capital discipline in practise - thevault.exchange the financial information contained in this...
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DISCLAIMER
2
Certain statements contained in this document, other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, those concerning the economic
outlook for the gold mining industry, expectations regarding gold prices, production, total cash costs, all-in sustaining costs, all-in costs, cost savings and
other operating results, productivity improvements, growth prospects and outlook of AngloGold Ashanti’s operations, individually or in the aggregate,
including the achievement of project milestones, commencement and completion of commercial operations of certain of AngloGold Ashanti’s exploration
and production projects and the completion of acquisitions, dispositions or joint venture transactions, AngloGold Ashanti’s liquidity and capital resources
and capital expenditures and the outcome and consequence of any potential or pending litigation or regulatory proceedings or environmental health and
safety issues, are forward-looking statements regarding AngloGold Ashanti’s operations, economic performance and financial condition.
These forward-looking statements or forecasts involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause AngloGold Ashanti’s
actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the anticipated results, performance or achievements expressed or implied in these
forward-looking statements. Although AngloGold Ashanti believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and forecasts are
reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set
out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, social and political and market conditions, the success of
business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, including environmental approvals, fluctuations
in gold prices and exchange rates, the outcome of pending or future litigation proceedings, and business and operational risk management.
For a discussion of such risk factors, refer to AngloGold Ashanti’s annual report on Form 20-F, which was filed with the United States Securities and
Exchange Commission (“SEC”). These factors are not necessarily all of the important factors that could cause AngloGold Ashanti’s actual results to differ
materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects on
future results. Consequently, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. AngloGold Ashanti undertakes no
obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to
reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except to the extent required by applicable law. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements
attributable to AngloGold Ashanti or any person acting on its behalf are qualified by the cautionary statements herein.
The financial information contained in this market update presentation has not been reviewed or reported on by the Company's external auditors.
This communication may contain certain “Non-GAAP” financial measures. AngloGold Ashanti utilises certain Non-GAAP performance measures and
ratios in managing its business. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the reported operating
results or cash flow from operations or any other measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. In addition, the presentation of these
measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures other companies may use. AngloGold Ashanti posts information that is important to
investors on the main page of its website at www.anglogoldashanti.com and under the “Investors” tab on the main page. This information is updated
regularly. Investors should visit this website to obtain important information about AngloGold Ashanti.
POSITIONED TO CREATE VALUE THROUGH THE CYCLE
3
Focus on sustainable improvements
to margins and cash flow
Consistent delivery on targets; improving cost
management on key metrics and enhancing margins
Decisive action on operations, and ensuring balance
sheet flexibility
Maintaining optionality to deliver value-adding
growth
Ongoing portfolio improvements and rationalisation
Working towards zero harm through the elimination
of high consequence events
Responding decisively and proactively to create
sustainable value through the cycle
Focus on people, safety and
sustainability
Supporting our
strategy for
sustainable
cash flow
improvements
and returns
A BALANCED, GLOBAL PORTFOLIO
4
Americas
