chapter 3 descriptive statistics: numerical measuresfaculty.tamucc.edu/rcutshall/chapter_3.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
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Chapter 3Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures
� Measures of Location� Measures of Variability
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Measures of Location
If the measures are computedfor data from a sample,
they are called sample statistics.
If the measures are computedfor data from a population,
they are called population parameters.
A sample statistic is referred toas the point estimator of the
corresponding population parameter.
� Mean� Median� Mode� Percentiles� Quartiles
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Mean
� The mean of a data set is the average of all the data values.
� The sample mean is the point estimator of the population mean μ.
xx
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Sample Mean xx
Number ofobservationsin the sample
Sum of the valuesof the n observations
ixx
n=∑ ix
xn
=∑
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Population Mean μ
Number ofobservations inthe population
Sum of the valuesof the N observations
ix
Nμ =
∑ ix
Nμ =
∑
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Seventy efficiency apartmentswere randomly sampled ina small college town. Themonthly rent prices forthese apartments are listedin ascending order on the next slide.
Sample Mean
Example: Apartment Rents
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425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Sample Mean
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Sample Mean
34, 356 490.8070
ixx
n= = =∑ 34, 356 490.80
70ix
xn
= = =∑
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Median
Whenever a data set has extreme values, the medianis the preferred measure of central location.
A few extremely large incomes or property valuescan inflate the mean.
The median is the measure of location most oftenreported for annual income and property value data.
The median of a data set is the value in the middlewhen the data items are arranged in ascending order.
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Median
12 14 19 26 2718 27
For an odd number of observations:
in ascending order
26 18 27 12 14 27 19 7 observations
the median is the middle value.
Median = 19
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12 14 19 26 2718 27
Median
For an even number of observations:
in ascending order
26 18 27 12 14 27 30 8 observations
the median is the average of the middle two values.
Median = (19 + 26)/2 = 22.5
19
30
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Median
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Averaging the 35th and 36th data values:Median = (475 + 475)/2 = 475
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Mode
The mode of a data set is the value that occurs withgreatest frequency.The greatest frequency can occur at two or moredifferent values.If the data have exactly two modes, the data arebimodal.If the data have more than two modes, the data aremultimodal.
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Mode
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
450 occurred most frequently (7 times)Mode = 450
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Percentiles
A percentile provides information about how thedata are spread over the interval from the smallestvalue to the largest value.Admission test scores for colleges and universitiesare frequently reported in terms of percentiles.
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� The pth percentile of a data set is a value such that at least p percent of the items take on this value or less and at least (100 - p) percent of the items take on this value or more.
Percentiles
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Percentiles
Arrange the data in ascending order.
Compute index i, the position of the pth percentile.
i = (p/100)n
If i is not an integer, round up. The pth percentileis the value in the ith position.
If i is an integer, the pth percentile is the averageof the values in positions i and i+1.
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90th Percentile
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
i = (p/100)n = (90/100)70 = 63Averaging the 63rd and 64th data values:
90th Percentile = (580 + 590)/2 = 585
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90th Percentile
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
“At least 90%of the items
take on a valueof 585 or less.”
“At least 10%of the items
take on a valueof 585 or more.”
63/70 = .9 or 90% 7/70 = .1 or 10%
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Quartiles
Quartiles are specific percentiles.First Quartile = 25th PercentileSecond Quartile = 50th Percentile = MedianThird Quartile = 75th Percentile
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Third Quartile
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Third quartile = 75th percentilei = (p/100)n = (75/100)70 = 52.5 = 53
Third quartile = 525
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Measures of Variability
It is often desirable to consider measures of variability(dispersion), as well as measures of location.
For example, in choosing supplier A or supplier B wemight consider not only the average delivery time foreach, but also the variability in delivery time for each.
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Measures of Variability
� Range� Interquartile Range� Variance� Standard Deviation� Coefficient of Variation
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Range
The range of a data set is the difference between thelargest and smallest data values.It is the simplest measure of variability.It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest datavalues.
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Range
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Range = largest value - smallest valueRange = 615 - 425 = 190
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Interquartile Range
The interquartile range of a data set is the differencebetween the third quartile and the first quartile.It is the range for the middle 50% of the data.
It overcomes the sensitivity to extreme data values.
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Interquartile Range
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
3rd Quartile (Q3) = 5251st Quartile (Q1) = 445
Interquartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 525 - 445 = 80
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The variance is a measure of variability that utilizesall the data.
Variance
It is based on the difference between the value ofeach observation (xi) and the mean ( for a sample,μ for a population).
xx
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Variance
The variance is computed as follows:
The variance is the average of the squareddifferences between each data value and the mean.
for asample
for apopulation
σ μ22
=−∑ ( )x
Niσ μ2
2=
−∑ ( )xNis
xi xn
22
1=
−∑−
( )s
xi xn
22
1=
−∑−
( )
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Standard Deviation
The standard deviation of a data set is the positivesquare root of the variance.
It is measured in the same units as the data, makingit more easily interpreted than the variance.
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The standard deviation is computed as follows:
for asample
for apopulation
Standard Deviation
s s= 2s s= 2 σ σ= 2σ σ= 2
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The coefficient of variation is computed as follows:
Coefficient of Variation
100 %sx
⎛ ⎞×⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
100 %sx
⎛ ⎞×⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
The coefficient of variation indicates how large thestandard deviation is in relation to the mean.
for asample
for apopulation
100 %σμ
⎛ ⎞×⎜ ⎟
⎝ ⎠100 %σ
μ⎛ ⎞
×⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
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Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures
� Measures of Distribution Shape, Relative Location, and Detecting Outliers
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Measures of Distribution Shape,Relative Location, and Detecting Outliers
� Distribution Shape� z-Scores� Detecting Outliers
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Distribution Shape: Skewness
� An important measure of the shape of a distribution is called skewness.
