buildersoutlook2013issue5
DESCRIPTION
The official publication of the El Paso Association of BuildersTRANSCRIPT
Builders utlookwww.elpasobuilders.com www.epbuilders.org
2013issue 5
Budget settledafter tumultuousnegotiationsBy Kate Alexander
American-Statesman Staff
The Legislature’s tumultuous statebudget negotiations came to close Fridaywhen all sides agreed to a deal includingmore money for public schools inexchange for $1 billion in tax cuts and feerebates.
“This is a very good budget, and I don’tknow how any member of the House orSenate could vote against this budget,”said Senate Finance Committee ChairmanTommy Williams, R-The Woodlands.
The budget bill, which is the only piece oflegislation that legislators must approve,will come up for a final vote in bothchambers in about a week. Then it willhead to governor’s desk where Gov. RickPerry can strike particular items, veto thewhole thing or allow it to become law.
Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst had declaredlate Thursday that a deal had beenreached between the House and Senate.
But House Democrats, who wieldeddisproportionate influence in the waningdays of negotiations, had not agreed to theSenate package and spent much of Fridaydiscussing whether they would join in.
In the end, the Democrats assented to a$3.9 billion education package thatincludes $3.4 billion for basic public schoolaid and additional money for teacherpensions and other education programs. In2011, legislators eliminated $4 billion inbasic aid as well as $1.4 billion ineducation grants.
“While it doesn’t restore the $5.4 billionin education cuts, it puts back $3.93 billionthat was taken away, and you cannot letthe perfect be the enemy of the good,” saidstate Rep. Trey Martinez Fischer, D-SanAntonio. “We’ve negotiated a resolutionthat is at best a fair resolution and aresolution that Texas can be proud of.”
But in exchange for the educationmoney, Democrats had to swallow $631million in utility fee rebates from a fund thatwas intended to help low-income Texanspay their electric bills. Those rebates,together with a few million dollars inbusiness tax cuts, are aimed at satisfyingPerry’s demand for “significant tax relief.”The $1 billion total falls short of the $1.8billion that Perry called for.
GOP leaders needed Democratic buy-inbecause they will need at least someDemocrats to reach the 100-vote thresholdneeded to create a new water fund that willhelp communities across the state buildreservoirs, pipelines and other waterinfrastructure. Perry has said the waterfund is a must-pass issue.
Senate Bill 1, the 2014-15 budget thatwill spend $94 billion in state money overthe next two years, is one piece of acomplicated puzzle that still must cometogether before the legislative sessionends May 27. Another measure, House Bill1025, provides $200 million of thepromised education money, as well as $2billion for the new water fund and perhapsmore.
The two budget leaders werenoncommittal about how much would bedrawn from the state’s $12 billion rainy dayfund beyond the money for water andwildfire recovery.
“The bill is still being discussed, andthere may be other items that are taken outof it,” said House Appropriations ChairmanJim Pitts, R-Waxahachie.
Legislators still have room under theconstitutional spending limit — to the tuneof $600 million to $800 million — and coulddraw that much from the rainy day fundwithout asking GOP lawmakers to take apolitically treacherous vote to bust the limit.
Budget-writers freed up $400 million forhighway construction in the budget bill andwill include an additional $500 million forroads in the oil patch in House Bill 1025.Williams said he would continue to fight for$2.9 billion that he wants to pull from therainy day fund to pay off some highwaydebt.
“I haven’t given up,” Williams said.“Texas is the fastest-growing state in thecountry, and we clearly have a shortfall inour highway funding. It’s undisputed that
that’s the case.”Williams said it doesn’t make sense to
pay more to borrow money for highwayswhile billions sit in the rainy day fundcollecting very little interest.
“At your house, if you have the money topay off your car or to pay off your mortgageand still have plenty of money in the bank,you would choose to do that,” Williamssaid.
In the final budget, general stateemployees will get a 1 percent raise in thefirst year of budget and an additional 2percent the next year. A piece of that payraise, however, would be eaten up by anincrease in the employees’ pensioncontribution. In the first year, thatcontribution goes up from 6.5 percent to6.6 percent and then it jumps to 6.9percent for the next year.
By the NumbersKey points in the budget agreement:
• $94 billion 2014-15 general revenuefund, up 7.7 percent
• $3.4 billion additional basic state aidfor public schools
• $1 billion tax relief and fee refunds
• $400 million highway construction
2 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
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Late spring is such a nice time of year. The weather is pretty good and the
days aren’t as dusty as they were in April. It is also a time when we get some
action in the building trades as people prepare for summer visitors or get the
yard ready for grilling. Some get the kids ready to move into a new home in
the summer. Our sales are really good right now and that’s always good for
the association members. It’s also a time for renewing your membership as
May is the single largest month for this. We can blame one guy for that and
it’s Mike Santamaria, our membership guru who brought together so many of
us to bring in members during our drive in May. Just a tip of the hat to Mike
for doing that, but a reminder to those of you getting your renewal invoice that
now is the time to do so.
I want to congratulate the candidates that ran for city representatives and
mayor. It was clear from the mayoral vote that Oscar Leeser did a great job
coming out for the office and working hard to get such a big vote. Steve Ortega
came in second and because neither candidate got the required 50% plus one
the runoff now will take place June 15. Runoffs also will happen in races for
District 2, 4 and 7. I urge you to vote in the runoff and to make sure the
candidate you vote for respects what you do. The association website
homepage says that and I think it’s important. You don’t want someone who
does not respect our industry and who will not listen to us. The vote is a
powerful tool you and your employees, friends and family should use to ensure
this.
We are nearing the Parade of Homes and I’m asking you to volunteer for the
ticket booth when Margaret sends out the request. It’s a great big deal to have
the opportunity to have a Parade and we will have a great one at the Falls at
Cimarron, a HUNT community. Thanks to all who have made this a reality,
especially Kathy Parry and Frank Torres and all the builders in the Parade.
