chapter 4 modified-mediation
TRANSCRIPT
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Chapter 4
The research process: theoretical
framework hypothesis development
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In the previous chapter the focus was onlearning how to narrow down and clearlydefine the research problem.
Chapter 4 focuses on Step 4 that relatesto evolving a theoretical framework andstep 5 that deals with deriving testable
hypotheses.
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The need for a theoreticalframework
The importance of the theoreticalframework
The theoretical framework is related to
deductive research. It follows the completion of a literature
review and defining the problem.
It represents the basis of developing thehypotheses.
It aims to understand what a variable meansand what the different types of variables are.
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It represents the researcher's beliefs onhowcertain phenomena (or variables orconcepts) are related to each other (amodel) and an explanation ofwhyhebelieve that these variables are associatedwith each other (a theory).
It used to examine the theory that he
based on is valid or not. It used to identify the network ofrelationships among research variables.
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The process of building a theoretical
framework includes
1) Introducing definitions of theconcepts or variables in your model.
2) Developing a conceptual model that
provides a descriptive representationof your theory.
3) Coming up with a theory that
provides an explanation forrelationships between the variablesin your model.
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Variables
A variable is anything that can take on
differing or varying values.
The values can differ at various times for
the same object or person, or at the same
time for different objects or persons; itdepends on how the researches
operationalized the variables.
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Example
Product ion uni ts :One worker in the
manufacturing department may produce one
toy per minute, a second might produce two
per minute, a third might produce five per
minute. It is also possible that the samemember might produce one toy the first
minute and five the next minute. In both
cases, the number of toys produced has
taken on different values, and is therefore avariable.
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Types of variables
1) The dependent variable or criterion variable. It refers to one or more than one dependent
variable that should be investigated throughunderstanding, describing and explaining itsvariability as a result of external influences(independent variables); It refers to whatvariable influence it.
It is based on numerical measurement (thevariability of sales can be measured, for
instance (by low, medium, or high sales orcontinuous scale).
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ExerciseAn applied researcher wants to increase
the performance of bank employees in aparticular branch. What is the dependent
variable in this case? (Employeesperformance is the dependent variable).
The performance of employees mayinvolve: increase the production units,
decrease the defects items, increasing thesales volume, and decrease theabsenteeism rateetc.
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Exercise
A marketing manager believes that limiting
the availability of a product increases
product desirability.
What is the dependent variable here? Theproduct desirability.
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2) Independent variable
It is refers to the variable (s) (predictorvariables) that have negative or positiveinfluence (s) on the dependent variables. Theindependent variable helps to explain the
variance in the dependent variable. The following conditions should be met to
say that a change in the independent variablecauses a change in the dependent variable:
1) The independent and the dependent variableshould covary: a change in the dependentvariable should be associated with a changein the independent variable.
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2) In experimental research, the independentvariable (the presumed causal factor) shouldprecede the dependent variable. In otherwords, there must be a time sequence inwhich the two occur: the cause must occur
before the effect.3) No other factor should be a possible cause
of the change in the dependent variable.Hence, the researcher should control for theeffects of other variables.
4) A logical explanation (a theory) is neededabout why the independent variable affectsthe dependent variable.
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Exercises
List the variables in these two exercisesindividually, and label them as dependent orindependent, explaining why they are solabeled. Create diagrams to illustrate therelationships.
(1) A manager believes that good supervisionand training will increase the productionlevel of the workers.
(2) A marketing manager believes that
selecting physically attractivespokespersons and models to endorse theirproducts increases the persuasiveness of amessage.
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3) Moderating variable
The moderating variable is one that has astrongcont ingenteffect on the independentvariable-dependent variable relationship.
Moderation occurs when the relationshipbetween two variable depends on a thirdvariable; the third variable is referred to asthe moderate variable or simply themoderator.
It modifies the original relationship betweenthe independent and the dependentvariables.
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The effect of a moderating variable is
characterized statistically as an
interaction: a qualitative (e.g., sex, race,
class) or quantitative (e.g., level of reward)variable that affects the direction and/or
strength of the relation between
dependent and independent variables.
