cabi’s horizon scanning tool - kephis.org · pest and pathway for import are usual starting...

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CABI’s Horizon Scanning Tool and Pest Risk Analysis Tool

Oronje ML., Cameron K., Richards G., Doughty L., Day R.

2nd Phytosanitary Conference 4th -8th June 2018 KEPHIS Headquarters Karen Nairobi, Kenya

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Why the Horizon Scanning Tool? Invasive species cost the globe US$1.4 trillion per year. Developing countries are most severely affected. Recent pest introductions to Africa include • Fall armyworm • Maize Lethal Necrosis Disease • Tuta absoluta • Parthenium • Fusarium wilt caused by Foc TR4 • Papaya mealybug • Others Whiteflies Fruit flies

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Targeted users: • risk assessors, • plant protection officers, • quarantine officers, • protected area managers • researchers The tool provides: user-friendly means of accessing a large volume of relevant data for categorizing and prioritizing potential invasive species threats to a country, state or province. Potential threats can be prioritized by: • habitats • pathways • plant hosts (for Crop Protection Compendium subscribers only) • plant parts in trade (for CPC subscribers only) • taxonomic group

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Scan details: ● Area at risk = Malawi ● Source countries

● Neighbouring countries

Tanzania Zambia Uganda Mozambique

● Taxonomic group =All pests

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Scan details: ● Area at risk = Malawi ● Source countries

● Neighbouring countries Tanzania

● Taxonomic group = All pests

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

Scan details: ● Area at risk = Malawi ● Taxonomic group = All pests ● Source countries

● Neighbouring countries

Tanzania ● Other countries

South Africa ● Pathway

● Mail ● People travel ● Food contaminants ● Plant or plant parts

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CABI’s Horizon Scanning Tool (HST)

Planned changes (USDA Funded) ● Fill data gaps ● Enhance the climate matching ● Include data on transport links and trade

links Functions not demonstrated

● ISC restricted access

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CABI’s Pest Risk Analysis Tool

Pest Risk Analysis Tool


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Published on CPC CD-ROM 2002-2007

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The main features included:

●A framework for PRA aligned to ISPM 2, 11 ●Search to generate a list of pests for a commodity pathway

(now in HST) ●Direct access to pest datasheets ●User data for pest info ●User data for pest regulatory status ●Re-use of user data and previous decisions in future sessions ●Basic PRA report providing assistance with documentation ●Links to full text and websites

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This system aims to provide a framework in which the risks associated with the importation of plant commodities and the introduction of pests into new areas can be identified and assessed. It does not generate conclusions, but provides access to scientific information to aid the selection of appropriate measures for reducing risk and facilitating the movement of plants and plant products. The main features include: - A procedure for PRA aligned to ISPM11. This can be completed in stages and by other users if installed on a network. - Searches of the Compendium databases to generate a list of pests associated with a commodity pathway – this can now be done in the HST - Direct access to pest datasheets from which content can be copied and pasted into the justifications of risk assessment decisions. - Facilities for users to add new information or overrule existing Compendium data with own data. - Options for adding and editing country lists of regulated pests. - Re-use of user added data and previous decisions in future sessions for consistency and saving time. - Exporting PRA reports to a text file and assistance with documentation – i.e. identification of user added data and annotations. - Links to full text on useful phytosanitary topics relevant Internet sites.

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

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ISPM11: another starting point is policy – e.g. when new phytosanitary measures become avail. or not avail, change in knowledge, country borders etc. Ignore?

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Pathway List of potential quarantine pests

Refinement of pest list Which spp. need full risk

assessment?

Individual pest risk assessment Template for 4 criteria: likelihood of introduction, establishment,

spread, impact

Risk management. Template of options

Pest

PRA report

System overview

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Pathway List of potential quarantine pests

Refinement of pest list Which spp. need full risk

assessment?

Individual pest risk assessment Template for 4 criteria: likelihood of introduction, establishment,

spread, impact

Risk management. Template of options

Pest

HST + user data search

User’s own data and judgement

PRA report

CPC pest ds

Previous PRAs CPC pest ds


CPC pest ds & full text/links


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Blue = user entered e.g. pest info to overrule CPC data (host, distribution, commodity), regulatory status, information from other sources and expert knowledge Green = system generated Yellow = access to relevant data that requires interpretation. Text can be pasted for the report

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PRA Requirements Surveys 2018

●CPC PRA module user survey

●Sent to contacts familiar with the CD-ROM (2002-2007)

●12 respondents (incl. Burundi, Uganda, Kenya, China, India, Malaysia, Vietnam, Peru, Canada)

●PRA Requirements Survey

●Sent to risk assessors worldwide

●112 respondents

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PRA Requirements Surveys 2018

What is your role? Do you currently use CABI compendia for PRA? Which best describes your use of the CPC CD-ROM PRA module? Do you think you would use a PRA tool if CABI made one available in online Compendia? For which region do you carry out your PRAs? Do you usually collaborate to produce a PRA report? What are you looking for in a new PRA tool? What priority would you give PRA components for functionality enhancements? Would you want a new system to generate a PRA report?

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

● >50% Risk Assessors ● 25% carry out PRAs in Africa, 22% N. America,

20% Europe ● 39% use both the CPC and ISC for PRAs ● Pest and Pathway for import are usual starting

points ● Range of tools used for PRA: Risk Mapping,

Climex, CAPRA, @Risk, R programs ● 92% collaborate either within or outside their

institution, or both ● 69% have not yet tried the HST, but 24% think it is

a good starting point for PRA

Summary

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● 77% want ‘a tool for assessing the likelihood of introduction, establishment, spread and impact of a pest’

● Highest priority enhancements are: ● Pest distribution (data) ● Assessing the likelihood of establishment

according to climate (functionality) ● 76% want to include quarantine status in PRA tool ● 57% willing to log in and want to store data in tool ● Half would expect to produce a report outside the

tool, half would want the tool to do this ● 58 participants left contact details and are willing

to be consulted about PRA tool development

Summary cont.

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

● Detailed user feedback – workshop scheduled for next week

● Targeting NPPO risk analysts ● Detailed work flow and dynamics of a PRA ● Final version developed ● Launched end 2018

Next steps

KNOWLEDGE FOR LIFE

Ministry of Agriculture, People’s Republic of China

CABI is an international intergovernmental organisation, and we gratefully acknowledge the core financial support from our member countries (and lead agencies) including:

xie-xie zikomo thank you urakoze terima kasih ke itumetse

dhanyawaad

merci efharistó شكرا جزیال

tak kiitos

शुिक्रया ありがとう gracias zikomo

danke asante

obrigado

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cabi’s horizon scanning tool - kephis.org · pest and pathway for import are usual starting...

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