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SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 1 Lehrstuhl für Management Science http://www.mansci.ovgu.de § 2: Determination of Output (Product) Quantities 2.1. Outline of the Problem 2.2. Goals and Restrictions 2.2.1. Goals 2.2.2. Restrictions 2.3. Classification of Planning Situations 2.4. Output Quantity Planning for a Single Product 2.4.1. External Bottleneck 2.4.2. Internal Bottleneck 2.5. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products I: External and Single Internal Bottlenecks 2.5.1. External Bottlenecks 2.5.2. Single Internal Bottleneck 2.6. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products II: The Classic Product-Mix Problem 2.6.1. The Bicycle Manufacturer’s Problem 2.6.2. A Model for the Bicycle Manufacturer’s Problem 2.6.3. Graphical Solution 2.6.4. Shadow Prices and Opportunity Costs 2.6.5. Sensitivity Analysis 2.6.6. A General Model for the Classic Product-Mix Problem 2.7. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products III: Set-Up Processes 2.8. Multiple-Period Output Planning

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Chapter 2

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  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 1

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    2: Determination of Output (Product) Quantities

    2.1. Outline of the Problem

    2.2. Goals and Restrictions

    2.2.1. Goals

    2.2.2. Restrictions

    2.3. Classification of Planning Situations

    2.4. Output Quantity Planning for a Single Product

    2.4.1. External Bottleneck

    2.4.2. Internal Bottleneck

    2.5. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products I:

    External and Single Internal Bottlenecks

    2.5.1. External Bottlenecks

    2.5.2. Single Internal Bottleneck

    2.6. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products II:

    The Classic Product-Mix Problem

    2.6.1. The Bicycle Manufacturers Problem

    2.6.2. A Model for the Bicycle Manufacturers Problem

    2.6.3. Graphical Solution

    2.6.4. Shadow Prices and Opportunity Costs

    2.6.5. Sensitivity Analysis

    2.6.6. A General Model for the Classic Product-Mix Problem

    2.7. Output Quantity Planning for Multiple Products III:

    Set-Up Processes

    2.8. Multiple-Period Output Planning

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 2

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    2: Determination of Output (Product) Quantities

    Literature

    Nahmias, S. (2005), 154-182

    Krajewski, L. J.; Ritzman, L. P. (2002), 693-729

    Heizer, J.; Render, B. (2006), 691-721

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 3

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Classification of planning situations

    - number of sub-periods

    - number of product types

    - degree of (expected) capacity utilization

    single period multiple periods

    single

    product

    type

    multiple

    product

    types

    neglectable

    set-ups

    non-neglectable

    set-ups

    external bottleneck

    =

    under-utilization of

    production capacity

    internal bottleneck(s)

    =

    full utilization of

    production capacity

    single (internal)

    bottleneck

    multiple (internal)

    bottlenecks

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 4

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Classification of planning situations, single-period case

    expected

    capacity

    utilization

    number of

    product types

    under-

    utilizationfull utilization

    (external

    bottlenecks)

    single internal

    bottleneck

    multiple internal

    bottlenecks

    single product

    multiple products,

    neglectable

    set-up processes

    multiple products,

    non-neglectable

    set-up processes

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 5

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Period profit in relation to different product quantities

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 6

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Exercise 2.1: A bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem

    A bicycle manufacturer produces four types of bicycles, mens bicycles (A),

    women's bicycles (B), childrens bicycles (C), and mountain bikes (D). Due to the

    fact that there is a lack of qualified mechanics, the bicycle assembly stage has

    proven to be a long-term bottleneck of production. The company is far from being

    able to provide all the products which are requested by the customers. Table 2.1.

    shows the relevant production, sales and accounting data.

    Table 2.1: Data for the production program planning problem of the bicycle

    manufacturer

    For the forthcoming week the production manager would like to know how many

    units of each product type should be produced in order to maximize the profit. The

    capacity available at the bottleneck stage during the planning period will be 2,000

    minutes.