c.25%of 2018 production
Continental Africa
c.42% of 2018 production
South Africa
c.15%of 2018 production
Australia
c.18%of 2018 production
2018 GuidanceProduction 3.325Moz – 3.450Moz AISC: $990/oz - $1,060/oz
DELIVERING ON OUR COMMITMENTS
5
Significant progress has been made as we restructure South African Operations and
move forward with the redevelopment of Obuasi
Further improved safety and
sustainability performance
Continue investment to enhance
margins and cash flow
Advance SA Operational
turnaround and restructuring
Advance low capital, high
return brownfields opportunities
Extend asset lives through
focused exploration
Revisit Obuasi feasibility
study; assess all options
Move Colombia projects up
value curve; reduce holding cost
Maintain balance sheet
flexibility
FIVE YEARS SELF-FUNDING MAINTAINS GOLD PRICE LEVERAGE: 2013 - 2017
6
Reinvestment
-$5.8bn*
Net Interest & Financing
$1bn**
Tax & Royalties Paid
-$1.5bn
Dividends
$0.2bn
*Sustaining capital $4bn, Growth Capital $1.8bn. Includes Tropicana & Kibali
** $900m interest paid, $100m premium to settle HY bond
*** $100m shareholder and $100m to minorities
Strong operating cash flow, servicing and reducing a legacy debt position
Asset Sales/Purchases
$0.4bn
✓ Maintaining discipline
✓ Balancing competing funding needs
MARGIN FOCUS CRITICAL TO EXECUTING STRATEGY
7
Portfolio continues to preserve a competitive margin despite
significant planned inward investment
*All-in Sustaining Costs a World Gold Council standard excluding stockpile write-offs
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018E
AISC AIC Avg Gold Price
STRONG TRACK RECORD OF EXECUTING ON PROJECTS
8
Reserve implied LOM, years
11.0
14.7
8.9
8.1
5.9
5.0
4.9
2.3
2.5
3.0
19
21
13
11
12
15
20
13
15
5
Kibali
Obuasi
Tropicana
Iduapriem
Siguiri
Sunrise Dam
AGA Mineração
Geita
Serra Grande
Cerro Vanguardia
Current preferred Scenario LOM Years
• Brownfield life extension options
largely supported by current
levels of sustaining capital
• Geita U/G development
• Siguiri Hard Rock Plant
• Kibali U/G development
• Sunrise Dam Recovery
Enhancement
• Mine lives extend well beyond
current reserves
• Focus areas:• Resource conversion
• Operational Excellence
• Expansion/mine optimisation
International Operations
TROPICANA OVERVIEW
9
• MINING started July 2012
• PLANT commissioned Sept. 2013,
below budget and well ahead of
Q1 2014 schedule
• RAMP UP: 95% availability (design)
achieved in March 2013; now regularly
exceeding design throughput rate
>5.8MTPA
• RECOVERY: Consistent with Bankable
Feasibility Study
• PLANT COST: In line with estimates
• NPV remains higher than at project
Board Approval
TROPICANA ORE BODY HAS PERFORMED WELL
10
3.28 Moz Reserve addition
1.0
0.5
4.5
4.0
2.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
1.5
Millio
n O
un
ces (
Mo
z.)
Gold
Price
Modelling
Changes
Design
changes
Other
3.40
0.56
0.21
0.07
4.08
2.45
Reserves at
2017 Year
end
Depletion
2.61
Reserves at
Board
Approval
Tropicana is a model for innovative thinking around design and efficiency…
… with continued potential to surprise on the upside as our knowledge of the site develops.
TROPICANA IMPROVEMENT JOURNEY – MILL THROUGHPUT
11
Operational Excellence –
Plant optimisation
8.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
Mill
ion
to
nn
es
5.5
2nd Ball Mill
5.8
Original Plant design (Fresh)
1.2
Original Plant design (with 5% oxide)
8.1
0.5
2016 - 2018 Conveyor upgrades, CIL tanks,
Fines pulping
2014 - 2015
0.6
2019+ Target
Operational Excellence – 2nd Ball Mill optimising volume at improved grind &
recovery
Optimising capacity
6.4
7.6
+50%
We have come a long way in optimising the potential of the process plant…
…at only a nominal capital cost.
LESSONS LEARNED FROM BODDINGTON
12
Boddington Issues Tropicana Approach
Change in engineer between Feasibility and
Implementation phase - resulted in scope
changes and 6 month delay
Continuity through schedule with
Lycopodium as EPCM, with well defined
project scope.
Contracts awarded on incomplete drawings
in attempt to recover schedule Advantage taken of access and site
infrastructure construction time to advance
engineering to a high level of completion,
prior to award of construction packages.
When project schedule came under pressure,
schedule compression resulted in low
labour productivity and high labour
numbers.
Contracts based on reimbursable-with-
incentives model – this was ineffective
Lump sum or schedule-of-rates contracts,
with mid-tier contractors.
