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Impact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on Quality and Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time
Series Analysis.
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID bmjopen-2018-024514
Article Type: Research
Date Submitted by the Author: 04-Jun-2018
Complete List of Authors: Devkaran, Subashnie; Cleveland Clinic AbuDhabi, Quality and Patient Safety; Edinburgh Business School, O'Farrell, Patrick ; Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh Business School,
Emeritus Professor of Economics Ellahham, Samer; Sheikh Khalifa Medical City Arcangel, Randy; Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University
Keywords: Joint Commission International, healthcare quality measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis, hospital accreditation
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TITLE PAGE:
Impact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on Quality and
Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time Series Analysis
1Dr. Subashnie Devkaran, PhD, FACHE, MScHM, CPHQ, FISQUa.
2Prof. Patrick N. O'Farrell, BA, PhD.
3Dr. Samer Ellahham, MD.
4Mr. Randy Arcangel, BSc.
1Corresponding author: Director, Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Cleveland Clinic Abu
Dhabi. United Arab Emirates. P.O. Box 48481, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates,
Telephone:+971 505215866, Fax:+9712 410 8374, Email: [email protected]
2Emeritus Professor of Economics, Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University,
Riccarton, Edinburgh, UK.
3Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Sheikh Khalifa Medical City, Abu Dhabi, United Arab
Emirates.
4Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University. Philippines
Key words: hospital accreditation, Joint Commission International, healthcare quality
measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis
Word count: 3745
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ABSTRACT
Objective. To evaluate whether hospital re-accreditation improves quality, patient safety and
reliability over three accreditation cycles by testing the accreditation life cycle model on
quality measures.
Design. The validity of the life cycle model was tested by calibrating interrupted time series
(ITS) regression equations for 27 quality measures. The change in the variation of quality
over the three accreditation cycles was evaluated using The Levene’s test.
Setting. A 650 bed tertiary academic hospital in Abu Dhabi, UAE.
Participants. Each month (over 96 months) a simple random sample of 10% of patient
records was selected and audited resulting in a total of 388,800 observations from 14,500
records.
Intervention(s). The impact of hospital accreditation on the 27 quality measures was
observed for 96 months, one year pre- accreditation (2007) and three years’ post-
accreditation for each of the three accreditation cycles (2008, 2011 and 2014).
Main Outcome Measure(s). The life cycle model was evaluated by aggregating the data for
27 quality measures to produce a composite score (YC) and to fit an interrupted time series
(ITS) regression equation to the unweighted monthly mean of the series.
Results. The results validate the four phases of the life cycle namely, the initiation phase, the
pre-survey phase, the post-accreditation slump and the stagnation phase. Furthermore, the life
cycle model explains 87 percent of the variation in quality compliance measures (R2 =0.87).
The best fit interrupted time series model contains two significant variables (�1 and �3) (p≤
0.001).The Levene’s test (p ≤ 0.05) demonstrated a significant reduction in variation of the
quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation cycles.
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Conclusion: The study demonstrates that accreditation has the capacity to sustain
improvements over the accreditation cycle. The significant reduction in the variation of the
quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation cycles indicates that accreditation
supports the goal of high reliability.
ARTICLE FOCUS
• Do hospitals maintain compliance with quality measures over the re-accreditation cycles?
• Do subsequent accreditation surveys reduce variation in quality and increase reliability?
• Is the accreditation life cycle model an appropriate and statistically valid explanation of
the pattern of quality performance over the accreditation cycle?
KEY MESSAGES
• Interrupted time series analysis is an effective method for studying quality interventions
such as accreditation.
• This research has further developed the conceptual framework of hospital accreditation –
the Life Cycle Model - by (1) by studying another hospital over an extended 8 year period
from January 2007 to end December 2014; (2) by conducting an interrupted time series
analysis of 27 quality compliance measures over a period incorporating three separate
accreditation surveys; and (3) by evaluating the impact of subsequent accreditation
surveys on variation in quality and reliability.
STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY
• The study uses interrupted time series, an alternative to the randomised control trial which
is a gold standard by which effectiveness is measured in clinical disciplines.
• This is the second interrupted time series analysis of hospital accreditation.
• This is also the first study on hospital accreditation over 3 accreditation cycles and
validates the life cycle model on hospital accreditation.
• The study is limited to one hospital in the UAE.
• The quality measures were dependent on the accuracy of documentation in the patient
record.
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INTRODUCTION
Both the frequency and magnitude of medical errors in hospital settings is a matter of public
concern globally. Consequently, healthcare leaders are seeking rigorous methods for
improving and sustaining quality of healthcare outcomes in hospitals. Hospital accreditation
is the strategy most often selected to improve quality and it has become an integral part of
healthcare systems in more than 90 countries.[1]
A key constraint for hospitals is the cost of accreditation, a process that consumes resources
that could be used for frontline medical services.[2] There are two key questions: (1) Does
accreditation make a difference to the quality of care and hospital performance? and (2) to
what extent is any positive effect, if evident, sustainable over time? The literature, however,
shows inconsistent results over the impact and effectiveness of hospital accreditation.[3-7]
Greenfield and Braithwaite investigated the outcomes across 66 studies and inconsistent
findings were reported for the relationship between quality measures and accreditation.[5]
Furthermore, Devkaran and O’Farrell have argued that rigorous empirical studies that
evaluate whether hospitals sustain compliance with quality and patient safety standards over
the accreditation cycle are lacking.[8] Most previous research has used cross sectional
designs and/or comparative static analysis of data at two points in time.[9-11] In order to
draw causal inferences on the impact of accreditation on quality and patient safety measures,
a dynamic analysis is necessary. This was accomplished by pioneering the use of an
interrupted time series model to analyse the impact of accreditation on quality compliance
measures in a single hospital over a 4 year period.[8,12] We also outlined a new conceptual
framework of hospital accreditation - the Life Cycle model- and presented statistical
evidence to support it.[8]
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In this paper we advance the research in four important ways: (1) by extending the time
period of the analysis from 4 to 8 years; (2) by analysing data for a series of quality
measures at a hospital over 8 years between January 2007 and December 2014, a period
incorporating three separate accreditation cycles; (3) by comparing the results of this
hospital ( Hospital B) accreditation time series with our previous study hospital, a 150 bed ,
multi-speciality, acute care hospital (hospital A) in Abu Dhabi, UAE; and (4) by evaluating
the extent to which subsequent accreditation cycles impacts on the variation in quality.
Conceptual framework: the Life cycle model
Based on the Joint Commission International (JCI) accreditation strategy, most hospitals will
pass through various phases during the process of accreditation.[13] Devkaran and O’Farrell
hypothesised four distinct phases of the accreditation cycle and derived predictions
concerning the time series trend of compliance during each phase.[8] The predictions
constitute the building blocks of the Life Cycle Model. The first Initiation Phase is
characterised by a gradual improvement in compliance to standards with a positive change of
slope for the quality measures. The second – Presurvey Phase - occurs within 3 to 6 months
of the accreditation survey. A marked improvement (ramp up) in compliance occurs during
this phase, because staff are aware of the proximity of the survey and because the
organisation invests resources in preparation. The peak level of compliance performance
occurs during this phase. During the third phase – the Post-accreditation Slump –a drop in
levels of compliance occurs immediately following the accreditation survey followed by a
negative change in slope over time.8 Finally, the Stagnation Phase follows the post-
accreditation slump and there is an undulating plateau of compliance characterised by
sporadic changes, but at an overall level substantially above pre-accreditation values.[8]
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METHODS
Study population
The study was conducted in a publicly funded 650-bed, multi-specialty, acute-care hospital in
Abu Dhabi, UAE. The annual inpatient census is approximately 18,000. The hospital treats
approximately 220,000 ambulatory care patients per year.
Patient involvement
No patients were involved in this study.
Data collection
To test the life cycle model, a total of 27 quality measures were recorded each month at the
hospital, over an eight year period, including three JCI accreditation surveys (Table 1). The
quality measures were selected by an expert panel to ensure the: (1) interpretability, enabling
direct correlation with a specific JCI standard; (2) consistency, with high values indicating
better quality; and (3)systems-based, measures designed to evaluate a system/ domain of
quality rather than a single process. The outcome measures for the time series analysis
incorporated clinical quality measures and were expressed as percentages, proportions or
rates (Table 1). These performance differences were compared across monthly intervals
between four time segments, one year pre- accreditation, three years post-accreditation cycle
one, three years post accreditation cycle two and one year post accreditation cycle 3 for the
selected quality measures. The principal data source was a random sample of 14, 500 patient
records drawn from 10% of the patient population during the study period resulting on
388,800 observations.
Quality measures that displayed an inverse relationship to percentage measures were
transformed. For example, ‘percentage of patients with myocardial infarction within 72
hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery’ was transformed to ‘percentage of patients
without myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery,’
thus equating higher values to good quality. The measures represent both important
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indicators of quality- including patient assessment, surgical procedures, infection control and
patient safety –and 9 of the 14 chapters of the JCI Hospital Standards manual.[14]
Table 1: Quality measure descriptions for the SKMC ( Hospital B) Time Series Analysis
Measures Value Rationale
Y1 Percentage of patients with
complete Medical History and
Physical Examination done within
24 hours of admission
Percentage To monitor the completion of History
and Physical Examination reports
Y2 Percentage of inpatients who have
allergies assessed and documented
on admission
Percentage To provide appropriate treatment to
patients with allergies
Y3 Hospital acquired pressure ulcer
incidence (transformed)
Percentage
Y4 STAT laboratory orders completed
within 1 hour
Percentage STAT orders are laboratory requests
requiring a TAT of less than 60
minutes usually due to medical
emergency. The indicator provides a
valuable tool for addressing the
medical and logistical necessities
underlying STAT ordering practices
Y5 STAT emergency room Troponin
orders with a turnaround time
(TAT) within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency of the total
testing cycle, from order entry to
availability of results, for STAT
Troponin orders from all emergency
locations
Y6 STAT Potassium order with TAT
within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the processing efficiency
(from specimen receipt to result
verification) for STAT and Routine
orders from all locations. Potassium is
the Chemistry indicator.
Y7 STAT Hemoglobin with TAT
within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the processing efficiency
(from specimen receipt to result
verification) for STAT and Routine
orders from all locations. Hemoglobin
is the Hematology indicator.
Y8 Percentage of patients with
myocardial infarction within 72
hours after coronary artery bypass
graft surgery ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors surgical procedure
complications
Y9 Percentage of Completed Pre-
Anaesthesia Assessments
Percentage Monitors anesthesia compliance with
the standards
Y10 Percentage of patients with
completed pre-induction
assessments.
Percentage Monitors whether patient is fit for
anesthesia
Y11 Percentage of patients with post-
dural headache post anesthesia
(transformed)
Percentage Monitors this as a complication within
72 hours of surgery done under
epidural or spinal anesthesia, or after
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delivery under epidural labor analgesia
Y12 Percentage of patients with a
prolonged post anesthesia care unit
(PACU) stay (>2 hours)
(transformed)
Percentage To measure delays in recovery
Y13 Red blood cell (RBC) unit
expiration rate ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors the RBC expiration rate. It
ensures that RBC wastage is kept to a
minimum
Y14 Percentage of STAT Cross matches
done within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency (from
specimen receipt in the Blood Bank to
the completion of the cross match to
antihuman globulin phase with the red
cell unit(s) appropriately tagged and
ready for release) of STAT cross
match orders required for immediate
transfusion
Y15 Percentage of correct documents in
the medical record
Percentage Monitors the accuracy of the
documents filed in the medical record.
Y16 Percentage of “Do Not Use
Abbreviations” documented in the
Medical Record ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors the usage of unapproved
abbreviations in the medical records
Y17 Central Line-associated
Bloodstream Infection (CL-BSI)
rate in ICU per 1000 device days
( transformed)
Percentage Monitors Bloodstream Infection rate
related to Central Lines in the ICU
Y18 Indwelling catheter-associated
Urinary Tract Infection (UTI) Rate
in ICU per 1000 device days
(transformed)
Percentage Monitors Indwelling catheter-
associated Urinary Tract Infections
(UTI) in the ICU
Y19 Ventilator Associated Pneumonia
(VAP) rate in per 1000 device
days( transformed)
Percentage Monitors Ventilator Associated
Pneumonia (VAP) in the ICU
Y20 Overall Health Care Associated
Infection Rate / 1000 patients bed
days ( transformed)
Percentage Rate of the main health care associated
infections that are being monitored in
the hospital per 1000 patients days
Y21 Percentage of Supply Wastage
value in the Consumable Store (
transformed)
Percentage Monitors capital due of Expired items
in Consumable Store
Y22 Pulmonary TB cases reported to the
Health Authority within 24 hours of
diagnosis
Percentage Ensures that newly diagnosed TB
cases are reported as per the law
Y23 Percentage of adverse events
reported per 1000 patient days
Percentage Monitors the culture of safety in the
organization
Y24 Readmissions within 48 hours per
1000 discharges ( transformed)
Percentage Rate of readmitted patients is an
important balancing measure to
indicate if changes to patient flow
through the system are negatively
affecting care.
Y25 Unplanned Readmission rate within Percentage Monitors unplanned readmission rates
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one month per 1000 discharges
(transformed)
to hospital within one month
following discharge. Readmissions
may be indications of quality issues
related to shortened length of stay and
premature discharge.
Y26 Hand Hygiene Observation Rate Percentage Compliant hand hygiene patient care
practices per 100 patient care practices
Y27 Inpatient fall rate per 1000 patients
days ( transformed)
Percentage Patient falls occurring during
hospitalization can result in serious
harm.
Source: author
Study design
Interrupted time series analysis is the most powerful quasi-experimental design for evaluating
the longitudinal effects of an intervention (e.g. accreditation) on an outcome of interest where
the trend before the accreditation intervention is used as a control period. The advantage of
this method over a simple before -and- after study is due to the repeated monthly measures of
variables, while controlling for seasonality, secular trends and changes in the environment.
Shifts in level (intercept) or slope, with P<0.05, were defined as statistically significant.
Segmented regression models fit a least squares regression line to each segment of the
independent variable, time, and thus assume a linear relationship between time and the
outcome within each segment.[15] The following linear regression equation is specified to
estimate the levels and trends in the dependent variable before each of three accreditations,
and the changes in levels and trends after each accreditation:
Yt = β0 + β1×t1 + β2×I1 + β3×t2 + β4×I2 + β5×t3 + β6×I3 + β7×t4 + et .........(1)
Where Yt is the outcome, for example, the inpatient fall rate per 1000 patient days; time t1,
t2, t3 and t4 indicates time in months from the start of each observation period to the end of
the period; interventions I1, I2, and I3 are dummy variables taking the value 0 before the
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intervention and 1 after the intervention. In this model β0 is the baseline level of the
outcome at the beginning of the series; β1 the slope prior to accreditation, that is the baseline
trend; β2, β4, and β6 are the changes in level immediately after each accreditation; and β3, β5
and β7 are the changes in slopes from pre-accreditation to post the three accreditations,
respectively, and represents the monthly mean of the outcome variable; and et is the random
error term.