    Determine the optimal production program for the planning period! What will the

    gross profit of that particular week be like?

    product type

    mens

    bicycle

    (A)

    womens

    bicycle

    (B)

    childrens

    bicycle

    (C)

    mountain

    bike

    (D)

    contribution margin

    [/unit]75 60 -10 70

    processing time per unit

    required

    at the bottleneck stage

    [mins/unit]

    1.5 1.0 0.8 2.0

    minimum sales quantity

    [units/period]200 150 25

    maximum sales quantity

    [units/period]1,000 750 200 375

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 7

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    A bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem: Non-optimal solution

    pro

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    1 2 3

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 8

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    A bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem: Optimal solution

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    fit

    co

    ntr

    ibu

    -

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    1 2 3

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 9

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Exercise 2.2: Another bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem

    A bicycle manufacturer produces two types of bicycles, men's bicycles (M) and

    women's bicycles (W). The production process is a rather simple one: Most of the

    bicycle parts (frames, gear-shifting system, lamps, dynamo, brakes, etc.) are

    bought on the procurement markets and assembled in a two stage process. On

    the first stage (pre-assembly, carried out in department D1) the parts are prepared

    for the assembly process. Here, the frames are fixed on roll-pallets, holes are

    drilled into the frame which are later needed for the installation of the lighting

    system, etc. On the second stage (final assembly, carried out in department D2)

    the actual assembly process (installation of light and gear-shifting system, brakes,

    handle-bar, mud-guards, etc.) is carried out. Each unit of product type M occupies

    D1 for 10 minutes and D2 for 30 minutes. For product type W these operation

    times amount to 15 minutes in D1 and 30 minutes in D2. The available (time)

    capacities per month are 320 hours for D1 and 800 hours for D2, respectively.

    Due to rather limited space at the down-town location of the production facilities it

    is neither possible to store material, work-in-progress, nor the final products. Only

    what can be sold will be produced and immediately delivered to the customers.

    Likewise, the parts necessary for production are received from the suppliers on a

    daily (just-in-time) basis. For most of these articles there is an oversupply

    available in the markets, thus no shortages have to be expected and the prices

    are likely to remain constant for the next few months.

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 10

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Exercise 2.2: Another bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem

    Each unit of product type M provides a profit contribution (gross profit) of 200

    Euros. The corresponding profit contribution of W is 250 Euros.

    The production manager wants to determine the number of bicycles of type M and

    W which should be produced during the forthcoming month (planning period). The

    marketing manager expects that 1,200 units of M and 1,500 units of W (but not

    more!) can be sold at the current prices (which have to be considered as fixed

    because they have just been advertised in the newspapers).

    1. Formulate a model which can be used by the production manager to

    determine the optimal production quantities of each product type! Do not

    forget to define the symbols used in the model formulation!

    2. Determine an optimal production program graphically! What will the gross

    profit of the planning period be like?

    3. What are the shadow prices of an additional capacity unit for department D1

    and D2, respectively? What are the corresponding opportunity costs?

    4. One worker from department D2 is willing to work five hours overtime during

    that particular month. He gets payed a regular salary of 25 Euros per hour,

    the overtime bonus is 60 percent. Additional labour costs (fringe benefits etc.)

    are calculated at 120 percent. Does it pay of for the company to have him

    work the suggested five hours overtime? What other costs may be relevant

    for this decision?

    5. Carry out a sensitivity analysis with respect to the contribution margin of

    product type M and product type W!

