capacity management planning the resource capacity that a firm will need to meet its demand

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Capacity Management Planning the resource capacity Planning the resource capacity that a firm will need to meet its demand. that a firm will need to meet its demand.

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Capacity Management

Planning the resource capacity Planning the resource capacity that a firm will need to meet its demand.that a firm will need to meet its demand.

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Capacity Management and Its Relationship to Value

Capacity management:critical component of long-term decision making due to facility investment decisions.

Capacity: the maximum output of an organization, piece of equipment, or worker

There are costs to having too much capacity, just as there are costs to not having enough.

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Peak and Effective Capacity

Peak capacity: the maximum output rate that a process or facility can achieve in the short term under ideal conditions

Effective capacity: the maximum output that a company or process can economically sustain under normal circumstances for an extended time period

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Capacity Strategy: Wait and See

Wait-and-see strategy: postponing firm commitments to build expensive new facilities until demand has already exceeded capacity

Typically fits best in industries with slow growth where facilities are very expensive

Such as?

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Wait-and-See Capacity Strategy

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Capacity Strategy:Aggressive Expansion

Aggressive expansion: a strategy in which capacity is added in large leaps, with the expectation that demand will eventually catch upSuch as?

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An Aggressive Capacity Strategy

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Capacity Cushion

Capacity cushion: the difference between average utilization and 100 percent capacity

A central component of capacity strategy is the recognition that it is impossible to exactly match capacity to demand

= most companies maintain a capacity cushion of some size

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Capacity Cushion

The size of the capacity cushion that a company

wishes to have varies greatly based on a number

of factors:1. Organizations that compete based on low cost will

generally choose to have fairly small capacity cushions.

2. Organizations that compete based on quality or flexibility will employ larger cushions. WHY?

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Capacity Planning Overview Long-range planning (Strategic)

– Greater than one year planning horizon Intermediate-range planning (Tactical)

– Months out (roughly 2-18 months)“Big Picture” approach to planning

– Families or groups (aggregation) of: Products Resources Technologies or skills

– Provide “rough” estimates Short-range planning (Detailed Planning)

– Days & weeks out

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Capacity Production Planning

Annual demand byitem and by region

“Clutch Covers in US”

Monthly demandfor 15 months by

product type“Ducati Parts”

Monthly demandfor 5 months by

Item“Clutch Covers”

Forecasts neededSum up all items &

allocatesproduction

among plants

Determinesseasonal plan by

product type

Determines monthlyitem production

schedules

Decision ProcessDecision Level

Corporate

Plant managerAggregate Planner

Shopsuperintendent

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Capacity Planning Approaches

Top-Down Similar products OR

stable mix

Standards available for planning

– time, cost requirements from history and/or planning documentation

Can “Average” product

Bottom-Up Different products AND

unstable mix

Requires forecasts and production data for individual products

Can be extremely data-intensive

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Top-Down Planning

1. Develop the aggregate sales forecast and planning values.

2. Translate the sales forecast into resource requirements.

Personnel, equipment, materials

3. Generate alternative production plans. Chase, level, mixed

4. Select the best of the plans. Lowest cost, best fit to capability

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Top-Down Example II(“Average” Products)

Product % of Total Labor/UnitA100 10% 40 hours

B200 50% 20 hours

C300 20% 15 hours

D400 5% 10 hours

E500 10% 20 hours

F600 5% 10 hours

Weighted Planning Value for labor/unit?

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Top-Down Example Ill(Demand Forecast for 6 months)

Month Demand (units)

Worker

Hours

Workers

March 1592

April 1400

May 1200

June 1000

July 1504

August 1992

“Average” unit requires 20 worker hoursEach worker works 160 hours per monthConvert to workers needed

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Primary Objectives of Capacity Planning

Match Supply and Demand Minimize Costs

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Alternatives for Changing Demand

Pricing Advertising and Promotion Backlogs and Reservations Develop Alternative Products

13-6

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Alternatives for Changing Supply

Overtime/Undertime Hiring/Firing of Personnel Temporary/Part-time Personnel Subcontracting Adjusting Inventories Adjusting Lead Times

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Capacity or Aggregate Planning

Inputs: Strategic objectives, demand forecasts, company policy, financial constraints, capacity constraints.

Outputs: Size of workforce, production per month (units or $), Inventory levels, and Units or dollars subcontracted, back ordered, or lost.

APP= What is the company wide game plan for allocation of resources?

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ObjectivesObjectives

Minimize Costs/Maximize ProfitsMinimize Costs/Maximize Profits Maximize Customer ServiceMaximize Customer Service Minimize Inventory InvestmentMinimize Inventory Investment Minimize Changes in Production RatesMinimize Changes in Production Rates Minimize Changes in Work-force Minimize Changes in Work-force

LevelsLevels Maximize Utilization of Plant and Maximize Utilization of Plant and

EquipmentEquipment

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What are the alternatives to meeting seasonal demand?

Pure Strategies

Level: – Constant Production or output rate (workforce can fluctuate)– Constant Workforce (output can fluctuate)– What else vary if there is still seasonal demand? Costs?

Reactive or Chase – Vary Production rates or output– Vary Workforce– What will stay constant? Costs?

Mixed Strategies

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Pure Level Strategy U

nits

Time

Demand

Production

-I

+I

13-10

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Pure Chase Strategy U

nits

Time

Demand

Production

13-9

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Goal: Specify the optimal combination of

production rate

workforce level

inventory on hand

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Good and Rich Candy Company

Quarter Sales Forecast (lb)

Spring 80000

Summer 50000

Fall 120000

Winter 150000

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Costs and starting information

Hiring cost =$100 per worker Firing cost =$500 per worker Inventory carrying cost=$0.50 per

pound/quarter Production per employee=1000

pounds per quarter (constant) Beginning work force=100 workers

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Cost of Level versus Chase Strategy?