Data analysis
First, a plot of observations against time was completed in order to reveal key features of the
data, including trend, seasonality, outliers, turning points and any discontinuities. Second,
segmented regression models were fitted using ordinary least squares regression analysis; and
the results reported as level and trend changes. Third, the Durbin-Watson (DW) statistic was
used to test for the presence of two types of autocorrelation: (1) the autoregressive process
and (2) the moving average process. If the DW was significant, the model was adjusted by
estimating the autocorrelation parameter and including it in the segmented regression model.
Fourth, the Dickey- Fuller statistic was used to test for stationarity and seasonality. A series
displaying seasonality or some other non-stationary pattern was controlled by taking the
difference of the series from one period to the next and then analysing this differenced series.
Since seasonality induces autoregressive and moving average processes, the detection and
inclusion of a seasonal component was implemented in the time series models using the
Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA), ARMA and dynamic regression. Fifth, since no
major hospital changes occurred during the period, it may be assumed that the accreditation
interventions were the key events to impact the time series. The analysis was conducted
using EViews 7.0. In order to verify whether the accreditation process exhibits the life cycle
effect, the statistical predictions specified for the 27 measures were tested.
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The ultimate confirmatory test of the Life Cycle model and of the impact of three separate
accreditations is to aggregate the data for all 27 quality compliance measures to produce a
composite score (YC) and to fit an interrupted time series regression equation to an
unweighted mean monthly value of the series.
RESULTS
Table 2 outlines the interrupted time series equations for the 27 quality compliance measures.
Several equations display autocorrelation, in which cases the autoregressive (AR) or moving
average (MA) variable was included to correct for it. First, 78% of the β1 coefficients ( the
slope prior to the first accreditation) are positive, as predicted and half are statistically
significant (Table 2). Conversely, 26% of the coefficients are negative, but only three are
significant. Second, the β2 coefficients – the change in level following the first accreditation
– are negative and significant in five cases and positive and significant in six. Hence, in 60%
of cases the first intervention effect is not significant. The β3 slope coefficient results are
more mixed following the first accreditation: in five cases, coefficients are both negative and
significant, and also five are positive and significant. Conversely, for 63% of cases there is
no significant effect. Fourth, in the case of the second intervention, β4, seven coefficients are
both negative and significant, whereas only four positive coefficients are significant. For β5,
the second post-accreditation slope, 59% of the coefficients are not significant but 8 of the 11
significant slopes are negative. Similarly, some 85% of the coefficients on (β6) – the third
intervention – are not statistically significant ; and, finally, 86% of the post-accreditation
slopes (β7) are not significant (Table 2).
The results of the overall test, using a composite score (YC), are summarised in Table 3.
Diagnostic assumption tests show that there is autocorrelation. Hence, the model was
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adjusted by estimating the autocorrelation parameter AR (1) and incorporating it in the
segmented regression model; inclusion of it eliminates the autocorrelation problem (Table 3).
The slope prior to the first accreditation (β1) is positive and highly significant, as predicted by
the Life Cycle model of Devkaran and O’Farrell.[8,12] The change in level following the
first accreditation survey (β2) is unexpectedly positive, but is not significant. The post-
accreditation slope (β3), however, is negative and statistically significant, as postulated by the
model. The changes in level following the second and third accreditation surveys are both
negative, but are not significant (Table 3). Similarly, the post-accreditation slopes following
these two later surveys are both negative, as hypothesised, but are not significant. The R2
value for the composite model with the AR(1) function indicates that over 87% of the
variation in quality compliance outcomes is explained (Table 3). There is, however, a
problem with multicollinearity. Inspection of the three post-accreditation slopes in Figure 1
shows a long gently undulating plateau of compliance which is consistent with the non-
significance of the second and third accreditations; and is substantiated by the evidence that
the mean compliance level before the first accreditation was 89.2% and, following the three
accreditations, the mean levels were 95.2%, 96.3% and 97.4%, respectively. Given that our
model has a high R2 value of 0.87 , it is a useful predictive tool, although it results in
somewhat unstable parameter an estimate which makes it more difficult to assess the effect of
individual independent variables.
Clearly, we cannot forecast precisely what would have occurred if the one accreditation in
2008 had not been followed by subsequent survey visits in 2011 and 2014, i.e. the
counterfactual position. However, if compliance had been allowed to slip following the first
survey, it would be expected that improvements in quality would occur both before the
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second and third surveys in 2011 and 2014; and that there would also be falls in levels of
compliance immediately following these surveys. None of these outcomes occurred. This
implies that once a high level of compliance has been achieved after the initial accreditation
survey, it is highly likely to be maintained ( Figure. 1).
Finally, we compare the results of the composite model (YC) for the 27 measures (hospital
B) with that of the 23 quality measures for the 150 bed hospital A ( Figure.2) [8,12]. A
number of interesting patterns are apparent. First, the slopes prior to accreditation ( β2) are
both positive and highly significant, as hypothesised. Second, the change in level following
the first accreditation survey (β3) signals a significant decline in compliance , as predicted,
in the case of hospital A; while for the current study, hospital B, the effect is not significant.
Third, as postulated, the post-accreditation slope (β3) is both negative and statistically
significant for each hospital. Fourth, there is a striking similarity in the shape of the two
graphs with a marked improvement in compliance during the first Pre-Survey Phase; a drop
in the level of compliance following the accreditation survey at hospital A, while similar falls
in level were recorded after two of the three accreditations at hospital B, followed in both
hospitals by undulating plateaus of compliance, at a level substantially greater than those
recorded prior to the first accreditation survey. Fifth, a notable feature of the results is that,
although the pattern of compliance change is very similar, the level of compliance at hospital
B is slightly higher: for the pre-survey phase the average level of compliance at hospital B is
87.40% compared with 79.5% at hospital A; while for the post-accreditation period, the
hospital B compliance average of 96% also exceeds that of hospital A (93%).
Finally, having demonstrated that there is a significant difference between group means of the
composite measure (YC), we tested the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference
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between the group variances. The results of Levene's test show that the hypothesis of
homogeneity of variances is rejected at P<0.05 (Table 4). Therefore, there is a significant
difference between the four group variances and Figure 3 (the box plot) shows that the
variances decrease after each successive accreditation. Hence, with the exception of the
means for groups C and D, successive accreditations lead to an increase in the mean and
decrease in the variance of the composite compliance measure(YC). The results of the
confirmatory test of the proposed Life Cycle model, using a composite score (YC) of the 27
quality measures, provide proof of the life cycle model.
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Table 2: Time series analysis for the 27 quality measures
Response
Variable
Model
Model Validation and Parameter Estimation Diagnostic tests
Intercept(
βo) Time(β1)
Interventi
on (β2)
Tim_Aft_I
nt (β3)
interventio
n2(β4)
t_aft_int_
2(β5)
interventio
n3(β6)
t_aft_int_
3(β7) AR(1) MA(1)
F-
stati
stics
R2
Autocorrelation (AC)
Check Durbin
Watson
Test for
Seasonality/
Stationarity:
(Dickey
Fuller Unit
Root Test)
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
p-
valu
e
Result of Durbin
Watson
p-value
Result
(Y1) % patients
with complete
Medical
History and
Physical
Examination
within 24 hrs
Full Model
25.59
0.00
4.51
0.00
4.04
0.29
-4.47
0.00
0.52
0.86
0.00
0.99
-0.10
0.98
-0.03
0.96 0.00
87.
0%
2.
74
1.
26
No
Autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y2) % of
inpatients who
have an
allergies
documented
on admission
Full Model
86.00
0.00
0.40
0.06
3.94
0.07
-0.29
0.19
-2.18
0.20
-0.03
0.68
-0.18
0.94
-0.13
0.71 0.00
53.
3%
1.
61
2.
39
No
Autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y3) Hospital
acquired
pressure ulcer
incidence
(transformed)
Full Model
99.20
0.00
-0.01
0.58
-0.18
0.24
0.03
0.05
-0.04
0.75
-0.02
0.00
-0.01
0.95
0.00
0.91 0.00
52.
3%
1.
64
2.
36
No
Autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
Y4) STAT
(within 1 hour)
order rate (first
differencing)
75.20
0.00
0.32
0.03
0.92
0.50
-0.17
0.26
2.45
0.02
-0.26
0.00
2.51
0.13
-0.24
0.27
0.85
0.00
0.00 78.
0%
1.
85
2.
15
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
after
first
differ
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encin
g
(Y5) STAT ER
Troponin with
TAT within 1
hour (with
MA1)
94.93
0.00
-0.16
0.27
4.05
0.00
0.18
0.25
-1.61
0.17
0.09
0.12
-0.41
0.82
-0.17
0.47
0.52
0.00
0.00 45.
7%
1.
91
2.
09
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y6) STAT
Potassium with
TAT within 1
hour(with
MA1)
82.80
0.00
1.21
0.00
-4.18
0.00
-1.16
0.00
-2.32
0.01
0.01
0.91
0.91
-0.09
-0.03
0.86
0.74
0.00
0.00 79.
7%
1.
73
2.
27
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y7) STAT
Hemoglobin
with TAT
within 1 hour
(with MA1)
96.28
0.00
0.04
0.45
-0.03
0.95
0.00
0.98
0.95
0.04
-0.07
0.00
-0.62
0.36
0.18
0.36
0.33
0.00
0.00 44.
0%
1.
88
2.
12
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y8) Percentage
of patients
without
myocardial
infarction
within 72
hours after
coronary
artery bypass
graft surgery
99.94
0.00
-0.04
0.77
-1.15
0.44
0.09
0.54
-1.41
0.25
0.01
0.89
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
5.3
5%
0.
00
2.
19
No
autocorr
elation
0.5
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y9)
Completion of
pre-
anaesthesia
assessments
59.72
0.00
3.10
0.00
-6.68
0.05
-3.38
0.00
5.80
0.03
0.47
0.00
-1.41
0.73
-0.42
0.45
0.00
65.
95
%
0.
00
1.
57
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y10)
Completion of
Immediate
pre-induction
assessments
55.22
0.00
3.13
0.00
-8.60
0.00
-3.03
0.00
0.23
0.91
-0.03
0.81
-0.22
0.95
-0.08
0.85
0.00
80
.11
%
0.
00
1.
83
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Serie
s is
statio
nary
(Y11) Percent of
patients
without post
dural puncture
headaches
100.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
-1.61
0.04
0.06
0.44
-0.59
0.33
-0.06
0.04
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.02
12.
37
%
0.
00
2.
10
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
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(Y12) Prolonged
recovery more
than 2 hours
(transformed)
(First
differencing)
96.85
0.00
0.04
0.00
-3.53
0.00
-0.05
0.72
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
0.37
0.00 0.00
28.
20
%
0.
00
1.
83
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y13)
percentage of
red blood cell
units expired
(transformed)
99.74
0.00
0.02
0.82
-0.17
0.87
-0.03
0.79
-2.62
0.00
-0.09
0.03
-0.40
0.74
-0.12
0.47
0.01
18
.96
%
0.
00
2.
07
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Serie
s is
statio
nary
(Y14) Stat
crossmatch
within 1 hour
90.11
0.00
0.05
0.00
2.05
0.06
0.06
0.44
-0.82
0.00
-0.03
0.66
0.18
0.93
-0.05
0.85
0.02
47.
69
%
0.
00
1.
49
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Serie
s is
statio
nary
(Y15)
percentage of
correct
documents
filed in the
record
96.81
0.00
0.07
0.00
2.20
0.13
0.70
0.00
0.72
0.70
-0.13
0.16
-0.14
0.96
0.01
0.97
0.00
40.
90
%
0.
00
1.
85
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y16)
Percentage of
unapproved
abbreviations
used
( transformed)
15.23
0.00
-0.26
0.00
2.72
0.62
2.33
0.30
-0.04
0.99
0.53
0.05
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00 0.00
23.
82
%
0.
00
1.
69
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y17) central
line associated
bloodstream
infections
(transformed)
99.51
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.21
0.01
0.00
0.10
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
0.00
28.
20
%
0.
00
1.
83
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y18) Indwelling
catheter-
associated
Urinary Tract
Infection (UTI)
Rate
(transformed)
99.76
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.16
0.01
0.01
0.53
-0.03
0.74
-0.01
0.00
0.24
0.05
-0.03
0.05
0.00
23.
21
%
0.
00
1.
96
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y19) Ventilator
Associated
Pneumonia
(VAP) rate
(transformed)
First
99.51
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.21
0.05
0.09
0.00
0.06
0.58
-0.03
0.00
0.07
0.68
0.00
0.85
0.48
0.00
0.00
40.
22
%
0.
00
2.
05
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
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differencing
(Y20) Overall
Health Care
Associated
Infection Rate
( transformed)
99.92
0.00
0.00
0.09
-0.00
0.91
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.11
-0.00
0.38
-0.02
0.35
0.01
0.26 0.03
15
.38
%
0.
00
1.
80
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y21)
Percentage of
Supply
Wastage value
( transformed)
first
differencing
99.97
0.00
-0.01
0.01
0.01
0.78
0.02
0.00
-0.03
0.29
-0.01
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.60
0.00 0.00
55.
61
%
0.
00
2.
05
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y22)
Pulmonary TB
cases reported
to PMD within
24 hours of
diagnosis
first
differencing
29.05
0.01
0.25
0.21
25.26
0.08
-0.93
0.58
-24.29
0.06
-0.24
0.71
-26.04
0.19
4.44
0.09
0.26
0.00
0.00
27.
39
%
0.
00
2.
05
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
2
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y23) Adverse
event reports
per 1000
patient days
( transformed)
First
differencing
99.76
0.00
-0.02
0.00
0.32
0.24
-0.03
0.32
0.72
0.00
0.01
0.61
-0.06
0.85
-0.01
0.87
0.68
0.00
0.00
75.
67
%
0.
00
2.
07
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y24)
Readmission
within 48
hours per 1000
discharges
( transformed)
First
differencing
98.43
0.00
0.05
0.22
-0.37
0.35
-0.05
0.22
-0.70
0.03
0.02
0.14
-2.25
0.00
0.37
0.00
0.70
0.00 0.00
48.
36
%
0.
00
1.
91
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
0
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y25)
Unplanned
Readmission
91.76
0.00
0.13
0.43
-0.51
0.73
-0.15
0.36
-3.36
0.00
0.22
0.00
-9.58
0.00
1.20
0.00
0.74
0.00 0.00
45.
10
%
0.
00
1.
79
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
4
Series
is
statio
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rate within one
month per
1000
discharges
( transformed)
First
differencing
nary
(Y26) Hand
Hygiene
Observation
Rate
First
differencing
67.05
0.00
-0.02
0.96
8.19
0.09
0.36
0.50
-5.23
0.17
-0.33
0.08
4.36
0.45
-0.61
0.44
0.69
0.00 0.00
59.
03
%
0.
00
1.