� The formula for computing skewness for a data set is somewhat complex.
� Skewness can be easily computed using statistical software.
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Distribution Shape: Skewness
� Symmetric (not skewed)• Skewness is zero.• Mean and median are equal.
Rela
tive
Freq
uenc
yRe
lativ
e Fr
eque
ncy
.05.05
.10.10
.15.15
.20.20
.25.25
.30.30
.35.35
00
Skewness = 0
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Distribution Shape: Skewness
� Moderately Skewed Left• Skewness is negative.• Mean will usually be less than the median.
Rela
tive
Freq
uenc
yRe
lativ
e Fr
eque
ncy
.05.05
.10.10
.15.15
.20.20
.25.25
.30.30
.35.35
00
Skewness = − .31
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Distribution Shape: Skewness
� Moderately Skewed Right• Skewness is positive.• Mean will usually be more than the median.
Rela
tive
Freq
uenc
yRe
lativ
e Fr
eque
ncy
.05.05
.10.10
.15.15
.20.20
.25.25
.30.30
.35.35
00
Skewness = .31
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Distribution Shape: Skewness
� Highly Skewed Right• Skewness is positive (often above 1.0).• Mean will usually be more than the median.
Rela
tive
Freq
uenc
yRe
lativ
e Fr
eque
ncy
.05.05
.10.10
.15.15
.20.20
.25.25
.30.30
.35.35
00
Skewness = 1.25
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Seventy efficiency apartmentswere randomly sampled ina small college town. Themonthly rent prices forthese apartments are listedin ascending order on the next slide.
Distribution Shape: Skewness
� Example: Apartment Rents
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425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Distribution Shape: Skewness
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Rela
tive
Freq
uenc
yRe
lativ
e Fr
eque
ncy
.05.05
.10.10
.15.15
.20.20
.25.25
.30.30
.35.35
00
Skewness = .92
Distribution Shape: Skewness
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The z-score is often called the standardized value.
It denotes the number of standard deviations a datavalue xi is from the mean.
z-Scores
z x xsi
i=−z x xsi
i=−
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z-Scores
A data value less than the sample mean will have az-score less than zero.A data value greater than the sample mean will havea z-score greater than zero.A data value equal to the sample mean will have az-score of zero.
An observation’s z-score is a measure of the relativelocation of the observation in a data set.
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� z-Score of Smallest Value (425)
425 490.80 1.2054.74
ix xzs− −
= = = −425 490.80 1.20
54.74ix xzs− −
= = = −
-1.20 -1.11 -1.11 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -0.93 -0.93-0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.75 -0.75-0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.56 -0.56 -0.56 -0.47 -0.47-0.47 -0.38 -0.38 -0.34 -0.29 -0.29 -0.29 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20-0.20 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.350.35 0.44 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.81 1.06 1.08 1.45 1.451.54 1.54 1.63 1.81 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.27 2.27
-1.20 -1.11 -1.11 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -0.93 -0.93-0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.75 -0.75-0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.56 -0.56 -0.56 -0.47 -0.47-0.47 -0.38 -0.38 -0.34 -0.29 -0.29 -0.29 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20-0.20 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.350.35 0.44 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.81 1.06 1.08 1.45 1.451.54 1.54 1.63 1.81 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.27 2.27
z-Scores
Standardized Values for Apartment Rents
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Empirical Rule
For data having a bell-shaped distribution:
of the values of a normal random variableare within of its mean.68.26%
+/- 1 standard deviation
of the values of a normal random variableare within of its mean.95.44%
+/- 2 standard deviations
of the values of a normal random variableare within of its mean.99.72%
+/- 3 standard deviations
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Empirical Rule
xμ – 3σ μ – 1σ
μ – 2σμ + 1σ
μ + 2σμ + 3σμ
68.26%95.44%99.72%
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Detecting Outliers
An outlier is an unusually small or unusually largevalue in a data set.A data value with a z-score less than -3 or greaterthan +3 might be considered an outlier.It might be:• an incorrectly recorded data value• a data value that was incorrectly included in the
data set• a correctly recorded data value that belongs in
the data set
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Detecting Outliers
-1.20 -1.11 -1.11 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -0.93 -0.93-0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.75 -0.75-0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.56 -0.56 -0.56 -0.47 -0.47-0.47 -0.38 -0.38 -0.34 -0.29 -0.29 -0.29 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20-0.20 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.350.35 0.44 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.81 1.06 1.08 1.45 1.451.54 1.54 1.63 1.81 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.27 2.27
-1.20 -1.11 -1.11 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -0.93 -0.93-0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.84 -0.75 -0.75-0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.56 -0.56 -0.56 -0.47 -0.47-0.47 -0.38 -0.38 -0.34 -0.29 -0.29 -0.29 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20-0.20 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.350.35 0.44 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.81 1.06 1.08 1.45 1.451.54 1.54 1.63 1.81 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.27 2.27
The most extreme z-scores are -1.20 and 2.27
Using |z| > 3 as the criterion for an outlier, there areno outliers in this data set.
Standardized Values for Apartment Rents