chapel hill transit strategic and financial plan update

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Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Sustainability Plan Update Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce February 5, 2015

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Page 1: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Chapel Hill TransitStrategic and Financial

Sustainability Plan Update

Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

February 5, 2015

Page 2: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Today’s Agenda

• Overview of Chapel Hill Transit

–Performance Overview

–Funding Overview

–Key Challenges Overview

• Strategic and Financial Sustainability Plan Update

• Questions and Feedback

Page 3: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

CHT OverviewCHT is the second largest transit system in North Carolina, serving Chapel Hill, Carrboro and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Responsibilities: Fixed-route Bus Service (32 weekday & weekend routes) EZ Rider (ADA Service) Short and Long Range Transit Planning Marketing and Public Relations Major Transit Initiatives

Staff (210 employees): Operations – 165 Maintenance – 31 Administration – 14

Fleet (118 revenue vehicles): Buses – 99 (29 hybrids) Demand Response – 19

Page 4: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Organizational StructureWhile a department of the Town of Chapel Hill, CHT is advised by the Chapel Hill Transit Partners Committee, which provides policy and financial guidance:

• Jim Ward, Chair, Town of Chapel Hill – Council Member

• Ed Harrison, Town of Chapel Hill – Council Member

• Matt Czajkowski, Town of Chapel Hill – Council Member

• Damon Seils, Town of Carrboro – Alderman

• Bethany Chaney, Town of Carrboro – Alderman

• Julie Eckenrode, Town of Carrboro – Assistant to theTown Manager

• Meredith Weiss, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill – Senior Associate Vice Chancellor for Finance and Administration

• Than Austin, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill – Associate Director of Transportation and Planning

• Cheryl Stout, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill – Director, Transportation and Parking

Page 5: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Ridership:

– 6,938,657 annual rides (FY13-14)

– Over 133,435 rides per week

– Over 80 rides per capita

• Service Miles: 2,091,748

• Service Hours: 179,044

Performance standards:

– Rides/Hour: FR – 44.3 DR – 2.58

– Rides/Mile: FR – 3.92 DR – .20

– Cost/Ride: FR – $2.53 DR – $25.15

(FR = Fixed Route and DR = EZ Rider)

CHT Delivers CHT Delivers

Page 6: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

CHT Delivers

Median Time Period Performance (Passengers per Hour)

2014 2013 2012 2011

AM PeakStart of service – 9:59 a.m.

62.3 49.7 53.5 39.8

Midday10:00 a.m. –3:29 p.m.

64.1 54.8 56.4 51.1

PM Peak3:30 p.m. –6:59 p.m.

49.5 42.3 43.9 38.0

Night7:00 p.m. –End of service

36.6 30 30.4 26.6

Weekend 39.35 38.5 37.5 29.5

Page 7: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update
Page 8: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

CHT & Sustainability

• 2nd highest transit ridership in the state.• Using ULSD we are producing as little emissions as

possible from our traditional diesel buses.• Hybrid buses are 19% more fuel efficient than diesel

buses and produce 57% less particulate matter than standard diesel buses.

• By putting one Articulated bus on the road CHT can take 2 traditional buses off the road.

• By designing for public transportation in initial development plans, CHT transit vehicles are accommodated, thereby promoting transit as a viable means of transportation.

Page 9: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update
Page 10: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

• More than 90% of transit expenses are directly related to puttingservice on the street and are subject to market rates.

• CHT makes considerable and concerted efforts to mitigateexpense increases in every category.

FY2014-15 Budget Highlights

Page 11: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

• FY12-13 included first increase in partner contributions in four years.• FY09 and FY10 included ARRA funding of about $500,000 in each year.

Funding History

Page 12: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

State & Federal Funding History

• Note – State Assistance has decreased by ~$1Million since FY10-11

Page 13: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Key Challenges

• Fleet Age:

– 42 buses, 13 demand response and 12 service vehicles need to be replaced.