93
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
1
Series
is
statio
nary
(Y33) Inpatient
fall rate
( transformed)
First
differencing
99.9
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.00
0.10
0.02
0.11
0.00
0.79
-0.01
0.51
0.00
0.73
0.26
0.00 0.00
20.
01
%
0.
00
1.
76
No
autocorr
elation
0.0
2
Series
is
statio
nary
* p ≤0.05; **p ≤0.001; AR: Autoregressive variable: MA: Moving average variable;¶No autocorrelation; ⱡNo seasonality-series is stationary;
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Table 3: Interrupted Time Series Composite Model for the 27 Quality Measures
Response
Variable
Mode
l
Model Validation and Parameter Estimation Diagnostic tests
Intercept
(βo)
Time
(β1)
Interventio
n (β2)
Tim_Aft_In
t (β3)
intervention
2
(β4)
t_aft_int_
2
(β5)
intervention
3
(β6)
t_aft_int_
3
(β7)
AR
(1)
MA
(1)
F-
statistic
s
R2
Autocorrelation
(AC) Check
Durbin Watson
Statistic
Test for
Seasonality/
Stationarity:
(Dickey
Fuller Unit
Root Test)
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff
.
p-
value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff.
p-value
Coeff
.
p-
value
Coeff
.
p-
value
p-value Result of Durbin
Watson
p-value
Result
YC
Composit
e Model
Full
Model
87.20
0.00
0.49
0.00
0.79
0.17
-0.45
0.00
-0.03
0.94
-0.01
0.71
-0.44
0.53
-0.01
0.95 0.00
86.60
%
1.46
2.54
Positive
autocorrelation
0.00
Series is
stationary
Full
Model
with
AR (1)
86.89
0.00
0.52
0.00
0.60
0.25
-0.48
0.00
-0.07
0.95
-0.01
0.87
-0.40
0.91
-0.01
0.99
0.25
0.00 0.00
87.37
%
1.91
2.09
No
autocorrelation
0.00
Series is
stationary
* p ≤0.05; **p ≤0.001; AR: Autoregressive variable: MA: Moving average variable;¶No autocorrelation; ⱡNo seasonality-data is stationary;
*Composite quality measure (Yc) is the mean of the 27 quality measures
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Table 4. Anova and Levene’s test for variances between accreditation cycles
SUMMARY
Groups Count Sum Average Variance
Presurvey Phase 16 40.28 2.52 3.00
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 1 36 28.62 0.80 0.41
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 2 34 12.37 0.36 0.08
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 3 10 2.53 0.25 0.04
A Levene's test for the homogeneity of variance showed that we must reject the null hypothesis of the variances being the same in four groups
since p-value is ˂0.05. Therefore, there is significant difference between the four groups based on the variance.
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DISCUSSION
Empirical evidence to support the effectiveness of accreditation is still lacking, which creates
a legitimacy problem for healthcare policymakers and hospital management.[3] Is achieving
and, above all, maintaining accreditation worth the time and money if there is uncertainty
about whether it results in measurable improvements in healthcare delivery and
outcomes?[16] While accreditation enhances quality performance, its major benefit lies in
organizations integrating standards into their routine workflows. Integration ensures that the
ramp up to surveys is avoided and that organizations reliably apply the evidence based
practices for each patient during each encounter.
Announced triennial surveys have been criticised for permitting healthcare organizations to
perform for the ‘test’; and , when the accreditation survey is completed, facilities may return
to their pre-survey reality. Therefore, unannounced surveys have been proposed to mitigate
this effect and to encourage a continuous improvement culture. However, there are only two
published (Australian and Danish) studies comparing announced and unannounced surveys.
Both studies show no evidence of increased citations of non-compliance in unannounced
surveys compared with announced surveys.[17, 18]
Rather than assign the accountability to accreditation bodies for the associated life cycle,
organizations need to review their own continual survey readiness strategies. The components
of an effective continual survey readiness programmes remains unexplored. Therefore the
authors propose a survey readiness cycle that is grounded on the four phases of the
accreditation life cycle model, supported by the literature and influenced by the Institute for
Healthcare Improvement Model for Improvement.[16-19] The proposed survey readiness
cycle consists for four components; (1) a gap analysis; (2) a mock survey; (3) post survey
action plans that occur after the actual survey; and (4) intra-cycle internal reviews and
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improvement (Figure. 4). For the cycle to be effective a leadership oversight body needs to
be created with the objective of conducting regular reviews of compliance using associated
metrics to ensure that the process is sustained. If an accredited organization has integrated the
standards into routine practice with a foundation that is built on fundamental patient safety
principles, they are likely to minimize errors. Furthermore, when hospitals consistently
perform according to standard, they attain the status of a high reliability organization.[20]
We pioneered the first study of hospital accreditation to conduct a dynamic analysis of the
impact of accreditation on quality compliance measures using interrupted time series
analysis.[8,12] This paper has advanced the research in several important ways: (1) by
studying another hospital over an extended 8 year period; (2) by conducting an interrupted
time series analysis of 27 quality compliance measures over a period incorporating three
separate accreditation evaluations; and (3) by demonstrating that subsequent accreditation
surveys significantly reduces variation in quality performance which correlates with higher
reliability.
The evidence from both hospital studies suggests that the tangible impact of accreditation has
the capacity to sustain improvements over the accreditation cycle. Our results suggest that
once a high level of quality compliance has been achieved - following the first accreditation
visit - it is highly likely to be sustained. In addition, repeated surveys reduce variations in
quality performance therefore supporting the organization’s journey to high reliability.
Our results justify the need for a continuous approach of being ready for the next patient, not
just the next survey. The literature endorses regular self- assessments, ongoing monitoring,
intra-cycle mock surveys and benchmarking of quality measures to a data library for
sustaining quality improvement.[16-18]
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The following limitations should be acknowledged. First, the accuracy of measures is
dependent on the quality of documentation in the patient record. Second, the choice of
quality measures is defined by the availability of evidence in patient records. Third, this
study is set in the UAE and may not be generisable to hospitals in other settings. Finally,
more studies are required to evaluate methodologies for achieving continuous survey
readiness.
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Acknowledgements:
Many thanks to the SKMC Quality Team along with all SKMC caregivers, whose
commitment supported the outcomes achieved.
Contributors
SD conceived and designed the experiments. SD analysed the data: SD and PO’F interpreted
the data and wrote the manuscript. SD and PO’F jointly developed the model and arguments
for the paper. SD and PO’F revisited the article for important intellectual content. SE
provided access to the data as well as review of the article. RA provided technical assistance
with the statistical analysis. All authors reviewed and approved of the final manuscript.
Funding
This research received no funding from any agency in the public, commercial or not-for-
profit sectors.
Competing interests
None declared.
Provenance and peer review
Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement
No additional data available.
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REFERENCES
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10. Chandra A, Glickman SW, Ou FS, et al . An analysis of the association of
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13. Joint Commission international. Joint Commission International Accreditation:
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18. Ehlers LH, Simonsen KB, Jensen MB, Rasmussen GS, Olesen AV. Unannounced
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Figure 1. Phases of the accreditation life cycle: empirical evidence over eight years
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 2. Life cycle model comparison between Hospital A (previous study) and Hospital B (current study)
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 3. Boxplot comparing variation in performance between the accreditation cycles
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 4. Devkaran et al. Wheel of continual survey readiness
297x210mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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For peer review onlyImpact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on
Quality and Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time Series Analysis.
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID bmjopen-2018-024514.R1
Article Type: Research
Date Submitted by the Author: 30-Aug-2018
Complete List of Authors: Devkaran, Subashnie; Cleveland Clinic AbuDhabi, Quality and Patient Safety; Edinburgh Business School, O'Farrell, Patrick ; Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh Business School, Emeritus Professor of EconomicsEllahham, Samer; Sheikh Khalifa Medical CityArcangel, Randy; Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>: Health policy
Secondary Subject Heading: Health services research
Keywords:Joint Commission International, healthcare quality measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis, hospital accreditation
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ebruary 2, 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
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TITLE PAGE:
Impact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on Quality and
Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time Series Analysis
1Dr. Subashnie Devkaran, PhD, FACHE, MScHM, CPHQ, FISQUa.
2Prof. Patrick N. O'Farrell, BA, PhD.
3Dr. Samer Ellahham, MD.
4Mr. Randy Arcangel, BSc.
1Corresponding author: Director, Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Cleveland Clinic Abu
Dhabi. United Arab Emirates. P.O. Box 48481, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates,
Telephone:+971 505215866, Fax:+9712 410 8374, Email: [email protected]
2Emeritus Professor of Economics, Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University,
Riccarton, Edinburgh, UK.
3Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Sheikh Khalifa Medical City, Abu Dhabi, United Arab
Emirates.
4Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University. Philippines
Key words: hospital accreditation, Joint Commission International, healthcare quality
measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis
Word count: 3509
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ABSTRACT
Objective. To evaluate whether hospital re-accreditation improves quality, patient safety and
reliability over three accreditation cycles by testing the accreditation life cycle model on
quality measures.
Design. The validity of the life cycle model was tested by calibrating interrupted time series
(ITS) regression equations for 27 quality measures. The change in the variation of quality
over the three accreditation cycles was evaluated using The Levene’s test.
Setting. A 650 bed tertiary academic hospital in Abu Dhabi, UAE.
Participants. Each month (over 96 months) a simple random sample of 10% of patient
records was selected and audited resulting in a total of 388,800 observations from 14,500
records.
Intervention(s). The impact of hospital accreditation on the 27 quality measures was
observed for 96 months, one year pre- accreditation (2007) and three years’ post-
accreditation for each of the three accreditation cycles (2008, 2011 and 2014).
Main Outcome Measure(s). The life cycle model was evaluated by aggregating the data for
27 quality measures to produce a composite score (YC) and to fit an interrupted time series
(ITS) regression equation to the unweighted monthly mean of the series.
Results. The results provide some evidence for the validity of the four phases of the life cycle
namely, the initiation phase, the pre-survey phase, the post-accreditation slump and the
stagnation phase. Furthermore, the life cycle model explains 87 percent of the variation in
quality compliance measures (R2 =0.87). The best fit interrupted time series model contains
two significant variables (�1 and �3) (p≤ 0.001).The Levene’s test (p ≤ 0.05) demonstrated a
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significant reduction in variation of the quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation
cycles.
Conclusion: The study demonstrates that accreditation has the capacity to sustain
improvements over the accreditation cycle. The significant reduction in the variation of the
quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation cycles indicates that accreditation
supports the goal of high reliability.
STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY
• The study uses segmented regression interrupted time series analysis, an alternative to the
randomised control trial which is a gold standard by which effectiveness is measured in
clinical disciplines.
• This is the second interrupted time series analysis of hospital accreditation.
• This is also the first study on hospital accreditation over 3 accreditation cycles and
validates the life cycle model on hospital accreditation.
• The study is limited to one hospital in the UAE.
• The quality measures were dependent on the accuracy of documentation in the patient
record.
INTRODUCTION
Both the frequency and magnitude of medical errors in hospital settings is a matter of public
concern globally. Consequently, healthcare leaders are seeking rigorous methods for
improving and sustaining quality of healthcare outcomes in hospitals. Hospital accreditation
is the strategy most often selected to improve quality and it has become an integral part of
healthcare systems in more than 90 countries.[1]
A key constraint for hospitals is the cost of accreditation, a process that consumes resources
that could be used for frontline medical services.[2] There are two key questions: (1) Does
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accreditation make a difference to the quality of care and hospital performance? and (2) to
what extent is any positive effect, if evident, sustainable over time? The literature, however,
shows inconsistent results over the impact and effectiveness of hospital accreditation.[3-7]
Greenfield and Braithwaite investigated the outcomes across 66 studies and inconsistent
findings were reported for the relationship between quality measures and accreditation.[5]
Furthermore, Devkaran and O’Farrell have argued that rigorous empirical studies that
evaluate whether hospitals sustain compliance with quality and patient safety standards over
the accreditation cycle are lacking.[8] Most previous research has used cross sectional
designs and/or comparative static analysis of data at two points in time.[9-11] In order to
draw causal inferences on the impact of accreditation on quality and patient safety measures,
a dynamic analysis is necessary. This was accomplished by pioneering the use of an
interrupted time series model to analyse the impact of accreditation on quality compliance
measures in a single hospital over a 4 year period.[8,12] We also outlined a new conceptual
framework of hospital accreditation - the Life Cycle model- and presented statistical
evidence to support it.[8]
The primary objective of this paper is to evaluate whether hospital re-accreditation results in
an improvement in quality and safety standards over three accreditation cycles by testing the
effect of accreditation on 27 quality measures and by comparing the results of this hospital
(Hospital B) accreditation time series with our previous study hospital, a 150 bed, multi-
speciality, acute care hospital (hospital A) in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The secondary objective is to
evaluate the extent to which subsequent accreditation cycles impacts on the variation in
quality.
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Conceptual framework: the Life cycle model
Based on the Joint Commission International (JCI) accreditation strategy, most hospitals will
pass through various phases during the process of accreditation.[13] Devkaran and O’Farrell
hypothesised four distinct phases of the accreditation cycle and derived predictions
concerning the time series trend of compliance during each phase.[8] The predictions
constitute the building blocks of the Life Cycle Model. The first Initiation Phase is
characterised by a gradual improvement in compliance to standards with a positive change of
slope for the quality measures. The second – Pre-survey Phase - occurs within 3 to 6 months
of the accreditation survey. A marked improvement (ramp up) in compliance occurs during
this phase, because staff are aware of the proximity of the survey and because the
organisation invests resources in preparation. The peak level of compliance performance
occurs during this phase. During the third phase – the Post-accreditation Slump –a drop in
levels of compliance occurs immediately following the accreditation survey followed by a
negative change in slope over time.8 Finally, the Stagnation Phase follows the post-
accreditation slump and there is an undulating plateau of compliance characterised by
sporadic changes, but at an overall level substantially above pre-accreditation values.[8]
METHODS
Study population
The study was conducted in a publicly funded 650-bed, multi-specialty, acute tertiary care
hospital in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The annual inpatient census is approximately 18,000. The
hospital treats approximately 220,000 ambulatory care patients per year.
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Patient involvement
No patients were involved in this study.
Data collection
To test the life cycle model, a total of 27 quality measures were recorded each month at the
hospital, over an eight year period, including three JCI accreditation surveys (Table 1). The
quality measures were selected by an expert panel to ensure the: (1) interpretability, enabling
direct correlation with a specific JCI standard; (2) consistency, with high values indicating
better quality; and (3)systems-based, measures designed to evaluate a system/ domain of
quality rather than a single process. The measures represent both important indicators of
quality which are primarily reviewed during survey tracers- including patient assessment,
surgical procedures, infection control and patient safety –and 9 of the 14 chapters of the JCI
Hospital Standards manual.[14]
The outcome measures for the time series analysis incorporated clinical quality measures and
were expressed as percentages, proportions or rates which minimises ceiling effects (Table
1). These performance differences were compared across monthly intervals between four
time segments, one year pre- accreditation, three years post-accreditation cycle one, three
years post accreditation cycle two and one year post accreditation cycle 3 for the selected
quality measures. This study had more than the minimum number of eight data points before
and after the intervention and thus had sufficient power to estimate the regression
coefficients.[15] The larger number of data points (96) permit more stable estimates for
forecasting pre-intervention trends had the intervention not occurred. a random sample of 14,
500 patient records were drawn from 10% of the patient population enabling statements to be
made about the population at a 0.01 % level of significance. The total number of
observations was 388,800. The method of data collection was through closed medical record
reviews, the hospital adverse event reporting system and electronic medical record data
abstracts were used for discrete data.
