capital markets day 2011 anton kudryashov key growth drivers
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2011 Capital Markets Day
Key Growth Drivers
Anton KudryashovChief Executive OfficerChief Executive Officer
Russian TV Ad Market in a Global ContextRussian TV Ad Market in a Global Context
14%18%18.0%
14%
TV ad market CAGR
6 0%
8.0%18.0%Developing markets grow much faster than
0.2%
11% 10%
3%6.0%
12.0%
3%
11%
0.2%2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%developed markets
Russian TV ad market growth outpaces emerging markets growth
0.0%CAGR 2005-2011 CAGR 2011-2013
Developed markets Emerging markets Russia
R 2005-2011
markets E
0.0%g g g
CAGR 2005-2011 CAGR 2011-2013
Developed markets Emerging markets Russia
3030 56.5
USD billions
60
USD billions
62.565
Russia will become the 5th largest TV ad market in 2013 Russia entered the top-9 TV ad markets in 2010
19.014.7 13.2
7.1 6.7 5.9 5.5 4.9 4.410
20
30
18.4
10.1 9.46.2 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.2 3 5
10
20
30#1 in Europe
00
US
A
Japa
n
Chi
na
Bra
zil
Rus
sia
Italy
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Mex
ico
06 4.2 3.5
0
US
A
Japa
n
Bra
zil
Chi
na
Italy
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Rus
sia
Mex
ico
GG
Sources: ZenithOptimedia, Company’s estimates
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TV Ad Market Growth is AcceleratingTV Ad Market Growth is Accelerating
Ad spend as % of GDP Free-to-Air TV Ad Market Growth
2 93.03.2
Ad spend as % of GDP Free-to-Air TV Ad Market Growth
%
12
USD billions
2.4
1.9 1.7
1.1
0 6 0 6
1.7
0 60 70.80 8
1.41.6
2.9
0 7
1.6
2.4
3.2
4.45.5
3.54.2
3
6
9
0.60.3
0.60.60.70.80.5
0.20.50.50.7
0.0
0.8
Ser
bia
nia
&
egov
ina
huan
ia
oven
ia
Geo
rgia
Med
ian
Rus
sia
Pol
and
oldo
va
Ukr
aine
Bel
arus
0
3
2007 2008 2009 2010 … 2015F
Bos
nH
erze Li
th Sl G
CE
E M R P M U B
2008 (pre-crisis) 2010
Sources: ZenithOptimedia, Company’s estimates
2
CTC Growth DriversCTC Growth Drivers
Focus on ratingsFocus on ratings
Proposed new target audience 14-44 in 2012
Stable 6-54 share
Audience share dynamics
Audience share, %
14-44 share growth
Investments in programming12.0%11.9%
12.6%
12.0%
14.0%
All All
13.0 – 14.0%
~
Power ratio will remain high
Better alignment with advertisers’ demand8.0%
10.0%
2010 2015F
All 6-54
All 14-44
All 14-44
All 6-54
Increase of technical penetration2010 2015F
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Domashny Growth DriversDomashny Growth Drivers
Crisp positioning and identity
Investments in programmingF25-60 Audience share, %
Audience share dynamics
Investments in programming
Increase of technical penetration
Increase of power ratio driven by:3.1%
4.5%
4.0%
6.0%4.0 - 5.0%
Audience share growth
Decrease of average viewers’ age from 48 to 430.0%
2.0%
2010 2015F2010 2015F
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DTV Growth DriversDTV Growth Drivers
Optimal programming mix is identified
Investments in programming25-54 Audience share, %
Audience share dynamics
Intensified marketing efforts
Increase of technical penetration2.1%
3.5%
2 0%
4.0% 3.0 - 4.0%
Increase of power ratio driven by:
Audience share growth0.0%
2.0%
2010 2015F Decrease of average viewers’ age from 46 to 422010 2015F
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Further Footprint Expansion in RussiaFurther Footprint Expansion in Russia
CTC Domashny DTV
86.1%
81.6%93.7%95.6%
72 5%
80.1%
Technical penetration Technical penetration Technical penetration
~ 96% ~ 86% ~ 80%
72.5%
2010 20152010 2015 2010 2015
Plan to acquire 40 regional stations within the next 5 years for total amount of $90–100 mln
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InIn--house Production: An Important Part of Our Channels’ Successhouse Production: An Important Part of Our Channels’ Success
We are focusing on developing own production…
Tailor-made content is the cornerstone of CTC’s iprogramming
No market for ready-to-use content
Critical competitive factorsCTC average
prime time audience shareSecured access to branded content (prime time)
Maintain control over programming costs & processes
Branded content monetized via different media
audience share in-house
produced content 13.1% Margosha series (adaptation of LaLola format)
Branded content monetized via different media segments and territories
… and long-term relationship with 3rd party producers
vs.
