central calif. winegrowers and calif. assoc. of winegrape growers 2006 winegrape symposium
DESCRIPTION
Central Calif. Winegrowers and Calif. Assoc. of Winegrape Growers 2006 Winegrape Symposium. “ San Joaquin Valley Grapes = Quality Value Wine”. November 29 th and 30 th , 2006 Pardini’s, Fresno, California. How is the SJV poised to compete? What must we do?. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Central Calif. Winegrowers and Calif. Assoc. of Winegrape
Growers 2006 Winegrape Symposium
“San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley Grapes Grapes
= Quality Value Wine”= Quality Value Wine”November 29th and 30th, 2006Pardini’s, Fresno, California
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How is the SJV poised to compete?
What must we do?Greg Livengood, Joseph W. Ciatti Co.,
LLCSan Rafael, CA 415/458-5150 www.ciatti.com
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USA vs. WorldChina
4%
Portugal3%
So. Africa3%
Germany3%
Australia5%
Argentina5%
Spain14%
Chile2%
USA 8%
Italy18%
France20%
Rest of World15%
USA
8% of Production
USA
5% of Vine Acres
7.66B Gals (45M tons)•Source: OIV
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Cost of Ocean Freight
Approx. US$0.80 per gal
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Imports• Pinot Grigio
• Pinot Noir
• Riesling
• Long Inventories in S. America & Australia
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Australian Production
1.24
1.491.64
1.49
1.912.11 2.03
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
In Millions of Tons
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Chile Annual Production
0.67
1.00
0.86 0.88
1.050.99
1.241.33
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
In Millions of Tons
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Argentina Grape Production
2.502.30
2.202.00
2.40
2.10 2.10
2.50
2.87 2.87
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Tons in Millions
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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2.10
1.00
2.30
0.59
2.18
0.36
2.23
0.60
2.17
0.74
2.89
1.00
2.53
0.64
2.61
0.57
3.32
0.63
3.01
0.36
3.10
0.68
2.86
0.51
2.78
0.84
3.76
0.57
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Tons in Millions
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Statewide Grape Crush, 1992 - 2005
Winegrape Other Crush
+33% +27%
+35%
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Dry White Wine
$0.76
$1.45
$2.10
$1.00
$1.50
$1.85
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Dry Red Wine
$0.95
$1.30
$2.25
$1.00
$1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Cabernet Sauvignon Wine
$1.70$1.50
$2.50
$1.10
$2.00 $1.85
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Merlot Wine
$1.70$1.50
$2.85
$1.25
$2.00$2.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Syrah (Shiraz) Wine
$1.70$1.50
$2.50
$1.50
$2.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Chardonnay Wine
$2.50
$1.45
$2.65 $2.50 $2.50$2.75
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
U.S. $ per Gal
Argentina Australia Calif. Chile Europe S. Africa
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Currency Exchange Rates
2000 $0.52
2001 $0.52
2002 $0.56
2003 $0.72
2004 $0.77
2005 $0.74
2006 $0.78
2000 $0.86
2001 $0.90
2002 $0.99
2003 $1.20
2004 $1.33
2005 $1.18
2006 $1.32
AUD 1.00 = US EURO 1.00 = US
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California Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
In Millions of Gallons
2003 2004 2005 2006 Est.
Bulk Case
76.46M Gals94.13M Gals
91.27M GalsEst. 92.33M Gals
440,000 Tons540,000 Tons
520,000 TonsEst. 530,000 Tons
Source: Gomberg Fredrikson Report; State Board of Equalization
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SJV StrengthsSJV Strengths• White Zinfandel
• Zinfandel
• Ruby Cabernet
• Colombard
• Competitive Varietals
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Major Export Mkts for SJV Wines
• Canada
• Germany
• Scandinavia
• UK
• Asia
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E- NewsletterE- NewsletterTo sign up for our E-Newsletter
“Ciatti Insight”
Email Lora [email protected]
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Thank You for your time and Attention
Greg LivengoodJoseph W. Ciatti Co., LLC
T.415/458-5150www.ciatti.com