President’s Message |
El Paso Disposal
772-7495
32013 issue 5 Builders Outlook
Edmundo
Dena
President,
El Paso Association
of Builders
Showroom: 2131 Missouri
915 • 533 • 6045 fax • 533• 6096
Thomas R. Brown, Owner
The election of 2013 could be
pivotal if you are to believe that this
election is really any different than
past elections. There were eight
candidates running for mayor, over a
dozen running in four city district races
and a handful of judges wanting to
stay on the bench or earn that right.
Of the eight who ran for mayor I must
admit that they have more guts than I
do to put up with the endless rhetorical
questions about this or that. It’s got to
be hard to hear people talk about you
in less than flattering terms or to be
told a bold face lie that “I am voting for
you” when you see them pal around
with other candidates. Yes I’m glad
that there are men and women willing
to put themselves through this
adventure. No matter what affiliation
or office there is still that hope that a
republic like ours attracts people to
open their lives to such scrutiny and
abuse. I congratulate all of them and
wish some of them well win or lose.
The election also shows us who is
paying attention to the issues of
housing in El Paso and who seems to
forget about those issues. In our
world that means the cause is home
construction. An endorsement can
validate the actions of the past and
doesn’t hold the candidate
responsible if you endorse an
incumbent. In my opinion and those of
politically active members it’s simply
irresponsible to endorse a candidate if
they discredit your industry by ignoring
you or your industry. An endorsement
reinforces that you don’t understand
how important it is to support those
who support the industry and to do
everything you can to remove those
who don’t.
Time and time again we see smart
people do exactly this, and it’s
happening again this year. While it is
the right of citizens to vote their
conscious the question is why don’t
they vote with their wallet as well? It’s
a fair question since politicians can by
the very nature of the position impose
restrictive codes and ordinances that
stifle construction or increase costs.
It’s also hard to believe that anyone
who is remotely making money in
construction would support any
candidate who has stated that our
industry is corrupt, incompetent or
worse yet full of thieves. Instead you
should ask why such a comment
would be made on a business that
creates homes for the people; who
creates the biggest taxable revenue
for the city; and who employs
thousands in a community begging for
jobs.
If you sincerely believe that a
candidate for public office who shows
that they are anti-builder, anti-
developer is the right choice then
perhaps you deserve what you get. If
on the other hand you are more
interested in the future of our industry
in El Paso then you should reconsider
your choice and vote for someone
who supports and respects what you
do. The choice you make says a lot
about you and what you think about
your profession and those who
support you. Remember this as well:
those who fight to keep homebuilding
in El Paso will remember who was in
and those who weren’t. When we
make our bed we have to sleep in it.
Respect. Nothing more, nothing less.
Perspective |
Ray Adauto,
Executive
Vice President
EPAB
4 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
NOW is the best time
to buy your new
home in El Paso!
Ahora es el
tiempo para
comprar una casa nueva
en El Paso!
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���� �������� ��Your New Home
Su Casa Nueva Reserve your advertising space inthe next edition of Your New Home/Su Casa Nueva
The most complete home buying guide
in both English & Spanish
• Unmatched distribution and circulation• Unique dual language layout• Great advertising opportunity
Call Margaret today at 778-5387
Politics makes strange bedfellows, consider your endorsements
52013 issue 5 Builders Outlook
New-Home Sales
Rise 2.3 PercentSales of newly built, single-family
homes rose 2.3 percent to a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of
454,000 units in April, according to
newly released figures from HUD and
the U.S. Census Bureau. The gain
builds on a strong upward revision to
sales numbers reported for the
previous month.
“Builders are reporting an active
spring buying season as consumers
become more confident about going
forward with a new-home purchase
along with steadily firming prices in
local markets,” said Rick Judson,
chairman of the National Association
of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home
builder from Charlotte, N.C. “While the
cost of constructing homes is rising
due to tightened supplies of materials,
lots and labor, to some extent, this may
be creating greater urgency among
potential buyers.”
“Today’s report is further evidence of
the gradual, consistent improvement
we have been seeing in housing
market conditions over the past year,”
noted NAHB Senior Economist Robert
Denk. “We’re now about half-way back
to what could be considered a full
recovery, and we do expect to see
continual, solid gains in both starts and
sales of new homes going forward.”
On a regional basis, new-home
sales rose 3.0 percent in the South
and 10.8 percent in the West, but fell
4.8 percent in the Midwest and 16.7
percent in the Northeast in April.
The inventory of new homes for sale
edged up to a still-thin 156,000 units in
April. This is a 4.1-month supply at the
current sales pace.
Builder Confidence
Improves in May Builder confidence in the market for
newly built, single-family homes
improved three points to a 44 reading
on the National Association of Home
Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market
Index (HMI) for May, released today.
This gain, from a downwardly revised
41 in April, reflected improvement in all
three index components – current
sales conditions, sales expectations
and traffic of prospective buyers.
“Builders are noting an increased
sense of urgency among potential
buyers as a result of thinning
inventories of homes for sale,
continuing affordable mortgage rates
and strengthening local economies,”
noted National Association of Home
Builders (NAHB) Chairman Rick
Judson, a home builder from
Charlotte, N.C. “This is definitely an
encouraging sign even amidst rising
challenges with regard to the cost and
availability of building materials, lots
and labor.”
“While industry supply chains will
take time to re-establish themselves
following recession-related cutbacks,
builders’ views of current sales
conditions have improved and
expectations for the future remain
quite strong as consumers head back
to the market in force,” said NAHB
Chief Economist David Crowe.
