Capital city ports – coping with growthBTRE introduction

Godfrey Lubulwa

Maritime and Rail Statistics, BTRE

BTRE Transport Colloquium13 - 14 June 2007

Outline

1. BTRE projections of growth in capital city ports to 20252. Implications of growth

– Vessel visits– Wharf-side performance indicators– Landside of port terminal indicators

3. Conclusions

BTRE long term projected growth in containerised sea freight (exports & imports)

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

5.3

14.9

4.0

8.0

12.0

16.0

2005-06 2024-25

Financial years

TE

Us,

Mill

ions

All ports

BTRE long term projected growth in containerised sea freight (exports & imports)

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

2005-06 2024-25 Growth rate pa TEUs, millions TEUs, millions Per cent CAPITAL CITY PORTS

5.6

Brisbane 0.8 3.0 7.4 Sydney 0.7 1.8 5.0 Melbourne 1.9 4.9 4.9 Adelaide 0.2 0.5 5.3 Fremantle 0.2 0.7 5.5

NON-CAPITAL CITY PORTS

0.3 0.7 5.0

BTRE long term projected growth in non-containerised sea freight (exports & imports)

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

679

1,364

0

1,000

2,000

2005-06 2024-25

Financial years

Tonn

es, M

illio

ns

All ports

BTRE long term projected growth in non-containerised sea freight (exports & imports)

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

2005-06 2024-25 Growth rate pa Tonnes, millions Tonnes, millions Per cent CAPITAL CITY PORTS

2.5

Brisbane 20 34 2.7 Sydney 14 19 1.3 Melbourne 10 20 3.5 Adelaide 8 16 3.5 Fremantle 21 27 1.3

NON-CAPITAL CITY PORTS

605 1350 3.9

BTRE long term projected growth in total sea passenger visits (international + domestic)

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

All ports

0.4

0.8

0.00

0.50

1.00

2005-06 2024-25

Financial years

Pas

seng

er v

isits

, M

illio

ns

Some implications of growth

– Vessel visits– Wharf-side performance indicators– Landside of port terminal indicators

(1) Growth in ship visits and vessel size: containerised sea freight

Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

Ship visits TEUs per ship Number

p.a., 2005-06

Growth rate (%) p.a. to

2024–25

Number, 2005-06

Growth rate (%) p.a. to

2024–25 CAPITAL CITY PORTS

4.6 1.0

Brisbane 914 6.4 840 1.0 Sydney 1081 3.9 1316 1.0 Melbourne 1125 3.9 1759 1.0 Adelaide 242 4.2 746 1.0 Fremantle 482 4.4 1011 1.0

NON-CAPITAL CITY PORTS

1608 4.6 337 0.7

(2a) Wharf-side performance indicators (Waterline) are flattening out

Source: Waterline, various issues

Five major capital city port terminals

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Quarter

Ship rate

Vesselworking rate

Crane rate

Source: Sydney Ports Corporation, Logistics Review 2005-06

(3b) Most truck movements occur during the peak day-time period

048

121620

Port Botany container terminal, 2006

Time of day – 24 hour period

Source: Sydney Ports Corporation, Logistics Review 2005-06

(3c) Land side of port terminal: Very few trucks pick up/ drop off containers during the weekend

20

16 17 18

8

2

20

0

4

8

12

16

20

Pe

r c

en

t

Day of the week

(3a) The landside of port terminal: The business/opening hours mismatch

.

Ship Dock Container yard

Gate Road/Rail

Government Mon-Fri Day time

CustomerDay-time

Container depot

WarehouseMon-Fri Day time

Emptycontainer

park

24 hours/ 7 days at major ports The landside of port terminal

Intermodal hub

Mon-Fri Day time

Business practices

Pick-up

Drop off

Exporter/ ImporterMon-Fri Day time

Conclusions

1. Strong growth is projected in capital city ports to 2025– Containerised sea freight– Non-containerised sea freight– Sea passenger visits

2. Implications of growth– Vessel visits are projected to increase at 4.6% pa;

• Vessels on average are projected to be about 1% larger;– Wharf-side performance indicators are flattening out;– Activities and practices on the landside of port terminal may

provide opportunities for future/further reform.