Commodity price escalation eroded budget
and returns
Development budget included construction
cost escalation of 6% per annum
KEY LEARNINGS INFORM IMPROVEMENTS
CONTRACT MANAGEMENT
• High definition scope of work
• Efficient tender evaluation and negotiation
• Implement AGA specific contracts
• Efficient claims and variations control
• Efficient HR & IR management and control
• Performance of second tier contractors
ENGINEERING
• High level definition of design & specifications
• Tightly controlled scope of work
• Early completion of engineering
• Pre assembly of the structural steel
• Increase off site panelisation
PROCUREMENT/EXPEDITING MANAGEMENT
• Favour premium equipment
• Pre-tendering of major equipment during BFS
• High quality packaging and expediting system
• Preservation of equipment on site
• Onshore and offshore suppliers
• Transport efficiency and cost control
• Investigate, select best suppliers and manufacturers
PROJECT CONSTRUCTION
• Active management of relationship with EPCM
• Mindfulness of contractor deficiencies
• Assistance for troubled contractors
• Daily management of contractors work schedule
• Daily interfaces management
• Active safety, environmental, and IR management
• EPCM package engineer experience
PROJECT CONTROLS
• Project execution, implementation plans and sub plans
• Separate reimbursable contract with EPCM
• Weekly schedule meeting and reporting
• Trending and change management control
• Monthly cost forecast, risk review and risk management
• Document control
• Progress measurement
13
BE
ST
P
RA
CT
IS
E
OBUASI –A NEW, TIER ONE ASSET
14
✓ Large, high-grade ore body - 8.8g/t avg. from 5.9Moz reserve, 36Moz resource
✓ Long life – 20 years, with life extension potential
✓ Low capital intensity - $450m - $500m investment for c.400Koz a year mine
✓ High margins – average AISC over life of $750/oz - $850/oz
✓ Technical risk – new geological model, simple metallurgy, fully mechanised
✓ Balance sheet – flexible balance sheet provides financing ability
✓ High return – returns of 16%-23% at $1,100/oz-$1,240/oz
GRAHAM EHMExecutive Vice President: Group Planning & Technical
MASSOUD MASSOUDISenior Vice President: Capital Projects
ERIC ASUBOTENGManaging Director: Operations
OBUASI GOLD MINE PROJECT TEAM
15
Technical Committee Support, Monitor
and Review
Operational Readiness Team
Project Owners Team
EPCM Contractor
Local knowledge, global industry experience
Eric Asubonteng is a chartered accountant and mining engineer with a
15-year career in the global mining industry. He has played a key role
in fundamentally restructuring mining operations in both Australia and
in Ghana. Eric joined the Obuasi team at the start of the restructuring
process and has seen the project through to its current phase of
redevelopment.
Experience in delivery of Major capital projects
Massoud Massoudi had line responsibility for delivery of the
Tropicana Gold Project, which was delivered below budget and
ahead of schedule in 2013. Massoud has been with AngloGold
Ashanti for more than 15 years and has extensive experience in
operation, project management, engineering, procurement contract
management, across several minerals in the mining sector.