Derived from a monthly survey that
NAHB has been conducting for 25
years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing
Market Index gauges builder
perceptions of current single-family
home sales and sales expectations for
the next six months as “good,” “fair” or
“poor.” The survey also asks builders
to rate traffic of prospective buyers as
“high to very high,” “average” or “low to
very low.” Scores for each component
are then used to calculate a seasonally
adjusted index where any number over
50 indicates that more builders view
conditions as good than poor.
All three HMI components posted
gains in May. The index gauging
current sales conditions increased four
points to 48, while the index gauging
expectations for future sales edged up
a single point to 53 – its highest level
since February of 2007. The index
gauging traffic of prospective buyers
gained three points to 33.
Looking at the three-month moving
averages for regional HMI scores, no
movement was recorded in the
Northeast, Midwest or South, which
held unchanged at 37, 45 and 42,
respectively. Only the West recorded a
decline, of six points to 49 in May.Editor’s Note: The NAHB/Wells Fargo
Housing Market Index is strictly the
product of NAHB Economics, and is not
seen or influenced by any outside party
prior to being released to the public. HMI
tables can be found at nahb.org/hmi.
More information on housing statistics is
also available at housingeconomics.com.
NEWS
it’s time to getserious aboutyour retirement.The El Paso Association of Builders is proud to now offer an
individualized retirement plan created for you.
ThE EPAB MEMBEr rETirEMEnT PlAn
As an EPAB member, you have the unique opportunity to take control of
your retirement investing.
We understand the challenges of retirement planning. That’s why we have
partnered with Employee Benefits of El Paso to offer you the opportunity
to create an individualized retirement plan under the umbrella of the El
Paso Association of Builders.
• investments
• irA’s
• 401K
now is the time to start planning for the next phase of your life. let your
membership with EPAB help you get there.
Call (915) 542-0900
for more information today.
Prior to selecting investment options for your plan you should consider the investment objectives, risks, fees and expenses carefully. For this and other important information, you obtain
prospectuses for mutual funds, any applicable annuity contract and the annuity's underlying funds, and/or additional disclosure documents from the appropriate retirement plan representative. Read
them carefully.There is no guarantee that participation in any retirement plan will result in a profit or that your account will outperform a self-managed portfolio. Please consult with your financial
planner, attorney and/or tax adviser as needed.
Advertise in the
Builders OutlookCall Margaret at the
El Paso Association of Builders
915-778-5387
Builders utlookwww.elpasobuilders.com www.epbuilders.org
2013issue 3
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Growing Labor Shortages
Impede Housing and
Economic Recovery
6 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
The Economy
Interest Rates Yield No Recession
Millions Remain Trapped by ‘Effective’ Negative Equity
While Q1 GDP growth was 2.5%, itwill probably be the best performingquarter of the year. Add to thatcontinued contractionary fiscal policy inthe form of both the sequester and the
Fiscal Cliff deal,continued weakemployment growth,declining exports anda lacklustermanufacturing sectorand suddenlyrecessionary fearsare palpable. Afterall, a recession willinevitably come and it
has been almost six years since thestart of the last one. Aren’t we kind ofdue? Turns out, the answer is no, noand no! If history is any guide - and it’sa very good one in this case - there is norecession in sight.
Since 1970 there have been sevenrecessions, and interestingly enough,each one has been preceded by an
inversion in the yield curve, a situationwhere short term interest rates arehigher than long term interest rates.Rarely is there an indicator that is sevenfor seven over a period of 44 verydissimilar years. The last time the yieldcurve inverted and a recession did notfollow was in 1966-67, and though therewasn’t a recession, the economy slowedsubstantially with GDP growth of lessthan 1% for 21 straight months.
Normally, interest rates are higher thelonger the period of time money is lent.For example, today a one-year Treasurybill yields 0.15%/year, a 10-yearTreasury note pays 2%/year and a 30-year Treasury bond pays 3.125%/year.After all, the longer you lend someonemoney, in this case the government, themore interest rate risk, inflation risk andcredit risk you incur, and investors mustbe compensated for these risks.
However, from time to time thisnormal relationship breaks down. Oneexplanation for this phenomenon is that
by raising short-term rates (to slowdownan overheating economy with risinginflation), the Federal Reservediscourages bank lending, as banksgenerally borrow short and lend long.And when the yield curve is inverted,banks have much-reduced profitmargins, and this reduction in lendingcauses a recession. A secondexplanation for an inverted yield curve isthat investors expect future short-terminterest rates to decline because theyexpect a recession. As a result,investors expect the central bank tolower interest rates to counteract theexpected recession. And when thishappens, investors plow into low-yielding long-bonds to lock in yields theyexpect will be still lower in the future.
Regardless of the reason, from time-to-time the yield curve inverts. Today,the difference between ten-yearTreasury notes and one-year Treasurybills is 1.85%. Assuming the FederalReserve felt compelled to start raising
short-term interest rates soon (and let’sbe clear, it does not), it would take,based on history, about two years beforeyields on one-year Treasury bills werehigher than yields on 10-year Treasurynotes. And again using history as ourguide, it generally takes another 12months after the yield curve invertsbefore a recession begins. Thissuggests that we have at minimum threeyears before the next recession. Ofcourse, given the expansionary state ofmonetary policy and the laser-like focusof the Fed in preventing a recession, mybet is we have quite some time beforethe recession of 2018!
Elliot Eisenberg, Ph.D. is President of
GraphsandLaughs, LLC and can be
reached at [email protected].
His daily 70 word economics and policy
blog can be seen at www.econ70.com.