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 11

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Exercise 2.2: Another bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem

    WM

    pre

    -asse

    mb

    ly

    (D1)

    asse

    mb

    ly

    (D2)

    10 [m

    ins/u

    nit]

    30 [

    min

    s/u

    nit]

    15 [m

    ins/u

    nit]

    30 [

    min

    s/u

    nit]

    32

    0 [h

    /pe

    r]8

    00

    [h

    /pe

    r]

    1,2

    00

    [u

    nits/p

    er]

    1,5

    00

    [u

    nits/p

    er]

    20

    0 [

    /unit]

    25

    0 [/u

    nit]

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 12

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Another bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem: Graphical solution

    1,500

    1,000

    500

    500 1,000 1,500

    x W

    x M

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 13

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

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    x0= 200x

    M+ 250x

    W

    10xM+ 15x

    W+ s

    1= 19,200

    30xM+ 30x

    W+ s

    2= 48,000

    xM

    + s3

    = 1,200

    xW

    + s4= 1,500

    xM

    , xW

    , s1, s

    2, s

    3, s

    4 0

    x0

    Max!

    Exercise 2.2 Model

    Model:

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 14

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    A linear programming system (product-mix problem)

    x0 xM xW s1 s2 s3 s4 RHS

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 15

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

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    Exercise 2.2 Optimal simplex tableau

    x0 xM xW s1 s2 s3 s4 RHS

    1 0 0 10 31

    30 0 352,000

    0 0 11

    5

    1

    150 0 640

    0 1 0 1

    5

    1

    100 0 960

    0 0 01

    5

    1

    101 0 240

    0 0 0 1

    5

    1

    150 1 860

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 16

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

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    Exercise 2.2 Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. uM

    x0 xM xW s1 s2 s3 s4 RHS

    0 0 11

    5

    1

    150 0 640

    0 1 0 1

    5

    1

    100 0 960

    0 0 01

    5

    1

    101 0 240

    0 0 0 1

    5

    1

    150 1 860

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 17

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

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    Exercise 2.2 Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. uW

    x0 xM xW s1 s2 s3 s4 RHS

    0 0 11

    5

    1

    150 0 640

    0 1 0 1

    5

    1

    100 0 960

    0 0 01

    5

    1

    101 0 240

    0 0 0 1

    5

    1

    150 1 860

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 18

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    variables

    (a) goal variable

    x0 : period profit contribution (in monetary units such as , $, , etc.);

    (b) decision variables

    xj : number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j= 1, ,n).

    constants

    Bk : maximal number of units of part or material type k (k = 1, ,h) which can be obtained from the procurement market(s);

    Sj : minimal sales volume of product type j; minimal number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    Sj : maximal sales volume of product type j; maximal number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    Ti : (time) capacity of production stage (production sub-department) i

    (i = 1, ,m) in time-units (secs, mins, hours, etc.);

    bkj : number of units of part or material type k (k = 1, ,h) which are necessary for the production of one unit of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    tij : number of time-units which are consumed on stage i (i = 1, ,m) to process one unit of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    uj : unit contribution of margin of product type j (j = 1, ,n).

    A general model for the classic product-mix problem (1)

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 19

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    A general model for the classic product-mix problem (2)

    objective function

    (2.1) x0 = j=1

    n

    uj xj Max!

    production (capacity) constraints

    (2.2) j=1

    n

    tij xj Ti, i = 1, ,m;

    procurement constraints

    (2.3) j=1

    n

    bkj xj Bk, k = 1, ,h;

    sales constraints

    (2.4) Sj xj Sj, j = 1, ,n;

    non-negativity constraints

    (2.5) xj 0, j = 1, ,n.

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 20

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    Exercise 2.3: A bicycle manufacturers product-mix problem with setups

    For the bicycle manufacturer of Exercise 2.1 we now consider the problem of

    determining a profit-optimal production plan for a different planning period (week

    #2). The relevant data is depicted in Table 2.2. The available time capacity will be

    2,400 minutes.

    Formulate a model from which the optimal production program for that week and

    the corresponding profit contribution can be determined.

    Table 2.2: Data for the production planning problem of the bicycle manufacturer

    in week #2

    product type

    mensbicycle

    (A)

    womensbicycle

    (B)

    childrensbicycle

    (C)

    mountain

    bike

    (D)

    contribution margin

    [/unit]75 30 20 70

    processing time per unit

    required at the bottleneck stage

    [mins/unit]

    1.5 1.0 0.8 2.0

    minimum sales quantity

    [units/period]0 100 0 50

    maximum sales quantity

    [units/period]400 800 200 400

    time per setup

    [mins]120 80 160 20

    (variable) costs per setup

    []1,800 1,600 2,800 600

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 21

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    Exercise 2.3 Model

    Ma

    x!