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Example A prevalent theory indicates that the
diversity of the workforce (comprisingpeople of different ethnic origins, races, andnationalities) contributes more toorganizational effectiveness because each
group brings its own special expertise andskills to the workplace. This notion can beutilized by the manger. To harness thepotential, managers must know how to
encourage and coordinate the talents of thevarious groups to make things work. Thismanagerial expertise then becomes themoderating variable.
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Diagram of the relationship among the three variables: workforce
diversity, organizational effectiveness, and managerial expertise.
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4) Mediating variable A mediating variable (or intervening variable)
is one that surfaces between the time theindependent variables start operating toinfluence the dependent variable and thetime their impact is felt on it. It used tounderstand the researchs model process.
The mediating variable surfaces as afunction of the independent variable (s)
operating in any situation, and helps toconceptualize and explain the influence ofthe independent variable (s) on thedependent variable.
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The general test for mediation is to examine: a)
the relationship between the predictor and the
criterion variables, b) the relation between the
predictor and the mediator variables, and c) the
relation between the mediator and criterion
variables. In the full mediation, the relationshipbetween predictor and criterion should be
reduced to zero in the case of full mediation).
That is, the direct influence between the IV and
DV is not significant at P 0.05.
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With regard to figure 1, the full mediationoccurred when there is an indirect effectbut no direct effect while the partial
mediation is occurred when there are bothindirect and direct effects (Baron andKenny, 1986).
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The distinction between an independent
variable, moderating variable, and mediating
variable
The independent variable helps toexp lain
the variance in the dependent variable.
the moderating variable has an interaction
effect with the independent variable inexplaining the variance of dependent
variables; it influences the strength of the
relationship between two variables
negatively or positively.
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A mediator variable is one that explains therelationship between the two other
variables. It seeks to identify andexplicate the mechanism or process thatunderlies an observed relationshipbetween an IV and DV via the inclusionof a third explanatory variable. Itcontains partial and full mediation. Inmoderation, there is no partial or fullmediation.
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Whether a variable is an independent
variable, a dependent variable, a mediating
variable, or a moderating variable should be
determined by a careful reading of thedynamics operating in any given situation.
For instance, a variable such as motivation
to work could be a dependent variable, an
independent variable, a mediating variable,or a moderating variable, depending on the
theoretical model that is being advanced.
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As an example, let's consider the relation
between social class (SES) and frequency ofbreast self-exams (BSE). Age might be amoderator variable, in that the relationbetween SES and BSE could be stronger for
older women and less strong or nonexistentfor younger women. Education might be amediator variable in that it explains whythere is a relation between SES and BSE.
When you remove the effect of education, therelation between SES and BSE disappears
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Exercises
List and label the variables in these two exercisesand explain and illustrate by means of diagramsthe relationships among the variables.
(1) A manager finds that off-the-job classroomtraining has a great impact on the productivity ofthe employees in her department. However, she
also observes that employees over 60 years of agedo not seem to derive much benefit and do notimprove with such training.
The independent variable (off-the-job classroom
training), The dependent variable (productivity of the
employees),
Moderating variables (age).
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(2) A manager finds that the intensity of e-
Business adoption is positively associatedwith sales performance. What's more, whenmarket uncertainty (the rate of change in thecomposition of customers and theirpreferences) is high, this positive effect isstrengthened.
The independent variable (the intensity of e-Business adoption),
The dependent variable (sales performance),
Moderating variables (the rate of change inthe composition of customers and theirpreferences/market fluctuations)
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Theoretical framework
The theoretical framework is the foundation
on which the entire research project is basedon to solve the problem.
The literature review identifies the variables
that might be important, as determined by
previous research findings.
The theoretical framework represents and
elaborates the relationships among the
variables, explains the theory underlyingthese relations, and describes the nature and
direction of the relationships.
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The components of the theoretical
framework
A good theoretical framework identifies anddefines the important variables in thesituation that are relevant to the problem(The relationships among the independent
variable (s), the dependent variable (s), and,if applicable, the moderating and mediatingvariables are elaborated).
A good theoretical framework is notnecessarily a complex framework.
There are three basic features that should beincorporated in any theoretical framework:
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1. The variables considered relevant to the
study should be clearly defined.
2. A conceptual model that describes the
relationships between the variables in
the model should be given.
