canadian labour and business centre lmi: crucial in a time of change a presentation to the third...
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CANADIAN LABOUR AND BUSINESS CENTRE www.clbc.ca
LMI: Crucial in a LMI: Crucial in a Time of ChangeTime of Change
A Presentation to the Third Annual National LMI Forum, Vancouver, BC,May 18, 2004,
Derwyn Sangster, Director, Business, Canadian Labour and Business Centre
CANADIAN LABOUR AND BUSINESS CENTRE 2
“In 2003-4,CME Members told us that lack of qualified personnel was one of the top three constraints on performance improvement”
– Perrin Beatty, President, Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters, April 2004
“We know we have workers who want training. And what do we have? A skills crisis.”
- Ken Georgetti, President , Canadian Labour Congress, September 2003
CANADIAN LABOUR AND BUSINESS CENTRE 3
Shortage of Skilled WorkersShortage of Skilled WorkersAA serious problem serious problem – on the rise– on the rise
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1996 1998 2000 2002
Private Managers
Public Managers
Private Labour
Public Labour
CANADIAN LABOUR AND BUSINESS CENTRE 4
The Workplace Skills Challenge: The Workplace Skills Challenge: A Time of ChangeA Time of Change
> Major workforce shifts and trends:
> Slower labour force growth> Aging population; trends to earlier retirement> Competition for skills taking on an international
dimension> Recruitment/retention issues> Emerging skill requirements (new technology,
hard and soft skills)
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Labour Force Growth Drops Labour Force Growth Drops Below One PercentBelow One Percent
Average Annual Growth Rate of the Labour Force
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1955-1959
1960-1964
1965-1969
1970-1974
1975-1979
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
2000-2004
2005-2009
2010-2014
2015-2019
2020-2024
2025-2029
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The Near-Retirement Population is The Near-Retirement Population is IncreasingIncreasing
Older Workers 45+ : A Growing Share of the Labour Force
25%
27%
29%
31%
33%
35%
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
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Top 5 Actions to Address Skill RequirementsTop 5 Actions to Address Skill Requirements
Managers Labour Leaders
private public private public
Upgrading Skills of Current Employees 1 2 1 4
Improve Succession Planning 2 1 3 1
Specific Measures to Retain Current Employees 3 4 5 3
Mentoring of Young Workers by Older Workers 4 3 2 2
Hiring Young Labour Market Entrants 5 5 4
Phased-in Retirement Policies 5
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Apprenticeship Statistics, CanadaApprenticeship Statistics, Canada
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998Year
Nu
mb
er
of
Pe
rso
ns
Number Registered
Completions during year
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Employer-Sponsored Training:Employer-Sponsored Training:Them That Has, GetsThem That Has, Gets
Employee Participation in Employer-Sponsored Training
40%47% 50%
58%64%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Not completedhigh school
High schooldiploma
Trade /VocationalDiploma
CollegeDiploma
UniversityDegree
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Statistics Canada: An Increasing Statistics Canada: An Increasing Dependence on Immigrants for Labour Force Dependence on Immigrants for Labour Force GrowthGrowth
Immigrant Contribution to Labour Force Growth, 1951-1996
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1951-56 1956-61 1961-66 1966-71 1971-76 1976-81 1981-86 1986-91 1991-96
net immigration Can-born
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Statistics Canada… the ‘Transition Statistics Canada… the ‘Transition Penalty’ Has Been IncreasingPenalty’ Has Been Increasing
Unemployment Rates, Canadian- born and Recent ImmigrantsCanada
7.9%
17.4%
7.1% 5.7%7.4%
29.7%
12.7%9.2%
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%
Canadian- born Entered countryduring the census year
Entered countrywithin 5 years of
Census
Entered countrywithin 6 to 10 years of
Census
Recent Immigrants
1981 2001
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Dependence on Immigrants: Ontario, Dependence on Immigrants: Ontario, British Columbia, QuebecBritish Columbia, Quebec
Ontario British Columbia
Quebec
Share of New Immigrants, 1991-2001
57.1% 19.1% 12.8%
Immigrants’ Share of Labour Force Growth, 1991-2001
97% 60% 61%
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Perceived Importance of Immigration in Addressing Perceived Importance of Immigration in Addressing Skill Needs: Ontario, British Columbia, QuebecSkill Needs: Ontario, British Columbia, Quebec
Percentage of Managers and Labour Leaders saying Hiring Foreign-trained Workers is "Not Important" in Addressing
Skills Needs, by Selected Provinces
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Ontario BritishColumbia
Quebec
private sector managers
public sector managers
private sector labour
public sector labour
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Views on Importance of the Aboriginal Views on Importance of the Aboriginal Workforce – Manitoba & SaskatchewanWorkforce – Manitoba & Saskatchewan
Percent Saying Hiring Aboriginals is very important in addressing skill requirements
23%
40%
63%53%
0%
25%
50%
75%
private sectormanagers
public sectormanagers
private sectorlabour
public sectorlabour
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In This Skills Challenges Context, Why In This Skills Challenges Context, Why Does LMI Matter to CLBC?Does LMI Matter to CLBC?