• Staffing:

– Full Time Operators

– Supervisory Staff

– Additional Maintenance Shift

• Funding

• Community and Partner Goals:– 2020 Plan

– Current and Planned Development

Page 14: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Financial Sustainability Plan

• Development of Strategic and Financial Plans:

– Organizational Staffing Assessment

– Vision and Goal Setting Process

• Consistent with 2020 Comprehensive Plan, 2020 Focus Area Studies, Carrboro Vision 2020 and UNC’s Development Plans

– Develop Strategic and Long Term Financial Plan

• Identify full range of financing strategies to meet operating, maintenance and capital costs

Page 15: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Financial Sustainability Plan

• Current Focus to Inform FY2016 Budget Process:

– Capital Plan and Associated Funding Plan

– Short-Term Staffing Plan

• Future Focus:

– Service Development

– Long-Term Staffing Plan

– Performance Benchmarking

Page 16: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Strategic and Financial Sustainability Plan

Page 17: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Significant Ridership Growth

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Passen

ger

Tri

ps

■ Source: National Transit Database

95

%

Drop in ridership

reflects 2010

service cuts

Page 18: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Significant Increase in Service Provided

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Reven

ue H

ou

rs

■ Source: National Transit Database

26

%

Page 19: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Increase in Cost per Hour of Service

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

■ Source: National Transit Database

68%

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Op

era

tin

g E

xp

en

se p

er

Reven

ue

Ho

ur

Operator Salary/Wages: 53%

Fringe Benefits: 104%

Fuel/Lube: 382%

Casualty/Liability Costs: 86%

Page 20: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Revenue Trends: Federal Funding

■ Source: Town of Chapel Hill

$-

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

Page 21: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Revenue Trends: State Funding

■ Source: Town of Chapel Hill

$-

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

$3,500,000

$4,000,000

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

-26%

Page 22: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Chapel Hill Transit – Partner Contributions

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

$-

$2,000,000

$4,000,000

$6,000,000

$8,000,000

$10,000,000

$12,000,000

$14,000,000

$16,000,000

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

UNC Carrboro Chapel Hill

■ Source: Town of Chapel Hill

49%

Page 23: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

State of the System

■ Growth has Stabilized

– Ridership and service hours remained steady

– Cost increases largely reflect inflation

■ But, Impact of Growth and Expansion Still Being Felt

– Providing more service

– Cost of each unit of service increased

– Funding equation changed

• Federal and state funds flat, declining and changing

• Partner increases offset declines

■ Growth Occurred Without Corresponding Investments

• Capital – mostly vehicles but also some facilities

• Staffing – operators, mechanics, and supervisors

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 24: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

State of the System

■ Chapel Hill Transit Operations are Financially

Unsustainable

■ $80 million (estimated) additional revenues needed

over next 10 years

– Invest in capital investments

• Buses, paratransit vehicles, technology, and park-and-ride lots

– Invest in staff and operations

• Operators, mechanics, and supervisors

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 25: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Opportunities

Page 26: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Potential Opportunities

■ Orange County Bus and Rail Investment Plan

■ Reduce Service Levels

■ Additional Revenue Sources (Fares)

■ Finance Vehicle Purchases/Lease Vehicles

■ Increase Local Taxes/Partner Contributions

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 27: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Orange County Bus and Rail Investment Plan

■ New (2012) Revenues for Transit in Orange County

– One-half Cent Sales Tax

– New or increased Vehicle Registration Fees

■ Full Year Revenues Estimated at $6.7 million – All Sources

– Most for regional services and future light rail

■ Existing Service (Chapel Hill Transit) has Access to New

Vehicle Registration Fee Revenues Only

– Estimated revenue - $338,000/yr

– 2% per year is assumed growth rate

– Already assumed in financial projections for operations and

capital

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 28: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Reduce Service/Operate Fewer Routes

Opportunities

■ Potential strategy to

reduce cost and demands

on capital resources

Challenges

■ Big impact on riders

■ Contrary to CHT Partner

priorities and community

goals

■ Less service results in

fewer federal and state

funds

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 29: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Fares and User Fees

Opportunities

■ Shares costs with users

Challenges

■ Requires capital investment

(fare boxes)

■ Will impact service

operations and staffing

■ Will impact ridership

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 30: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Leasing and Debt Financing

Opportunities

■ Allows CHT to acquire

vehicles relatively quickly

■ Spreads costs evenly over

several years

■ Town of Chapel Hill

already has vehicle leasing

program

Challenges

■ Current governance

structure means Town of

Chapel Hill alone would

hold the debt

■ Adds financing costs

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 31: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Raise Taxes/Partner Contributions

Opportunities

■ Increase funding to system

needs

■ Share burden across

partners

Challenges

■ Contrary to CHT Partner

priorities

■ Just raised taxes and

increased fees

Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.

Page 32: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

Questions/Feedback

Brian M Litchfield

Director

Chapel Hill Transit

(919) 969-4908

[email protected]

www.chtransit.org

www.facebook.com/chtransit

www.twitter.com/chtransit

Customer Service Line: (919) 969-4900

Page 33: Chapel Hill Transit Strategic and Financial Plan Update

It’s about Community Goals