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Challenges for QCD Theory – some personal reflections – Torbj¨ orn Sj¨ ostrand Department of Astronomy and Theoretical Physics Lund University, Lund, Sweden Nobel Symposium on LHC Results Krusenberg, Uppsala, 13 – 17 May 2013

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  • Challenges for QCD Theory– some personal reflections –

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand

    Department of Astronomy and Theoretical PhysicsLund University, Lund, Sweden

    Nobel Symposium on LHC ResultsKrusenberg, Uppsala, 13 – 17 May 2013

  • Motivation

    �����������

    ���

    At the LHC everything is QCD: “signal” and “background”

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 2/24

  • The Three Frontiers of QCD

    QCD L not an issue:well tested by now!

    gg→ H0

    UnderstandingconfinementQGP hadronization

    small-x MPI col.recon.

    Precision

    NnLOαs(Q2)

    PDF’smatchingshowers Discovery

    signal vs.backgroundBNV, R-had.

    new SU(N)

    p spinjets

    σ(pp→X)

    mt(mX)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 3/24

  • Perturbative QCD

    Healthy community of calculators and program authors.Influx of superstring people. Challenges more math than physics.

    LO: solved for all practical applications.

    NLO: in process of being automatized.

    NNLO: the current calculational frontier.

    Another bottleneck: efficient phase space sampling.

    (Calculational techniques beyond scope.)

    (Results belong with respective physics topic.)

    gg → H0 at crossroads of frontiers:• Need high-precision calculations• to search for BSM physics,• but limited by poorly-understood

    slow convergence.

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 4/24

  • Parton Distributions

    Also several groups of PDF providers, offering cross-checks.

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    5

    10

    2 = 2 GeV2Q

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    5

    10

    MSTW 2008 LO

    MSTW 2008 NLO

    MSTW 2008 NNLO

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    5

    10

    15

    2 = 5 GeV2Q

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    5

    10

    15

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    10

    20

    30

    2 = 20 GeV2Q

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    10

    20

    30

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    2 = 100 GeV2Q

    x

    -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

    )2xg

    (x,Q

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    Figure 57: The gluon distribution at LO, NLO and NNLO including the one-sigma PDF uncer-tainty bands.

    123

    But higher orders ⇒ increasingregion at low x and Q2 beyondperturbative control!

    Adds to instability ofreal − virtual ME’s.

    What use (−ME)⊗(−PDF) = +σ?

    Open question 1:

    new scheme with ”resummed”ME’s and PDF’s?

    (complementing/replacing MS)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 5/24

  • Multiparton Interactions

    MPI’s driving force forstructure of minbiasand underlying events.

    n0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

    nP-610

    -510

    -410

    -310

    -210

    -110

    1

    10

    210

    310 CMS DataPYTHIA D6TPYTHIA 8PHOJET

    )47 TeV (x10

    )22.36 TeV (x10

    0.9 TeV (x1)

    | < 2.4η| > 0

    Tp

    (a)CMS NSD

    New dampening scale p⊥0 ∼ 2− 3 GeV gives 2− 3 MPI’s/event,with large fluctuations from pp impact parameter.

    (In perturbative regime: LO OK, NLO fails?)

    Open question 2: p⊥0 effect of colour screening or what?

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 6/24

  • Multiple Colour Sources

    Lund string model:colour confinement fields stretchedfrom q (qq) end to q (qq) endvia intermediate g’s(8 ≈ 3⊗ 3, cf. NC →∞). q

    gg

    q

    Introduction(V.A. Khoze & TS, PRL72 (1994) 28, ZPC62 (1994) 281,EPJC6 (1999) 271;L. Lönnblad & TS, PLB351 (1995) 293, EPJC2 (1998) 165)

    ΓW,ΓZ,Γt ≈ 2 GeVΓh > 1.5 GeV for mh > 200 GeVΓSUSY ∼ GeV (often)

    τ =1

    Γ≈

    0.2GeV fm

    2GeV= 0.1 fm # rhad ≈ 1 fm

    ⇒ hadronic decay systems overlap,between pairs of resonances⇒ cannot be considered separate systems!

    Three main eras for interconnection:1. Perturbative: suppressed for ω > Γ by propaga-

    tors/timescales⇒ only soft gluons.2. Nonperturbative, hadronization process:

    colour rearrangement.

    B0d

    bc

    W− c

    s

    !

    "

    !

    "

    B0d

    b

    c

    W−c

    sg

    !

    "

    K0S

    !

    "

    J/ψ

    3. Nonperturbative, hadronic phase:Bose–Einstein.

    Above topics among unsolved problems of strong in-teractions: confinement dynamics, 1/N2C effects, QMinterferences, . . . :

    • opportunity to study dynamics of unstable parti-cles,

    • opportunity to study QCD in new ways, but• risk to limit/spoil precision mass measurements.

