cbs/nyt poll: donald trump leads, strong on terrorism, economy

7/23/2019 CBS/NYT Poll: Donald Trump leads, strong on terrorism, economy

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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

December 4-8, 2015

Q1-Q6 RELEASED SEPARATELY

Q7. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington – enthusiastic, satisfied but not

enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **

Total Rep Dem Ind Nov15e

% % % % %

Enthusiastic 1 1 2 1 3

Satisfied but not enthusiastic 12 4 20 10 16

Dissatisfied but not angry 53 52 51 54 48

Angry 31 40 24 30 32

Don't know/No answer 3 2 3 5 2

Q8. RELEASED SEPARATELY

Q9. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no

attention so far?

** REGISTERED VOTERS **

Total Rep Dem Ind Nov15a

A lot 45 53 43 40 44

Some 36 35 34 38 34

Not much 13 8 16 14 16

No attention so far 6 2 7 8 6

Don't know/No answer 1 1 - * *

Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat

enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Very enthusiastic 32 40 33 25

Somewhat enthusiastic 35 41 31 33

Not too enthusiastic 22 13 23 26

Not at all enthusiastic 11 5 12 14

Don't know/No answer 1 1 1 2



Q11. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Republican presidential primary or caucus, or a Democratic presidential

primary or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?


Total Rep Dem Ind Nov15a

% % % % %

Republican primary 38 88 4 29 39

Democratic primary 36 3 81 26 36

Not likely to vote 15 5 9 26 12

Never vote (Vol.) * * - 1 1

Don't know/No answer 11 4 7 18 12

Q12. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?

* Republican Primary Voters *

%

Donald Trump 35 22

Ted Cruz 16 4Ben Carson 13 26

Marco Rubio 9 8

Rand Paul 4 4

Jeb Bush 3 7

Mike Huckabee 3 4

John Kasich 3 4

Chris Christie 3 1

Carly Fiorina 1 7

Rick Santorum * 1

Lindsey Graham -- 2

George Pataki -- --Jim Gilmore -- --

Someone Else (Vol.) * 2

None of them (Vol.) 2 3

Don't know/No answer 7 6

*Less than 0.5%

Q13. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

* Republican Primary Voters with a Choice*

Mind made up 34 28

Too early 64 71




Q14. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?

* Republican Primary Voters with a Choice* Oct15d

% %

Ted Cruz 19 12

Ben Carson 13 19

Marco Rubio 13 11

Donald Trump 12 18

Jeb Bush 10 8

Chris Christie 6 3

Rand Paul 6 4

Carly Fiorina 4 9

Mike Huckabee 4 3

John Kasich 3 2

George Pataki 1 1

Lindsey Graham * *

Rick Santorum * 1Someone Else (Vol.) - *



Q15. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates would you be

most dissatisfied with as the Republican nominee?


%

Donald Trump 23 21

Jeb Bush 18 20Chris Christie 6 7

Lindsey Graham 6 7

Carly Fiorina 5 3

Rand Paul 5 12

Ben Carson 4 3

Ted Cruz 4 2

John Kasich 4 1

Marco Rubio 4 3

George Pataki 3 2

Mike Huckabee 2 2

Rick Santorum 2 2

Jim Gilmore 2 1

Someone Else (Vol.) - 2





Q16. Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to finally win the Republican nomination for President in 2016?


%

Donald Trump 51

Ted Cruz 10

Marco Rubio 9

Ben Carson 7

Jeb Bush 5

Chris Christie 1

John Kasich 1

Carly Fiorina *

Mike Huckabee *

George Pataki *

Rand Paul *

Jim Gilmore *

Someone Else (Vol.) *

None of them (Vol.) 1Don't know/No answer 15

Q17. Which one of these candidate qualities is most important to you in deciding who to support for the Republican

nomination for president in 2016?

Oct15d

%

Is a strong leader 42 41

Is honest and trustworthy 30 37

Cares about people like me 12 5

Has the right experience 8 10Can win in a general election 6 4


Q18. Thinking about the Republican Party's nominee for president in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee

who agrees with your position on most issues, or a nominee who can win the general election in November?