3. There should be a clear explanation of
why we expect these relationships toexist.
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A conceptual model
Aconceptual modelhelps you to structure yourdiscussion of the literature. It describes how theconcepts in your model are related to each other.
It should be based on a sound theory.
A schematic diagram of the conceptual model helpsthe reader to visualize the theorized relationships.The relationships between variables can also beadequately expressed in words.
Both a schematic diagram of the conceptual model
and a description of the relationships between thevariables in words should be given, so that thereader can see and easily comprehend the theorizedrelationships.
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A theory or a clear explanation for the
relationships in your model is the last
component of the theoretical framework.
A theory attempts to explain relationships
between the variables in your model: An
explanation should be provided for all the
important relationships that are theorizedto exist among the variables.
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Hypothesis development
Hypothesis development is based onidentifying the important variables inresearch model and established therelationships among them through logicalreasoning obtained from the theoreticalframework.
A hypothesis can be defined as logicallyconjectured relationships between two ormore variables expressed in the form oftestable statements. It based on yourconceptual model.
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Example: If the pilots are given adequate
training to handle mid-air crowdedsituations, air safety violations will bereduced.
Statement o f hypo theses1) formats If-then statements: Employees
who are more healthy will take sick leaveless frequently. Ifemployees are morehealthy,thenthey will take sick leave lessfrequently.
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2) Directional and nondirectional hypotheses
Directional hypotheses; comparing twogroups by using terms such as positive,
negative, more than, less than.The greater
the stress exper ienced in the job , the lower
the job sat isfact ion o f employ ees. Wom en
are more motivated than men.
Nondirectional hypotheses are those that do
postulate a relationship or difference, butoffer no indication of the direction of these
relationships or differences.
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There is a relationship between age and jobsatisfaction. There is a difference between thework ethic values of American and Asianemployees.
3) Null and alternate hypotheses The hypothetico-deductive method requires that
hypotheses are falsifiable. It should be written
in such a way that other researchers can showthem to be false. A null hypothesis (H0) is ahypothesis set up to be rejected in order tosupport an alternate hypothesis labeledHa.
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The null hypothesis is presumed true untilstatistical evidence, in the form of a hypothesis
test, indicates otherwise. The null hypothesis may state that the correlation
between two variables is equal to zero or that thedifference in the means of two groups in the
population is equal to zero (or some other definitenumber). The null hypothesis in respect of groupdifferences stated in the following example:Women are more motivated than men would be.
The null statement is expressed in terms of therebeing no (significant) relationship between twovariables or no (significant) difference betweentwo groups.
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The steps to be followed in hypothesistesting are:
State the null and the alternate
hypotheses. Choose the appropriate statistical test
depending on whether the data collected
are parametric or nonparametric. Determine the level of significance desired
(p = 0.05, or more, or less).
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The alternate hypothesis, which is theopposite of the null, is a statementexpressing a relationship between twovariables or indicating differences between
groups. The null hypothesis is thus formulated so
that it can be tested for possible rejection. Ifwe reject the null hypothesis, then all
permissible alternate hypotheses relating tothe particular relationship tested could besupported.
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hypothesis generation and testing can bedone both through deduction andinduction. In deduction, the theoretical
model is first developed, testablehypotheses are then formulated, datacollected, and then the hypotheses aretested. In the inductive process, new
hypotheses are formulated based on whatis known from the data already collected,which are then tested.
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New hypotheses not originally thought of, or
which have been previously untested, mightbe developed after data are collected.Creative insights might compel researchersto test a new hypothesis from existing data,
which, if substantiated, would add newknowledge and help theory building.Through the broadening of ourunderstanding of the dynamics operating in
different situations using deductive andinductive processes, we add to the total bodyof knowledge in the area.
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EXERCISE
A production manager is concerned about
the low output levels of his employees. Thearticles that he has read on job performancefrequently mention four variables as beingimportant to job performance: skill requiredfor the job, rewards, motivation, and
satisfaction. In several of the articles it wasalso indicated that only if the rewards wereattractive to the recipients did motivation,satisfaction, and job performance increase,not otherwise. Given this situation:
Define the problem. Evolve a theoretical framework.
Develop at least six hypotheses.