE ACT

PRIORITISEANTICIPATE

TRY TO CONVINCEOTHERWISE APPLY PRESSURE VIA…

MEDIA EPMEMBERSTATE(S)

Co

mm

un

ica

tio

n

A NEW METHODOLOGY FOR PA

EUROPEAN PUBLIC AFFAIRS

Legis

lative m

onitoring

Inte

lligence-g

ath

ering

Pro

ced

ura

l / le

gal a

nal

ysis

Netw

ork

ing

Co

alit

ion

Lo

bb

yin

g

Str

ate

gy

TECHNICALANALYSIS

OF THE FILE

DETAILED ANALYSIS

OF THE PROCEDURE

IDENTIFYING RELEVANT PLAYERS

(BOTTOM UP)

LOBBYING = SURGICAL,

PRECISION & EXTREME

FOCUS

CHOOSING THE RIGHT ‘PRESSURE

POINT’

STORY-TELLING & COMMUNICATION

CRITICAL PATH FOR SUCCESSFUL LOBBYING

BREXITA DELIBERATE SLOW-MOTION STRATEGY

BREXITTHE CIRCUMSTANTIAL SLOW-MOTION STRATEGY

CONTRARY TO POPULAR OPINION, BUSINESS ACTORSARE LESS SUCCESSFUL THAN CITIZEN GROUPS ATLOBBYING EU LEGISLATORS

2005

2016

ALREADY A KEY MESSAGEOF MY BOOK