    2,4

    00 0 0 0 0

    40

    0

    80

    0

    20

    0

    40

    0 0

    {0,1

    }

    60

    0

    D

    20

    D

    M

    D D

    - + -

    2,8

    00

    C

    16

    0

    C

    M

    C C,

    - + -

    1,6

    00

    B

    80

    B

    MB

    - + -

    1,8

    00

    12

    0 M

    ,

    - + -

    70

    2.0

    xD

    + +

    20

    0.8

    + +

    30

    xB

    1.0

    xB

    xB

    xB

    xB,

    + +

    75

    xA

    1.5

    xA

    xA

    xA

    xA,

    =

    x0 0

    10

    0 0

    50

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 22

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    Exercise 2.3 LINGO solution

    Global optimal solution found.

    Objective value: 77400.00

    Extended solver steps: 0

    Total solver iterations: 3

    Model title: PMOR

    Variable Value Reduced Cost

    XA 400.0000 0.000000

    XB 780.0000 0.000000

    XC 0.000000 4.000000

    XD 400.0000 0.000000

    YA 1.000000 5400.000

    YB 1.000000 4000.000

    YC 0.000000 7600.000

    YD 1.000000 1200.000

    M 10000.00 0.000000

    Row Slack or Surplus Dual Price

    1 77400.00 1.000000

    2 0.000000 30.00000

    3 9600.000 0.000000

    4 9220.000 0.000000

    5 0.000000 0.000000

    6 9600.000 0.000000

    7 0.000000 30.00000

    8 20.00000 0.000000

    9 200.0000 0.000000

    10 0.000000 10.00000

    11 400.0000 0.000000

    12 680.0000 0.000000

    13 0.000000 0.000000

    14 350.0000 0.000000

    15 0.000000 0.000000

    ABCD

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 23

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    A general model for the product-mix problem with setups (1)

    variables

    (a) goal variable

    x0 : period profit contribution (in monetary units such as , $, , etc.);

    (b) decision variables

    xj : number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    j : binary variable, j = 1, if xj > 0,0, else,

    j = 1, ,n.

    constants

    Sj : minimal sales quantity of product type j; minimal number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    Sj : maximal sales quantity of product type j; maximal number of units which have to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    uj : unit contribution of margin of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    M : sufficiently large number;

    T : (time) capacity available at the internal bottleneck (in time-units);

    cjsetup : set-up costs for product type j (j = 1, ,n) (in monetary units);

    tjsetup : number of time-units necessary for setting up the facilities for the

    production of product type j (j = 1, ,n) at the internal bottleneck-stage;

    tj : number of time-units which are necessary for processing one unit

    of product type j (j = 1, ,n).

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 24

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    A general model for the product-mix problem with setups (2)

    objective function

    (2.6) x0 = j=1

    n

    uj xj j=1

    n

    cjsetup j Max!

    production (capacity) constraints

    (2.7) j=1

    n

    tj xj + j=1

    n

    tjsetup j T;

    auxiliary constraints

    (2.8) xj M j 0, j = 1, ,n;

    sales constraints

    (2.9) Sj xj Sj, j = 1, ,n;

    binary constraints

    (2.10) j {0,1}, j = 1, ,n;

    non-negativity constraints

    (2.11) xj 0, j = 1, ,n.

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 25

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    A general model for the multi-period product-mix problem (1)

    variables

    (a) goal variable

    x0 : period profit contribution (in monetary units such as , $, , etc.);

    (b) decision variables

    xjp : number of units to be produced of product type j (j = 1, ,n) in period p (p = 1, ,q);

    yjp

    : number of units available as inventory of product type j (j = 1, ,n) at thebeginning of period p (p = 1, ,q);

    sjp : number of units of product type j (j = 1, ,n) to be sold during period p (p = 1, ,q).

