briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

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JOINT OPERATION HEADQUARTERS OF THE ARMED FORCES OF UKRAINE BRIEFING by acting chief of the UAF Joint Operation Headquarters Major General Oleksandr SYRSKYI “Current Status and the Prospects of Minsk Agreements Implementation" 1

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Page 1: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

JOINT OPERATION HEADQUARTERS OF THE ARMED FORCES OF UKRAINE

BRIEFINGby acting chief of the UAF Joint Operation Headquarters

Major General Oleksandr SYRSKYI“Current Status and the Prospects of Minsk Agreements

Implementation"

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Page 2: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

LEGAL BASIS (regarding security issues)

Protocol according to the results of Trilateral contact group consultations in terms of the

steps for implementation of the President of Ukraine P.Poroshenko Peace plan and the President of Russia V.Putin initiatives

on September 05, 2014

immediate bilateral ceasefire assurance;OSCE SMM monitoring and verification of ceasefire guarantee;permanent monitoring ensuring on the Ukrainian-Russian state border and

verification by OSCE with the security zone establishment in border areas of Ukraine and Russia;

immediate release of all the hostages and persons who are detained illegally;

adoption of the law on avoidance of prosecution and punishment regarding the events in Separate Areas of Donetsk/Luhansk Districts (SADD/SALD);

taking measures to improve the humanitarian situation in Donbas;withdrawal of illegal military formations (IMF), military equipment, militants

and mercenaries from the territory of Ukraine.

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Page 3: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

LEGAL BASIS (in terms of security questions)

Меmоrandum of execution of the Protocol, following consultations of the Trilateral contact group

regarding the steps of implementation of the Peace Plan of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko and Russian President Putin's initiatives

September 19, 2014 Complex of actions to implement Minsk agreements, 12 February 2015

withdrawal of heavy weapons in certain areas at certain distances (for the Ukrainian armed forces, from actual contact line), (for IMF SADD/SALD from the contact line)

the Minsk Memorandum dated19 September 2014: 25 km in both directions (safety zone at least 50 km) for the artillery systems with

caliber 100 mm and more; 35 km in both directions (safety zone not less than 70 km) for multi launch rocket

system (MLRS); 70 km in both directions (safety zone not less than 140 km) for “Tornado-S”, “Uragan”,

“Smerch”, rocket system “Tochka”; providing effective monitoring and verification by the OSCE of the ceasefire and

withdrawal of heavy weapons; release and exchange all hostages; establishment of complete control over the state border of Ukraine; withdrawal of all illegal armed groups, military equipment, militants and other

paramilitary formations from the Ukrainian territory under OSCE supervision.

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Page 4: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

LEGAL BASIS (in terms of security questions)

withdrawal of tanks, 100 mm artillery systems and mortars up to120 mm (including) on the distance:

for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, from actual contact line;for IMF SADD/SALD from agreed line according to Minsk Memorandum from 19

September 2014;provide effective monitoring and verification by the OSCE of the ceasefire and

withdrawal of heavy weapons;withdrawal of weapons in certain areas of concentration outside of safety zones: for Ukrainian AF – 19 districts;for military forces SADD – 8 districts;for military forces SALD – 4 districts.

Addition to Complex of actions for implementation of the Minsk agreements from February 12,

2015 in part relating to withdrawal of tanks, as well as 100 mm artillery guns and (including) 120 mm mortars

29 September 2015

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Page 5: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

OSCE SMM activity directions

Measures in compliance with Minsk agreements implementation,

February 12, 2015 regarding tanks, 100 mm artillery guns and 120 mm mortars withdrawal

(29 September 2015)

ceasefire regime maintaining;monitoring and verification of weapons

withdrawal;towns demilitarization, ban on mine-explosive deployment and removing of previously installed EOD and mines.

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Page 6: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

Ceasefire Maintaining Analysisfrom Illegal Military Formations of Donetsk and Luhansk regions

December 2015January 2016

Trilateral contact group meeting Russian humanitarian convoy

> 16 000 times of firing

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2015 year

Page 7: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

  

Total Total - 1 318 (42 per day)

Violations of Ceasefire Agreement by Separatists During December 20157

MLRS shell9 times

Artillery shell3 times

Combat fighting13 times

Small arms fire1142 times

Mortar fire119 attacks

Page 8: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

  

Artillery shell2 times

Mortar fire 75 attacks

Tank’s fire5 attacks

BMP fire30 attacks

Antitank fire6 оattacks

SPG fire74 attacks

Small arms fire 1003 times

Combat fighting2 times

Violations of Ceasefire Agreement by Separatists in January 2016 8

Total attacks - Total attacks - 1 205 (38 per day)  

