canadian telecommunications david lee jeremy ma raymond xie saurabh suryavanshi

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  • Slide 1
  • Canadian Telecommunications David Lee Jeremy Ma Raymond Xie Saurabh Suryavanshi
  • Slide 2
  • Contents Canadian Telecommunications Industry Manitoba Telecom Services (MBT-T) Rogers Communications (RCI.NV.B-T) TELUS Corporation (T-T)
  • Slide 3
  • Industry Characteristics Telecommunications Industry
  • Slide 4
  • Industry Overview Communications Services Industry Wired telecommunications (5171) Wireless telecommunications (5172) Resellers, Satellite, Other services (5173, 5174, 5179) Cable and other program distribution (5175) Major companies Bell Canada Enterprise (BCE,) Aliant (AIT, 53% owned by BCE) Bell Nordiq (BNQ, 63% owned by BCE, IT) TELUS (T) Rogers Communications (RCI.NV.B, 86% owned by E. S. Rogers) Manitoba Telecom Services (MBT)
  • Slide 5
  • Industry Key Players Wired Cable DTH/MDS $5.9 Billion Wireless & Paging $9.5 Bilion Wired Line Long Distance Internet / Data $23.3 Billion Resellers & Others $1.3 Billion 2004 Revenue $40.0 Billion Communications
  • Slide 6
  • Market Segment Revenue, 1998-2004
  • Slide 7
  • Market Segment Subscribers, 1998-2004
  • Slide 8
  • Industry Characteristics Large contribution to economy $40.0 billion (2004), $24.8 billion of revenue (1997 constant $) 2.4% of total Canadian GDP Highly capital intensive Effective cap-ex management and allocation (Long term) Saturated market Increasing unit revenue Service development capability Reducing costs Organizational efficiency Market penetration Marketing as a key factor Blurred Boundaries with Cable industry Traditionally tough regulations greatly reduced Cablecos with VoIP vs.Telcos with IPTV Strategic position
  • Slide 9
  • Industry Characteristics Wireline Communications Services
  • Slide 10
  • Wireline Communications Segment Overview ILECs: Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers Used to be regional monopoly with own network BCE, TELUS, MTS, SaskTel, Aliant, NorthwesTel CLECs: Competitive Local Exchange Carriers Allowed in 1997, if registered with CRTC However, hard to compete with ILECs Allstream (acquired by MTS), Call-Net (Sprint), ExaTel, EastLink Resellers Rent networks from ILECs or CLECs Marketing with competitive rates more actively with Long Distance Competition between BCE & TELUS Since 2000, TELUS expanding to eastern Canada to become No. 2 BCE reacting to successfully expand to western Canada
  • Slide 11
  • Wireline Communications Telecommunications Carriers TELUS to East / BCE to West since 2000
  • Slide 12
  • Wireline Communications Competitive Landscape Wireline Local Services ILECs dominating the market 97.3% CLECs not able to compete with ILECS Gradually declining due to Customer migration to wireless Reduced demand of 2 nd phone line Wireline Long Distance Services ILECs monopoly eliminated in 1992 CLECs and resellers effectively competing with over 26% share Rapidly shrinking with revenue $5.5 B in 2004 Alternative communications replacing the service Wireless and text messaging (SMS) Email, Instance messaging & Voice chatting Internet and cable telephony (VoIP)
  • Slide 13
  • Wireline Communications Local & Long Distance Revenue, 1993 - 2004
  • Slide 14
  • Wireline Communications Wired Access Lines, 1993 - 2004
  • Slide 15
  • Industry Characteristics Wireless Communications Services
  • Slide 16