Quality measures that displayed an inverse relationship to percentage measures were
transformed. For example, ‘percentage of patients with myocardial infarction within 72
hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery’ was transformed to ‘percentage of patients
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without myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery,’
thus equating higher values to good quality.
Table 1: Quality measure descriptions for the SKMC (Hospital B) Time Series Analysis
Measures Value Rationale JCI chapter
Y1 Percentage of patients
with complete
Medical History and
Physical Examination
done within 24 hours
of admission
Percentage To monitor the completion of
History and Physical
Examination reports
Assessment of
patient
Y2 Percentage of
inpatients who have
allergies assessed and
documented on
admission
Percentage To provide appropriate
treatment to patients with
allergies
Assessment of
patient
Medication
management and
use
Y3 Hospital acquired
pressure ulcer
incidence
(transformed)
Percentage Care of patient
Y4 STAT laboratory
orders completed
within 1 hour
Percentage STAT orders are laboratory
requests requiring a TAT of
less than 60 minutes usually
due to medical emergency.
The indicator provides a
valuable tool for addressing
the medical and logistical
necessities underlying STAT
ordering practices
Assessment of
patient
Y5 STAT emergency
room Troponin orders
with a turnaround
time (TAT) within 1
hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency of the
total testing cycle, from order
entry to availability of results,
for STAT Troponin orders
from all emergency locations
International
patient safety
goal 2
Y6 STAT Potassium
order with TAT
within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the processing
efficiency (from specimen
receipt to result verification)
for STAT and Routine orders
from all locations. Potassium
is the Chemistry indicator.
Assessment of
patient
Y7 STAT Hemoglobin
with TAT within 1
hour
Percentage Monitors the processing
efficiency (from specimen
receipt to result verification)
for STAT and Routine orders
from all locations.
Hemoglobin is the
Hematology indicator.
Assessment of
patient
Y8 Percentage of patients Percentage Monitors surgical procedure Care of patient
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with myocardial
infarction within 72
hours after coronary
artery bypass graft
surgery (
transformed)
complications Quality and
patient safety
Y9 Percentage of
Completed Pre-
Anaesthesia
Assessments
Percentage Monitors anesthesia
compliance with the standards
Anesthesia and
surgical care
Y10 Percentage of patients
with completed pre-
induction
assessments.
Percentage Monitors whether patient is fit
for anesthesia
Anesthesia and
surgical care
Y11 Percentage of patients
with post-dural
headache post
anesthesia
(transformed)
Percentage Monitors this as a
complication within 72 hours
of surgery done under
epidural or spinal anesthesia,
or after delivery under
epidural labor analgesia
Anesthesia and
surgical care
Y12 Percentage of patients
with a prolonged post
anesthesia care unit
(PACU) stay (>2
hours) (transformed)
Percentage To measure delays in recovery Anesthesia and
surgical care
Quality and
patient safety
Y13 Red blood cell (RBC)
unit expiration rate (
transformed)
Percentage Monitors the RBC expiration
rate. It ensures that RBC
wastage is kept to a minimum
Assessment of
patients
Y14 Percentage of STAT
Cross matches done
within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency (from
specimen receipt in the Blood
Bank to the completion of the
cross match to antihuman
globulin phase with the red
cell unit(s) appropriately
tagged and ready for release)
of STAT cross match orders
required for immediate
transfusion
Assessment of
patients
Y15 Percentage of correct
documents in the
medical record
Percentage Monitors the accuracy of the
documents filed in the
medical record.
Management of
information
Y16 Percentage of “Do
Not Use
Abbreviations”
documented in the
Medical Record (
transformed)
Percentage Monitors the usage of
unapproved abbreviations in
the medical records
Management of
information
Y17 Central Line-
associated
Bloodstream
Percentage Monitors Bloodstream
Infection rate related to
Central Lines in the ICU
Prevention and
control of
infection
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Infection (CL-BSI)
rate in ICU per 1000
device days
( transformed)
Y18 Indwelling catheter-
associated Urinary
Tract Infection (UTI)
Rate in ICU per 1000
device days
(transformed)
Percentage Monitors Indwelling catheter-
associated Urinary Tract
Infections (UTI) in the ICU
Prevention and
control of
infection
Y19 Ventilator Associated
Pneumonia (VAP)
rate in per 1000
device days(
transformed)
Percentage Monitors Ventilator
Associated Pneumonia (VAP)
in the ICU
Prevention and
control of
infection
Y20 Overall Health Care
Associated Infection
Rate / 1000 patients
bed days (
transformed)
Percentage Rate of the main health care
associated infections that are
being monitored in the
hospital per 1000 patients
days
Prevention and
control of
infection
Y21 Percentage of Supply
Wastage value in the
Consumable Store (
transformed)
Percentage Monitors capital due of
Expired items in Consumable
Store
Governance
leadership and
direction
Y22 Pulmonary TB cases
reported to the Health
Authority within 24
hours of diagnosis
Percentage Ensures that newly diagnosed
TB cases are reported as per
the law
Governance
leadership and
direction
Y23 Percentage of adverse
events reported per
1000 patient days
Percentage Monitors the culture of safety
in the organization
Quality and
patient safety
Y24 Readmissions within
48 hours per 1000
discharges (
transformed)
Percentage Rate of readmitted patients is
an important balancing
measure to indicate if changes
to patient flow through the
system are negatively
affecting care.
Quality and
patient safety
Y25 Unplanned
Readmission rate
within one month per
1000 discharges
(transformed)
Percentage Monitors unplanned
readmission rates to hospital
within one month following
discharge. Readmissions may
be indications of quality
issues related to shortened
length of stay and premature
discharge.
Quality and
patient safety
Y26 Hand Hygiene
Observation Rate
Percentage Compliant hand hygiene
patient care practices per 100
patient care practices
International
patient safety
goal 5
Y27 Inpatient fall rate per
1000 patients days (
Percentage Patient falls occurring during
hospitalization can result in
International
patient safety
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transformed) serious harm. goal 6
Source: Author
Study design
Interrupted time series analysis is the most powerful quasi-experimental design for evaluating
the longitudinal effects of an intervention (e.g. accreditation) on an outcome of interest where
the trend before the accreditation intervention is used as a control period. The advantage of
this method over a simple before -and- after study is due to the repeated monthly measures of
variables, while controlling for seasonality and secular trends. Shifts in level (intercept) or
slope, with P<0.05, were defined as statistically significant. Segmented regression models
fit a least squares regression line to each segment of the independent variable, time, and thus
assume a linear relationship between time and the outcome within each segment.[15-19] The
following linear regression equation is specified to estimate the levels and trends in the
dependent variable before each of three accreditations, and the changes in levels and trends
after each accreditation:
Yt = β0 + β1×t1 + β2×I1 + β3×t2 + β4×I2 + β5×t3 + β6×I3 + β7×t4 + et .........(1)
Where Yt is the outcome, for example, the inpatient fall rate per 1000 patient days; time t1,
t2, t3 and t4 indicates time in months from the start of each observation period to the end of
the period; interventions I1, I2, and I3 are dummy variables taking the value 0 before the
intervention and 1 after the intervention. In this model β0 is the baseline level of the
outcome at the beginning of the series; β1 the slope prior to accreditation, that is the baseline
trend; β2, β4, and β6 are the changes in level immediately after each accreditation; and β3, β5
and β7 are the changes in slopes from pre-accreditation to post the three accreditations,
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respectively, and represents the monthly mean of the outcome variable; and et is the random
error term.
Data analysis
First, a plot of observations against time was completed in order to reveal key features of the
data, including trend, seasonality, outliers, turning points and any discontinuities. Second,
segmented regression models were fitted using ordinary least squares regression analysis; and
the results reported as level and trend changes. Third, the Durbin-Watson (DW) statistic was
used to test for the presence of two types of autocorrelation: (1) the autoregressive process
and (2) the moving average process. If the DW was significant, the model was adjusted by
estimating the autocorrelation parameter and including it in the segmented regression model.
Fourth, the Dickey- Fuller statistic was used to test for stationarity and seasonality. A series
displaying seasonality or some other non-stationary pattern was controlled by taking the
difference of the series from one period to the next and then analysing this differenced series.
Since seasonality induces autoregressive and moving average processes, the detection and
inclusion of a seasonal component was implemented in the time series models using the
Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA), ARMA and dynamic regression. A range of
model-checking techniques have been used including plotting residuals and partial
autocorrelation functions as well as sensitivity analyses. Fifth, there were no significant
hospital changes (i.e. change in ownership, construction, capacity or scope change greater
than 25% of the patient volume, addition of services or mergers) that occurred during the
study period based on the JCI accreditation participation requirements (APR 3). [14]
Furthermore, the leadership and composition of the quality and safety program remained the
same throughout. Therefore, it may be assumed that the accreditation interventions were the
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key events to impact the time series. The analysis was conducted using EViews 7.0. In order
to verify whether the accreditation process exhibits the life cycle effect, the statistical
predictions specified for the 27 measures were tested.
The ultimate confirmatory test of the Life Cycle model and of the impact of three separate
accreditations is to aggregate the data for all 27 quality compliance measures to produce a
composite score (YC) and to fit an interrupted time series regression equation to an
unweighted mean monthly value of the series. The composite measure assumed that all of
the 27 indicators have the same weight.
RESULTS
Table 2 outlines the interrupted time series equations for the 27 quality compliance measures.
Several equations display autocorrelation, in which cases the autoregressive (AR) or moving
average (MA) variable was included to correct for it. First, 78% of the β1 coefficients (the
slope prior to the first accreditation) are positive, as predicted and half are statistically
significant correlating with the pre-survey ramp up phase in the Life Cycle Model (Table 2).
Conversely, 26% of the coefficients are negative, but only three are significant. Second, the
β2 coefficients – the change in level following the first accreditation – are negative and
significant in five cases and positive and significant in six. Hence, in 60% of cases the first
intervention effect is not significant. The β3 slope coefficient results are more mixed
following the first accreditation: in five cases, coefficients are both negative and significant,
and also five are positive and significant. Conversely, for 63% of cases there is no
significant effect. Fourth, in the case of the second intervention, β4, seven coefficients are
both negative and significant, whereas only four positive coefficients are significant. For β5,
the second post-accreditation slope, 59% of the coefficients are not significant but 8 of the 11
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significant slopes are negative. Similarly, some 85% of the coefficients on (β6) – the third
intervention – are not statistically significant; and, finally, 86% of the post-accreditation
slopes (β7) are not significant (Table 2). The mixed results at the level of individual
measures provide limited support for the Life Cycle Model with the exception of the Pre-
Survey ramp up phase (β1).
The results of the overall test, using a composite score (YC), are summarised in Table 3.
Diagnostic assumption tests show that there is autocorrelation. Hence, the model was
adjusted by estimating the autocorrelation parameter AR (1) and incorporating it in the
segmented regression model; inclusion of it eliminates the autocorrelation problem (Table 3).
The slope prior to the first accreditation (β1) is positive and highly significant (pre-survey
ramp up phase), as predicted by the Life Cycle Model of Devkaran and O’Farrell.[8,12] The
change in level following the first accreditation survey (β2) is unexpectedly positive, but is
not significant. The post-accreditation slope (β3), however, is negative and statistically
significant (post-accreditation slump), as postulated by the model. The changes in level
following the second and third accreditation surveys are both negative, but are not significant
(Table 3). Similarly, the post-accreditation slopes following these two later surveys are both
negative, as hypothesised, but are not significant. The R2 value for the composite model with
the AR(1) function indicates that over 87% of the variation in quality compliance outcomes
is explained (Table 3). There is, however, a problem with multicollinearity. Inspection of
the three post-accreditation slopes in Figure 1 shows a long gently undulating plateau of
compliance which is consistent with the non-significance of the second and third
accreditations; and is substantiated by the evidence that the mean compliance level before the
first accreditation was 89.2% and, following the three accreditations, the mean levels were
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95.2%, 96.3% and 97.4%, respectively. The evidence for the Life Cycle Model is stronger in
the case of the first hospital accreditation survey than in the subsequent accreditations. Given
that our model has a high R2 value of 0.87; it is a useful predictive tool, although it results in
somewhat unstable parameter an estimate which makes it more difficult to assess the effect of
individual independent variables.
Clearly, we cannot forecast precisely what would have occurred if the one accreditation in
2008 had not been followed by subsequent survey visits in 2011 and 2014, i.e. the
counterfactual position. However, if compliance had been allowed to slip following the first
survey, it would be expected that improvements in quality would occur both before the
second and third surveys in 2011 and 2014; and that there would also be falls in levels of
compliance immediately following these surveys. None of these outcomes occurred. This
implies that once a high level of compliance has been achieved after the initial accreditation
survey, it is highly likely to be maintained (Figure 1).
Finally, we compare the results of the composite model (YC) for the 27 measures (hospital B)
with that of the 23 quality measures for the 150 bed hospital A (Figure 2) [8,12]. A
number of interesting patterns are apparent. First, the slopes prior to accreditation ( β2) are
both positive and highly significant, as hypothesised. Second, the change in level following
the first accreditation survey (β3) signals a significant decline in compliance , as predicted,
in the case of hospital A; while for the current study, hospital B, the effect is not significant.
Third, as postulated, the post-accreditation slope (β3) is both negative and statistically
significant for each hospital. Fourth, there is a striking similarity in the shape of the two
graphs with a marked improvement in compliance during the first Pre-Survey Phase; a drop
in the level of compliance following the accreditation survey at hospital A, while similar falls
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in level were recorded after two of the three accreditations at hospital B, followed in both
hospitals by undulating plateaus of compliance, at a level substantially greater than those
recorded prior to the first accreditation survey. Fifth, a notable feature of the results is that,
although the pattern of compliance change is very similar, the level of compliance at hospital
B is slightly higher: for the pre-survey phase the average level of compliance at hospital B is
87.40% compared with 79.5% at hospital A; while for the post-accreditation period, the
hospital B compliance average of 96% also exceeds that of hospital A (93%). It is important
to note that both hospitals adopted the same approach to accreditation and survey preparation
by following the JCI roadmap to accreditation.[13,14]
Finally, having demonstrated that there is a significant difference between group means of the
composite measure (YC), we tested the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference
between the group variances. The results of Levene's test show that the hypothesis of
homogeneity of variances is rejected at P<0.05 (Table 4). Therefore, there is a significant
difference between the four group variances and Figure 3 (the box plot) shows that the
variances decrease after each successive accreditation. Hence, with the exception of the
means for groups C and D, successive accreditations lead to an increase in the mean and
decrease in the variance of the composite compliance measure(YC). The results of the
confirmatory test of the proposed Life Cycle Model, using a composite score (YC) of the 27
quality measures, provide proof of the Life Cycle Model.