    So far mainly studied for mW at LEP2:

    1. Perturbative: 〈δmW〉

  • Colour Reconnection

    MPI ⇒ high force-field density!

    or reduced string length

    chN 0 50 100

    [G

    eV]

    〉 T p〈

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6ATLASPythia 8Pythia 8 (no CR)

    7000 GeV pp Soft QCD (mb,diff,fwd)

    mcp

    lots

    .cer

    n.ch

    200

    k ev

    ents

    ≥R

    ivet

    1.8

    .2,

    Pythia 8.175

    ATLAS_2010_S8918562

    > 0.5 GeV/c)T

    > 1, pch

    (Nch vs NTAverage p

    0 50 1000.5

    1

    1.5Ratio to ATLAS

    Open question 3: mechanisms at play for colour (re)structuring?

    and how to model them correctly?

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 8/24

  • The Mass of Unstable Coloured Particles

    MC: close to pole mass, in the sense of Breit–Wigner mass peak.t, W, Z: cτ ≈ 0.1 fm < rp .

    t

    t

    W

    b

    At the Tevatron: mt = 173.20± 0.51± 0.71 GeV = PMAS(6,1)At the LHC: mt = 173.4± 0.4± 0.9 GeV (CMS) = 6:m0 ?Open question 4: better mass definition for coloured particles?

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 9/24

  • The Mass of Unstable Coloured Particles – 2

    Dependence*of*Top*Mass*on*Event*

    Kinema2cs*

    10*

    !  First#top#mass#measurement#binned#in#kinema3c#observables.#!  Addi2onal*valida2on*for*the*top*mass*measurements.**!  With*the*current*precision,*no*mis^modelling*effect*due*to*

    "  color*reconnec2on,*ISR/FSR,**b^quark*kinema2cs,*difference*

    between*pole*or*MS~*masses.*

    color*recon.*

    ISR/FSR*

    b^quark*kin.*

    Global*χ2/ndf*=*0.9*based*on*

    mt1D*and*JES*which*are*

    independent*(comparing*data*

    and*MadGraph)*neglec2ng*

    correla2ons*between*

    observables.*

    CMS^PAS^TOP^12^029*

    NEW*

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300>

    [G

    eV

    ]2

    Dt

    - <

    m2

    Dt

    m-4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    )-1Data (5.0 fbMG, Pythia Z2MG, Pythia P11MG, Pythia P11noCRMC@NLO, Herwig

    = 7 TeV, lepton+jetssCMS preliminary,

    [GeV

    ]

    [GeV]T,t,had

    p0 50 100 150 200 250 300

    da

    ta -

    MG

    Z2

    -5

    0

    5

    E. Yazgan(Moriond 2013)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 10/24

  • Hadronization: the Lund String Model

    Field lines compressed totubelike regions: strings!Linear confinement:V (r) ≈ κr , κ ≈ 1 GeV/fmLorentz invariant.

    String breaking by tunneling:

    P ∝ exp(−πm2⊥q/κ)with adjacent pairs formingmesons (and baryons).

    dn/dy flat, but with short-range (anti)correlations.Common Gaussian p⊥ spectrum.

    Varied hadron production, with suppression of heavy quarks,and short-range flavour (anti)correlations.

    Generally supported by LEP, but some unresolved flavour issues.Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 11/24

  • Hadronization: the Lund Gluon Picture

    Force ratio g/q = 2, cf. QCD NC/CF = 9/4, → 2 for NC →∞.

    Verified at PETRA/. . . /LEP!

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 12/24

  • Hadronization

    Only current alternative to string is cluster:

    cluster model fails unless “tweaked” to mimic stringsneither gives fully satisfactory description of flavour datadense LHC environment by reconnection, not new modelslittle new original work in > 30 years

    Open question 5: better hadronization models

    for simple (e+e−) and complex (pp) environments?

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 13/24

  • Parton Showers

    Traditional DGLAP picture a → bc (coherence by θ ordering):

    Lund string ⇒ St. Petersburg dipole ⇒ Lund dipole shower:ab → cde ≈ radiator + recoiler (coherence by p⊥ ordering)

    Nowadays most common shower type.(Also NLO calculations: “Catani–Seymour dipoles”.)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 14/24

  • Parton Showers – 2

    Holy Grail of showers: unitarity by Sudakov factors:

    dPa =dp2⊥p2⊥

    αs2π

    Pa→bc(z) dz

    × exp

    (−∫ p2⊥max

    p2⊥

    dp′2⊥p′2⊥

    αs2π

    ∫Pa→bc(z)dz

    )

    (but topology changed ⇒ implicit cross section change)

    Shower challenges:

    full phase space coverage (sector showers)(recoils ⇒ ambiguous p⊥ ordering; soft coherence overdone)NLL, NNL, . . . accuracy (in practice close to NLL)

    complete colour structure (each nonleading ∝ 1/N2C but many!)W±,Z0 emission in showers (competition)Attach as well as possible to ME behaviour

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 15/24

  • ME–PS Matching: Legs

    Basic idea of CKKW(-L)/MLM:use ME for real emissionsand PS for virtual corrections(to ∼ restore unitarity).