  • Wireless Communications Segment Overview Dominated by Big 3 Rogers & Microcell 35.3% TELUS Mobility 29.4% Bell Mobility 27.2% Profitability Extreme competition lead by Microcell until early 2002 With declining ARPU, industry recorded deficit in 2000, 2001 Rogers leading the market after its Microcell acquisition in 2004 Spectrum & Technology Most Spectrum auctioned in 2001 ($1.5 B) BCE, Rogers, TELUS Most carriers completed 2.5G (1X CDMA or GSM/GPRS) Bell & Rogers leading 3G transition Important for service development (Increased ARPU, marketing)
  • Slide 17
  • Wireless Communications Revenue & ARPU, 1999 - 2004 Industry deficit
  • Slide 18
  • Wireless Communications Wireless Technology Base2.5G (Advanced Data & Voice) 3G (348 kbps 2 Mbps) Bell CanadaCDMA1XRTT (CDMA2000) 30 55 kpbs 1X EV-DO (urban area) Up to 700 kbps TELUSCDMA1XRTT (CDMA2000) 30 55 kpbs RogersGSMGSM/GPRS 20-40kbps Cover 93% population EDGE (July2004) Up to 130 kbps MicrocellGSMGSM/GPRS 20-40kbps Aliant / MTS / Sasktel CDMA1X network
  • Slide 19
  • Industry Characteristics Internet & Data Services
  • Slide 20
  • Internet & Data Services Segment Overview Large Telcos & Cablecos Able to utilize existing telephone and cable line Telephone access line: 20 million Wired cable line: 10.7 million (76.5% households) Requires minor modification and modem CLECs and Resellers Usually provide services on rented network basis Compete based on the rate Offer additional services (web hosting, long distance service ) Market Share & Trend Dial-up: 27.2% Digital Subscriber Line (DSL): 34.4% Cable line: 39.4% DSL & Cable line consistently increasing Satellite and Wireless internet services starting to grow
  • Slide 21
  • Internet & Data Services Subscribers, 2000-2004
  • Slide 22
  • Internet & Data Services Market Share, 2003 No. 1 No. 2 No. 3 No. 4
  • Slide 23
  • Industry Characteristics Margin & Network Investment
  • Slide 24
  • Telecommunications Operating Margin, 1997-2004
  • Slide 25
  • Telecommunications Operating Margin, Cap-Ex, 1998-2004 High speed Internet 2.5G
  • Slide 26
  • Telecommunications Wired & Wireless Subscribers, 1998-2004
  • Slide 27
  • Industry Characteristics Telcos (IPTV) vs. Cablecos (VoIP)
  • Slide 28
  • VoIP vs. IPTV Technology Overview VoIP: Voice over Internet Protocol Stable technology with satisfactory Technology Requires relatively small bandwidth Uses public Internet network In service by major Cable companies (Shaw, Rogers) IPTV: Internet Protocol Television New technology developed by Microsoft Requires broad bandwidth Technologically advanced compared to traditional digital TV Showing fast penetration (MTS 18% in less than 2 years) Competitive Implication Telcos & Cablecos compete head to head 20 25% of each market expected to be lost More impact on Telecoes than Cablecos
  • Slide 29
  • VoIP vs. IPTV Impact on Competition between Cablecos & Telecos Telcos ExposureCablecos Exposure
  • Slide 30
  • Manitoba Telecom Jeremy Ma
  • Slide 31
  • Table of Contents Company Overview Company Analysis Financial Analysis MTS Extensive fibre optic network: spans more than 24,300 km.
  • Slide 32
  • Company Overview Third largest telecommunication provider in Canada Operate through two divisions: national and Manitoba division National e-business / communication solution provider Provide Voice, Data, Video to residential and business customers in Manitoba.
  • Slide 33
  • MTS History 1997Manitoba Telecom Service became a public traded company 1999Strategic alliance with Bell 2000Initiate broadband service in Manitoba 2004End strategic alliance with Bell in Western Canada 2004Acquired Allstream ($1.6 billion) and become the 3 rd largest national telecom provider in Canada 2004 MTS Allstream strategic alliance with BT: broaden its IP based technology service globally 2005MTS Allstream acquired Delphi Solutions Corp. 2005Pierre Blouin named new Chief Executive Officer of Manitoba Telecom Services Inc. and MTS Allstream Inc.