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Table 2: Time series analysis for the 27 quality measures
Response
Variable
Model
Model Validation and Parameter Estimation Diagnostic tests
Intercept
Mean
(βo)
Pre-
accreditat
ion
Time(β1)
Accredita
tion 1
Interventi
on (β2)
After
accreditati
on 1
Tim_Aft_I
nt (β3)
Accreditati
on 2
Interventi
on (β4)
After
accreditat
ion 2
t_aft_int_
(β5)
Accreditati
on
3interventi
on(β6)
After
accreditati
on 3
t_aft_int_(
β7)
AR(1) MA(1)
F-
statisti
cs
R2
Autocorrelation
(AC) Check
Durbin Watson
Test for
Seasonality/
Stationarity:
(Dickey
Fuller Unit
Root Test)
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficien
t
p-value
Coeffici
ent
p-value
p-value
Result of Durbin
Watson
p-value
Result
(Y1) % patients
with complete
Medical
History and
Physical
Examination
within 24 hrs
Full Model
25.59
≤0.001
4.51
≤0.001
4.04
0.29
-4.47
≤0.001
0.52
0.86
0.00
0.99
-0.10
0.98
-0.03
0.96 ≤0.001 87.0%
2.74
1.26
No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y2) % of
inpatients who
have an
allergies
documented
on admission
Full Model
86.00
≤0.001
0.40
0.06
3.94
0.07
-0.29
0.19
-2.18
0.20
-0.03
0.68
-0.18
0.94
-0.13
0.71 ≤0.001 53.3%
1.61
2.39
No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y3) Hospital
acquired
pressure ulcer
incidence
(transformed)
Full Model
99.20
≤0.001
-0.01
0.58
-0.18
0.24
0.03
0.05
-0.04
0.75
-0.02
0.00
-0.01
0.95
0.00
0.91 ≤0.001 52.3%
1.64
2.36
No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
Y4) STAT
(within 1 hour)
order rate (first
differencing)
75.20
≤0.001
0.32
0.03
0.92
0.50
-0.17
0.26
2.45
0.02
-0.26
≤0.001
2.51
0.13
-0.24
0.27
0.85
≤0.001
≤0.001 78.0%
1.85
2.15
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
after first
differencing
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(Y5) STAT ER
Troponin with
TAT within 1
hour (with
MA1)
94.93
≤0.001
-0.16
0.27
4.05
≤0.001
0.18
0.25
-1.61
0.17
0.09
0.12
-0.41
0.82
-0.17
0.47
0.52
≤0.001
≤0.001 45.7%
1.91
2.09
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y6) STAT
Potassium with
TAT within 1
hour(with
MA1)
82.80
≤0.001
1.21
≤0.001
-4.18
≤0.001
-1.16
≤0.001
-2.32
0.01
0.01
0.91
0.91
-0.09
-0.03
0.86
0.74
≤0.001
≤0.001
79.7%
1.73
2.27
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y7) STAT
Hemoglobin
with TAT
within 1 hour
(with MA1)
96.28
≤0.001
0.04
0.45
-0.03
0.95
0.00
0.98
0.95
0.04
-0.07
≤0.001
-0.62
0.36
0.18
0.36
0.33
≤0.001
≤0.001
44.0%
1.88
2.12
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y8) Percentage
of patients
without
myocardial
infarction
within 72
hours after
coronary
artery bypass
graft surgery
99.94
≤0.001
-0.04
0.77
-1.15
0.44
0.09
0.54
-1.41
0.25
0.01
0.89
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
5.35%
0.00
2.19
No
autocorrelation
0.50
Series is
stationary
(Y9)
Completion of
pre-
anaesthesia
assessments
59.72
≤0.001
3.10
≤0.001
-6.68
0.05
-3.38
≤0.001
5.80
0.03
0.47
≤0.001
-1.41
0.73
-0.42
0.45
≤0.001 65.95%
0.00
1.57
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y10)
Completion of
Immediate
pre-induction
assessments
55.22
≤0.001
3.13
≤0.001
-8.60
≤0.001
-3.03
≤0.001
0.23
0.91
-0.03
0.81
-0.22
0.95
-0.08
0.85
≤0.001 80.11
%
0.00
1.83
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y11) Percent of
patients
without post
dural puncture
headaches
100.00
≤0.001
0.00
1.00
-1.61
0.04
0.06
0.44
-0.59
0.33
-0.06
0.04
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.02
12.37%
0.00
2.10
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y12) Prolonged
recovery more
than 2 hours
(transformed)
(First
96.85
≤0.001
0.04
≤0.001
-3.53
≤0.001
-0.05
0.72
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
0.37
≤0.001 ≤0.001 28.20%
0.00
1.83
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
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differencing)
(Y13)
percentage of
red blood cell
units expired
(transformed)
99.74
≤0.001
0.02
0.82
-0.17
0.87
-0.03
0.79
-2.62
≤0.001
-0.09
0.03
-0.40
0.74
-0.12
0.47
0.01 18.96
%
0.00
2.07
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y14) Stat
crossmatch
within 1 hour
90.11
≤0.001
0.05
≤0.001
2.05
0.06
0.06
0.44
-0.82
≤0.001
-0.03
0.66
0.18
0.93
-0.05
0.85
0.02
47.69%
0.00
1.49
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y15)
percentage of
correct
documents
filed in the
record
96.81
≤0.001
0.07
≤0.001
2.20
0.13
0.70
≤0.001
0.72
0.70
-0.13
0.16
-0.14
0.96
0.01
0.97
≤0.001
40.90%
0.00
1.85
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y16)
Percentage of
unapproved
abbreviations
used
( transformed)
15.23
≤0.001
-0.26
≤0.001
2.72
0.62
2.33
0.30
-0.04
0.99
0.53
0.05
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
≤0.001
23.82%
0.00
1.69
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y17) central
line associated
bloodstream
infections
(transformed)
99.51
≤0.001
0.04
≤0.001
0.21
0.01
0.00
0.10
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
≤0.001
28.20%
0.00
1.83
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y18) Indwelling
catheter-
associated
Urinary Tract
Infection (UTI)
Rate
(transformed)
99.76
≤0.001
0.00
0.07
0.16
0.01
0.01
0.53
-0.03
0.74
-0.01
≤0.001
0.24
0.05
-0.03
0.05
≤0.001
23.21%
0.00
1.96
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y19) Ventilator
Associated
Pneumonia
(VAP) rate
(transformed)
First
differencing
99.51
≤0.001
0.00
0.03
0.21
0.05
0.09
≤0.001
0.06
0.58
-0.03
≤0.001
0.07
0.68
0.00
0.85
0.48
≤0.001
≤0.001
40.22%
0.00
2.05
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
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(Y20) Overall
Health Care
Associated
Infection Rate
( transformed)
99.92
≤0.001
0.00
0.09
-0.00
0.91
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.11
-0.00
0.38
-0.02
0.35
0.01
0.26 0.03
15.38
%
0.00
1.80
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y21)
Percentage of
Supply
Wastage value
( transformed)
first
differencing
99.97
≤0.001
-0.01
0.01
0.01
0.78
0.02
≤0.001
-0.03
0.29
-0.01
≤0.001
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.60
≤0.001
≤0.001
55.61%
0.00
2.05
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001
Series is
stationary
(Y22)
Pulmonary TB
cases reported
to PMD within
24 hours of
diagnosis
first
differencing
29.05
0.01
0.25
0.21
25.26
0.08
-0.93
0.58
-24.29
0.06
-0.24
0.71
-26.04
0.19
4.44
0.09
0.26
≤0.001
≤0.001
27.39%
0.00
2.05
No
autocorrelation
0.02
Series is
stationary
(Y23) Adverse
event reports
per 1000
patient days
( transformed)
First
differencing
99.76
≤0.001
-0.02
≤0.001
0.32
0.24
-0.03
0.32
0.72
≤0.001
0.01
0.61
-0.06
0.85
-0.01
0.87
0.68
≤0.001
≤0.001
75.67%
0.00
2.07
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series
is stationary
(Y24)
Readmission
within 48
hours per 1000
discharges
( transformed)
First
differencing
98.43
≤0.001
0.05
0.22
-0.37
0.35
-0.05
0.22
-0.70
0.03
0.02
0.14
-2.25
≤0.001
0.37
≤0.001
0.70
≤0.001
≤0.001
48.36%
0.00
1.91
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series
is stationary
(Y25)
Unplanned
Readmission
rate within one
month per
1000
discharges
( transformed)
First
differencing
91.76
≤0.001
0.13
0.43
-0.51
0.73
-0.15
0.36
-3.36
≤0.001
0.22
≤0.001
-9.58
≤0.001
1.20
≤0.001
0.74
≤0.001
≤0.001
45.10%
0.00
1.79
No
autocorrelation
0.04
Series is
stationary
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(Y26) Hand
Hygiene
Observation
Rate
First
differencing
67.05
≤0.001
-0.02
0.96
8.19
0.09
0.36
0.50
-5.23
0.17
-0.33
0.08
4.36
0.45
-0.61
0.44
0.69
≤0.001
≤0.001
59.03%
0.00
1.93
No
autocorrelation
0.01
Series is
stationary
(Y33) Inpatient
fall rate
( transformed)
First
differencing
99.9
≤0.001
0.0
0.1
0.0
≤0.001
0.00
0.10
0.02
0.11
0.00
0.79
-0.01
0.51
0.00
0.73
0.26
≤0.001
≤0.001
20.01%
0.00
1.76
No
autocorrelation
0.02
Series is
stationary
AR: Autoregressive variable: MA: Moving average variable
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Table 3: Interrupted Time Series Composite Model for the 27 Quality Measures
Interce
pt
(mean)
(βo)
Pre-
accreditati
on
Time
(β1)
Accreditation
1
Intervention
(β2)
After
accreditation
1
Tim_Aft_Int
(β3)
Accreditation
2
Intervention
(β4)
After
accreditation
2
t_aft_int_2
(β5)
Accreditation 3
intervention
(β6)
After
accreditation 3
t_aft_int_3
(β7)
AR
(1)
F-
statisti
cs
R2
Autocorrelation
(AC) Check
Durbin Watson
Statistic
Test for
Seasonality/
Stationarity
(Dickey Fuller
Unit Root
Test)
Coeffic
ient
p-
value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
p-
value
Result of
Durbin Watson
p-value
Result
*YC
Comp
osite
Model
Full
Mode
l
87.20
≤0.001
0.49
≤0.001
0.79
0.17
-0.45
≤0.001
-0.03
0.94
-0.01
0.71
-0.44
0.53
-0.01
0.95 ≤0.001
86.6
0%
1.46
2.54
Positive
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series
is stationary
Full
Mode
l with
AR (1)
86.89
≤0.001
0.52
≤0.001
0.60
0.25
-0.48
≤0.001
-0.07
0.95
-0.01
0.87
-0.40
0.91
-0.01
0.99
0.25
≤0.001 ≤0.001
87.3
7%
1.91
2.09
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series
is stationary
*Composite quality measure (Yc) is the mean of the 27 quality measures, AR: Autoregressive variable
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Table 4. Anova and Levene’s test for variances between accreditation cycles
SUMMARY
Groups Count Sum Average Variance
Pre-survey Phase 16 40.28 2.52 3.00
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 1 36 28.62 0.80 0.41
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 2 34 12.37 0.36 0.08
Post Survey Phase after accreditation 3 10 2.53 0.25 0.04
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DISCUSSION
Empirical evidence to support the effectiveness of accreditation is still lacking, which creates
a legitimacy problem for healthcare policymakers and hospital management.[3] Is achieving
and, above all, maintaining accreditation worth the time and money if there is uncertainty
about whether it results in measurable improvements in healthcare delivery and outcomes?[3-
7, 20] While accreditation enhances quality performance, its major benefit lies in
organizations integrating standards into their routine workflows. Integration ensures that the
ramp up to surveys is avoided and that organizations reliably apply the evidence based
practices for each patient during each encounter.
Announced triennial surveys have been criticised for permitting healthcare organizations to
perform for the ‘test’; and, when the accreditation survey is completed, facilities may return
to their pre-survey reality. Therefore, unannounced surveys have been proposed to mitigate
this effect and to encourage a continuous improvement culture. However, there are only two
published (Australian and Danish) studies comparing announced and unannounced surveys.
Both studies show no evidence of increased citations of non-compliance in unannounced
surveys compared with announced surveys.[21,22]
Rather than assign the accountability to accreditation bodies for the associated life cycle,
organizations need to review their own continual survey readiness strategies. The components
of an effective continual survey readiness programmes remains unexplored. Therefore the
authors propose a survey readiness cycle that is grounded on the four phases of the
accreditation life cycle model, supported by the literature and influenced by the Institute for
Healthcare Improvement Model for Improvement.[20-22] The proposed survey readiness
cycle consists for four components; (1) a gap analysis; (2) a mock survey; (3) post survey
action plans that occur after the actual survey; and (4) intra-cycle internal reviews and
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improvement (Figure. 4). For the cycle to be effective a leadership oversight body needs to
be created with the objective of conducting regular reviews of compliance using associated
metrics to ensure that the process is sustained. If an accredited organization has integrated the
standards into routine practice with a foundation that is built on fundamental patient safety
principles, they are likely to minimize errors. Furthermore, when hospitals consistently
perform according to standard, they attain the status of a high reliability organization.[23]
We pioneered the first study of hospital accreditation to conduct a dynamic analysis of the
impact of accreditation on quality compliance measures using interrupted time series
analysis.[8,12] This paper has advanced the research in several important ways: (1) by
studying another hospital over an extended 8 year period; (2) by conducting an interrupted
time series analysis of 27 quality compliance measures over a period incorporating three
separate accreditation evaluations; and (3) by demonstrating that subsequent accreditation
surveys significantly reduces variation in quality performance which correlates with higher
reliability.
The evidence from both hospital studies suggests that the tangible impact of accreditation has
the capacity to sustain improvements over the accreditation cycle. Our results suggest that
once a high level of quality compliance has been achieved - following the first accreditation
visit - it is highly likely to be sustained. In addition, repeated surveys reduce variations in
quality performance therefore supporting the organization’s journey to high reliability.
The following limitations should be acknowledged. First, the accuracy of measures is
dependent on the quality of documentation in the patient record. For instance, if the
documentation was deficient then this was reflected in the measure. Second, the choice of
quality measures is defined by the availability of evidence in patient records. Third, this
study is set in the UAE and may not be generisable to hospitals in other settings. Fourth, both
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study hospitals provide acute tertiary care and have limited generalisability to specialty
hospitals or primary/ secondary care healthcare facilities. Fifth, interrupted time series
analysis is limited by time-varying confounding improvement initiatives that may have
occurred at the department level however, since this methodology evaluates changes in
rates of an outcome at a system-level, confounding by individual level variables will not
introduce serious bias unless it occurs simultaneously with the intervention. Finally, more
studies are required to evaluate methodologies for achieving continuous survey readiness.
