第7回ナノ材wg - cabinet office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ g } b 5 /¡ ¾ p k ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ k z...

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10 2-2 ⏕⬟Ⓨ㟁タഛᑟධ≧ἣ࠸ࡘ2014 3 ᭶ᮎⅬ㸧 ฟ㸸 ㈨※HP(http://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/category/saving_and_new/saiene/kaitori/dl/setsubi/ 201403setsubi.pdf㸰㸬㸱 ኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁⏘ࡢᴗ㸦⏕⏘㸧 㸦㸯㸧ኴ㝧㟁ụ⏕⏘ᆅኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁ୡ⏺ᕷሙ ࠊࡣ᪥⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ࢩ࡞ࡁ ࠋࡓ࠸2006 ୡ⏺➨⏘⏕ࡢ㔞㸦Ⓨ㟁ᐜ㔞ࢩࡣிࢽࢯࠊࢡ⳻㟁ᶵ 5 ࡕ࠺ࡢ♫4 ♫᪥ᮏໃ༨➼㠀ᖖ㧗ࢩ࠸➇ࢺࢫࢥࠊࡀࡓ࠸தຊᣢ୰ᅜ‴ໃࢩࡃࡁࠊࡋࡤ2009 10 ධᴗ2 ᪥ᮏᴗࢩࡢ10%2012 ᪥ᮏᴗࢺࡣ 10 ጼᾘ ࠊࡋ 6%ࠋࡓࡗኴ㝧㟁ụ⏕⏘㔞ᆅᇦ᥎⛣ᅗ 2-3 ࠋࡍ᪥⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ୡ⏺⏤⌮ࡓࡋ࡞ࠎ࠶ࡀࡢ2000 ᖺ௦ࢩࠊࡣཎᩱㄪ㐩࡞ࡁせᅉ ࠋࡓࡗ࡞ୡ⏺ⓗኴ㝧㟁ụ㟂せᑟయ㟂せ⤖ࡓࡗ࡞ࢩࠊཎᩱ౯᱁ࡃࡁࢩࠊཎᩱ㟂⤥㐕㏕ࠊࡋኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ࢩࡣ㛗ᮇ㉎ධዎ⣙⾜ࡇ࠺⣲ᮦ㛗ᮇⓗ Ᏻᐃㄪ㐩ࢩࠊࡁཎᩱ☜ಖ⏘⏕ࠊࡋつᶍᣑ⾜ࡓࡗࢩࡀ ࠋࡓࡋࡤ⤖ᯝ Q-cells㸦⊂㸧 ࠋࡓࡗ࡞ ࠊࡓ2008 ᖺ๓ᚋᙜ㟂せࡓ࠸Ḣᕞᕷሙ≺୰ᅜ‴⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ タഛᢞ㈨✚ᴟⓗ⾜᪥⣔Ḣᕞ⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ฟ㐜ࡓࡓୡ⏺⏘⏕ࡢ୰ᅜ‴⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓༨≧ἣ ࠋࡓࡗ࡞2013 ᖺ⌧ᅾᕷሙῶ㏥࠶ࡘࡘࡋ ࠊࡀ୰ᅜ‴⣔ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ ࠊࡣ⡿ᅜ᪥ᮏ㟂せ࠶ࡘࡘࡧ㍺ࡢฟ✚ᴟⓗ⾜୰ᅜᅜෆኴ㝧ගⓎ㟁ᑟධ㐍ࡢࡇ࡞ࡓኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ᛴ㏿㢌⫼ࡓࡋࠊࡣኴ㝧㟁ụ〇㐀⨨⏘ᴗ 㛵ಀ⤖ᬗኴ㝧㟁ụࠊࡣ㧗ຠ⋡㧗ಙ㢗ᛶ➇ࡀதຊᚓ㔜せ ᕪせ⣲ኴ㝧㟁ụ࣓ࡇࡣᢏ⾡㛤Ⓨ➇ࠊࡀḢ⡿ኴ㝧㟁ụ〇㐀

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Page 1: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

10

2-2 2014 3

HP(http://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/category/saving_and_new/saiene/kaitori/dl/setsubi/

201403setsubi.pdf

2006

5 42009 10

2 10% 2012 106% 2-3

2000

Q-cells 2008

2013

Page 2: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

11

2013

2-3

PV News Volume 25, Number 4, April 2006 Volume 29, Number 5, May 2010 Volume 30, Number 5, May 2011 NEDO

2-4 2-5 2011

2-6

2005 1,758MW)

2007 3,733MMW)

2012 31,898MMW)

Page 3: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

12

2-7

2-4 2013 4 NEDO

2-5 2013 4NEDO

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

MW

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

MW

Page 4: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

13

2-6 26 1-33

2-7 26 1-3

3

2-8 2-92008

2-10

BOS Balance of System

Page 5: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

14

2-8 /kW

IEA PVPS Trends Report

2-9 /kW

IEA PVPS Trends Report

2-10

2014

Page 6: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

15

2-11 2-3

2005 2008

2009

2-11 $/kg

Bloomberg “Solar spot price Index, October 2013”

2-3

2005 2008

2009

2010

2011

NEDO

Page 7: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

16

2013 2-12

2-12

GTM Research PV TECHNOLOGY,P RODUCTION AND COST OUTLOOK: 2012-2016

2-13 BOS

2012 7 10kW

EPCO&M Operation & Maintenance

2-14 2-15 FIT

Page 8: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

17

2-13 2012 4 EBIT Earnings before Interests and TaxesBloomberg “PV MARKET OUTLOOK, Q2 2013”

2-14 2MW

3

Page 9: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

18

2-15NEDO 2014 2

FiT

2012 7 FiT 2-17 2014 365GW 1MW

37GW 2012 400kW

10 2014 122% 2014 2

EPC

EPC

O&M

Page 10: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

19

2-16 MW

HP

http://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/category/saving_and_new/saiene/kaitori/dl/setsubi/201403setsubi.pdf

NEDO

FiT2009 FiT 2012 2-17

FiT

2-18

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

20127

2012

20129

201210

201211

201212

20131

20132

20133

20134

20135

20136

20137

20138

20139

201310

201311

201312

20141

20142

20143

MW

10kW 10kW 1MW 1MW

10kW1MW ,

25,529

1MW ,37,509

65,725MW

10kW ,2,688

Page 11: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

20

2-17

NEDO 2014 2

2-18

NEDO 2014 2

2-4 FiT

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800MW

2009

2012

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

NTT

JFE

20092012

Page 12: 第7回ナノ材WG - Cabinet Office11 /æ*( Ó î î @ G } b 5 /¡ ¾ p K ± î å î0 4/æ*( \ K Z j)% K Z 8 S u "I b 4 /¡6ä$Î )¼ @ ^ 8 0d g û [ 6 W Z v q #Õ#Ø Û å 1*4) [

21

2-4

NEDO 2014 2

O&M O&M

50kW

2,000kW

2-192012 2.7

2-19

NEDO 2014 2

255.8

703.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2012 2013

MW

2,000kW