  • Slide 34
  • Company Overview Management Team Pierre Blouin CEO 2005~ a seasoned telecommunications executive, who spent 20 years + at BCE Inc. 2003 ~ 2005 Group President, Consumer Markets, Bell Canada 2002 ~ 2003: CEO of BCE Emergis 2000 ~ 2002President and CEO of Bell Mobility Wayne S. Demkey, CA CFO 2001~ Joined MTS since 1996. 11 years as senior managers at KPMG Kelvin A. Shepherd, P.Eng. President, MTS (Manitoba) 2006~ CTO of MTS 2000 ~ 2005 20 years with Saskatchewan Telecom John A. MacDonald President, MTS (ALLSTREAM) 2002 ~ CEO of Leitch Technology Corp. Executive Vice President, CTO, COO, President of Bell Canada 1994 ~ 1999
  • Slide 35
  • Compensation
  • Slide 36
  • Operation Analysis Revenue Breakdown (2005)
  • Slide 37
  • Company Analysis
  • Slide 38
  • MTS Manitoba Leading telecom co. in Manitoba: Voice, Data, and Video
  • Slide 39
  • Competitive Landscape in Manitoba MTSTelusRogersBCEShaw Home Phone OXO (Internet Phone) XO (Internet Phone) Wireless OOOXX TV OXXXO Internet OXOXO Bundle OXXXO
  • Slide 40
  • MTS Manitoba MTS Manitoba continues to dominate Manitoba market even though it had faced competition from Rogers, Telus, and Shaw. How has MTS remained dominant?
  • Slide 41
  • MTS Manitoba Preemption Strategy: MTS Bundles Objectives Preempt cable triple play Increase subscriber spending Cross-selling Strategy Full service: voice, data, and video Attractive pricing (Bundle Pricing) Competitive against cable
  • Slide 42
  • Preemption Strategy MTS StrategyOffer triple play 3 years before cable telephony Pricing $20 ~ $52/month Save $10 for two bundles Save $20 for 3 bundles Content 23 basic channels 140 channels in 26 groups Games and VOD (Video On Demand) Marketing Triple play: Three Choices, Three Bucks, Three Charities. Choice
  • Slide 43
  • Results Steadily gaining market share in wireless, TV, and high-speed internet. Increase its revenues and customer base by cross-selling Shaw Fight Back! Introduced its bundle packages in July 2005
  • Slide 44
  • MTS Manitoba Operation Performance Shaw launched bundle program
  • Slide 45
  • MTS (Manitoba) Phone Service Wireless Internet TV Data and Directory ? Security & Alarms ? Overall
  • Slide 46
  • Slide 47
  • History of Allstream 1846 Montreal and Toronto Magnetic Telegraph Co. established 1846~ 1992 merger & acquisition Change name to Unitel 1992 Enter Long distance market 1996 Unitel AT&T Canada Long Distance Services 1999 Enter IT service; first to offer MPLS-IP VPNs in Canada 1999 Enter local phone service; reached 100,000 local business lines 2003 Allstream brand launched 2004 MTS acquired Allstream 2005 Acquire Delphi Solution Corp.
  • Slide 48
  • Todays Allstream Core Business Provide specific or integrated e-Business solution to business clients Target market midsized to large size enterprise business, as well as the public sector Market Segment (by industry) Financial Government Manufacturing Healthcare High-Tech / Telecom Energy
  • Slide 49
  • ALLSTREAM (National) Division Product Portfolio
  • Slide 50
  • Allstream Client Base .and many many more Canadian enterprises have chosen Allstream for e-business solution
  • Slide 51
  • Allstream E-business solution: What is it? How does it work ?
  • Slide 52
  • Customer Solution Configured for Customer Customer Solution Customer Solution TRANSPORTATION Vertical Applications for Community of Interest Customer Solution Customer Solution HEALTHCARE Vertical Applications for Community of Interest RFID XML Networking Voice Biometrics XOIP E-business Solution Issues Clean IP Transport Ubiquitous High Speed Affordable Access Storage Security Write once, run everywhere Capability Quality of Service Web 2.0 Grid Computing + Storage Identity Management REPEATABLE TECHNOLOGY (Tool Set) Network + Application = Solution
  • Slide 53
  • E-business Solution RFID (Radio frequency identification) Tag
  • Slide 54
  • Solution Innovation RFID (Radio frequency identification) Tag
  • Slide 55
  • ALLSTREAM (National) Division Retail Application
  • Slide 56
  • Allstream positions itself as market leader in terms of its innovated IT technology
  • Slide 57
  • Market Leader = Sound Financial Results? NOT Necessary!!!
