chapter 8--aggregate demand and aggregate supply · aggregate demand and aggregate supply ......
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©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 1
SLIDES PREPARED BY JUDITH SKUCE, GEORGIAN COLLEGE
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate
Supply
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 2Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
In this chapter you will learn
8.1 What determines the shape of the aggregate demand curve and what factors shift the entire curve
8.2 What determines the shape of the aggregate supply curve, and what factors shift the entire curve
8.3 How the equilibrium price level and real GDP are determined
8.4 How the economy arrives at its long run equilibrium
8.5 Equilibrium vs. full-employment GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 3Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 4Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Demand (AD)
• The amounts of real output that buyers
collectively desire to purchase at each
possible price level
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 5Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Demand (AD)
• Aggregate Quantity Demanded (Real GDP) and
the Price Level are inversely related as follows:P
rice L
eve
l
Real GDP
AD
Figure 8 - 1
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 6Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Demand (AD)
• slopes downward because of the
following effects of a change in price
level:
1. Real-balances Effect
2. Interest-rate Effect
3. Foreign Trade EffectRemember: these effects are caused
by price level changes
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 7Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
Real domestic output, GDP
AD1
AD Can Increase
Changes in Aggregate DemandFigure 8 - 2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 8Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
AD Can Increase
shift RIGHT
AD2
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
Real domestic output, GDP
AD1
Changes in Aggregate DemandFigure 8 - 2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 9Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
Real domestic output, GDP
AD1
AD Can Decrease
Changes in Aggregate DemandFigure 8 - 2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 10Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
Real domestic output, GDP
AD1
AD Can Decrease
shift LEFT
Changes in Aggregate DemandFigure 8 - 2
AD3
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 11Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Determinants of Aggregate Demand
• Consumer Spending
– Consumer wealth
– Consumer expectations
– Taxes
– Household indebtedness
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 12Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Determinants of Aggregate Demand
• Investment Spending
– Real Interest Rates
– Expected Returns
• Expectations about future business conditions
• Technology
• Degree of excess capacity
• Business taxes
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 13Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Determinants of Aggregate Demand
• Government Spending
• Net Export Spending
– National Income Abroad
– Exchange Rates
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 14Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 15Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Supply
• The level of real domestic output that will
be produced at each price level
• Production responses to price level
changes differ in the long run & the short
run
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 16Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Supply in the Long Run
• in the long run, the aggregate supply curve
is vertical at the economy’s full-
employment output (potential GDP)
ASLR
GDPf
Real domestic
output, GDP
Price
le
ve
l
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 17Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Supply in the Long Run
• in the long run, wages & other input prices
rise or fall to match changes in the price
level
• changes in the price level do not change
real profit & there is no change in real
output
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 18Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Supply in the Short Run
• in reality, nominal wages adjust only slowly to
changes in the price level
• short-run aggregate supply curve is upward-
sloping
GDPf
Real domestic
output, GDP
Price level
AS
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 19Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Aggregate Supply in the Short Run
• as the economy expands in the short run, per-unit production costs generally rise
• the extent of the rise depends on where the economy is operating, relative to its capacity– an economy operating below its full-employment
output has idle capital & labourlittle upward pressure on production costs
– when the economy is operating beyond its full-employment output, most available resources are already employedper-unit production costs increase as economy expands
unless stated otherwise,
“aggregate supply”
refers to AS in the short
run
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 20Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Determinants of Aggregate Supply
1. Change in input prices
a. Domestic resource price
b. Price of imported resources
c. Market power
2. Change in productivity
3. Change in legal-institutional environment
a. Business taxes & subsidies
b. Government regulation
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 21Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 22Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Equilibrium GDP
• Equilibrium occurs at the price level that
equalizes the amount of real output
demanded & supplied
• A price level too low would mean AD>AS,
putting upward pressure on prices across
the economy
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 23Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Price Level Too Low
AD
ASPrice
Level
Real
GDP
PL1
AS1 AD1
Figure 8-6
upward
pressure
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 24Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Equilibrium GDP
• similarly, a price level too high would
mean AD<AS, putting downward pressure
on prices across the economy
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 25Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
AD
ASPrice
Level
Real
GDP
PL2
AS2
Price Level Too High
AD2
Figure 8-6
downwar
d
pressure
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 26Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Changes in Equilibrium
• Are caused by changes (shifts) in AD
and/or AS
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 27Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Increases in AD
• for any initial increase in aggregate