Strong leadership, project management, and operational expertise
Graham J. Ehm has 30 Years of diverse experience in mine operations and project
management, covering the nickel, phosphate, copper, uranium and gold sectors. During his
impressive career at AngloGold Ashanti has served as EVP of Australia, EVP of Geita, and has
overseen the developments of key major projects, including Kibali and Tropicana
PROJECT RAMP-UP
16
4,000tpd - Years 3-4:
• New drive trains on SAG#1 and cyclone/gravity circuits
• Refurbish 3rd BIOX® Module
• Construct & Commission BIOX® CIL Tails TSF
• Construct & Commission Arsenic Trioxide Treatment Facility
5,000tpd - Year 5 onward:
• Construct & Commission Flotation Tails TSF
• Construct & Commission Dirty-Clean Water Separation Ponds
2,000tpd – Year 2 (18 months after construction starts – enables early production start):
• SAG Mill #02 in close circuit
• Refurbish 2 BIOX® Modules & replace Cooling Tower
• Upgrade existing Gold-room
• Utilise existing South TSF (two years co-disposal from start of production)
OBUASI – STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT IS KEY
17
Key Considerations:
➢ Large-scale Brownfields Project
➢ Greater social and sustainability complexity
➢ Unique local content dynamics
Key Risk Management Features:
✓ Labour risk managed – new labour model, smaller workforce
✓ Political risk managed – full suite of stability, security
agreements signed; awaiting parliamentary approval
✓ Execution team – Experienced Ghana team plus Tropicana
project leadership
APPROACH TO ENHANCING LOCAL CONTENT
18
Feasibility/ local capacity assessment
• Identify types of goods and services (and values) required and those that have the potential to be supplied locally
• Assess local suppliers and range of goods/services available locally. (incl. skills, capabilities, access to finance of
the suppliers
• Enterprise & Supplier Development Program to help bridge gap
Engage and Assist Local Suppliers
• Early, open and transparent communication of future sourcing requirements
• Provide tender documentation appropriate for local supplier
• Conduct regular Workshops on buying/contracting process and AngloGold Ashanti Ghana requirements;
• Provide detail on issues that need to be considered by bidders, before they present their documentation
• Communicate prequalification requirements in a manner which is readily understood
Connecting with suppliers of goods and services
• Supplier open days
• Enterprise and Supplier Development Programs (working with
specialist organisations)
• Reference databases / organisations – Chamber of Mines, AGI, etc.
APPROACH TO ENHANCING LOCAL CONTENT
19
Order of preference as follows:
• Ghanaian businesses
• Multi-national businesses registered and operating in Ghana
• International business with local content
• International businesses
Approach to Competitive Tendering
• Per local content regulations (19 elements)
• Per the approved Mining List
• Preference to equipment suppliers registered and operating
in Ghana
• Ghanaian capability and competitiveness, (demolition,
earthworks, haulage, SMP, refurbishment)
• Tenders to multinationals registered and operating in Ghana
• Optimise local content with respect to labour, training, goods
and subcontracted services
• Transparent process, priority in order of preference:
• Current workforce (all Ghanaian),
• Ghanaian nationals (in-country/abroad),
• Within broader AngloGold Ashanti group
• External
• Targeted local employment procedure in place for the
benefit of local host communities close to the mine.
Applies to both AngloGold Ashanti Ghana and contractors
• Clear transition plans supported by management
• Development and training programs for operation, in
place from the outset
EMPLOYMENT EQUIPMENT AND SERVICES
OBUASI - ONE OF THE LARGEST MINES IN AFRICA WITH LOW COST POSITION
20
Low capital
intensity…
…expected to
become one of the
10 largest mines by
production in Africa
post ramp-up…
…and one of the
lowest cost African
mines
730596 566 545 539 528 482 432 400 380
Loulo
-G
ounko
to
Kib
ali
Ta
rkw
a
Su
kari
Geita
Klo
of
Drie
fonte
in
Essakane
Obuasi
Sig
uiri
ko
z
790 796 800 803940 941 957 1,007 1,090 1,141
Su
kari
Sig
uiri
Ob
ua
si
Nort
h M
ara
Ta
rkw
a
Geita
Essakane
Klo
of
Kib
ali
Drie
fonte
in
$/o
z