By: Svenja Gudell, Senior Economist, Zillow
According to the first quarter ZillowNegative Equity Report, the nationalnegative equity rate continued to fall inthe first quarter of 2013, dropping to25.4% of all homeowners with amortgage from 27.5% in the fourthquarter of 2012. The negative equityrate has been continually falling for thepast four quarters, with the first quarterof 2013 being down significantly fromthe first quarter of 2012 at 31.4% – adecrease of 6 percentage points. In thefirst quarter of 2013, more than 730,000American homeowners were freed fromnegative equity. However, 13 millionhomeowners with a mortgage remainunderwater (Figure 1). Moreover, the
effective negative equity rate nationally—where the loan-to-value ratio is morethan 80%, making it difficult for ahomeowner to afford the down paymenton another home — is 43.6% ofhomeowners with a mortgage. While notall of these homeowners areunderwater, they have relatively littleequity in their homes, and thereforeselling and buying a new home whilecovering all of the associated costs (realestate agent fees, closing costs and anew down payment) would be difficult(Figure 2). Of all homeowners – roughlyone-third of homeowners do not have amortgage and own their homes free andclear – 17.9% are underwater.
As homes values nationally bottomedin late 2011, home value appreciation
across the nation has been the mainfactor reducing negative equity levels.Some markets, such as Phoenix(25.5%), Las Vegas (23%) and severalCalifornia markets, such as SanFrancisco (24.8%), Los Angeles (17.9%)and Sacramento (25.4%), areexperiencing very strong appreciation.Furthermore, continued foreclosureliquidations are also driving down thenegative equity rate. Despite these highrates of appreciation, negative equity isstill very high and will remain high asdeeply underwater homeowners areslowly being lifted toward positive equity.Figure 3 shows the loan-to-value (LTV)distribution for homeowners with amortgage in the nation in 2013 Q1 vs.2012 Q1. Even though many
homeowners are still underwater andhaven’t crossed the 100% LTV thresholdto enter into positive equity, they aremoving in the right direction. However,the effective negative equity rateremains very high at 43.6%. In a move-up market, homeowners with less than20% equity will effectively still be“locked” into negative equity. Onaverage, a U.S. homeowner in negativeequity owes $73,059 more than whattheir house is worth, or 42% more thanthe home’s value (Table 1). Whileroughly a quarter of homeowners with amortgage are underwater, 91% of thesehomeowners are current on theirmortgage and continue to makepayments.
The Zillow Negative Equity Reportincorporates mortgage data fromTransUnion, a global leader in credit andinformation management, to calculatevarious statistics. The report includes,but is not limited to, negative equity,loan-to-value ratios and delinquencyrates. To calculate negative equity, theestimated value of a home is matched toall outstanding mortgage debt and linesof credit associated with the home,including home equity lines of credit andhome equity loans. All personallyidentifying information (“PII”) is removedfrom the data by TransUnion beforedelivery to Zillow. Overall, this reportcovers more than 870 metros, 2,500counties and 24,200 ZIP codes acrossthe nation.
Regional TrendsAs mentioned earlier, the main factor
driving down negative equity rates hasbeen very strong home valueappreciation, specifically in very hard-hitstates, such as California, Florida,Nevada, Arizona and Georgia. Therehas been a negative equity feedbackloop, as regions with high negativeequity have experienced acute inventoryshortages brought on in part by locked-in underwater homeowners, and theseshortages in turn have produced home
Elliot Eisenberg
72013 ISSUE 5 Builders Outlook
CONTINUED FROM PAGE 6
value appreciation spikes, which havebeen reducing negative equity at a fastpace. The metros that have seen thelargest drop in negative equity amongthe largest 30 metros are Las Vegas(down 4.9 percentage points), Phoenix(4.4 percentage points), Minneapolis(down 4.3 percentage points) andSacramento (down 4.3 percentagepoints). Despite these large drops innegative equity, the rates remain high,especially when considering theeffective negative equity rate. Table 1shows the effective negative equityrates for the top 30 metros, where LasVegas has the highest rate of 71.5%,followed by Atlanta at 64.1% andRiverside at 59.7%.
In some cases high home valueappreciation rates have produced onlyrelatively small decreases in negativeequity rates. However, the depth ofnegative equity has been significantlyimpacted. In the Phoenix metro, thepercentage of homeowners with amortgage who owed more than doublewhat their houses were worth wasreduced from 14.8 to 5.7% from the
first quarter of 2012 to the first quarterof 2013, which can be seen in Figure4. In the Las Vegas metro, 15.9% ofhomeowners with a mortgage owemore than twice the amount of theirhome’s value. This number comparesfavorably to how deeply underwaterLas Vegas homeowners were a yearago. In 2012 Q1, 26.8% ofhomeowners with a mortgage owedmore than double (see Figure 5). Onthe metro level there is wide variationin negative equity with the percentageof underwater borrowers ranging from1.5 to 61.5%. Furthermore, there iswide variation in how deephomeowners are underwater. Figure 6provides an overview of the distributionof the loan-to-value ratio for the largestmetropolitan areas (a loan-to-valueratio greater than 100 % means thatthe homeowner is underwater).
While negative equity makes ahousehold more vulnerable toforeclosure, most homeowners innegative equity will not end up indefault. The majority of underwaterhomeowners continue to make regularpayments on their mortgage, with only
9% (down from 10% a year ago) ofunderwater homeowners beingdelinquent. This implies that 2.3% of allhomeowners with a mortgage are athigh risk for foreclosure near-term.Figure 7 shows a breakdown of thesenumbers for the top 30 metros.
