chapter 3 marginal analysis for optimal decision making economics economía m. en c. eduardo bustos...
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Copyright © 2005 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Managerial Economics
Chapter 3Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decision Making
M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 2
Optimization• An optimization problem involves
the specification of three things:• Objective function to be maximized or
minimized• Activities or choice variables that
determine the value of the objective function
• Any constraints that may restrict the values of the choice variables
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 3
Objective function• This defines the measure of effectiveness
of the system as a mathematical function of its decision variables
• The optimum solution to the model has been obtained if the corresponding values of the decision variables yield the best value of the objective function while satisfying all the constraints
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 4
Choice Variables• Choice variables determine the
value of the objective function• Continuous variables
• Can choose from uninterrupted span of variables
• Discrete variables• Must choose from a span of variables
that is interrupted by gaps
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 5
General ApproachFormulating and solving an LP model requires:• Optimizing (maximizing or minimizing)
a linear function of variables called the “objective function”
• Subject to a set of linear equalities and/or inequalities called “constraints”
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 6
Mathematical Expression of an LP Model
Max (or Min) Subject to:
and , j = 1, 2, ... , n
Z c x c x c x
a x a x a x ba x a x a x b
a x a x a x bx
n n
n n
n n
m m mn n m
j
= + + +
+ + + ≤ = ≥+ + + ≤ = ≥
+ + + ≤ = ≥≥ ∀
1 1 2 2
11 1 12 2 1 1
21 1 22 2 2 2
1 1 2 2
0
...
... ( , , )... ( , , )
... ( , , )M M M M
Con
stra
ints
Obj
eciv
eFu
nctio
n
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 7
Parameters and VariablesIn the preceding formulation,
• cj,bi, and aij, for (i=1,2,...,m; j=1,2,...,n) are constants which are determined depending on the technology of the problem
• the xj’s are the decision variables• only one of the signs (<, =, >) holds for
each constraint
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Managerial Economics
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Canonical Form of an LP Model
Max (or Min)
S. T.
, i = 1,2,... ,m
, j = 1,2,..., n
Z c x
a x b
x
j jj
n
ij jj
n
i
j
=
≤=≥
⎛
⎝
⎜⎜⎜
⎞
⎠
⎟⎟⎟
≥
=
=
∑
∑
1
1
0
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Managerial Economics
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Matrix Form of LP Model
Max
Z cx
s t Ax bx
=
≤
≥
v v
v v
v v. .
0
vc c c cn=[ , ,..., ]1 2v
Mx
xx
xn
=
⎡
⎣
⎢⎢⎢⎢
⎤
⎦
⎥⎥⎥⎥
1
2
v
Mb
bb
bm
=
⎡
⎣
⎢⎢⎢⎢
⎤
⎦
⎥⎥⎥⎥
1
2
A
a a aa a a
a a a
n
n
m m mn
=
⎡
⎣
⎢⎢⎢⎢
⎤
⎦
⎥⎥⎥⎥
11 12 1
21 22 2
1 2
L
L
M M M M
L
v
M0
00
0
=
⎡
⎣
⎢⎢⎢⎢
⎤
⎦
⎥⎥⎥⎥
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Managerial Economics
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Observations• cj is the increase or decrease in the
overall measure of effectiveness (Z) that results from each unit increase or decrease in xj
• The number of relevant scarce resources is m, so that each of the first m linear inequalities corresponds to a constraint on the availability of one of these resources
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Observations
• bi is the amount of resource i available to the n activities
• aij is the amount of resource i consumed by each unit of activity j
• The left side of the constraint inequalities is the total usage of the respective resource
• The non-negativity constraints rule out the possibility of negative activity levels
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Rational people think at the margin.
Marginal changes are small, incremental adjustments to an existing plan of action.
People make decisions by comparing costs and benefits at the margin.
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Managerial Economics
Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 13
The Economic Way of Thinking
• Choosing at the Margin• People make choices at the margin, which
means that they evaluate the consequences of making incremental changes in the use of their resources.
• The benefit from pursuing an incremental increase in an activity is its marginal benefit.
• The opportunity cost of pursuing an incremental increase in an activity is its marginal cost.
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Marginal Benefit• Marginal benefit is the benefit a person
receives from consuming one more unit of a good or service.• We can measure the marginal benefit from a
good or service by the dollar value of other goods and services that a person is willing to give up to get one more unit of it.
• The concept of decreasing marginal benefit implies that as more of a good or service is consumed, its marginal benefit decreases.