demand, the resulting increase in real
output will be smaller the greater is the
increase in the price level
• demand-pull inflation…
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 28Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Increases in AD
AS
AD1
Real GDP
Pri
ce le
vel
AD2
GDPf
P1
GDP2
P2
GDP1
Figure 8-7
output does not
increase all the way
to GDP1 because of
inflation
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 29Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Decreases in AD
• Deflation is a rarity in the Canadian economy
• Real output takes the full brunt of the decline in
AD because product prices are “sticky” in the
short run
– wage contracts
– morale, effort, & productivity
– minimum wage
– menu costs
– fear of price wars
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 30Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Decreases in AD
AS
AD1
Real GDP
Pri
ce le
vel
AD2
GDPf
P1
GDP1
Figure 8-8prices are sticky
downwards
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 31Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Decreases in AS: Cost-Push Inflation
• effects of a leftward shift in AS are doubly
bad
– output decreases
– price level increases
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 32Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Decreases in AS
AS1
AD1
Real GDP
Pri
ce le
vel
GDPf
P1
GDP2
P2
Figure 8-9
AS2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 33Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Increases in AS
• increases in AD should normally lead to
inflation
• recently, productivity growth has shifted
the long-run AS curve to the right
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 34Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Increases in AS
AS1
AD1
Real GDP
Pri
ce le
vel
GDP1
P1
Figure 8-10
AD2
AS2
P2
GDP3
P3
GDP2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 35Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 36Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
From the Short Run to the Long Run
• nominal wages & other input prices may
remain constant in the short run, even
though the price level has changed
• once contracts have expired & nominal
wage adjustments have been made, the
economy enters the long run
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 37Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Short-Run Aggregate Supply
AS1
P1
GDPf Real domestic output
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
a2
a1
Figure 8-11
P2
GDP2
an increase in
price level
increases
profits &
output,
moving the
economy from
a1 to a2
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 38Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Short-Run Aggregate Supply
AS1
P1
P3
GDP3 GDPf Real domestic output
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
a1
a3
Figure 8-11
a decrease in
price level
decreases
profits &
output,
moving the
economy from
a1 to a3
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 39Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Long-Run Aggregate Supply
AS1
AS2
P1
P2
GDPf GDP2 Real domestic output
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
ASLR
Figure 8-11
a2
a1
b1
an increase in
price level
leads to
increases in
nominal
wages,
shifting short-
run AS
leftward
new
equilibrium at
b1
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 40Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Long-Run Aggregate Supply
AS1
P1
P3
AS3
GDP3 GDPf GDP2 Real domestic output
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
ASLR
Figure 8-11a decrease in
price level
leads to
decreases in
nominal
wages,
shifting short-
run AS
rightward
new
equilibrium at
c1
a1
a3
c1
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 41Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Equilibrium in the Long-Run AD-AS
Model
AS1
P1
GDPf
Pri
ce
le
ve
l
ASLR
a
AD1
Figure 8-12
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 42Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 43Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
• There is no guarantee, in the short run,
that equilibrium GDP will be full-
employment GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 44Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Recessionary Gap
• A recessionary gap occurs when AD is too
low, and equilibrium GDP is below
potential GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 45Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Pri
ce le
vel
Real GDP
AS
AD1
490
AD0
510
Recessionary
Gap = 20
ASLR
Potential GDP
P0
P1
Recessionary GapFigure 8-13
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 46Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Inflationary Gap
• An inflationary gap occurs when AD is too
high, and equilibrium GDP is above
potential GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 47Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Pri
ce le
vel
AS
AD2
530
AD0
510
Inflationary
Gap = 20
P0
P1
Real GDP
ASLR
Potential GDP
Inflationary GapFigure 8-13
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 48Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Chapter 8 Topics
8.1 Aggregate Demand
8.2 Aggregate Supply
8.3 Equilibrium GDP & Changes in
Equilibrium
8.4 From the Short Run to the Long Run
8.5 Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment
GDP
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Macroeconomics, Chapter 8 49
Chapter 8 Appendix
The Relationship of the Aggregate
Expenditures Model to the AD-AS
Model
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 50Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Derivation of AD Curve
• AD can be derived from the Aggregate
Expenditures Model
illustrated…
Ag
gre
gate
ex
pen
dit
ure
s
(bil
lio
ns
of
do
lla
rs)
0
0
Pri
ce level
P1
1
AE 1 at P 1
1'
GDP1
GDP1
Real GDP at
price level 1
Figure A8 - 1
Real GDP
Real GDP
What if
prices go
up?
Real GDP
Real GDP
0
0
GDP1
GDP1
P1
AE1 at P 1
1
1'
P2
GDP2
GDP2
AE2 at P 2
2
2'
A Lower Real
GDP at price
level 2
Ag
gre
gate
ex
pen
dit
ure
s
(bil
lio
ns
of
do
lla
rs)
Pri
ce level
What if
prices go up
again?
Figure A8 - 1
0
0
GDP1
GDP1
P1
AE1 at P 1
1
1'
P2
GDP2
GDP2
AE2 at P 2
2
2'
AE3 at P 3
3
P33'
A Still Lower
Real GDP Level
at price
level 3
Ag
gre
gate
ex
pen
dit
ure
s
(bil
lio
ns
of
do
lla
rs)
Pri
ce level
GDP3
GDP3
Real GDP
Real GDP
Figure A8 - 1
0
0
GDP1
GDP1
P1
1
1'
P2
2
2'
3
P33'
Aggregate Demand
can be derived from AE
Ag
gre
gate
ex
pen
dit
ure
s
(bil
lio
ns
of
do
lla
rs)
Pri
ce level
GDP2
GDP2GDP3
GDP3
Real GDP
Real GDP
AE1 at P 1
AE2 at P 2
AE3 at P 3
Figure A8 - 1
©2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. 55Macroeconomics, Chapter 8
Shifts in AD
• and shifts in Aggregate Expenditure
illustrated…
0
0
GDP1
GDP1
P1
GDP2
GDP2
AE1 at P 1
AE2 at P 1
An Increase
in Aggregate
Expenditures
AD1
An Increase in
Aggregate DemandAD2
Ag
gre
gate
ex
pen
dit
ure
s
(bil
lio
ns
of
do
lla
rs)
Pri
ce level
Real GDP
Real GDP
Figure A8 - 2