"ceramic roadmap to 2050" | dr laura cohen

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Ceramic Roadmap to 2050 Ceramic Days, November 2012 Laura Cohen, Cerame-Unie

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Page 1: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Ceramic Roadmap to 2050

Ceramic Days, November 2012

Laura Cohen, Cerame-Unie

Page 2: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

1. Why a Roadmap

2. What is included

3. Call to policymakers

4. How do we take this forward

Overview

Page 3: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Why a Ceramic Roadmap?

Tough economic times for Europe’s industry

Environmental challenges and opportunities

EU’s actions

Page 4: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

8 sectors

€ 28 billion

25% sold outside of the EU

200,000 direct jobs in all

European regions

Europe’s ceramic industry

% Production value of ceramic industry in Europe by sector in 2011.

(Sources: Prodcom, Eurostat)

Page 5: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Europe’s heritage ... and critical for our future

Page 6: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Efficient over the lifecycle

Raw materials and

restoration

Production

Use phase

A closed loop

Page 7: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

2010 Emissions

Tiles / Bricks, Refractory and Wall/ Floor tile sectors -

representing approximately 90% of total European ceramics sector emissions

Energy mix is 85% gas, 15% electricity

Total: 19 Mton CO2 (source: Cerame-Unie)

Page 8: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Some key technologies

Page 9: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

CO2 emissions

Assessment based on Brick/roof tile; wall/floor tile and refractory sectors

Approximately 90% of the total ceramic industry’s emissions

Data from 1990, 2000 and 2010

Major improvements before 1990 excluded

Assumptions:

Constant production from 2010 to 2050

Near-full kilns

95% decarbonisation of electricity supply by 2050 (vs.1990 levels)

Checked with specific energy consumption in trends in ceramic BREF

Page 10: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Emission reduction models

A) Excluding kiln electrification

• € 90 billion capital

• € 40 billion write off and lost production

• Unprofitable running costs

B) Including kiln electrification

Solution for “process emissions” from clay not available yet

Page 11: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Our 2050 emission reduction models

65% reduction if ...

“Syngas/Biogas” technology developed to replace fossil fuels, retrofitted,

and sustainable, affordable feedstocks secured

Financial support for breakthrough R&D and implementation

Stable regulatory framework for industry to compete with non-European

manufacturers

78% reduction ...

Remaining 50% of kilns electrified - 95% decarbonisation of electricity

Completely uneconomic

Page 12: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Call to policymakers

Lifecycle-view

Emissions (energy in use phase, end of life)

Appropriate indicators - to include raw materials

Trade

Address market access / trade barriers

Strong action on unfair practices:

• Counterfeiting / IP infringement, subsidies, dumping

Access to raw materials

Page 13: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

Call to policymakers

Investment Cycles

Long paybacks require affordable finance

Sustainable, uninterrupted and affordable alternative fuels

Electric kilns not economic

Climate and Energy

Consistent and predictable legal framework

International agreement – comparable burden – trading partners

Innovation

Finance required for breakthrough technology development

Need supportive framework - E2B PPP and SPIRE

Page 14: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

How do we take this forward

Exploring further key aspects of

the Roadmap with:

European policy-makers

National authorities

NGOs and other stakeholders

Keeping our members involved and building on these

discussions

Page 15: "Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen

European Ceramic Industry Association

www.cerameunie.eu