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Acknowledgements:
Many thanks to the SKMC Quality Team along with all SKMC caregivers, whose
commitment supported the outcomes achieved.
Contributors
SD conceived and designed the experiments. SD analysed the data: SD and PO’F interpreted
the data and wrote the manuscript. SD and PO’F jointly developed the model and arguments
for the paper. SD and PO’F revisited the article for important intellectual content. SE
provided access to the data as well as review of the article. RA provided technical assistance
with the statistical analysis. All authors reviewed and approved of the final manuscript.
Funding
This research received no funding from any agency in the public, commercial or not-for-
profit sectors.
Competing interests
None declared.
Provenance and peer review
Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement
No additional data available.
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REFERENCES
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Figures legend
Figure 1. Phases of the accreditation life cycle: empirical evidence over 8 years
Figure 2. Life Cycle Model comparison between Hospital A ( previous study) and
Hospital B ( current study)
Figure 3. Boxplot comparing variation in performance between the accreditation
cycles
Figure 4. Devkaran et al. Wheel of continual survey readiness
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Figure 1. Phases of the accreditation life cycle: empirical evidence over eight years
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 2. Life cycle model comparison between Hospital A (previous study) and Hospital B (current study)
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 3. Boxplot comparing variation in performance between the accreditation cycles
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 4. Devkaran et al. Wheel of continual survey readiness
297x210mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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For peer review onlyImpact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on
Quality and Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time Series Analysis.
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID bmjopen-2018-024514.R2
Article Type: Research
Date Submitted by the Author: 09-Oct-2018
Complete List of Authors: Devkaran, Subashnie; Cleveland Clinic AbuDhabi, Quality and Patient Safety; Edinburgh Business School, O'Farrell, Patrick ; Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh Business School, Emeritus Professor of EconomicsEllahham, Samer; Sheikh Khalifa Medical CityArcangel, Randy; Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>: Health policy
Secondary Subject Heading: Health services research
Keywords:Joint Commission International, healthcare quality measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis, hospital accreditation
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TITLE PAGE:
Impact of Repeated Hospital Accreditation Surveys on Quality and Reliability? An Eight Year Interrupted Time Series Analysis
1Dr. Subashnie Devkaran, PhD, FACHE, MScHM, CPHQ, FISQUa.
2Prof. Patrick N. O'Farrell, BA, PhD.
3Dr. Samer Ellahham, MD.
4Mr. Randy Arcangel, BSc.
1Corresponding author: Director, Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Cleveland Clinic Abu
Dhabi. United Arab Emirates. P.O. Box 48481, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates,
Telephone:+971 505215866, Fax:+9712 410 8374, Email: [email protected]
2Emeritus Professor of Economics, Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University,
Riccarton, Edinburgh, UK.
3Quality and Patient Safety Institute, Sheikh Khalifa Medical City, Abu Dhabi, United Arab
Emirates.
4Statistical Society-Central Luzon State University. Philippines
Key words: hospital accreditation, Joint Commission International, healthcare quality
measures, high reliability, life cycle model, interrupted time series analysis
Word count: 3665
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ABSTRACT
Objective. To evaluate whether hospital re-accreditation improves quality, patient safety and
reliability over three accreditation cycles by testing the accreditation life cycle model on
quality measures.
Design. The validity of the life cycle model was tested by calibrating interrupted time series
(ITS) regression equations for 27 quality measures. The change in the variation of quality
over the three accreditation cycles was evaluated using The Levene’s test.
Setting. A 650 bed tertiary academic hospital in Abu Dhabi, UAE.
Participants. Each month (over 96 months) a simple random sample of 10% of patient
records was selected and audited resulting in a total of 388,800 observations from 14,500
records.
Intervention(s). The impact of hospital accreditation on the 27 quality measures was
observed for 96 months, one year pre- accreditation (2007) and three years’ post-
accreditation for each of the three accreditation cycles (2008, 2011 and 2014).
Main Outcome Measure(s). The life cycle model was evaluated by aggregating the data for
27 quality measures to produce a composite score (YC) and to fit an ITS regression equation
to the unweighted monthly mean of the series.
Results. The results provide some evidence for the validity of the four phases of the life cycle
namely, the initiation phase, the pre-survey phase, the post-accreditation slump and the
stagnation phase. Furthermore, the life cycle model explains 87 percent of the variation in
quality compliance measures (R2 =0.87). The best fit ITS model contains two significant
variables ( 1 and 3) (p≤ 0.001).The Levene’s test (p ≤ 0.05) demonstrated a significant 𝛽 𝛽
reduction in variation of the quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation cycles.
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Conclusion: The study demonstrates that accreditation has the capacity to sustain
improvements over the accreditation cycle. The significant reduction in the variation of the
quality measures (YC) with subsequent accreditation cycles indicates that accreditation
supports the goal of high reliability.
STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY
The study uses segmented regression interrupted time series analysis, an alternative to the
randomised control trial which is a gold standard by which effectiveness is measured in
clinical disciplines.
This is the second interrupted time series analysis onhospital accreditation.
This is also the first study on hospital accreditation over 3 accreditation cycles and
validates the life cycle model on hospital accreditation.
The study is limited to one hospital in the UAE.
The quality measures were dependent on the accuracy of documentation in the patient
record.
INTRODUCTION
Both the frequency and magnitude of medical errors in hospital settings is a matter of public
concern globally. Consequently, healthcare leaders are seeking rigorous methods for
improving and sustaining quality of healthcare outcomes in hospitals. Hospital accreditation
is the strategy most often selected to improve quality and it has become an integral part of
healthcare systems in more than 90 countries.[1]
A key constraint for hospitals is the cost of accreditation, a process that consumes resources
that could be used for frontline medical services.[2] There are two key questions: (1) Does
accreditation make a difference to the quality of care and hospital performance? and (2) to
what extent is any positive effect, if evident, sustainable over time? The literature, however,
shows inconsistent results over the impact and effectiveness of hospital accreditation.[3-7]
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Greenfield and Braithwaite investigated the outcomes across 66 studies and inconsistent
findings were reported for the relationship between quality measures and accreditation.[5]
Furthermore, Devkaran and O’Farrell have argued that rigorous empirical studies that
evaluate whether hospitals sustain compliance with quality and patient safety standards over
the accreditation cycle are lacking.[8] Most previous research has used cross sectional
designs and/or comparative static analysis of data at two points in time.[9-11] In order to
draw causal inferences on the impact of accreditation on quality and patient safety measures,
a dynamic analysis is necessary. This was accomplished by pioneering the use of an
interrupted time series model to analyse the impact of accreditation on quality compliance
measures in a single hospital over a 4 year period.[8,12] We also outlined a new conceptual
framework of hospital accreditation - the Life Cycle model- and presented statistical
evidence to support it.[8]
The primary objective of this paper is to evaluate whether hospital re-accreditation results in
an improvement in quality and safety standards over three accreditation cycles by testing the
effect of accreditation on 27 quality measures by comparing the results of this hospital (
Hospital B) accreditation time series with our previous study hospital, a 150 bed , multi-
speciality, acute care hospital (hospital A) in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The secondary objective is to
evaluate the extent to which subsequent accreditation cycles impacts on the variation in
quality.
Conceptual framework: the Life cycle model
Based on the Joint Commission International (JCI) accreditation strategy, most hospitals will
pass through various phases during the process of accreditation.[13] Devkaran and O’Farrell
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hypothesised four distinct phases of the accreditation cycle and derived predictions
concerning the time series trend of compliance during each phase.[8] The predictions
constitute the building blocks of the Life Cycle Model. The first Initiation Phase is
characterised by a gradual improvement in compliance to standards with a positive change of
slope for the quality measures. The second – Presurvey Phase - occurs within 3 to 6 months
of the accreditation survey. A marked improvement (ramp up) in compliance occurs during
this phase, because staff are aware of the proximity of the survey and because the
organisation invests resources in preparation. The peak level of compliance performance
occurs during this phase. During the third phase – the Post-accreditation Slump –a drop in
levels of compliance occurs immediately following the accreditation survey followed by a
negative change in slope over time.8 Finally, the Stagnation Phase follows the post-
accreditation slump and there is an undulating plateau of compliance characterised by
sporadic changes, but at an overall level substantially above pre-accreditation values.[8]
METHODS
Study population
The study was conducted in a publicly funded 650-bed, multi-specialty, acute tertiary care
hospital in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The annual inpatient census is approximately 18,000. The
hospital treats approximately 220,000 ambulatory care patients per year.
Patient involvement
No patients were involved in this study.
Data collection
To test the life cycle model, a total of 27 quality measures were recorded each month at the
hospital, over an eight year period, including three JCI accreditation surveys (Table 1). The
quality measures were selected by an expert panel to ensure the: (1) interpretability, enabling
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direct correlation with a specific JCI standard; (2) consistency, with high values indicating
better quality; and (3)systems-based, measures designed to evaluate a system/ domain of
quality rather than a single process. The measures represent both important indicators of
quality which are primarily reviewed during survey tracers- including patient assessment,
surgical procedures, infection control and patient safety –and 9 of the 14 chapters of the JCI
Hospital Standards manual.[14]
The outcome measures for the time series analysis incorporated clinical quality measures and
were expressed as percentages, proportions or rates which minimises ceiling effects (Table
1). These performance differences were compared across monthly intervals between four
time segments, one year pre- accreditation, three years post-accreditation cycle one, three
years post accreditation cycle two and one year post accreditation cycle 3 for the selected
quality measures. This study had more than the minimum number of eight data points before
and after the intervention and thus had sufficient power to estimate the regression
coefficients. [15] The larger number of data points (96) permit more stable estimates for
forecasting pre-intervention trends had the intervention not occurred. The principal data
source was the electronic medical record. Slovin’s formula was used to calculate the sample
size per month based on a 95% confidence interval from an average monthly inpatient census
of 1400 patients. Each month (during the entire investigation period), a simple random
sample of 10% of patient records was selected and audited from the monthly population
resulting in a total of 388,800 observations from 14,500 records. The internal data validation
process in place within the hospital included: re-collecting the data by second person not
involved in the original data collection; using a statistically valid sample of records, cases or
other data; comparing the original data with the re-collected data; calculating the accuracy by
dividing the number of data elements found to be same by the total number of data elements
and multiplying that total by 100. A 90% accuracy level was considered as an acceptable
benchmark. When the data elements differed, the reasons were noted (for example, unclear
data definitions) and corrective actions were taken. A new sample was collected after all
corrective actions have been implemented to ensure the actions resulted in the desired
accuracy level. The sources used for the data validation included, but were not limited to: the
electronic medical record and data abstracts; enterprise resource planning software; electronic
insurance claims and the adverse event reporting system.
Quality measures that displayed an inverse relationship to percentage measures were
transformed. For example, ‘percentage of patients with myocardial infarction within 72
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hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery’ was transformed to ‘percentage of patients
without myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery,’
thus equating higher values to good quality.
Table 1: Quality measure descriptions for the SKMC ( Hospital B) Time Series Analysis
Measures Value Rationale JCI chapterY1 Percentage of patients
with complete Medical History and Physical Examination done within 24 hours of admission
Percentage To monitor the completion of History and Physical Examination reports
Assessment of patient
Y2 Percentage of inpatients who have allergies assessed and documented on admission
Percentage To provide appropriate treatment to patients with allergies
Assessment of patient,Medication management and use
Y3 Hospital acquired pressure ulcer incidence (transformed)
Percentage Care of patient
Y4 STAT laboratory orders completed within 1 hour
Percentage STAT orders are laboratory requests requiring a TAT of less than 60 minutes usually due to medical emergency. The indicator provides a valuable tool for addressing the medical and logistical necessities underlying STAT ordering practices
Assessment of patient
Y5 STAT emergency room Troponin orders with a turnaround time (TAT) within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency of the total testing cycle, from order entry to availability of results, for STAT Troponin orders from all emergency locations
International patient safety goal 2
Y6 STAT Potassium order with TAT within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the processing efficiency (from specimen receipt to result verification) for STAT and Routine orders from all locations. Potassium is the Chemistry indicator.
Assessment of patient
Y7 STAT Hemoglobin with TAT within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the processing efficiency (from specimen receipt to result verification) for STAT and Routine orders from all locations. Hemoglobin is the Hematology indicator.
Assessment of patient
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Y8 Percentage of patients with myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors surgical procedure complications
Care of patient,Quality and patient safety
Y9 Percentage of Completed Pre-Anaesthesia Assessments
Percentage Monitors anesthesia compliance with the standards
Anesthesia and surgical care
Y10 Percentage of patients with completed pre-induction assessments.
Percentage Monitors whether patient is fit for anesthesia
Anesthesia and surgical care
Y11 Percentage of patients with post-dural headache post anesthesia (transformed)
Percentage Monitors this as a complication within 72 hours of surgery done under epidural or spinal anesthesia, or after delivery under epidural labor analgesia
Anesthesia and surgical care
Y12 Percentage of patients with a prolonged post anesthesia care unit (PACU) stay (>2 hours) (transformed)
Percentage To measure delays in recovery Anesthesia and surgical care,Quality and patient safety
Y13 Red blood cell (RBC) unit expiration rate ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors the RBC expiration rate. It ensures that RBC wastage is kept to a minimum
Assessment of patients
Y14 Percentage of STAT Cross matches done within 1 hour
Percentage Monitors the efficiency (from specimen receipt in the Blood Bank to the completion of the cross match to antihuman globulin phase with the red cell unit(s) appropriately tagged and ready for release) of STAT cross match orders required for immediate transfusion
Assessment of patients
Y15 Percentage of correct documents in the medical record
Percentage Monitors the accuracy of the documents filed in the medical record.
Management of information
Y16 Percentage of “Do Not Use Abbreviations” documented in the Medical Record ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors the usage of unapproved abbreviations in the medical records
Management of information
Y17 Central Line-associated
Percentage Monitors Bloodstream Infection rate related to
Prevention and control of
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Bloodstream Infection (CL-BSI) rate in ICU per 1000 device days ( transformed)
Central Lines in the ICU infection
Y18 Indwelling catheter-associated Urinary Tract Infection (UTI) Rate in ICU per 1000 device days (transformed)
Percentage Monitors Indwelling catheter-associated Urinary Tract Infections (UTI) in the ICU
Prevention and control of infection
Y19 Ventilator Associated Pneumonia (VAP) rate in per 1000 device days( transformed)
Percentage Monitors Ventilator Associated Pneumonia (VAP) in the ICU
Prevention and control of infection
Y20 Overall Health Care Associated Infection Rate / 1000 patients bed days ( transformed)
Percentage Rate of the main health care associated infections that are being monitored in the hospital per 1000 patients days
Prevention and control of infection
Y21 Percentage of Supply Wastage value in the Consumable Store ( transformed)
Percentage Monitors capital due of Expired items in Consumable Store
Governance leadership and direction
Y22 Pulmonary TB cases reported to the Health Authority within 24 hours of diagnosis
Percentage Ensures that newly diagnosed TB cases are reported as per the law
Governance leadership and direction
Y23 Percentage of adverse events reported per 1000 patient days
Percentage Monitors the culture of safety in the organization
Quality and patient safety
Y24 Readmissions within 48 hours per 1000 discharges ( transformed)
Percentage Rate of readmitted patients is an important balancing measure to indicate if changes to patient flow through the system are negatively affecting care.