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• Figure shows the decreasing marginal benefit from each additional slice of pizza, measured in dollars per slice.
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Marginal Cost• Marginal cost is the opportunity cost of
producing one more unit of a good or service. The measure of marginal cost is the value of the best alternative forgone to obtain the last unit of the good.• We can measure the marginal cost of a good or
service by the dollar value of other goods and services that a person is must give up to get one more unit of it.
• The concept of increasing marginal cost implies that as more of a good or service is produced, its marginal cost increases.
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Net Benefit• Net Benefit (NB)
• Difference between total benefit (TB)and total cost (TC) for the activity
• NB = TB – TC• Optimal level of the activity (A*) is
the level that maximizes net benefit
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TB
TC
Optimal Level of Activity
1,000
Level of activity
2,000
4,000
3,000
A
0 1,000600200
Tota
l be
nefit
and
tota
l co
st (d
olla
rs)
Panel A – Total benefit and total cost curves
A
0 1,000600200
Level of activity
Ne
t be
nefit
(do
llars
)
Panel B – Net benefit curve
•G
700
•F
••D’
D
•
•C’
C
•
•
B
B’
2,310
1,085
NB* = $1,225
•f’’
350 = A*
350 = A*
•M
1,225 •c’’
1,000
•d’’600
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Economía M. En C. Eduardo Bustos Farías 19
Marginal Benefit & Marginal Cost
• Marginal benefit (MB)• Change in total benefit (TB) caused by
an incremental change in the level of the activity
• Marginal cost (MC)• Change in total cost (TC) caused by an
incremental change in the level of the activity
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Marginal Benefit & Marginal Cost
TBMBA
Δ= =
ΔChange in total benefit
Change in activity
TCMCA
Δ= =
ΔChange in total costChange in activity
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Relating Marginals to Totals• Marginal variables measure rates
of change in corresponding totalvariables• Marginal benefit & marginal cost are
also slopes of total benefit & total cost curves, respectively
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MC (= slope of TC)
MB (= slope of TB)
TB
TC
Relating Marginals to Totals
•F
••
D’
D
•
•C’
C
Level of activity
800
1,000
Level of activity
2,000
4,000
3,000
A
0 1,000600200
Tota
l be
nefit
and
tota
l co
st (d
olla
rs)
Panel A – Measuring slopes along TB and TC
A
0 1,000600200
Ma
rgin
al b
ene
fit a
nd
ma
rgin
al c
ost
(do
llars
)
Panel B – Marginals give slopes of totals
800
2
4
6
8
350 = A*
100
520
100
520
350 = A*
•
•
B
B’
b•
•G
•g
100
320
100
820
•
•
d’ (600, $8.20)
d (600, $3.20)
100
640
100
340
•
•c’ (200, $3.40)
c (200, $6.40)
5.20
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Using Marginal Analysis to Find Optimal Activity Levels
• If marginal benefit > marginal cost• Activity should be increased to reach
highest net benefit• If marginal cost > marginal benefit
• Activity should be decreased to reach highest net benefit
• Optimal level of activity• When no further increases in net benefit
are possible• Occurs when MB = MC
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Using Resources Efficiently • It is a general principle that the more we
have of any good or service, the smaller is its marginal benefit and the less we are willing to pay for an additional unit of it.
• We call this general principle the principle of decreasing marginal benefit.
• The marginal benefit curve shows the relationship between the marginal benefit of a good and the quantity of that good consumed.
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Using Resources Efficiently • Figure shows a
marginal benefit curve.
• The curve slopes downward to reflect the principle of decreasing marginal benefit.
• At point A, with pizza production at 0.5 million, people are willing to pay 5 CDs per pizza.
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Using Resources Efficiently • At point B, with pizza
production at 1.5 million, people are willing to pay 4 CDs per pizza.
• At point E, with pizza production at 4.5 million, people are willing to pay 1 CD per pizza.
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• Figure shows the increasing marginal cost of each additional slice of pizza, measured in dollars per slice.
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Efficiency
• Efficiency and Inefficiency• If the marginal
benefit from a good exceeds its marginal cost, producing and consuming moreof the good uses resources more efficiently.
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Efficiency
• If the marginal cost of a good exceeds its marginal benefit, producing and consuming less of the good uses resources more efficiently.
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Efficiency
• If the marginal cost of a good equals its marginal benefit, resources are being use efficiently.
