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Championing Young People’s Learning
London 14-19 Strategic Analysis
Transforming challenge into opportunity
Doug Norris
Championing Young People’s Learning
What is the Strategic Analysis?
Stage 1Analysis and Planning
Stage 2National and Local Commissioning Statements
Strategic Analysis
Stage 3Finalising Allocations
Stage 4Contracting and Funding
The Strategic Analysis is launched in May 2010 at the beginning of the commissioning process, which runs to August 2011. It informs
key outputs of the process including the drafting and finalising of both Local Commissioning Statements (Stages 1 and 2) and Local
Commissioning Plans (Stages 3 and 4).
Statistical basis for planning and commissioning education and training for young Londoners. Informed guide on the education, training and employment landscape for young people in London. Directly supports the commissioning process as set-out in the NCF. It should trigger further lines of enquiry and be used in conjunction with other data resources such as the YPLA National Core Dataset and MIDAS.
Championing Young People’s Learning
The London story• Jointly produced by YPLA and 14-19 RPG• Format specific to London• Regional level analysis with links to local authority
and national figures• Draft report released to local authorities on
Provider Gateway. Formal release in September• Key themes of Employer skills needs, Participation
and Achievement
Championing Young People’s Learning
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
Championing Young People’s Learning
London Infrastructure Overview
£915m allocated to FE and school Sixth Form provision in 2010/11 376 providers funded to deliver 16-18 provision in 2010/11 Just over two thirds of 16-18 providers are School Sixth Forms and 15% are FE institutions Over £500m invested in 67 capital projects between 2004 and 2009 35 Academies funded in 2010
Championing Young People’s Learning
Pre-16 attainment
• GCSE 5A*-C (inc E&M) of 54% in 08/09 in line with national average• Improvement in all boroughs• Significant variation (43% to 68%); • Attainment gap a key issue…..
Attainment gap for 5 A*-C GCSE including Maths and English (2009)
Follow links provided in the report for
local authority level information0
10203040506070
%
2008
2009
Championing Young People’s Learning
London’s Economy
Workforce Approx 4.68 million workers 600,000 people self-employed
High correlation between qualifications and employability
88% employment rate for those qualified to degree, but
65% rate for those without Level 2
Employers and Young People London employers less likely
to recruit school/college leavers; and to say they are less well prepared for work.
Poor attitude or lack of motivation is a key issue
Championing Young People’s Learning
Who is in learning?
• 86% of 17 yr. olds in learning compared to 94% 16 yr. olds indicating a high drop-out rate
• School censuses indicate increase in Yr. 12 and 13 numbers- contrast to decrease projected by GLA and ONS
• 16-18 yr. olds in employment fell from 7.1% to 4.9% in Dec 2009
• Majority of learners on L3 courses
Championing Young People’s Learning
Who is not in learning?
14 boroughs have NEET levels above regional average of 5.3%
Significant borough variations in both NEET levels and cohort
Significant fall in participation at 17• especially for maintained schools from 16 to 17• 9% gap in London: above national av. since 2002• fall varies across London, from 13% to 2%, with over half of outer
London boroughs exceeding the regional average. • further exploration needed on why learners leave participation at 17
Championing Young People’s Learning
NEET by borough1 Barking and Dagenham
2 Barnet
3 Bexley
4 Brent
5 Bromley
6 Camden
7 City of London
8 Croydon
9 Ealing
10 Enfield
11 Greenwich
12 Hackney
13 Hammersmith and Fulham
14 Haringey
15 Harrow
16 Havering
17 Hillingdon
18 Hounslow
19 Islington
20 Kensington and Chelsea
21 Kingston upon Thames
22 Lambeth
23 Lewisham
24 Merton
25 Newham
26 Redbridge
27 Richmond upon Thames
28 Southwark
29 Sutton
30 Tower Hamlets
31 Waltham Forest
32 Wandsworth
33 Westminster
Championing Young People’s Learning
GCSE and A Level achievement
GCSE point scores below required minimum forsome L3 provision
• London av. is above the required minimum• 68 colleges and schools had students entering with scores
below the minimum
A-Level points score per candidate lowest in the country• 691.3 points compared to 739.1 nationally• Av. points score per student did improve by approx. a third of
a grade in 2008/09• Significant variation between outer and inner London
Championing Young People’s Learning
Level 2 / Level 3 achievement by 19
• Improved year on year and now exceeds the national average• Significant variation within London• Progress towards reducing the attainment gap also needs to be
looked at on a borough by borough basis
See Core Dataset and
MIDAS for
more information,
Including attainment
by eligibility
for free school meals40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
19 in 2004 19 in 2005 19 in 2006 19 in 2007 19 in 2008
%
Level 2 at 19 England
Level 2 at 19 London
Level 3 at 19 England
Level 3 at 19 London
Championing Young People’s Learning
What can I use it for?
• Regional overview of 14-19 landscape in London
• Robust evidence base to support the wider young people’s strategy for London
• Identify local issues against the regional picture and neighbouring boroughs
• Additional resource to MIDAS and Local Authority Core Datasets
• Identifying key areas for further exploration
• Also useful for……?
Championing Young People’s Learning
What do you think?
• Does it cover what you need to know?
• How can it/has it been used to inform planning?
• What local and regional issues need to be explored further?
• What do you like/dislike about the report?
• How widely has it been shared with your LA colleagues?