Forecast
The Zillow Negative Equity Forecastpredicts the negative equity rateamong all homeowners with amortgage will fall to at least 23.5% bythe first quarter of 2014, freeing morethan 1.4 million additional underwaterhomeowners nationwide. Of the 30largest metro areas, the majority ofthese newly freed homeowners areanticipated to come from: Los Angeles
(94,642 homeowners); Riverside(74,693 homeowners); and Phoenix(51,580 homeowners). The ZillowHome Value Forecast is aconservative estimate of what negativeequity rates will be a year from now. Toforecast negative equity, we take thecurrent home value of a house andappreciate it by the Zillow Home ValueForecast (ZHVF) for the MSA in whichthe home is located. In cases wherethere is no ZHVF available, we use thehistorical rate of home appreciation,and for metros that don’t have ahistorical rate of appreciation we usethe historical rate of inflation at thenational level. For homes that are notlocated in a metropolitan area, we usethe forecasted national rate ofappreciation. To calculate the level ofhome equity a year from now, we usethe forecasted home value and thecurrent outstanding debt balance,where we make no assumptions abouta homeowner’s debt level a year fromnow. We also make no assumptionsabout foreclosure activity in the comingyear. Therefore, this forecast is a veryconservative one, as homeowners willlikely continue to pay down their debtthroughout the year and homes willlikely continue to be foreclosed on, andboth of these factors will contribute to alower negative equity rate. The ZillowNegative Equity Forecast cantherefore be considered a higherbound estimate of negative equity.
Outlook
Negative equity will continue toimpact the real estate market, eventhough the negative equity rate iscontinuing to drop relatively quickly,and the depth of negative equity isfalling significantly. However, as homevalues continue to appreciate andmortgage rates increase homes willbecome increasingly more expensive,leading to slowing demand which, insome markets, will lead to stagnanthome values or even home valuedepreciation. Once that occurs,negative equity will be reduced at amuch slower pace and might evenincrease again. We expect thesedynamics to unfold in two to threeyears from now once mortgage ratesbegin to return to normal levels. In theshort term, home values are up 5.2 %on a year-over-year basis in April2013, and given our forecast of anadditional 4% home value appreciationover the next year (April 2013 to April2014), we expect that negative equityrates will continue to decrease in thenext year to a rate of, at most, 23.5%by the first quarter of 2014.
. Why Use Zillow? Zillow is a freeonline real estate site where you cansearch for homes for sale, find homeprices, see home values, view recentlysold homes, and check mortgagerates. Get started by finding real estatein top states and real estate in topcities. www.zillow.com
“While negative equity makes a household morevulnerable to foreclosure, most homeowners innegative equity will not end up in default. Themajority of underwater homeowners continue tomake regular payments on their mortgage..”
Builders utlook on the scene |
The 2013 Young Designer competition
saw twenty four entries submitted for consid-
eration of scholarship awards from the El
Paso Association of Builders. The program,
in its 12th year, is designed for students in
the 11th and 12th grade. Participating
schools included the Career Center for
Technical Education (CCTE), Socorro High
School and Montwood High School. The
students were required to work a problem
submitted by the National Association of
Women in Construction (NAWIC). This year
the problem was a single story home with
three children, an office, and special display
cases for the projects owner. The simulated
construction problem required a complete
set of blueprints, landscaping, foundation,
Mechanical and electrical plans along with
drawings of the cabinets and their measure-
ments. A model then needed to be made of
the design and those two items submitted for
judging. This year our judges were headed
up by Past President Kelly Sorenson and
included Ryan Harding, Carlos Sarinana,
Juan Estala, Edgar Montiel, Margaret Adauto
and Ray Adauto.
The judges scores were tabulated and the
top three submittals were awarded scholar-
ships. In first place, and a returning winner
from last year was Adalberto Coronel, a sen-
ior studying at CCTE. In second place was
Eric Nunez, while third place went to Alix
Herrera, both with CCTE. John Chaney,
longtime chairman of the event represented
the EPAB at the award ceremony and pre-
sented the scholarship letters to the sur-
prised teens. “I want to thank the builders
association for this award and want
to assure you that the money from
last year and this year will really help me,”
said Adalberto. “The effort that our kids do in
this shows up pretty well in the completed
project,” said Ceci Orozco, CCTE instructor.
“Thank you to every member at the
Association for their support and encourage-
ment,” she continued. A special thanks goes
to Tropicana Homes and Gus Loy who have
hosted the students early in the year at an
actual construction site. This hands on
learning experience is invaluable to the stu-
dents. Our appreciation to Aurea Herrera
teacher from Montwood High and to Lynn
Cordova from Socorro High School. Look for
information on the 2014 YD contest coming
when the school year starts again.
EPAB honors 2013 Young Designers
2013 issue 5
10 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
CITY BEAT |
Store, Contractor WebsitesReveal Possible Retailers
The developer behind the fastapproaching Fountains at Farahshopping center has remained tightlipped with regard to retailers andrestaurants that will occupy the site,but some possible names have beenrevealed by both store and contractorwebsites on the internet. Noannouncements have been made forthe tenants mentioned below.
Plans for a Carter’s apparel store havebeen disclosed at the website(www.carters.com) for the seller ofbaby and children’s clothing. A searchfor stores in the El Paso area reveals afuture location at the Fountains atFarah that is “Opening October 2013.”Carter’s history dates back to 1865,and the retailer now sells bothCarter’s and OshKosh B’gosh brandclothing. This will be the secondlocation in the city; the first is locatedat the Outlet Shoppes at El Paso onthe west side.
A proposed Fountains location forJared, The Galleria of Jewelry hasbeen revealed through anemployment listing for the company.Job openings are for salesassociates at the coming store.Jared is a division of SterlingJewelers, Inc., which also operatesKay Jewelers stores nationwide.Rumor Mill
Other retailers do not currently havecoming locations listed on theirwebsites, but contractor andsubcontractor sites give hints as towhich projects are available at theFountains. Some of these possibletenants have been previouslyrumored to have locations plannedfor the center, but none have beenconfirmed.