  • Slide 58
  • Allstream Going Down! Recent Development Revenues from legacy services (such as long distance, local, frame relay, and private line data service) deteriorate as telecom technology continues to evolve. More and more business prefer much cheaper 2nd generation network and IP services. Allstreams ex-partner/shareholder, Rogers and AT&T, turn against Allstream by pulling business out of Allstream.
  • Slide 59
  • Allstream Going Down!
  • Slide 60
  • Allstream No detailed information available to analyze its operation MTS has claimed that Allstream continues to gain market share in Canada IT service industry implies that Allstream gained market share by sacrificing its margins. Face competition from incumbent and new market entrants
  • Slide 61
  • MTS Allstream Strategies to Stop the Bleeding Allstream: Focus more on profitable segments and IP data services which have solid profitability margins and significant growth potential. Transition Phase II, an aggressive program to cut costs, refine market focus and service portfolio Comprehensive CEO Business Review
  • Slide 62
  • Financial Statements
  • Slide 63
  • Financial Statement Income Statement
  • Slide 64
  • Financial Statement Balanced Sheet
  • Slide 65
  • Cash Flow
  • Slide 66
  • MTS Pro Forma Financial Performance *pro forma results, i.e.Assume Allstream acqu. took place on Jan 2003
  • Slide 67
  • Sustainability of Dividend Payout Adjusted FCF Forecast
  • Slide 68
  • Retained Earnings
  • Slide 69
  • Fishers Valuation Approach Superiority in production, marketing, research and financial skills less attractive Well-managed: ? No cash; RE ; quick ratio < 1 Satisfied production and services Marketing Strategy: ? Investment characteristics of some businesses Moderate Attractive License requirements High entry barrier High competition The people factor Less Attractive Experts in integrated service strong in leading the technological innovations The price of investment Attractive low price now at $37.09 52 week range: 36.61 ~ 49.90 Dividend Yield: 7.01% Recommendation: Sell
  • Slide 70
  • Stock Performance Current Dividend Yield: 7.01%
  • Slide 71
  • Recommendation Mad Money Sell !!!
  • Slide 72
  • ROGERS
  • Slide 73
  • AGENDA Companys History Companys Structure Rogers Wireless Rogers Cable Rogers Media Rogers Telecom Management Financial Statements Stock performance & companys strategy Recommendation
  • Slide 74
  • History - The Beginning 1925 - Mr. Rogers, Sr. invented the worlds first alternating current (AC) radio tube. 1931 - Mr. Rogers, Sr. was awarded an experimental TV license. 1939 - Mr. Rogers, Sr. died at the young age of 38. He left a widow, Velma, and a 5 year old son, Edward.
  • Slide 75
  • The New Era - The Beginning 1956 - Ted Rogers earned his Bachelor of Arts from the University of Toronto. 1961 - Ted Rogers was awarded an LL.B. in 1961 from Osgoode Hall Law School. 1961 62 - Mr. Rogers started Rogers Radio Broadcasting Limited 1967 - Awarded licenses for Cable business for areas in and around Toronto, Brampton and Leamington.
  • Slide 76
  • The Growing ERA.!!!! 1974 - the first cable company to expand past 12 channels 1979 - Mr. Rogers company, Rogers Cable TV Limited, acquired control of Canadian Cable systems Limited. 1980 - Rogers purchased Premier Communications Limited. 1979 to 1982 - Acquired and built a number of cable television systems in the United States. 1989 - Rogers Communications completed the sale of its U.S. cable television interests for CDN $1.581 billion. 1989 - Rogers Communications Inc. acquired 40% of Unitel Communications, formerly CNCP Telecommunications.