Quality and patient safety
Y25 Unplanned Readmission rate within one month per 1000 discharges (transformed)
Percentage Monitors unplanned readmission rates to hospital within one month following discharge. Readmissions may be indications of quality issues related to shortened length of stay and premature discharge.
Quality and patient safety
Y26 Hand Hygiene Observation Rate
Percentage Compliant hand hygiene patient care practices per 100 patient care practices
International patient safety goal 5
Y27 Inpatient fall rate per Percentage Patient falls occurring during International
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1000 patients days ( transformed)
hospitalization can result in serious harm.
patient safety goal 6
Source: author
Study design
Interrupted time series analysis is the most powerful quasi-experimental design for evaluating
the longitudinal effects of an intervention (e.g. accreditation) on an outcome of interest where
the trend before the accreditation intervention is used as a control period. The advantage of
this method over a simple before -and- after study is due to the repeated monthly measures of
variables, while controlling for seasonality and secular trends. Shifts in level (intercept) or
slope, with P<0.05, were defined as statistically significant. Segmented regression models
fit a least squares regression line to each segment of the independent variable, time, and thus
assume a linear relationship between time and the outcome within each segment.[15-19] The
following linear regression equation is specified to estimate the levels and trends in the
dependent variable before each of three accreditations, and the changes in levels and trends
after each accreditation:
Yt = β0 + β1×t1 + β2×I1 + β3×t2 + β4×I2 + β5×t3 + β6×I3 + β7×t4 + et .........(1)
Where Yt is the outcome, for example, the inpatient fall rate per 1000 patient days; time t1,
t2, t3 and t4 indicates time in months from the start of each observation period to the end of
the period; interventions I1, I2, and I3 are dummy variables taking the value 0 before the
intervention and 1 after the intervention. In this model β0 is the baseline level of the
outcome at the beginning of the series; β1 the slope prior to accreditation, that is the baseline
trend; β2, β4, and β6 are the changes in level immediately after each accreditation; and β3, β5
and β7 are the changes in slopes from pre-accreditation to post the three accreditations,
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respectively, and represents the monthly mean of the outcome variable; and et is the random
error term.
Data analysis
First, a plot of observations against time was completed in order to reveal key features of the
data, including trend, seasonality, outliers, turning points and any discontinuities. Second,
segmented regression models were fitted using ordinary least squares regression analysis; and
the results reported as level and trend changes. Third, the Durbin-Watson (DW) statistic was
used to test for the presence of two types of autocorrelation: (1) the autoregressive process
and (2) the moving average process. If the DW was significant, the model was adjusted by
estimating the autocorrelation parameter and including it in the segmented regression model.
Fourth, the Dickey- Fuller statistic was used to test for stationarity and seasonality. A series
displaying seasonality or some other non-stationary pattern was controlled by taking the
difference of the series from one period to the next and then analysing this differenced series.
Since seasonality induces autoregressive and moving average processes, the detection and
inclusion of a seasonal component was implemented in the time series models using the
Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA), ARMA and dynamic regression. A range of
model-checking techniques have been used including plotting residuals and partial
autocorrelation functions as well as sensitivity analyses. Fifth, there were no significant
hospital changes (i.e. change in ownership, construction, capacity or scope change greater
than 25% of the patient volume, addition of services or mergers) that occurred during the
study period based on the JCI accreditation participation requirements (APR 3) [14].
Furthermore, the leadership and composition of the quality and safety program remained the
same throughout. Therefore, it may be assumed that the accreditation interventions were the
key events to impact the time series. The analysis was conducted using EViews 7.0. In order
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to verify whether the accreditation process exhibits the life cycle effect, the statistical
predictions specified for the 27 measures were tested.
The ultimate confirmatory test of the Life Cycle model and of the impact of three separate
accreditations is to aggregate the data for all 27 quality compliance measures to produce a
composite score (YC) and to fit an interrupted time series regression equation to an
unweighted mean monthly value of the series. The composite measure assumed that all of
the 27 indicators have the same weight.
RESULTS
The descriptive statistics of the dependent variables are depicted in Table 2 and demonstrate
that 88% of measures had a mean and median above 90%. The data was symmetrical as the
means and medians were similar for all measures. In terms of dispersion, 74% of measures
have a standard deviation of 3 or less. The measure Y22 has the lowest mean and the highest
standard deviation. Table 3 outlines the interrupted time series equations for the 27 quality
compliance measures. Several equations display autocorrelation, in which cases the
autoregressive (AR) or moving average (MA) variable was included to correct for it. First,
78% of the β1 coefficients (the slope prior to the first accreditation) are positive, as predicted
and half are statistically significant correlating with the pre-survey ramp up phase in the Life
Cycle Model (Table 3). Conversely, 26% of the coefficients are negative, but only three are
significant. Second, the β2 coefficients – the change in level following the first accreditation
– are negative and significant in five cases and positive and significant in six. Hence, in 60%
of cases the first intervention effect is not significant. The β3 slope coefficient results are
more mixed following the first accreditation: in five cases, coefficients are both negative and
significant, and also five are positive and significant. Conversely, for 63% of cases there is
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no significant effect. Fourth, in the case of the second intervention, β4, seven coefficients are
both negative and significant, whereas only four positive coefficients are significant. For β5,
the second post-accreditation slope, 59% of the coefficients are not significant but 8 of the 11
significant slopes are negative. Similarly, some 85% of the coefficients on (β6) – the third
intervention – are not statistically significant; and, finally, 86% of the post-accreditation
slopes (β7) are not significant (Table 3). The mixed results at the level of individual
measures provide limited support for the Life Cycle Model with the exception of the pre-
survey ramp up phase (β1).
The results of the overall test, using a composite score (YC), are summarised in Table 4.
Diagnostic assumption tests show that there is autocorrelation. Hence, the model was
adjusted by estimating the autocorrelation parameter AR (1) and incorporating it in the
segmented regression model; inclusion of it eliminates the autocorrelation problem (Table 4).
The slope prior to the first accreditation (β1) is positive and highly significant (pre-survey
ramp up phase), as predicted by the Life Cycle Model of Devkaran and O’Farrell.[8,12] The
change in level following the first accreditation survey (β2) is unexpectedly positive, but is
not significant. The post-accreditation slope (β3), however, is negative and statistically
significant (post-accreditation slump), as postulated by the model. The changes in level
following the second and third accreditation surveys are both negative, but are not significant
(Table 4). Similarly, the post-accreditation slopes following these two later surveys are both
negative, as hypothesised, but are not significant. The R2 value for the composite model with
the AR(1) function indicates that over 87% of the variation in quality compliance outcomes
is explained (Table 4). There is, however, a problem with multicollinearity. Inspection of
the three post-accreditation slopes in Figure 1 shows a long gently undulating plateau of
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compliance which is consistent with the non-significance of the second and third
accreditations; and is substantiated by the evidence that the mean compliance level before the
first accreditation was 89.2% and, following the three accreditations, the mean levels were
95.2%, 96.3% and 97.4%, respectively. The evidence for the Life Cycle Model is stronger in
the case of the first hospital accreditation survey than in the subsequent accreditations. Given
that our model has a high R2 value of 0.87 , it is a useful predictive tool, although it results in
somewhat unstable parameter an estimate which makes it more difficult to assess the effect of
individual independent variables.
Clearly, we cannot forecast precisely what would have occurred if the one accreditation in
2008 had not been followed by subsequent survey visits in 2011 and 2014, i.e. the
counterfactual position. However, if compliance had been allowed to slip following the first
survey, it would be expected that improvements in quality would occur both before the
second and third surveys in 2011 and 2014; and that there would also be falls in levels of
compliance immediately following these surveys. None of these outcomes occurred. This
implies that once a high level of compliance has been achieved after the initial accreditation
survey, it is highly likely to be maintained ( Figure. 1).
Finally, we compare the results of the composite model (YC) for the 27 measures (hospital
B) with that of the 23 quality measures for the 150 bed hospital A ( Figure.2) [8,12]. A
number of interesting patterns are apparent. First, the slopes prior to accreditation ( β2) are
both positive and highly significant, as hypothesised. Second, the change in level following
the first accreditation survey (β3) signals a significant decline in compliance , as predicted,
in the case of hospital A; while for the current study, hospital B, the effect is not significant.
Third, as postulated, the post-accreditation slope (β3) is both negative and statistically
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significant for each hospital. Fourth, there is a striking similarity in the shape of the two
graphs with a marked improvement in compliance during the first Pre-Survey Phase; a drop
in the level of compliance following the accreditation survey at hospital A, while similar falls
in level were recorded after two of the three accreditations at hospital B, followed in both
hospitals by undulating plateaus of compliance, at a level substantially greater than those
recorded prior to the first accreditation survey. Fifth, a notable feature of the results is that,
although the pattern of compliance change is very similar, the level of compliance at hospital
B is slightly higher: for the pre-survey phase the average level of compliance at hospital B is
87.40% compared with 79.5% at hospital A; while for the post-accreditation period, the
hospital B compliance average of 96% also exceeds that of hospital A (93%). It is important
to note that both hospitals adopted the same approach to accreditation and survey preparation
by following the JCI roadmap to accreditation.[13,14]
Finally, having demonstrated that there is a significant difference between group means of the
composite measure (YC), we tested the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference
between the group variances. The results of Levene's test show that the hypothesis of
homogeneity of variances is rejected at P<0.05 (Table 5). Therefore, there is a significant
difference between the four group variances and Figure 3 (the box plot) shows that the
variances decrease after each successive accreditation. Hence, with the exception of the
means for groups C and D, successive accreditations lead to an increase in the mean and
decrease in the variance of the composite compliance measure(YC). The results of the
confirmatory test of the proposed Life Cycle Model, using a composite score (YC) of the 27
quality measures, provide proof of the Life Cycle Model.
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Table 2: Results of descriptive statistical analysis for the 27 quality measures
Variable Measure description Mean StandardDeviation
Median Quartile 1 Quartile 3 Inter-Quartile Range (IQR)
YC Composite variable 94.90 3.08 95.60 94.03 97.15 3.12
Y1 Percentage of patients with complete Medical History and Physical Examination done within 24 hours of admission
93.04 16.78 100.00 96.75 100.00 3.25
Y2 Percentage of inpatients who have allergies assessed and documented on admission 97.08 4.97 99.32 96.49 100.00 3.51
Y3 Hospital acquired pressure ulcer incidence (Transformed) 99.46 0.36 99.57 99.32 99.69 0.38
Y4 STAT laboratory orders completed within 1 hour 84.06 3.81 84.84 81.64 87.44 5.79
Y5 STAT emergency room Troponin orders with a turnaround time (TAT) within 1 hour
97.28 2.95 98.17 96.89 98.83 1.93
Y6 STAT Potassium order with TAT within 1 hour 96.44 3.30 97.22 96.24 97.90 1.65
Y7 STAT Hemoglobin with TAT within 1 hour 98.05 1.27 98.29 97.18 99.10 1.92
Y8 Percentage of patients with myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (transformed)
99.41 2.49 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00
Y9 Percentage of Completed Pre-Anesthesia Assessments 94.92 9.30 99.90 93.65 100.00 6.35
Y10 Percentage of patients with completed pre-induction assessments. 94.80 9.48 97.75 94.90 100.00 5.10Y11 Post Dural Puncture headache(Transformed) 99.82 1.30 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00
Y12 Percentage of patients with a prolonged post anesthesia care unit (PACU) stay (>2 hours) (Transformed)
96.10 2.47 96.75 95.64 97.61 1.97
Y13 Red blood cell (RBC) unit expiration rate (Transformed) 99.30 1.80 99.76 99.12 100.00 0.88
Y14 Percentage of STAT Cross matches done within 1 hour 94.13 3.45 95.08 93.16 96.16 3.00
Y15 Percentage of correct documents in the medical record (Transformed) 97.06 4.71 99.28 96.79 99.61 2.82
Y16 Percentage of “Do Not Use Abbreviations” documented in the Medical Record (Transformed)
91.36 19.78 100.00 95.00 100.00 5.00
Y17 Central Line-associated Bloodstream Infection (CL-BSI) rate in ICU per 1000 device days (Transformed)
99.77 0.25 99.80 99.65 100.00 0.35
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Y18 Indwelling catheter-associated Urinary Tract Infection (UTI) Rate in ICU per 100 device days(Transformed)
99.83 0.18 99.85 99.73 100.00 0.27
Y19 Ventilator Associated Pneumonia (VAP) rate per 100 device days (Transformed) 99.60 0.33 99.69 99.46 99.85 0.39
Y20 Overall Health Care Associated Infection Rate / 1000 patients bed days (Transformed)
99.93 0.03 99.93 99.91 99.95 0.04
Y21 Percentage of Supply Wastage value in the Consumable Store 99.96 0.09 100.00 99.95 100.00 0.05
Y22 Pulmonary TB cases reported to the Health Authority within 24 hours of diagnosis 62.67 30.75 66.67 42.56 85.71 43.15
Y23 Percentage of adverse events reported per 1000 patient days (Transformed) 98.85 0.70 99.12 98.43 99.38 0.95
Y24 Readmission within 48 hours per 100 discharges(Transformed) 98.61 0.79 98.58 98.13 99.08 0.95
Y25 Unplanned Readmission rate within one month per 1000 discharges(Transformed) 92.83 3.14 92.01 90.67 93.82 3.15
Y26 Hand Hygiene Observation Rate 79.36 9.53 82.05 75.38 85.09 9.71
Y27 Inpatient fall rate per 1000 patient days (Transformed) 99.94 0.03 99.94 99.93 99.95 0.03
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Table 3: Time series analysis for the 27 quality measures
Model Validation and Parameter Estimation Diagnostic tests
InterceptMean(βo)