Ulta – The largest retailer of beautyproducts, the typical size of a store is10,000 square feet. Salons areusually incorporated into the design.There are currently two Ultalocations in El Paso. (www.ulta.com)
Stein Mart – Stores focus onoffering apparel, accessories, andhome fashions at 60% offdepartment store prices. The typicallocation is 35,000 square feet insize. There is one Stein Mart locationon the west side of the city.(www.steinmart.com)
Rack Room Shoes/Off Broadway
Shoe Warehouse – The familyfootwear retailer was founded in1920 and has 450 locationsnationwide. Rack Room currentlyhas three stores in El Paso andanother in Las Cruces.(www.rackroomshoes.com)
Pier 1 Imports – Pier 1 has over1,000 stores and specializes inimported decorative home
furnishings and gifts. There are twocurrent Pier 1 stores in El Paso andone in Las Cruces. (www.pier1.com)
T.J. Maxx – The closeout retaileroperates under the TJX, Inc. umbrellawhich has over 2,900 stores in sixcountries. The Fountains locationcould include a combination T.J. Maxxand HomeGoods store. TJX alsooperates Marshall’s stores, of whichthere are three in the city and one inLas Cruces. (www.tjmaxx.com)
Two retailers have officially announcedlocations at the Fountains at Farah:Nordstrom Rack and Dick’s
Sporting Goods. Another, Best Buy,has reportedly signed a lease but hasnot made an announcement.Posted byEPDNews
Retail Buzz: Potential ‘Fountains’ Tenant Names Emerge
112013 issue 5 Builders Outlook
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Downtown UpgradesSeveral Public andPrivate Projects Plannedfor Downtown El Paso
For years, El Paso officials and businessowners alike have made all sorts of movesto get the city’s largely dormant downtownback on the upswing.
Areas around and south of PaisanoDrive have been abuzz with shoppers fordecades, but the business sectors ofdowntown have seen somewhat measuredinvestment.
Relatively recent revitalization highlightsinclude the Mills-Plaza area, which is stillunder development, and the dynamicUnion Plaza area, where anentrepreneurial element sparked severalyears back leading to trendy restaurants,clubs, and more recently, shops andapartments.
Now, a combination of big moves areculminating in several construction projectsplanned for the next two years and beyond.Here are some of those projects :
1. Luther Building – The historic structureis undergoing rehabilitation to makeroom for City departments. Constructionshould be done by the fall of this year.
2. San Jacinto Plaza – Completereconstruction of the city’s downtownplaza. Construction should start in Julyand be completed in January 2015.
3. Mills Avenue Promenade – Apedestrian-only portion of Mills Avenuebetween the Plaza Hotel and theMills/Centre Buildings. No concrete startdates, but should be nearing.
4. Baseball Stadium – The former CityHall was demolished last month to makeroom for a Triple-A baseball stadium.Construction has begun and isscheduled for completion in April 2014.
5. Convention Center Walkway – Thisnew pedestrian route would make iteasier to get from the museum district tothe Union Plaza area. No concretedates, but design may be complete.
6. Texas Tech School of Architecture – Adeal has been struck that will bring thecollege to the historic Union Depotbuilding on the western edge ofdowntown.
7. Streetcar Project - $90 million projectto bring a streetcar route that will travelfrom downtown to the UTEP area. Couldbegin construction in 2014.
8. Bataan Memorial Trainway – Therehabilitation of six street bridges over arailway trench which includes aestheticimprovements and public art.Construction on some bridge structuresmay begin this year.
9. San Antonio Avenue – City project toconvert the surface street from one-wayto two-way traffic. Currently underconstruction.
10. Mesa Bus RTS Route – A rapid transitline that will begin at the DowntownTransfer Center and travel to the westside of the city. Scheduled to start inJune and open in July 2014.
A. Artspace El Paso – The project to bringaffordable housing and studio space forEl Paso artists is still in the designphase. If financing is approved,construction could begin soon.
B. United Bank of El Paso del Norte –This former parking structure is being
transformed into a bank and officebuilding. The external construction isnearly complete.
C. Martin Building – This historic building,owned by the Lane Gaddy group ofinvestors, could see a revitalizationeffort soon in the form of mixed use thatcould include housing options.
D. The Savoy – The vacant upper levels ofthis building at the corner of EastOverland Avenue and Stanton Streetcould be converted into 27 apartmentunits. Bearing Development has postedthe project at its website.
E. Mercado/Walgreen’s – Two propertiesacross Paisano Drive from each otherare seeing new life, both formerly fleamarkets. On the southern side, a newMercado building has sprung up, whileon the northern side, a brand newWalgreen’s store is being built.
All projects are subject to change,especially concerning expectedtimeframes with regard to construction.Check our website for updates on theseand future projects.
The Downtown Management District(DMD) has developed a page at its websitethat contains updates on street andsidewalk closures due to downtownconstruction. This includes a color codedmap of downtown El Paso complete with aproject timeline.
The page can be found athttp://downtownelpaso.com/dwntwn-construction/.
Posted byEPDNews
12 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
Expert Advice
In most surveys, employees rank health
insurance as the most important benefit.
That’s a good thing, because health
insurance represents a sizeable
investment for employers. Premiums for
the average employer-sponsored
individual-only policy reached an average
of $5,615 in 2012, with employers paying
an average of 83 percent of the cost,
reported the Kaiser Family Foundation.
Interestingly, the least expensive age
group to insure was the only group that
didn’t put employer-provided health
insurance at the top of their wish list. New
college graduates ranked employer-paid
health insurance fourth in order of
preference, after annual salary increases,
401(k) company matches and tuition
reimbursement. This is a change from
earlier surveys, where new college
graduates placed employer-paid medical
insurance at the top of their list. Marilyn
Mackes, executive director of the National
Association of Colleges and Employers,
which conducted the survey of college
grads, attributes the change to the
Affordable Care Act. “Graduates know that
they can now stay on their parents’
coverage until they are 26 years old,
making medical benefits somewhat less
critical in their list of priorities,” she said.