  • Slide 77
  • The ERA of Diversification!! 2000 - Rogers Communications Inc. acquired the Toronto Blue Jays Baseball Club. 2001 - Rogers Media acquired Sportsnet, and renamed Rogers Sportsnet 2004 - Acquired Rogers Centre 2004 - Rogers acquired the 34% of Rogers Wireless owned by AT&T Wireless Services Inc. 2004 - Rogers Wireless acquired Microcell Telecommunications Inc. 2004 05 - Rogers Communications repurchased the shares of Rogers Wireless. 2005, July Rogers introduces Rogers Home Phone voice-over-cable local telephony service 2005, July Rogers successfully completed the acquisition of Call-Net Enterprises Inc. (now Rogers Telecom Holdings Inc.), a national provider of voice and data communications services.
  • Slide 78
  • ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC ROGERS WIRELESS ROGERS CABLE ROGERS MEDIA ROGERS TELECOM Rogers Wireless. FIDO Inc. FIDO Solutions Inc. Rogers Wireless Alberta Inc. Wireless payment Services (33.33%) Rogers Cable Communication Inc. Blue Jays Hold co Inc. Rogers Broadcasting Business Rogers Publishing Limited Formerly Call-Net enterprises. Rogers Telecom. Subsidiaries Inukshuk Internet Inc. 16.5% in Cogeco Cable Inc. 21% in COGECO Inc. Investments
  • Slide 79
  • Revenue & Operating Profit!!
  • Slide 80
  • Slide 81
  • Provides Wireless voice and data communication services. Largest Canadian Wireless Communications Service provider. Canadas only carrier operating on the world standard GSM/GPRS technology platform. Provides Coverage to approximately 93% of Canadas population. Customer base of 6.138 million wireless voice and data subscribers. Wireless penetration rates among the lowest in the developed world. 1.3 million subscribers added through the acquisition of MICROCELL. ROGERS WIRELESS
  • Slide 82
  • Sources of Revenue Post paid voice and data Monthly Fees Airtime and long distance charges Optional Services charges System access fees Roaming Charges Prepaid revenues generated principally from charges for airtime, long distance and text messaging. One way messaging or paging Monthly fees and usage charges. Sale of hardware and accessories and equipment activation fees.
  • Slide 83
  • Expenses Cost of equipment sales. Sales and marketing expenses. Advertisements Commissions Remuneration and benefits to employees. Operating, general and administrative expenses. Expense to service existing relationships. Retention costs. Inter-carrier payments. Long distance carrier payments.
  • Slide 84
  • Slide 85
  • Risks Fierce and Substantial Competition Price War could affect churn rate and revenue growth. Since Technology dependent, may not meet the expectations. Changes in the Wireless Communications Industry. Risks attached with the acquisition of MICROCELL. Inability to enhance systems or a system breach in future Dependent on infrastructure and handset vendors. High Capital requirements. Restriction on the use of wireless handsets while driving. Business subject to government regulations.
  • Slide 86
  • Largest cable television company in Canada. Services include: Analog and Digital Cable Residential and Commercial internet services Data and Internet products to business customers. Rogers Video DVD, Video Cassette, Video Games Distribution network includes extensive network including wireless independent dealer networks, wireless stores, Rogers video, retail chains like RadioShack, Future Shop & Best buy. Ontario comprises for 90% of the total cable subscribers. New step into voice over cable telephony. ROGERS CABLE
  • Slide 87
  • REVENUES Core Cable: Analog Cable Service Basic Cable Services Digital Cable Service Digital Service Channel fees Internet Residential and Commercial Internet Services. Rogers Video Sale and Rental of DVD, Cassettes. Agents Rogers Video acts as an agent for Rogers Wireless.
  • Slide 88
  • Expenses Cost of Rogers Video stores Sales and Marketing Expense Operating, general and administrative expenses. Customer Care Expenses. Technological Disturbance Expenses
  • Slide 89
  • Slide 90
  • Risks Acceptance of new products and failures. Substantial Competition. The increasing programming costs. High Government regulation. High technological dependence. Increasing royalty rates. Reliance on Suppliers.