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NB
A
0 1,000600200
Level of activity
Ne
t be
nefit
(do
llars
)
Using Marginal Analysis to Find A*
800
•c’’
•d’’
100
300 100
500
350 = A*
MB = MC
MB > MC MB < MC
•M
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Unconstrained Maximization with Discrete Choice Variables
• Increase activity if MB > MC• Decrease activity if MB < MC• Optimal level of activity
• Last level for which MB exceeds MC
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Irrelevance of Sunk, Fixed, & Average Costs
• Sunk costs• Previously paid & cannot be recovered
• Sunk cost - cost that does not vary across management decision• option on land purchase• Fixed assets
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Irrelevance of Sunk, Fixed, & Average Costs
• Fixed costs• Constant & must be paid no matter the level
of activity• Average (or unit) costs
• Computed by dividing total cost by the number of units of the activity
• These costs do not affect marginal cost & are irrelevant for optimal decisions
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Maximizing Utility
• Equalizing Marginal Utility per Dollar Spent• Using marginal analysis, a consumer’s total
utility is maximized by following the rule:• Spend all available income and equalize the marginal utility per dollar spent on all goods.
• The marginal utility per dollar spent is the marginal utility from a good divided by its price.
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Constrained Optimization• The ratio MB/P represents the
additional benefit per additional dollar spent on the activity
• Ratios of marginal benefits to prices of various activities are used to allocate a fixed number of dollars among activities
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Example
C > B > A
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Decision rule
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Constrained Optimization• To maximize or minimize an
objective function subject to a constraint• Ratios of the marginal benefit to price
must be equal for all activities• Constraint must be met
A B Z
A B Z
MB MB MB...
P P P= = =
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Maximizing Utility• Call the marginal utility of movies MUM• Call the marginal utility of soda MUS• Call the price of movies PM• Call the price of soda PS• The marginal utility per dollar spent on movies
is MUM/PM• The marginal utility per dollar spent on soda is
MUS/PS.• Total utility is maximized when:
MUM/PM = MUS/PS
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Maximizing Utility• If MUM/PM > MUS/PS,
then moving a dollar from soda to movies increases the total utility from movies by more than it decreases the total utility from soda, so total utility increases.
• Only when MUM/PM = MUS/PS, is it not possible to reallocate the budget and increase total utility.
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Maximizing Utility• Similarly, if MUS/PS
> MUM/PM, then moving a dollar from movies to soda increases the total utility from soda by more than it decreases the total utility from movies, so total utility increases.
• Again, only when MUM/PM = MUS/PS, is it not possible to reallocate the budget and increase total utility.
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Value, Price, and Consumer Surplus
• Consumer Surplus• Consumer surplus is the value of a good
minus the price paid for it, summed over the quantity bought.
• It is measured by the area under the demand curve and above the price paid, up to the quantity bought.
• Figure on the next slide shows the consumer surplus for pizza for an individual consumer.
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Value, Price, and Consumer Surplus
• The price paid is the market price, which is the same for each unit bought.
• The quantity bought is determined by the demand curve and the blue rectangle shows the amount paid for pizza.
• The green triangle shows the consumer surplus from pizza.
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Value, Price, and Consumer Surplus
• The consumer surplus on the 10th slice is the $2 that the consumer is willing to pay minus the $1.50 that she does pay, which is 50 cents a slice.
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Cost, Price, and Producer Surplus
• Producer Surplus• Producer surplus is the price of a good
minus the marginal cost of producing it, summed over the quantity sold.
• Producer surplus is measured by the area below the price and above the supply curve, up to the quantity sold.
• Figure on the next slide shows the producer surplus for pizza for an individual producer.
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Cost, Price, and Producer Surplus
• The price is the market price, which is the same for each unit sold.
• The quantity sold is determined by the supply curve and the red area shows the total cost of producing pizza.
• The blue triangle shows the producer surplus from pizza.
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Cost, Price, and Producer Surplus
• The producer surplus on the 50th pizza is the $15 that the producer receives minus the $10 that it cost to produce, which is $5 a pizza.
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Is the Competitive Market Efficient?
• Efficiency of Competitive Equilibrium• Figure shows that a
competitive market creates an efficient allocation of resources at equilibrium.
• In equilibrium, the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied.
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Is the Competitive Market Efficient?
• At the equilibrium quantity, marginal benefit equals marginal cost, so the quantity is the efficient quantity.
• The sum of consumer and producer surplus is maximized at this efficient level of output.