Top 10 African mines by 2017A production (koz)
2017A AISC of 10 largest African mines by production (US$/oz)(d)(e)
(c)
(c)
10 lowest capex intensity gold projects (US$/oz)(a)(b)
1,096
1,188
1,245 1,326 1,3751,556 1,602
2,0002,297
2,338
1,423
Tasi
ast P
hase
Ian
d II Obu
asi
Am
aruq
Gru
yere
Pro
ject
Que
cher
Mai
n
Mer
ian
Cof
fee
Gol
drus
h
Nat
alka
Mel
iadi
ne
US
$/oz
a)Capex intensity = project capex / run-rate production
b)Classification includes top 10 gold producers’ projects with forecast avg. LoM production >200koz & capex information available; companies include:
Agnico Eagle, Barrick, Goldcorp, Gold Fields, Kinross, Newcrest, Newmont, Polyus, Polymetal, Randgold
c)LoM average production and AISC
d)2017A AISC of the top 10 gold mines in Africa by production
e)Excludes Randgold since not reporting AISC
Source: Company information
INVESTMENT CASE: THE RIGHT CAPITAL FRAMEWORK
21
Careful allocation and spending of capital
Solid governance and oversight framework
Immediate, remedial steps when
discrepancies arise
Ensuring the model factors the
circumstances
Capital Discipline
with focus on returns
ON TRACK TO MEET FULL YEAR GUIDANCE
23
2018 FY Guidance Q1 Results Commentary
Gold Production (000 oz) 3,325 – 3,450 82424% of guidance midpoint
in seasonally slow Q1
All-in sustaining costs* ($/oz) 990 – 1,060 1,029Sustaining Capex spend to increase
as per past trends
Total cash costs ($/oz) 770 – 830 834Stronger rand and Aussie dollar, inflation
and seasonally slow production Q1
Corporate costs ($m) 70 – 80 17 23% of guidance midpoint
Expensed expl./study costs ($m) 115 – 125 21 18% of guidance midpoint
Total Capex ($m) 800 – 920 16920% of guidance midpoint;
Capex to increase in H2
Sustaining Capex ($m) 600 – 670 140 22% of guidance midpoint
Non-sustaining Capex ($m) 200 – 250 29 13% of guidance midpoint
*World Gold Council standard, excludes stockpiles written off
SENSITIVITIES(based on $1,250/oz gold price and the same
assumptions used for guidance)
AISC
($/oz)
Cash from operating activities
before taxes for remaining 9
months of 2018 ($m)
10% change in the oil price 5 12
10% change in local currency 62 129
5% change in the gold price 2 156
50koz change in production 14 45
Currency and commodity
assumptions
$/R exchange rate 12.79
A$/$ exchange rate 0.78
$/BRL exchange rate 3.20
$/ARS exchange rate 19.61
Oil ($/bbl) 62
Both production and cost estimates assume neither labour interruptions or power disruptions, nor further changes to asset portfolio and/or operating mines and have not been reviewed by our external auditors.
Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects on our future results and no assurance can be given that any expectations expressed by AngloGold Ashanti will prove to have been
correct. Please refer to the Risk Factors section in AngloGold Ashanti’s annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended 31 December 2017, filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
OBUASI GOLD MINE PROJECT – KEY METRICS
24
C&M costs for project period (Jan 2018 – Jul 2019) estimated at $57m
Gold Produced (Economic footprint) Moz 8.59 over 21 years
Annual gold production (Steady state) First 10 years Koz 350 - 400
Annual Gold production – Second 10 years Koz 400 - 450
Average Annual tonnage treated (Steady state) Mt 1.6 – 1.8
Average head grade g/t 8.8
Gold price assumption (Real) US$/oz 1,240
Cash cost per ounce (money terms at approval) US$/oz 590 - 680
All-in-Sustaining Costs (money terms at approval) US$/oz 750 - 850
Initial Project Capex (3yrs) US$M 450 – 500
2018 % 25
2019 % 55
2020 % 20
Extended Project Capex over six yrs (Inc. initial project capital) US$M 540 - 590
Capitalised Operating Cost US$M 64
IRR ($1,100 – $1,240/oz) % 16 - 23
Payback Period years 6.5
All-in Sustaining Cost margin % 38%
ORE RESERVE BY BLOCK
25
SANSU
BLOCK 8
BLOCK 10 BLOCK 1 BLOCK 2
BLOCK 11
C'DOR
C'DOR
ADANSI
ADANSIVent Shaft
KMSKRS
BS
VS
ODD
ODD
Portal Portal
3200 LEVEL
5000 LEVEL
1000m
1000m
0
LEGEND
ODD existing
ODD planned
Lateral dev existing
Lateral dev planned
Rehab planned
Existing shafts
Planned shafts
GC
Vent Shaft
KM
Vent Shaft
Full mine redesign incorporating existing and some new infrastructure
Mining progresses from the southern shallower Sansu, B8 and B10 lodes to the deeper Block 11 lode