Pre-accreditat
ionTime(β1)
Accreditation 1
Intervention (β2)
After accreditat
ion 1(β3)
Accreditation 2
Intervention (β4)
After accreditat
ion 2 (β5)
Accreditation 3
intervention(β6)
After accreditation 3 (β7)
AR(1) MA(1)F-
statistics
R2Autocorrelation
(AC) Check Durbin Watson
Test for Seasonality/Stationarity:
(Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test)
Response VariableModel
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficientp-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficientp-value
Coefficientp-value
Coefficient
p-value
Coefficient
p-valuep-value Result of Durbin
Watson
p-valueResult
(Y1) % patients with complete Medical History and Physical Examination within 24 hrsFull Model
25.59≤0.001
4.51≤0.001
4.040.29
-4.47≤0.001
0.520.86
0.000.99
-0.100.98
-0.030.96 ≤0.001 87.0%
2.741.26No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y2) % of inpatients who have an allergies documented on admissionFull Model
86.00≤0.001
0.400.06
3.940.07
-0.290.19
-2.180.20
-0.030.68
-0.180.94
-0.130.71 ≤0.001 53.3%
1.612.39No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y3) Hospital acquired pressure ulcer incidence (transformed)Full Model
99.20≤0.001
-0.010.58
-0.180.24
0.030.05
-0.040.75
-0.020.00
-0.010.95
0.000.91 ≤0.001 52.3%
1.642.36No
Autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
Y4) STAT (within 1 hour) order rate (first differencing)
75.20
≤0.001
0.32
0.03
0.92
0.50
-0.17
0.26
2.45
0.02
-0.26
≤0.001
2.51
0.13
-0.24
0.27
0.85
≤0.001≤0.001 78.0%
1.852.15No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary after first differencing
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(Y5) STAT ER Troponin with TAT within 1 hour (with MA1)
94.93
≤0.001
-0.16
0.27
4.05
≤0.001
0.18
0.25
-1.61
0.17
0.09
0.12
-0.41
0.82
-0.17
0.47
0.52
≤0.001≤0.001 45.7%
1.912.09No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y6) STAT Potassium with TAT within 1 hour(with MA1)
82.80
≤0.001
1.21
≤0.001
-4.18
≤0.001
-1.16
≤0.001
-2.32
0.01
0.01
0.91
0.91
-0.09
-0.03
0.86
0.74
≤0.001
≤0.001
79.7%
1.732.27No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y7) STAT Hemoglobin with TAT within 1 hour (with MA1)
96.28
≤0.001
0.04
0.45
-0.03
0.95
0.00
0.98
0.95
0.04
-0.07
≤0.001
-0.62
0.36
0.18
0.36
0.33
≤0.001
≤0.001
44.0%
1.882.12No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y8) Percentage of patients without myocardial infarction within 72 hours after coronary artery bypass graft surgery
99.94
≤0.001
-0.04
0.77
-1.15
0.44
0.09
0.54
-1.41
0.25
0.01
0.89
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50 5.35%0.00 2.19No
autocorrelation
0.50Series is stationary
(Y9) Completion of pre-anaesthesia assessments
59.72
≤0.001
3.10
≤0.001
-6.68
0.05
-3.38
≤0.001
5.80
0.03
0.47
≤0.001
-1.41
0.73
-0.42
0.45≤0.001 65.95%
0.001.57No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y10) Completion of Immediate pre-induction assessments
55.22
≤0.001
3.13
≤0.001
-8.60
≤0.001
-3.03
≤0.001
0.23 0.91
-0.03
0.81
-0.22
0.95
-0.08
0.85≤0.001 80.11
%
0.001.83No
autocorrelation
≤0.001 Series is stationary
(Y11) Percent of patients without post dural puncture headaches
100.00
≤0.001
0.00
1.00
-1.61
0.04
0.06
0.44
-0.59
0.33
-0.06
0.04
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.02 12.37%
0.00 2.10No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y12) Prolonged recovery more than 2 hours (transformed) (First
96.85
≤0.001
0.04
≤0.001
-3.53
≤0.001
-0.05
0.72
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
0.37≤0.001 ≤0.001 28.20%
0.001.83No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
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differencing)
(Y13) percentage of red blood cell units expired (transformed)
99.74
≤0.001
0.02
0.82
-0.17
0.87
-0.03
0.79
-2.62
≤0.001
-0.09
0.03
-0.40
0.74
-0.12
0.470.01 18.96
%
0.002.07No
autocorrelation
≤0.001 Series is stationary
(Y14) Stat crossmatch within 1 hour
90.11
≤0.001
0.05
≤0.001
2.05
0.06
0.06
0.44
-0.82
≤0.001
-0.03
0.66
0.18
0.93
-0.05
0.85
0.02 47.69%
0.00 1.49No
autocorrelation
≤0.001 Series is stationary
(Y15) percentage of correct documents filed in the record
96.81
≤0.001
0.07
≤0.001
2.20
0.13
0.70
≤0.001
0.72
0.70
-0.13
0.16
-0.14
0.96
0.01
0.97
≤0.001
40.90%
0.001.85No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y16) Percentage of unapproved abbreviations used ( transformed)
15.23
≤0.001
-0.26
≤0.001
2.72
0.62
2.33
0.30
-0.04
0.99
0.53
0.05
0.001.00
0.001.00
≤0.001
23.82%
0.00 1.69No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y17) central line associated bloodstream infections (transformed)
99.51
≤0.001
0.04
≤0.001
0.21
0.01
0.00
0.10
-2.18
0.04
0.04
0.50
0.07
0.96
-0.07
0.74
≤0.001
28.20%
0.001.83No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y18) Indwelling catheter-associated Urinary Tract Infection (UTI) Rate (transformed)
99.76
≤0.001
0.00
0.07
0.16
0.01
0.01
0.53
-0.03
0.74
-0.01
≤0.001
0.24
0.05
-0.03
0.05
≤0.001
23.21%
0.00
1.96
No autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is
stationary
(Y19) Ventilator Associated Pneumonia (VAP) rate(transformed) First differencing
99.51
≤0.0010.00
0.03
0.21
0.05
0.09
≤0.001
0.06
0.58
-0.03
≤0.001
0.07
0.68
0.00
0.85
0.48
≤0.001
≤0.001
40.22%
0.002.05No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is
stationary
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(Y20) Overall Health Care Associated Infection Rate ( transformed)
99.92≤0.001
0.000.09
-0.000.91 0.01
0.030.020.11
-0.000.38
-0.020.35
0.010.26 0.03
15.38%
0.001.80
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is
stationary
(Y21) Percentage of Supply Wastage value( transformed) first differencing
99.97≤0.001
-0.010.01
0.010.78
0.02≤0.001
-0.030.29
-0.01≤0.001
0.001.00
0.001.00
0.60≤0.001
≤0.001
55.61%
0.002.05
No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is
stationary
(Y22) Pulmonary TB cases reported to PMD within 24 hours of diagnosis first differencing
29.050.01
0.250.21
25.260.08
-0.930.58
-24.290.06
-0.240.71
-26.040.19
4.440.09
0.26≤0.001
≤0.001
27.39%
0.002.05No
autocorrelation
0.02Series is
stationary
(Y23) Adverse event reports per 1000 patient days ( transformed) First differencing
99.76≤0.001
-0.02≤0.001
0.320.24
-0.030.32
0.72≤0.001
0.010.61
-0.060.85
-0.010.87
0.68≤0.001
≤0.001
75.67%
0.002.07 No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y24) Readmission within 48 hours per 1000 discharges ( transformed) First differencing
98.43≤0.001
0.050.22
-0.370.35
-0.050.22
-0.700.03
0.020.14
-2.25≤0.001
0.37≤0.001
0.70≤0.001
≤0.001
48.36%
0.001.91 No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
(Y25) Unplanned Readmission rate within one month per 1000 discharges ( transformed) First differencing
91.76≤0.001
0.130.43
-0.510.73
-0.150.36
-3.36≤0.001
0.22≤0.001
-9.58≤0.001
1.20≤0.001
0.74≤0.001
≤0.001
45.10%
0.001.79No
autocorrelation
0.04Series is
stationary
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(Y26) Hand Hygiene Observation Rate First differencing
67.05≤0.001
-0.020.96
8.190.09
0.360.50
-5.230.17
-0.330.08
4.360.45
-0.610.44
0.69≤0.001
≤0.001
59.03%
0.001.93 No
autocorrelation
0.01Series is
stationary
(Y27) Inpatient fall rate ( transformed)First differencing
99.9≤0.001
0.00.1
0.0≤0.001
0.000.10
0.020.11
0.000.79
-0.010.51
0.000.73
0.26≤0.001
≤0.001
20.01%
0.001.76 No
autocorrelation
0.02Series is
stationary
AR: Autoregressive variable: MA: Moving average variable
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Table 4: Interrupted Time Series Composite Model for the 27 Quality Measures
Diagnostic tests
Intercept
(mean)(βo)
Pre-accreditati
on Time(β1)
Accreditation1
Intervention (β2)
After accreditation
1 (β3)
Accreditation 2
Intervention (β4)
After accreditation
2 (β5)
Accreditation 3 intervention
(β6)
After accreditation 3
(β7)
AR(1)
F-statisti
csR2
Autocorrelation (AC) Check
Durbin Watson Statistic
Test for Seasonality/Stationarity
(Dickey Fuller Unit Root
Test)
Response
Variable
Model
Coefficientp-
value
Coefficientp-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
Coefficient p-value
p-value Result of
Durbin Watsonp-valueResult
Full Model
87.20≤0.001
0.49≤0.001
0.790.17
-0.45≤0.001
-0.030.94
-0.010.71
-0.440.53
-0.010.95 ≤0.001 86.6
0%
1.462.54
Positive autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary*YC
Composite Model
Full Model with AR (1)
86.89≤0.001
0.52≤0.001
0.600.25
-0.48≤0.001
-0.070.95
-0.010.87
-0.400.91
-0.010.99
0.25≤0.001 ≤0.001 87.3
7%
1.912.09No
autocorrelation
≤0.001Series is stationary
*Composite quality measure (Yc) is the mean of the 27 quality measures, AR: Autoregressive variable
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Table 5. Anova and Levene’s test for variances between accreditation cycles
SUMMARYGroups Count Sum Average Variance
Presurvey Phase 16 40.28 2.52 3.00Post Survey Phase after accreditation 1 36 28.62 0.80 0.41Post Survey Phase after accreditation 2 34 12.37 0.36 0.08Post Survey Phase after accreditation 3 10 2.53 0.25 0.04
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DISCUSSION
Empirical evidence to support the effectiveness of accreditation is still lacking, which creates
a legitimacy problem for healthcare policymakers and hospital management.[3] Is achieving
and, above all, maintaining accreditation worth the time and money if there is uncertainty
about whether it results in measurable improvements in healthcare delivery and outcomes?[3-
7, 20] While accreditation enhances quality performance, its major benefit lies in
organizations integrating standards into their routine workflows. Integration ensures that the
ramp up to surveys is avoided and that organizations reliably apply the evidence based
practices for each patient during each encounter.
Unannounced Surveys
Announced triennial surveys have been criticised for permitting healthcare organizations to
perform for the ‘test’; and, when the accreditation survey is completed, facilities may return
to their pre-survey reality. Therefore, unannounced surveys have been proposed to mitigate
this effect and to encourage a continuous improvement culture. However, there are only two
published (Australian and Danish) studies comparing announced and unannounced surveys.
Both studies show no evidence of increased citations of non-compliance in unannounced
surveys compared with announced surveys.[21, 22]
Continual Survey Readiness
Rather than assign the accountability to accreditation bodies for the associated life cycle,
organizations need to review their own continual survey readiness strategies. The components
of an effective continual survey readiness programmes remains unexplored. Therefore the
authors propose a survey readiness cycle that is grounded on the four phases of the
accreditation life cycle model, supported by the literature and influenced by the Institute for
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Healthcare Improvement Model for Improvement.[20-23] The proposed survey readiness
cycle consists for four components; (1) a gap analysis; (2) a mock survey; (3) post survey
action plans that occur after the actual survey; and (4) intra-cycle internal reviews and
improvement (Figure. 4). For the cycle to be effective a leadership oversight body needs to
be created with the objective of conducting regular reviews of compliance using associated
metrics to ensure that the process is sustained. If an accredited organization has integrated the
standards into routine practice with a foundation that is built on fundamental patient safety
principles, they are likely to minimize errors. Furthermore, when hospitals consistently
perform according to standard, they attain the status of a high reliability organization.[23]
Conclusion
We pioneered the first study of hospital accreditation to conduct a dynamic analysis of the
impact of accreditation on quality compliance measures using interrupted time series
analysis.[8,12] This paper has advanced the research in several important ways: (1) by
studying another hospital over an extended 8 year period; (2) by conducting an interrupted
time series analysis of 27 quality compliance measures over a period incorporating three
separate accreditation evaluations; and (3) by demonstrating that subsequent accreditation
surveys significantly reduces variation in quality performance which correlates with higher
reliability.
The evidence from both hospital studies suggests that the tangible impact of accreditation has
the capacity to sustain improvements over the accreditation cycle. Our results suggest that
once a high level of quality compliance has been achieved - following the first accreditation
visit - it is highly likely to be sustained. In addition, repeated surveys reduce variations in
quality performance therefore supporting the organization’s journey to high reliability.
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The following limitations should be acknowledged. First, the accuracy of measures is
dependent on the quality of documentation in the patient record. For instance, if the
documentation was deficient then this was reflected in the measure. Second, the choice of
quality measures is defined by the availability of evidence in patient records. Third, this
study is set in the UAE and may not be generisable to hospitals in other settings. Fourth, both
study hospitals provide acute tertiary care and have limited generalisability to specialty
hospitals or primary/ secondary care healthcare facilities. Fifth, interrupted time series
analysis is limited by time-varying confounding improvement initiatives that may have
occurred at the department level however, since this methodology evaluates changes in
rates of an outcome at a system-level, confounding by individual level variables will not
introduce serious bias unless it occurs simultaneously with the intervention. Sixth, although
ceiling effects were minimized, it is acknowledged that if a measure is close to 100% then
any subsequent improvement will only be small. However, our analysis has shown
conclusively that each successive accreditation lead to an increase in means and also to a
decrease in the variances of the composite measure. Finally, more studies are required to
evaluate methodologies for achieving continuous survey readiness.
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Acknowledgements:
The authors thank the SKMC Quality Team and SKMC caregivers, whose commitment
supported the outcomes achieved.
Contributors
SD conceived and designed the experiments. SD analysed the data: SD and PO’F interpreted
the data and wrote the manuscript. SD and PO’F jointly developed the model and arguments
for the paper. SD and PO’F revisited and revised the article for important intellectual content.
SE provided access to the data as well as review of the article. RA provided technical
assistance with the statistical analysis. All authors reviewed and approved of the final
manuscript.
Funding
This research received no funding from any agency in the public, commercial or not-for-
profit sectors.
Competing interests
None declared.
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Provenance and peer review
Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement
No additional data available.
Figure Legends:
Figure 1. Phases of the accreditation life cycle: empirical evidence over eight years
Figure 2. Life cycle model comparison between Hospital A (previous study) and Hospital B
(current study)
Figure 3. Boxplot comparing variation in performance between the accreditation cycles
Figure 4. Devkaran et al. Wheel of continual survey readiness
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Figure 1. Phases of the accreditation life cycle: empirical evidence over eight years
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 2. Life cycle model comparison between Hospital A (previous study) and Hospital B (current study)
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 3. Boxplot comparing variation in performance between the accreditation cycles
297x209mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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Figure 4. Devkaran et al. Wheel of continual survey readiness
297x210mm (300 x 300 DPI)
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