building new generation may11_2006
TRANSCRIPT
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MMEA Presentation
Building New Baseload
Generation in the Midwest
Black & Veatch
May 11, 2006
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Process Steps for New Generation
Monte CarloAnalysis
SystemsAnalysis
Licensing /Permitting
PreliminarySchedules
PreliminaryCost
Estimates
ProjectSchedule
SystemDefinitions
ArrangementDrawings
DetailedCost
Estimates
CommercialConstructionStrategies
SoilsTesting
ConceptualEngineering
Feasibili ty / Init ialEngineering
Feasibili ty / InitialEngineering
Conceptual / DefinitionEngineering
Conceptual / DefinitionEngineering
Project ExecutionProject Execution
MarketAssessment
FeasibilityStudy
PlantConfiguration
Study
SelectMajor
Equipment
EngineeringReview
ProcurementAssistance
ConstructionManagement
StartupAssistance
OperatorTraining
ProjectPlanning
& Controls
ProjectCompletion
Beyond
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
U.S. Energy Market Signals Remain
Favorable for New Coal-Fired Generation
Over 80 GW of
Planned New
U.S. CoalProjects
Of the 16 Units Under
Construction, We Are
Involved In 6
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Tri-State
Springerville
400 MW
Manatowoc
Unit 9
63 MW
MidAmerican
CB4
790 MW
Xcel
King
600 MW
Santee Coop.
Cross Unit 3580 MW
WPSC
Weston 4
532 MW
Black Hills
Wyg2 , Unit 4
90 MW
Newmont
TS Plant200 MW
OPPD
NC2
663 MW
WE Energies
Elm Road 1
615 MW
Santee Coop.
Cross Unit 4580 MW
CLECO
Rodemacher
600 MW
EKPC
Spurlock 4
278 MW
CWLP
Dallman 34
201 MW
Xcel
Comanche 3
750 MW
WE Energies
Elm Rd. 2
615 MW
Sunflower
Holcomb 2600 MW
NAPG
Two Elk
280 MW
CPS
Spruce 2
758 MW
LSP
Plum Point 1
665 MW
KCP&L
Iatan Unit 2
750 MW
NRGBig Cajn. II, 4
675 MW
Peabody
Prairie St. 1
750 MW
TXU
Oakgrove
850 MW
TXU
Sandow 5575 MW
EKPC
J.K. Smith 1
278 MW
BS II Owners
Big Stone II
600 MW
AECI
Norborne 1
660 MW
Basin Elec.
NE Wyoming250 MW
LG&E
Trimble Cty 2
732 MW
HG2 Owners
Hugo Unit 2
750 MW
CUS
Southwest 2
275 MW
LSP
Texas
600-800 MW
Sierra PacificWhite Pine
750 MW
LSP
Blk Hwk Iowa
600 MW
LSP
Nevada
600-800 MW
Tri-State
Holcomb 3600 MW
PPGA
Hastings 2
220 MW
Seminole
Palatka 3
750 MW
BPU
Nearmn Cr 2235 MW
Peabody
Prairie St. 2
750 MW
JEA/FMPA
N. Florida
800 MW
Dominion
SW VA Proj.
600 MW
UAMPs/Pacif
Intermt. 3
950 MW
FPLFlorida Unit 1
850 MW
LSP
Georgia
600-800 MW
Tri-State
Holcomb 4
600 MW
WPSC
Baseload II
530 MW
FPL
Florida Unit 2
850 MW
Pacificorp
Hunter 4500 MW
Sierra Pacific
White Pine
750 MW
Tri-State
CO Coal Unit
656 MW
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Units
Under Construction
Full NTP With Permits
LNTP, or NTP With Limit onConstruction
Detailed Design Awarded, orEPC Award / LOI WithoutLNTP
Development & PermittingWork Awarded(Selected Basis)
U.S. CoalProjects
(Units and COD)
MDU
Hardin, Mont.116 MW
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Black & Veatch Current Coal Projects
2010EPC665 MWPlum Point Energy StationLS Power
2006OE2 x 300 MWPrimadaya (PT S2P)PT Sumber Segara
2009EPC201 MWDallman Unit 34CWLP
2012Conceptual Design /Permitting Support
220 MWWhelan Energy Center 2PPGA
2011EpCM600 MWBig Stone IIBig Stone II OwnershipGroup
2011Conceptual Engineering /
Cost Estimate1 x 130 MWAlaska Coal Project
Chugach ElectricAssociation, Inc.