  • Slide 91
  • Media holds radio and television broadcasting operations, our consumer and trade publishing operations and our televised home shopping service. Media Broadcasting 43 Radio Stations 2 Multicultural television Stations in Ontario. Specialty Sports television service across Canada(Rogers Sportnet) The only nationally televised shopping service. ROGERS MEDIA
  • Slide 92
  • Rogers Publishing Well known consumer magazines such as Macleans, Chatelaine, Flare, Lactualite, Canadian Business and is the leading publisher of a number of industry, medical and financial publications. Effective Jan 1, 2005 All sports entertainment Assets will be a part of Rogers Media. Sports Entertainment Assets include: The Toronto Blue Jays baseball team Rogers Centre, Canadian largest sports and entertainment facility:
  • Slide 93
  • Revenue Advertising Revenues Circulation and subscription revenues. Retail product Sales. Ticket Sales at Rogers Centre Revenue from home games. Revenue sharing Agreement with Major league baseball league.
  • Slide 94
  • Expenses Cost of sales. Cost of retail product at The Shopping Channel. Sales and marketing expenses Operating, general and administrative expenses Programming Costs Production Costs Circulation expenses. Team costs Players salaries. Scouting and stadium operations
  • Slide 95
  • Slide 96
  • Risks Advertisement, a major source of revenue. A decrease in advertisement demand. Increased Competition. Increase in the paper prices, printing costs or postage. Change in regulatory policies. Media business sensitive to external events and economic conditions. Introduction of new technology and products.
  • Slide 97
  • Sprint Canada and Call-Net name changed to Rogers Telecom after the successful acquisition of Call-Net. ROGERS TELECOM
  • Slide 98
  • MANAGEMENT
  • Slide 99
  • Edward S. Rogers, O.C President and CEO A true pioneer in the communications industry Man behind the success from the beginning. Education Doctorate of Science, Clarkson University of Potsdam, New York, 1989 Doctorate of Law, University of Victoria, BC, June 1990 Doctorate of Law, York University, Ont., June 1994 Doctorate of Law, University of Western Ontario, Ont. 1996 Doctor of Sacred Letters, Trinity College, University of Toronto, 1997 Doctor of Letters, University of New Brunswick, October 2001
  • Slide 100
  • Joined RCI as Director, RCI, Nov, 1989 Chairman of the Board since March 1993. Honors B.A. (History) LL.B., University of Toronto Alan D. Horn, V.P, Finance and C.F.O H. Garfield Emerson Chairman Joined Rogers' group in 1990 as President and COO, Rogers Telecommunications Limited. Tax partner with KPMG from 1984 to 1987 C.A. Honors B.Sc. (Mathematics) Philip B. Lind Vice Chairman Joined RCI as Programming Chief in 1969 Director of RCI since 1979. B.Sc. (Political Science & Sociology) Doctor of Law, UBC.
  • Slide 101
  • FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
  • Slide 102
  • Slide 103
  • Slide 104
  • Slide 105
  • Slide 106
  • Slide 107
  • 5 YEAR Stock Chart
  • Slide 108
  • 2 YEAR Stock Chart
  • Slide 109
  • BUSINESS STRATEGY Diverse set of portfolio across Business Channels. Bundled product and service offering. Sharing Infrastructure, corporate services and distribution channels. Grow bigger and Biggest. New technology, I am the first one. Strong OLD Management. Growth through Acquisitions. Acquisitions Acquisitions.. MTSSHA W ????