Sep15a1

Agrees on issues 62 60

Can win in November 36 35


Q19. In general, do you think the Republican Presidential campaign is mostly focusing on issues you care about, or

mostly focusing on issues you don’t care much about?

Issues you care about 80

Issue you don't care much about 18

Don't know/No answer 2



Q20. Would you rather have a Republican nominee for President who is willing to compromise some of their positions

with Democrats in Congress in order to get things done, or will stick to their positions even if it means not getting as

much done?


%

Compromise 60

Stick to positions 38


Q21. Would you prefer the Republican nominee for president be someone whose experience has been mostly in politics

and government, or someone whose experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it matter

to you?

Sep15a1

%

Mostly politics & government 13 9

Mostly business 43 48Doesn't matter 42 41


Q22. How confident are you in Donald Trump’s ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very

confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Oct15a

Very confident 51 50

Somewhat confident 31 33

Not too confident 8 8

Not at all confident 10 8Don't know/No answer * 1

Q23. How confident are you in Donald Trump’s ability to handle the threat of terrorism – are you very confident,

somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident 40

Somewhat confident 31

Not too confident 13

Not at all confident 15


Q24. How confident are you in Ben Carson’s ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very



Somewhat confident 42 40

Not too confident 18 14

Not at all confident 13 7




Q25. How confident are you in Ben Carson’s ability to handle the threat of terrorism – are you very confident, somewhat

confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?


%

Very confident 16





Q26. How confident are you in Marco Rubio’s ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very


Jul15e

%


Somewhat confident 44 48Not too confident 18 18



Q27. How confident are you in Marco Rubio’s ability to handle the threat of terrorism – are you very confident,

somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident 20



Not at all confident 12Don't know/No answer 10

Q28. How confident are you in Ted Cruz’s ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very


Very confident 26







Q29. How confident are you in Ted Cruz’s ability to handle the threat of terrorism – are you very confident, somewhat



%

Very confident 30





Q30. How confident are you in Jeb Bush’s ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very


Jul15e

%


Somewhat confident 37 46Not too confident 24 20



Q31. How confident are you in Jeb Bush’s ability to handle the threat of terrorism – are you very confident, somewhat


Very confident 17


Not too confident 22Not at all confident 22


Q32. Do you think Donald Trump says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to

hear?

Yes, says what he believes 76 79

No, says what people want 21 20


Q33. Do you think Donald Trump has presented specific ideas about how he would accomplish his goals if he were

elected president, or not?

Has 59

Has not 38




Q34. Do you think Ben Carson says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to

hear?


%

Yes, says what he believes 72

No, says what people want 23


Q35. Do you think Ben Carson has presented specific ideas about how he would accomplish his goals if he were elected

president, or not?

Has 47

Has not 44


Q36. Do you think Marco Rubio says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to

hear?

Jul15e

%




Q37. Do you think Marco Rubio has presented specific ideas about how he would accomplish his goals if he were elected

president, or not?

Has 49Has not 38


Q38. Do you think Ted Cruz says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?

Yes, says what he believes 60

No, says what people want 30


Q39. Do you think Ted Cruz has presented specific ideas about how he would accomplish his goals if he were elected

president, or not?

Has 58

Has not 30




Q40. Do you think Jeb Bush says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?

* Republican Primary Voters * Jul15e

% %




Q41. Do you think Jeb Bush has presented specific ideas about how he would accomplish his goals if he were elected

president, or not?

Has 42

Has not 49


Q42-Q70 SEPARATE RELEASE

Q71. If Donald Trump is elected as President, what best describes your feelings about what he will do in office -- excitedoptimistic, but not excited, concerned, but not scared, or scared?


Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Excited 11 25 2 8

Optimistic, not excited 24 41 8 23

Concerned, not scared 24 20 25 26

Scared 40 13 63 41


Q72. If Hillary Clinton is elected as President, what best describes your feelings about what she will do in office --

excited, optimistic, but not excited, concerned, but not scared, or scared?

Excited 9 2 22 4

Optimistic, not excited 33 8 54 35

Concerned, not scared 23 24 17 27

Scared 34 65 6 32


Unweighted Weighted

Total Respondents 1,275

Total registered voters 1,053 973

Total Republican Primary Voters 431 369

cbs/nyt poll: donald trump leads, strong on terrorism, economy

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