ZU-23-28 attacks

Page 9: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

ЧЕРГОВІСТЬ ВІДВЕДЕННЯ ОЗБРОЄННЯ ВІД ЛІНІЇ ЗІТКНЕННЯ

   

Attacks against ATO forces positions by heavy weapons sinceDecember 2015 to January 2016

9 4

122

60 2

75

50

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

MLRS Artillery Mortars Tanks

DecemberJanuary

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Page 10: briff current status and the prospects of minsk agreements

42

20

11

2023

51

24

29 28

21

35

24

70

62

4036

48 47

24

29

69

37 38

29

44

66

40

71

3836

53

0 0 0 1 0

53

15

1 20

31

40

48

1 2

7

2 1 2 2

810

15 5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

SADD, SALD

UAF

Fire dynamic, fixed from both sides by OSCE special monitoring mission

OSCE SMM Fire Reports Analysis(January 2016)

Most intensive attacks’ directions – Donetsk (up to 80%) (areas near Piski, Оpytne, Кurahovo, Zaitseve, Novgorodske)

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РЕЗУЛЬТАТОМ ВИКОНАННЯ ЗАХОДІВ ДОМОВЛЕННОСТЕЙ Weapons Withdrawal by the Armed Forces of Ukrainein the framework of implementation of Minsk agreements

≈ ≈ 300300Тype of weapon Withdrawing

distanceTanks

15 kmArtillery and mortars up to 100 mm / 120 mm120 mm mortar, 100 мм gun МТ-12

25 km122 mm howitzer D-30 (2С1 “Gvozdika”)152 мм 2С5 “Giazint-С” (2С3 “Аkazia”, 2С19 “Мsta-С”, 2А65 “Мsta-Б” )

Multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) 9К51 “Grad” 35 kmMLRS “Тornado - G”, “Tornado - U”MLRS 9К58 “Smerch”, 9К57 “Uragan”, “Tornado - S” 70 kmTactical rockets complexes

> 600600 ≈ ≈ 100100 > 200200

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82 82 104– UAF – IMF SADD – IMF SALD

Limitation of freedom of movement for OSCE SMM

Movement of weapons, which has to be withdrawn

Mismatches of serial numbers of weapons listed in places of storage

Presence of weapons which was subject of withdraw within the security zones

Absence of weapons in storage areas

Attacks against OSCE SMM UAVs

4 5 6

1

2

3

4

5

6

OSCE SMM Analysis on Weapons Withdrawing Violations (January 2016)

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Minsk Agreement Violation Facts(30-31 January 2016)

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Priority Areas Demining Process 14

№ area Name of area Area of responsibility Performing Stages assets used for demining Working terms

2Yelenovka, Yuzhnodonbaska

(Тaramchuk – Yuzhnodonbaska railway station)

Ukraine Demining completed 2 demining groups of UAF till 31.12.2015

9Maiske – Hladosovo- Zaitsevo (Vuglegirska power station – Central

№1)Ukraine In process

2 demining groups of UAF,3 demining groups of SES,

ADV-2-1till 20.02.2016

10Maiske – Hladosovo- Zaitsevo(Vuglegirska power station – Central

№2) Ukraine In process 2 demining groups of UAF,

ADV -2-1 till 20.02.2016

11Power lines-220 kV

Starobishevska Power Station – Azovska №2.3

SADD Demining completed 3 demining groups of SES till 15.12.2015

12 Jasynuvata – Аvdiivka(station – Avdiivka) Ukraine In process 2 demining groups of SES. till 25.02.2016

1 Power lines -330 kV Vuglegirska PS– Mukhajlivka SALD In process 2 demining groups of UAF,

ADV -2-1 till 23.02.2016

3 Power lines -330 kV Gorlivka(Vyglegirska PS - Makijivska)

SADD In process 2 demining groups of UAF,ADV -2-1 till 20.02.2016

6Power lines -220 kV

Luhansk PS – Yubileina (South – East of Krasnyi Liman)

SALD In process2 demining groups of UAF, 3 demining groups of SES,

ADV -2-1till 23.02.2016

4 “Karbonit” (waterpipe)South of Pervomaisk–

Nort of DonetskyiSALD In process Uncontrolled area till 29.02. 2016

5 Krasnyi Liman (pumping station) SALD In process Uncontrolled area till 29.02.2016

7 Power lines -220 kV Luhansk PS – Mykhailivka №1 SALD In process Uncontrolled area till 18.03. 2016

8 Maiorsk– Horlivka (pipeline D-) SADD In process Uncontrolled area till 14.02.2016

Demining completed demining has not been completed due to constant shootings from IMF SADD Demining in process

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Further Work Priorities

ceasefire agreement maintaining;

conducting effective monitoring and verification

of ceasefire agreement, heavy weapons withdrawal;

demining of the determined priority areas.

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