  • Slide 110
  • FISHER SAYS.. Peoples Factor : Attractive Price of Investment: Moderate Attractive Superiority in Products and Reach: High To Moderate Attractive Investment characteristics of business: Attractive
  • Slide 111
  • Recommendation BUY
  • Slide 112
  • Source Rogers Website www.sedar.com FP Infomart. Financial Statements of Rogers
  • Slide 113
  • Company Overview Company History Company Management Products and Services Business Forecasts Operating Risks Financial Analysis Fisher Valuation Approach
  • Slide 114
  • TELUS Overview 1 Leading incumbent Canadian telecommunications provider to Western Canada, and Eastern Quebec A national provider of data, IP and voice solutions focusing on the business market. 3 rd largest ISP in Canada Two major segments: Wireline, TELUS Communications Wireless, TELUS Mobility
  • Slide 115
  • TELUS Overview 2 Business Units: Consumer Solutions Business Solutions Partner Solutions Wireless Solutions TELUS Qubec
  • Slide 116
  • TELUS Overview 3 Corporate Strategy Enhancing our leadership position in wireless Growing brand value through superior customer services Revitalizing wireline growth through innovation and national expansion Driving towards leadership in high- speed Internet solutions Embracing continual cost efficiency
  • Slide 117
  • Company History BC Tel 1998 BC TEL merged with TELUS. 1993 The Company was renamed BC TEL. BC TEL reorganized under a holding company this year. 1923 British Columbia Telephone Company was established under the federal charter. 1904 British Columbia Telephone Company was formed by the Vernon and Nelson Telephone Company by changing name 1880 45 Small phone companies in BC. 1878 BCs first telephone line on Vancouver Island.
  • Slide 118
  • Company History - TELUS TELUS history 2004 Verizon Communications, who own 20.5% minority interest, announced its plan to sell its shares. 2001 TELUS completed several acquisition of several small data and Internet companies, including Williams Communications, PSINet NWD Systems 2000 TELUS Acquired Clearnet and Quebec Tel. 1998 TELUS Corporation and BC TELECOM announce a proposed merger. 1991 The Province of Alberta sold its remaining ownership interest in TELUS for $870 million. 1990 TELUS Corporation established. It went IPO for $896 Million. 1982 Canada's first cellular telephone system introduced to serve Alberta resource industries. 1906 The Province of Alberta commenced operation of the provincial phone system after acquiring the Alberta assets of the Bell Telephone Company. 1885 Alberta's first telephone call, between Fort Edmonton and the St. Albert mission.
  • Slide 119
  • TELUS Management 1 Age: 42. MBA (Finance) McGill University 1988 Prior to 2000, President with Cable and Wireless UK Executive with Mercury Communications UK Executive with Bell Cablemedia PLC Shareholding: 22,000CS/106,316NV Options: 150,000CS/490,000NV Annual Compensation: 1.5 Million CAD Honorary Doctorate in Technology, BCIT 1997 Appointed to Order of British Columbia 1998 47 years with BC TEL Member of the board of directors of Terasen Gas, Suncor Energy and the TSX. Shareholding: 9,718CS/5,509NV Options: 80,000CS/74,000NV Compensation mainly based on options plus $200,000CAD
  • Slide 120
  • Executive Option Granted for 2005 and 2004 2005 2004
  • Slide 121
  • Executive retirement benefits As of the end of 2004
  • Slide 122
  • TELUS - Products and Services
  • Slide 123
  • Products and Services Communications Segment Voice local and long distance phone service, personal call management services Data Web hosting, network management Internet Dial-up and high speed Internet IP-based TELUS IP-ONE Innovation provide business solutions with ability to integrate voice mail, email, data and video through a web portal TELUS Future Friendly Home integrated networking solutions to family. Home monitoring etc
  • Slide 124
  • Wireline Segment Consistent growth for the High-speed Internet services (Avg growth: 10%) Decreased in net additions due to the labor strike for 2005Q4 Dial-up is decreasing changing of consumer preference Launched a new wave of marketing campaign
  • Slide 125
  • Products and Services Mobility Segment Digital Voice PCS CDMA, PTT, Mike. Mobile Internet Wireless Web, text, picture and video message, ring tone, image and game downloads Data packet data. BlackBerry Service. Roaming agreement with Verizon Wireless and partnership with Nextel. Around 40% of revenue from this segment
  • Slide 126
  • Wireless Continued demands for wireless service to boost the revenue from this segment Strong increase in the net additions of wireless subscription. Average 13% annual growth.