    CKKW-L:

    1 generate n-body by MEmixed in proportions

    ∫dσn

    above p⊥min cut

    2 reconstruct fictitiousp⊥-ordered PS

    p⊥0 p⊥1 p⊥2 p⊥3 p⊥min

    4 reject from fix αs = αs(p⊥min) to αs(p⊥i )

    5 run trial shower between each p⊥i and p⊥i+16 reject if shower branching ⇒ Sudakov factor7 regular shower below p⊥min (or below p⊥n for n = nmax)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 16/24

  • ME–PS Matching: Loops

    Master formula for meaningful NLO implementations:

    dσ = dσR,hard +(σB +σR,soft +σV )[dσR,soft

    σBexp

    (−∫

    dσR,softσB

    )]ordered in “p⊥”, with shower from selected “p⊥” downwardsPOWHEG: σR,hard = 0MC@NLO: σR,soft = σR,MC (warning: positivity?)“Best” choice process-dependent (guess NLO behaviour of σR)

    S.Alioli, P. Nason, C. Oleari, E. Re, JHEP 00904 (2009) 002Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 17/24

  • ME–PS Matching: Legs and Loops

    Issue: ? multileg does not guarantee∑

    n=0 σH+n jet = σH;

    ? loop only guarantees σH to NLO and σH+1 jet to LO.

    Recent progress: σH to NLO, σH+1 jet to NLO, σH+≥2 jet to LO.

    Requires careful unitarity considerations, expansion of PDF’s, . . .⇒ lengthy formulae and even lengthier procedures:

    this means that once we want to add a one-jet NLO calculation, we have to subtract its

    integrated version from zero-jet events. Similarly we need to remove the O(α0s (µR)

    )and

    O(α1s (µR)

    )in the UMEPS tree-level weights, not only for the one-jet events but also for

    the corresponding subtracted zero-jet events. In this way we ensure that the inclusive

    zero-jet cross section is still given by the NLO calculation and we will also improve the

    O(α2s )−term of exclusive zero-jet observables.The UNLOPS prediction for an observable O, when simultaneously merging inclusive

    NLO calculations for m=0, . . . ,M jets, and including up to N tree-level calculations, is

    given by

    〈O〉 =M−1∑

    m=0

    ∫dφ0

    ∫· · ·∫

    O(S+mj)

    {

    Bm +[B̂m]

    −m,m+1

    −M∑

    i=m+1

    sBi→m −

    M∑

    i=m+1

    [ ∫

    sB̂i→m

    ]

    −i,i+1

    −N∑

    i=M+1

    sB̂i→m

    }

    +

    ∫dφ0

    ∫· · ·∫

    O(S+Mj)

    {

    BM +[B̂M

    ]

    −M,M+1−

    N∑

    i=M+1

    sB̂i→M

    }

    +N∑

    n=M+1

    ∫dφ0

    ∫· · ·∫

    O(S+nj)

    {

    B̂n −N∑

    i=n+1

    sB̂i→n

    }

    (3.10)

    Here we see, in the first line, the addition of the Bm and the removal of the O (αms (µR))and O

    (αm+1s (µR)

    )terms of the original UMEPS B̂m contribution. On the second line we

    see the subtracted integrated Bm+1 term to make the m-parton NLO-calculation exclusive

    and the corresponding O (αms (µR))- and O(αm+1s (µR)

    )-subtracted UMEPS term together

    with subtracted terms from higher multiplicities where intermediate states in the clustering

    were below the merging scale. The third line is the special case of the highest multiplicity

    corrected to NLO, and the last line is the standard UMEPS treatment of higher multiplic-

    ities.

    The full derivation of this master formula is given in appendix D, where we also discuss

    the case of exclusive NLO samples and explain the necessity for subtraction terms from

    higher multiplicities. We will limit ourselves to including only zero- and one-jet NLO

    calculations in the results section. For the sake of clarity we will thus only discuss this

    special case here. For this case, the UNLOPS prediction (when including only up to two

    tree-level jets) is

    〈O〉 =∫

    dφ0

    {

    O(S+0j)

    (

    B0 −∫

    sB1→0 −

    [ ∫

    sB̂1→0

    ]

    −1,2

    −∫

    sB̂2→0

    )

    +

    ∫O(S+1j)

    (B1 +

    [B̂1]

    −1,2−∫

    sB̂2→1

    )

    +

    ∫ ∫O(S+2j)B̂2 (3.11)

    – 16 –

    (UNLOPS, L. Lönnblad, S. Prestel)

    Open question 6: generic, robust, reliable matching procedure?