Employers Not Giving Up MedicalBenefits
As more details of health insurance
exchanges under the Affordable Care Act
come to light, many employers are
deciding to stick with the status quo, at
least for the near future. After the Supreme
Court decided in July 2012 to uphold the
Affordable Care Act, the National Business
Group on Health (NBGH) and Towers
Watson found 88 percent of employers
planned to continue offering health
insurance for employees working 30 or
more hours per week. That represents an
increase of 17 percent over 2011 survey
results.
Employers also recognize the strong
link between health insurance, employee
health and productivity. Many studies have
shown that individuals who lack health
insurance are generally less healthy, since
they may put off getting healthcare when
they need it.
The Commonwealth Fund estimates
that economic output lost due to health-
related reasons costs U.S. employers
$260 billion per year. In 2003, U.S.
employers lost 407 million days of work
due to employee absences due to illness.
They lost another 478 million days
because some 55 million workers were
“unable to concentrate at work because of
their own illness or that of a family
member,” according to the Commonwealth
Fund’s study “Health and Productivity
among U.S. Workers.”
Health Benefits and Recruiting
As the economy heats up and
employers look to recruit new employees,
benefits could prove more important.
Some 19 million American workers plan to
find a new job in 2013, which will cost their
employers an estimated $2 trillion in
recruiting and retraining costs. (Source:
2013 U.S. Employee Report, Cornerstone
OnDemand) Employees surveyed for the
Cornerstone report said that the top two
factors that would influence their decision
to stay were “a good manager,” cited by 48
percent, and “feeling appreciated by
employer,” cited by 46 percent.
The 10th Annual MetLife Survey of
Employee Benefit Trends found a
correlation between employees’
satisfaction with their benefits and their
feelings of being appreciated by their
employer. Employees who were very
satisfied with their benefits were four times
more likely to agree with the statement,
“My employer has a very strong sense of
loyalty to me” than those who reported
being very dissatisfied with their benefits.
Loyalty works the other way as well: 61
percent of employees who were very
satisfied with their benefits also had a
“very strong sense of loyalty” to their
employer, compared to only 24 percent of
employees who were very dissatisfied with
their benefits.
Most employers would agree that health
benefits were essential to rewarding and
retaining employees. Employers surveyed
by the International Foundation of
Employee Benefit Plans opted to provide
health benefits for the following reasons:
• To maintain/increase employee
satisfaction and loyalty (40 percent)
• To retain current employees (24 percent)
• Part of a collective bargaining agreement
(21 percent).
In fact, in the 2012 NBGH/Towers
Watson survey, 77 percent of employers
cited health benefits as essential to
employee recruitment and retention. For
the near future at least, it seems that
employer-provided benefits will remain an
important tool for employers who want to
remain competitive.
Changes to Come That’s not to say you shouldn’t change
your health benefits in response to the
ACA. Many employers regard retiree
benefits as of little value in their staffing
strategies. Health insurance exchanges
will make it easier for early retirees to find
coverage on the individual market, making
this an easier cut for budget-conscious
employers. More than half of employers
surveyed by the National Business Group
on health plan to drop coverage for
retirees (53 percent) and part-time
employees (33 percent).
Many surveys have also found
employers plan to fine-tune the design of
their health plans in 2014 and beyond.
Consumer-driven plans will likely increase
in popularity. The NBGH reported that 61
percent of employers expect to offer these
plans in 2013, versus 59 percent in 2012.
Once exchanges are full in place, an
overwhelming majority (80 percent) of
employers expect to offer these plans in
2015.
Consumer-driven plans can help control
healthcare cost inflation by giving
employees more hands-on control of their
healthcare spending and incentives for
price-shopping. These health plans
consist of a high-deductible health plan
(HDHP) paired with a healthcare spending
account—either a health savings account
(HSA) or health reimbursement
arrangement (HRA)—both of which have
tax advantages for employers and
employees.
We can help you review your benefit
portfolio to ensure it aligns with company
goals and budgets. For more information,
please contact us.
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Health benefits not disappearing despite ACA
Joe BernalEmployee Benefits
of El Paso
AZTEC CONTRACTORS
CASAS DE LEON
CENTURY 21 APD ASSOCIATES
CONSOLIDATED SOLAR TECHNOLOGIES
DAWCO HOME BUILDERS
EL PASO BLIND AND SHUTTER COMPANY
GADDY CONSTRUCTION
GREATER EL PASO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
ORTIZ PLUMBING
POST TENSION STEEL
RANDALL SMITH, CPA
SOUTHWEST LAND DEVELOPMENT
VALENCIA REAL ESTATE GROUP
WINDSOR DOOR, LLC
DALTILECONTACT: JAIME PAPA
11185 PELLICANOEL PASO, TEXAS 79935
915-630-6699
Membership News
Thanks to our MAY
SODA SPONSOR:Cisco Homes
11395 James Watt, Suite A-11 79936915-633-8002
132013 Issue 5 Builders Outlook
www.elpasobuilders.com www.epbuilders.org
UPCOMING EVENTS |
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JUNE13BOARD MEETING
11:00 GENERAL MEETING
12:00 NOONEL PASO CLUB
CHASE BANK BLDG. DOWNTOWN
JUNE 22 – JULY 7PARADE OF HOMES
THE FALLS AT CIMARRON
JUNE 24-25SUNBELT SHOW
SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS
RENEWALS |
NEW MEMBERS |
SODA SPONSOR |
Welcome to the middle of the
year, or at least the month before
that. Wow, what a great time at the
Pachanga Golf Tournament, in
spite of the weather and all that
Mother Nature threw at us. My
sincere thanks to all of the golfers,
the sponsors, advertisers and to
Ray and Margaret. The Women’s
Professional Council did a great job
and thanks to all who bought
mulligans to help support their
scholarship. Our next big event is
the Parade of Homes and we will
need to get volunteers for the ticket
booth, so expect Margaret to send
you a schedule request. Please,
help us out. We’re working on
some incentives for those that help
out. I also want to thank the Board
of Directors for coming over to
Western Wholesale for the
meeting. I hope you enjoyed your
food and the surroundings. We
enjoyed having you. Get ready to
have an Associates meeting on
June 5 at 3:00 pm so we can work
on the Parade, the house re-do,
and the summer bowling event.