  • Slide 127
  • Wireless High ARPU & Low Churn Rate Average revenue per subscriber unit An important benchmark to compare wireless customers spending 2005 ARPU is $62, highest in the TELUS history 20% ARPU premium over Canadian wireless competitors Reflecting TELUSs ability to attracting high-value customers and keeping them Indicating the overall voice and data usage continue to climb Focus on customer care and having the low monthly churn rate (deactivation) of 1.4%
  • Slide 128
  • Operating Risks Labor Issues Licensing and Regulatory Issues Competitions
  • Slide 129
  • Risks - Labor Issues 2005 Labor strike affect the 2005 Q4 result significantly New Collective agreement - Ratified 5 yr agreement to 2010 - To supports a performance culture - Both parties to dismiss all legal proceedings - Improve employee engagement
  • Slide 130
  • Risks - Licensing and Regulatory Issues Price cap regulation 2002, CRTC establish new lower prices for some telecom services Increase the competitions Terms of access Power pole access 1999 & 2003 Will result in higher access costs 2003 - 7 year term on TELUS broadcasting distribution and video on demand.
  • Slide 131
  • Risks - Competitions Wireline voice and data VoIP as alternative Calling card Wireline Internet access Voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) Shaw, 3 cents a minute for long distance calls Rogers Call-net Wireless Rogers acquired Fido, making Telus more difficult Continue to intensify
  • Slide 132
  • Business Forecasts & Value Drivers Demonstrated wireless excellence Strong revenue despite of labor strike Strong 2005 financial results: Revenue & EBITDA up 7% Net Income up 24% Free Cash Flow up 13% New products and contracts New wireless high speed network and devices TELUS TV & the Future Friendly Home Plan to offer VOIP Service TELUS signed a $137 million deal with Hamilton Health Sciences
  • Slide 133
  • Stock Performance Last Trade(T-TSX): CAD$43.25 Last Trade(TU-NYSE): Trade Time: Feb 24, 2006 Prev Close: CAD$43.34 Open:CAD$43.25 Day's Range: CAD$43.02-43.50 52wk Range: CAD$36.61-49.99 Avg Vol (3m) : TSX 829,664 Market Cap: 13 billion P/E (ttm) : 22.6 (Industry PE 17.6) EPS (ttm) : 25.96 Div & Yield: 0.875 (2.02%)
  • Slide 134
  • Financial Analysis Selected Quarterly Data
  • Slide 135
  • Financial Analysis - TELUS Strong operating cash flow Cash was spent on the stock repurchase and repayment of long-term debt Net Income, Free Cash Flow, ROE, EPS increasing CAPEX/Revenue decreasing High leverage debt structure
  • Slide 136
  • Financial Analysis High leverage business Debt Structure Short-term Revolving Facility: 1.67 billion Long-term Debt Facility: 4.6 billion Repayment of debt will result in reduce in earning and decrease in dividend per share
  • Slide 137
  • Financial Analysis High leverage business Strong 2005 financial results: Revenue & EBITDA up 7% Net Income up 24% Free Cash Flow up 13% Conclusion: Strong Financial Position
  • Slide 138
  • TELUS Management 2 MBA, University of Western Ontario 1985 CFO since 2000 Reorganize the TELUS finance department Quarterbacked the completion of the merger with BC TEL. Annual compensation: CAD615K BS (EE), University of Waterloo 1987 EVP since 2003 KPMG Consulting Former country leader for Canada Strong industry ties Annual compensation: CAD 690K
  • Slide 139
  • Financial Analysis Income Statement
  • Slide 140
  • Financial Analysis Balance Sheet
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  • TELUS - Valuation
  • Slide 143
  • Fishers Valuation Approach Superiority in production, marketing, research and financial skills Moderate Attractive Well managed company Strong financials but with high leverage Satisfied production and services Marketing Strategy Focus (business solutions and high ARPU customers) Investment characteristics of some businesses Moderate Attractive License requirements Difficult barrier to entry High competition The people factor Less Attractive Experts in post-merger management Weak in leading the technological innovations Possible future union problems The price of investment Less Attractive High price now at $43 Near the historic high of $49 Year end P/E at historic high of 25.96 Recommendation: Sell
  • Slide 144
  • Sources of Information TELUS AR 2004 TELUS 2005 Information Circular TELUS 2006 Quarterly Result News Release www.telus.com www.sedar.com Mergent Online. Fidelity Online. Yahoo Finance. Bigcharts.com