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 26

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    A general model for the multi-period product-mix problem (2)

    constants

    Bkp : maximal number of units of part or material type k (k = 1, ,h) in period p (p = 1, ,q);

    Sjp : minimal sales quantity of product type j (j = 1, ,n) in period p (p = 1, ,q);

    Sjp : maximal sales quantity of product type j (j = 1, ,n) in period p (p = 1, ,q);

    Tip : (time) capacity of production stage i (i = 1, ,m) in period p (p = 1, ,q) (in time-units);

    bkj : number of units of part or material type k (k = 1, ,h) which are necessary for the production of one unit of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    tij : number of time-units which are necessary for processing one unit of

    product type j (j = 1, ,n) at stage i (i = 1, ,m);

    rj : sales price (of one unit) of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    cjprod : variable cost of production of one unit of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    cjinv : variable inventory cost per unit of product type j (j = 1, ,n);

    costs of storing one unit of product type j over one time (sub-)period;

    IjB : number of units of product type j (j = 1, ,n) which are available

    as inventory at the beginning of the planning period;

    IjE : number of units which have to be available as inventory of product type j

    (j = 1, ,n) at the end of the planning period.

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 27

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    A general model for the multi-period product-mix problem (3)

    objective function

    x0 = p=1

    q

    j=1

    n

    rj sjp j=1

    n

    cjprod xjp

    j=1

    n

    0.5 cjinv (yjp + yjp+1) Max!

    production (capacity) constraints

    j=1

    n

    tij xjp Tip, i = 1, ,m; p = 1, ,q;

    inventory (balance) constraints

    xjp + yjp yjp+1 sjp = 0, j = 1, ,n; p = 1, ,q;

    yj1 = IjB, j = 1, ,n;

    yjq+1 = IjE, j = 1, ,n;

    procurement constraints

    j=1

    n

    bkj xjp Bkp, k = 1, ,h; p = 1, ,q;

    sales constraints

    Sjp sjp Sjp, j = 1, ,n; p = 1, ,q;

    non-negativity constraints

    xjp 0, j = 1, ,n; p = 1, ,q;

    yjp 0, j = 1, ,n; p = 1, ,q;

    sjp 0, j = 1, ,n; p = 1, ,q.

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 28

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    Rolling planning horizon

    1 2 53 4 6 7

    weeks months

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 29

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    bottleneck Engpass

    break-even point Gewinnschwelle

    constraint Restriktion (in einem Modell)

    contribution per unit engpassspezifischer

    of the limiting factor Deckungsbeitrag (eines Produktes)

    depreciation Abnutzung

    direct costs Einzelkosten

    equality Gleichung

    graphic solution graphische Lsung

    inventory Lager (-bestand)

    iso-profit line Iso-Gewinnlinie

    linear programming Lineare Optimierung, Lineare

    Programmierung

    non-negativity constraints Nichtnegativittsbedingungen

    objective function Zielfunktion

    opportunity costs Opportunittskosten

    period (profit) contribution Periodendeckungsbeitrag

    planning horizon Planungshorizont

    process industry Prozess-Industrie

    product-mix problem Produktprogramm-Planungsproblem

    product type Produktart

    production stage Produktionsstufe

    profit Gewinn

    Glossary

  • SS 2015 Production Management & Operations Research 2 - 30

    Lehrstuhl fr Management Science

    http://www.mansci.ovgu.de

    random variable Zufallsvariable

    restriction Beschrnkung, Restriktion

    revenue Ertrag

    sensitivity analysis Sensitivittsanalyse

    set-up Einrichtung, (Maschinen-) Rstung

    set-up costs Rstkosten

    shadow price Schattenpreis

    solution Lsung

    unit contribution margin Stckdeckungsbeitrag

    variable gross profit variabler Brutto-Periodengewinn,

    per period Periodendeckungsbeitrag

    Glossary