There’s a lot to do in the next few
months.
See you June 5, at 3PM at the
EPAB office.
14 Builders Outlook 2013 issue 5
Sam ShallenbergerWestern Wholesale Supply
Associates Council
Board of Directors meet atWestern Wholesale
The monthly meeting for the Board of
Directors was held at Western Wholesale
Supply and featured lunch prepared by
Chef Adam, formerly of Red Mountain
Bistro and now executive chef at
Western Wholesale. The meeting
brought together members who were
informed of the upcoming Parade of
Homes and other association business.
The next board meeting will be held prior
to the general meeting on June 13 at the
El Paso Club.
� execuTive oFFicerS
edmundo Dena – President
Accent Homes
Frank Torres – vice President
GMF Custom Homes
edgar montiel – Secretary/Treasurer
Palo Verde Homes
Sam Shallenberger – Associates chair
Western Wholesale
Frank Arroyos- immediate Past President
Cisco Homes
ray Adauto – executive vice President
El Paso Association of Builders
� couNciL/commiTTee cHAirS
Associates council
Sam Shallenberger
Build PAc
Randy Bowling
Desert Green Building council
Javier Ruiz
Land use council
Sal Masoud
Young Designer Award
John Chaney
remodelers council
Rudy Guel
membership retention
Mike Santamaria, Greg Bowling
Finance committee
Edgar Montiel
Women’s council
Lorraine Huit
� ADviSorY To THe BoArD
J. Crawford Kerr, Attorney, Firth, Johnston
& Martinez
� BoArD oF DirecTorS
Juanita Garcia, Icon Custom Builders
Samira Gonzalez, Edwards Homes
Walter Lujan, Dawco Construction
Carlos Villalobos, Pointe Homes
Don Rassette, Rassette Homes
Beverly Clevenger, Automated Division 6 Builders
Frank Spencer, Aztec Contractors
Kathy Parry, Hunt Communities
Sal Masoud, Del Rio Engineering
Robert L. Foster,
Southwest Land Development Services
Leti Navarette, Custom Dream Homes
Linda Troncoso, TR-Engineering
Lance VanDeman, Hub International
John Chaney, Passage Supply
Joe Bernal, El Paso Employee Benefits
Ken Wade, El Paso Building Materials
Ruben Orquiz, MTI Ready Mix
Kathy Carrillo, Pioneer Bank
Henry Tinajero, West Star Bank
Paul Zacour, Zacour & Associates
Chuck Gabriel, Carpets West
Ted Escobedo, Snappy Publishing
Lorraine Huit, Cardel Design
Javier Ruiz, Border Solar & Senercon
2012 Builder member of The Year
Frank Arroyos
Cisco Homes
2012 Pat cox Award
Mike Santamaria
Mountain Vista Homes
2012 Associate of The Year
Sam Shallenberger
Western Wholesale Supply
John Schatzman Award
Hunt Companies
Honorary Life members
Rudy Guel
Brad Roe
Cliff Anthes
Wayne Grinnell
Chester Lovelady
Don Henderson
Anna Gil
Past Presidents
committed to Serve
ePAB mission Statement:
The El Paso Association of Builders is a
federated professional organization representing
the home building industry, committed to
enhancing the quality of life in our community by
providing affordable homes of excellence and
value.
The El Paso Association of Builders is a
501C(6) trade organization.
© 2013 Builder’s Outlook
is published and distributed for the
El Paso Association of Builders
by Snappy Publishing
240 Thunderbird • Suite C
El Paso • Texas • 79912 915-820-2800
6046 Surety Dr. El Paso, TX 79905
915-778-5387 • Fax: 915-772-3038
Greg Bowling
Kelly Sorenson
Mark Dyer
Mike Santamaria
John Cullers
Randy Bowling
Doug Schwartz
Robert Baeza
Bobby Bowling, IV
Rudy Guel
Anna Gil
Bradley Roe
Bob Bowling, III
E. H. Baeza
Hershel Stringfield
� TAB STATe DirecTorS
Doug Borrett, Karam Co., Life Director
Randy Bowling, Tropicana Homes
� NATioNAL DirecTorS
Bobby Bowling IV.
Demetrio Jimenez
NATioNAL ASSociATioN oF
Home BuiLDerS
(800) 368-5242
TexAS ASSociATioN oF
BuiLDerS
(800)252-3625
www.elpasobuilders.com www.epbuilders.org
Builders utlook
Hunt is developing family focused neighborhoodsin both east and west El Paso.
Our communities feature amenities such as neighborhood parks, walking trails, bike paths,and landscaped roadways.
Only in a community by Hunt will you find home options for everyone – from the first-time buyerto those searching for their ultimate dream home.
www.huntcompanies.com
DEVELOPING DREAMS.IN EAST AND WESTEL PASO.
EAST Horizon MesaEastlake Boulevard to Horizon Mesa Boulevard
Emerald EstatesEastlake Boulevard to Emerald Park Drive
Emerald PassEastlake Boulevard to Emerald Sands Drive
Mission Ridgewww.liveatmissionridge.comI-10 and Eastlake Boulevard
WEST Cimarronwww.liveatcimarron.comHelen of Troy at Redd Road