CTC averageprime time
Stable and predictable pricing
Options for further episodes
Right of first look for new products
prime time audience share
12.6%
g p
Ensure high ratings of acquired content(bonus-rating system)
Acquisition of full rightsDaddy’s Girls (original sitcom)
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Successful Performance of Channel 31 in KazakhstanSuccessful Performance of Channel 31 in Kazakhstan
P iti d k t h d i Si ifi t i t f OIBDA i i 2008Positive revenue and market share dynamics Significant improvement of OIBDA margin since 2008
USD millions USD millions
10 8%
13.5%20.0 15.0% 10.4%12.2%3.0 14.0%
10.8%
6.2%
5 0
10.0
15.0
5.0%
10.0%
-0.5
1.0 1.5
1 0
0.0
1.0
2.0
-1.0%
4.0%
9.0%
10.5 9.3 11.90.0
5.0
2008 2009 20100.0%
Revenue Market share
-4.3%-2.0
-1.0
2008 2009 2010-6.0%
OIBDA OIBDA margin
Growing market shares & profitability due toGrowing market shares & profitability due toGrowing market shares & profitability due to Growing market shares & profitability due to strengthening programming grid & cost optimization strengthening programming grid & cost optimization
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Opportunities for CIS ExpansionOpportunities for CIS Expansion
Promising TV advertising market
Ukraine
2nd largest in the CIS ($374 mln in 2010)
15-20% CAGR expected in 2010-2015
Cultural fit
Promising TV advertising market
$64 mln in 2010
BelarusExpected to double during next 5 years
Reasonable asset prices
Cultural fitCultural fit
9
CTCCTC--International: Increasing CTC Media’s International Brand Awareness & ValueInternational: Increasing CTC Media’s International Brand Awareness & Value
Present
Number of subscribers
Subscribers, thousands
1,100
900
1,200
150
2001,200
9002011
33
300
600
3350
100
330
2010 … 2015F0
2010 2012
10
New Media: We Are Wherever Our Viewers AreNew Media: We Are Wherever Our Viewers Are
6069
7980
100
20:51
23:4325%
30%
26:00
30:00
Up to 80 mln Internet users by 2014 More time with our viewers
46 51
0
20
40
60
18:5920:26
18:5920:51
5%
10%
15%
20%
10 00
14:00
18:00
22:00
02010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Internet households in RussiaInternet household penetration in Russia
0%
5%
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+6:00
10:00
Reach,% Time spent, hours
100120
Increasing adoption of connected TV Mobile internet penetration growth
350035004000
3143
71
100
40
60
80
100
1600
2500
3000
100015002000250030003500
2231
0
20
40
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Mobile Internet monthly audience mln people
0500
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013
IPTV households in Russia, thousands Mobile Internet monthly audience, mln people
Sources: PwC Global Media Outlook, GFK, FOM, J’son Partners, ComScore Digital Europe 2010, Company’s estimates
IPTV households in Russia, thousandsSmart TV's in Russia, thousands
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Digitalization Digitalization –– We are Preparing to Enter the Second Multiplex in 2017We are Preparing to Enter the Second Multiplex in 2017--20192019
First multiplex Second multiplex Third multiplex
Launch in 2015-2016
Includes 8 federal channels and 1 regional channel
Launch estimated after 2017
9 channel slots are available
Launch estimated after 2020
DTV is likely to participateand 1 regional channel
CTC Media channels are not included
18 channels applied
CTC and Domashny are likely to participatelikely to participate
Preparing for digitalization by modernizing broadcasting equipment &Preparing for digitalization by modernizing broadcasting equipment &digitalizing content librarydigitalizing content library
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FullyFully--Integrated Broadcaster with Clear Strategic ObjectivesIntegrated Broadcaster with Clear Strategic Objectives
CTC Channel
Domashny and DTVN di and DTV ChannelsNew media
In-housecontent
productionCIS
operations
CTC-International
In-housesales
function
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