2008OE / P1 x 90 MWWygen 2 Unit 4Black Hills Energy
2010EPC758 MWJ.K. Spruce Unit 2CPS
2009EPC663 MWNebraska City Unit 2OPPD
2008Ep, Field Engr., SU532 MWWeston Unit 4WPSC
2007Ep2 x 250 MWBhilai, IndiaBESCL
2007Ep600 MWKing Rehabilitation ProjectXcel Energy
2006EP2 x 660 MWTanjung Jati BPower Plant
Sumitomo Corporation
Scope CODProject SizeProjectOwner
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CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Ill inois
201 MW PC Subcritical Unit
Designed to Burn High
Sulfur Illinois Coals
Contract Signed:October 3, 2005
B&V Role: EP
KIC Role: C
EPC JV: KIC and B&V
FW Boiler, Toshiba Turbine
Generator
FF, Wet FGD, Wet ESP
Scheduled Completion:September 2009
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Ill inois
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New Generation Project Layout and Design Basis
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Site Plan
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Dallman Site
CityWaterPlant
Unit 3
Units 1and 2
FGDUnit 3 FGD and 1,2,
and 3 Limestoneand Dewatering
Units 1and 2
LakesidePlant
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Coal Pile
Existing
Truckunloading
ExistingStockoutNew
UnitStockout
NewTransferConveyor
New UnitReclaim
andConveyor
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Cooling Tower
SoundWall
DrainageTrench
Sound and PlumeAbated Cooling
Tower
LakeSpringfield
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Overall AQCS
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City of Springfield 3-D Model
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Project Schedule
CWLP
Begin EPCSpec Prep / RFQ
Responses Due
Select EPC BidderStart Negotiations
Issue RFQStartPhase 1
EPCContract
AwardEngr
-38 -16 -15 -5 -4 -2 0 47
ReceivePermit
-10
Permit ApplicationSubmitted
5
StartConstruction
NTP Mobilization StartSite Modification
ReceiveEPCBids
IssueEPC RFP
-11
GuaranteedPower
Delivery Sept2009
-25 -24
Phase 1Complete
Start Phase 2Engr andPermitting
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Actual U.S. Coal Plant
Construction Schedules
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Months
600 700 MW
250 400 MW
5858
5050
3737
4444
425 500 MW
100 200 MW
75 100 MW
3737
4646
4040
3434
4040
2828
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
76
52
68
72
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
April 2004 October
2004
April 2005 January
2006
Wee
ks
Market and Sourcing Example
Pipe Material to Fabricator Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
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20 to 24
161616
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2003 2004 2005 2006
Weeks
Market and Sourcing Example
Total Structural Steel Mill Order Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
Mill Order Times:
2003 to 2005 = 8 Wks 2006 = 12 to 16 Wks
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Dec 2003 May 2005 Sep 2005 January 2006
Months
Market and Sourcing Example
Steam Turbine Lead Times
Significant Factor in Project Schedules
1820 20
22-24
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Escalation Summary Market and Sourcing
Price Escalation on Commodities Such as Steel,Copper and Alloy Have Driven Prices and LeadTimes Up Dramatically
AQCS Equipment Extremely Tight Market Due toOngoing Retrofit Work (30% Materials Required)
Boiler Prices Increasing (30% Materials Required)
The E&C Industry Is Also Tight With a
Limited Number of Capable Players
Increasing Coal Plant Costs
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300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Jan'04
Dec
'04
Jan'05
Dec
'05
Jan'06
Month
$/Ton
Total Mill Price
Escalation Example Steel
36%
Increase
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Escalation LaborAs-Stated Escalation Rates for Midwest Coal Project
6.1%$21.90*$20.70$19.50Laborers
5.2%$30.10$28.60$27.80Boilermaker
7.2%$29.35$27.50$25.65Carpenter
6.2%Average
6.0%$34.43*$32.58*$30.73Electricians
6.4%$36.93$34.83$32.73Pipefitter
7.4%$28.80$26.95$25.10Ironworker
6.2%$33.70$31.85$30.00Millwright
5.3%$31.06*$29.56$28.06Operators
2007 Rate
Annual
Escalation
Rate
2006 Rate2005 RateCraft
*Future Estimate
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Total Craft Labor Full Time Equivalents
(FTEs)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
FTE's
Based on
U.S. Coal
Projects Slide(Units and COD)
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Equipment Suppliers Boilers
Alstom Power
Babcock & Wilcox
Foster Wheeler
Babcock Power
IHI, Inc.
Mitsubishi Power
Mitsui Babcock
Babcock Hitachi
Domestic Based International Based
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Equipment Suppliers STGs
Alstom Power
General Electric
Mitsubishi Power
Siemens Westinghouse
Toshiba
Hitachi
Fuji
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
Equipment Suppliers FGD, Fabric Filters
and Electrostatic Precipitators
XMarsulex
XAdvaTech (MHI & URS)
XXXXXWheelabrator
XHitachi
XXXHamon RCXChiyoda
XXXXXBabcock & Wilcox
XXBabcock Power
XXXXXAlstom Power
Wet ESPDry ESPFFWet FGDDry FGD
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Confidential information. Copyright Black & Veatch Corporation, 2005. All rights reserved.
CWLP Dallman 34, Springfield, Ill inois