    (back to open question 1: new scheme with ”resummed” ME’s and PDF’s?)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 18/24

  • Event Generators

    Daunting complexity of LHC event.General-purpose event generators: currently only wayto break down the problem into manageable subtasks:

    Open question 7: better (alternative to) event generators?

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 19/24

  • The Workhorses: What are the Differences?

    HERWIG, PYTHIA and SHERPA offer convenient frameworksfor LHC physics studies, but with slightly different emphasis:

    PYTHIA (successor to JETSET, begun in 1978):• originated in hadronization studies: the Lund string• leading in development of MPI for MB/UE• pragmatic attitude to showers & matching

    HERWIG (successor to EARWIG, begun in 1984):• originated in coherent-shower studies (angular ordering)• cluster hadronization & underlying event pragmatic add-on• large process library with spin correlations in decays

    SHERPA (APACIC++/AMEGIC++, begun in 2000):• own matrix-element calculator/generator• extensive machinery for CKKW ME/PS matching• hadronization & min-bias physics under development

    MCnet: combined projects, meetings & summer schools

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 20/24

  • Other Relevant Software

    Some examples (with apologies for many omissions):Other event/shower generators: PhoJet, Ariadne, Dipsy, Cascade, Vincia

    Matrix-element generators: MadGraph/MadEvent, CompHep, CalcHep,Helac, Whizard, Sherpa, GoSam, aMC@NLO

    Matrix element libraries: AlpGen, POWHEG BOX, MCFM, NLOjet++,VBFNLO, BlackHat, Rocket

    Special BSM scenarios: Prospino, Charybdis, TrueNoir

    Mass spectra and decays: SOFTSUSY, SPHENO, HDecay, SDecay

    Feynman rule generators: FeynRules

    PDF libraries: LHAPDF

    Resummed (p⊥) spectra: ResBos

    Approximate loops: LoopSim

    Jet finders: anti-k⊥ and FastJet

    Analysis packages: Rivet, Professor, MCPLOTS

    Detector simulation: GEANT, Delphes

    Constraints (from cosmology etc): DarkSUSY, MicrOmegas

    Standards: PDF identity codes, LHA, LHEF, SLHA, Binoth LHA, HepMC

    Can be meaningfully combined and used for LHC physics!

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 21/24

  • QCD and BSM physics

    BNV ⇒ junction topology⇒ special handling ofshowers and hadronization

    Hidden valleys:showers potentially interleavedwith normal ones;hadronization in hidden sector;decays back to normal sector

    R-hadron formation

    Squarkfragmenting tomeson or baryon

    Gluinofragmenting tobaryon or glueball

    Most hadronization properties by analogy with normalstring fragmentation, butglueball formation new aspect, assumed ⇠ 10% of time (or less).

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand QCD Aspects of BSM Physics slide 12/18

    R-hadrons: long-lived g̃ or q̃;new: hadronization of massive object “inside” the string

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 22/24

  • Apologies

    Many areas not covered, e.g.

    σtot and dσel/dt.Diffraction and forward physics.

    Small-x evolution.

    p spatial structure.

    Spin physics.

    Pre-QGP in pp.

    Underlying events vs. minbias.

    Jet algorithms.

    Jet properties, q vs. g.

    Prompt γ production.

    Quarkonium production.

    Ridge effect.

    Klaus Rabbertz La Thuile, Italy, 10.03.2013 Moriond QCD 16

    Dijets separated in Rapidity

    CMS, EPJC72, 2012.ATLAS, JHEP09, 2011

    Quantities sensitive to potential deviations from DGLAP evolution at small xSome MC event generators run into problems … but also BFKL inspired ones!Large y coverage needed, also useful for WBF tagging jets.

    BFKL inspired

    Most forward-backward dijet selectionAll possible dijet pair distances overleading dijet pair distance

    DGLAP

    η∆-4

    -20

    24

    φ∆0

    2

    4)

    φ∆,

    η∆

    R( -2

    -101

  • Summary and outlook

    Much progress, but also many unresolved issues:1 New scheme with ”resummed” ME’s and PDF’s?2 p⊥0 effect of colour screening or what?3 Mechanisms at play for colour (re)structuring?4 Better mass definition for coloured particles?5 Better hadronization models for simple (e+e−)

    and complex (pp) environments?6 Generic, robust, reliable matching procedure?7 Better (alterative to) event generators? (Make me unemployed!)

    Torbjörn Sjöstrand Challenges for QCD Theory slide 24/24