The answer is defined by:
> Our Stakeholders> Our Mission > What we do, and what we care about
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CLBC’s StakeholdersCLBC’s Stakeholders Independent national organization Multipartite Board (business, labour, government
and education) Co-chaired by Labour and Business
CLBC’s MissionCLBC’s Mission To improve public policy and business and labour
practices, especially at the workplace level To improve dialogue among all parties
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What CLBC Does, What CLBC Does, What CLBC Cares AboutWhat CLBC Cares About
> Applied research, analysis, consultation;
> Focus on labour market, skills, skill shortages and learning issues
> Interests at international, national, sectoral and workplace levels
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For Its Stakeholders and Mission, CLBC Must For Its Stakeholders and Mission, CLBC Must Have:Have:
> Capacity to interpret the labour market through independent, credible LMI/analysis
> Capacity to provide balanced commentary which understands the perspectives, LMI needs and contributions of our stakeholders
> Particular concern for the needs of the workplace parties; strong understanding of workplace issues
> A pragmatic rather than academic approach, with emphasis on information sharing with stakeholders
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CLBC’s Activities Mean We Must Have:CLBC’s Activities Mean We Must Have:
> A capacity not only to use the LMI and analysis generated by others, but to generate our own, to meet the needs of our stakeholders
> A strong overview of the issues and LMI sources related to the labour market as a whole
> A capacity to deal with LMI and analysis at the firm, sector or various geographical levels
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Thus, a Strong CLBC Interest in Issues Thus, a Strong CLBC Interest in Issues Such As:Such As:
> Apprenticeship;> Worker retention and knowledge transfer;> Aboriginal issues;> Foreign credentials recognition; > Enhanced language training for immigrants;> Essential skills;> Sectoral human resources issues.
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CLBC’s Future Plans/Hopes:CLBC’s Future Plans/Hopes:
> To continue to serve its stakeholders;> To maintain its program of research and
consultations based on LMI/analysis> To host the Canadian Council on
Learning’s Adult and Workplace Learning ‘Node’
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The Canadian Council on Learning: A The Canadian Council on Learning: A Potential Major LMI InnovationPotential Major LMI Innovation
Mandate:> Informing Canadians regularly on Canada’s
progress on learning
> Disseminating knowledge and information on learning among Canadians
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Proposed Coverage of CCLProposed Coverage of CCL
All aspects of ‘lifelong learning’, including:> Early childhood education> K-12> Post-secondary education> Adult and workplace learning
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Adult and Workplace Learning ‘Node’Adult and Workplace Learning ‘Node’
CLBC sees Priority Areas of Activity in LMI terms:
> Informing Canadians about the State of Adult and Workplace Learning
> Knowledge/Information Exchange (Enabling Canadians to inform one another of what they are doing in this area)
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Informing Canadians Informing Canadians
> Annual Report to Canadians on Adult and Workplace Learning
> Research program driven by Annual Report
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Knowledge/Information ExchangeKnowledge/Information Exchange
> Adult and Workplace Learning Portal> Systematic research on innovative practices in
adult learning> Promoting strategic knowledge exchange in
specific areas (PLAR, Essential Skills, Literacy, Foreign credentials recognition, etc.)
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In Summary:In Summary:
> Canada faces dramatic skills challenges;> CLBC, through its stakeholders, is heavily
involved in these issues;> The need for clear and credible LMI/analysis
has never been greater;> Viewed through an LMI lens, the CCL is a
potentially important future tool.
CANADIAN LABOUR AND BUSINESS CENTRE www.clbc.ca
Thank you!
Derwyn SangsterDirector, Business,Canadian Labour and Business [email protected]