chapter - 3shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in/bitstream/10603/70596/13/13...this will then enable us to...

131
88 CHAPTER - 3 3.1 Research Methodology 3.2 Review of Literature 3.3 Brief Profile & History of Selected Oil Industry

Upload: others

Post on 07-Aug-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 88

    CHAPTER - 3

    3.1 Research Methodology

    3.2 Review of Literature

    3.3 Brief Profile & History of Selected Oil Industry

  • 89

    3.1 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

    3.1.1 Introduction

    3.1.2 Title of Research Problem

    3.1.3 Scope of Research study

    3.1.4 Period of the Study

    3.1.5 Objective of the study

    3.1.6 Hypothesis of the study

    3.1.7 Significance of the study

    3.1.8 Research design

    3.1.9 Sample Design

    3.1.10 Data Collection

    3.1.11 Statistical Technique

    3.1.12 Chapter Plan of the Study

    3.1.13 Limitation of the study

    3.1.14 Future Scope of the Study

  • 90

    3.1.1 INTRODUCTION

    Research in common parlance refers to a search for knowledge. Research, simply

    put, is an endeavor to discover answers to problems through the application of

    scientific method to the knowable universe. “Research is essentially a systematic

    enquiry seeking facts through objective verifiable methods in order to discover the

    relationship among them and to deduce from them broad principles or laws1.” It is

    really a method of critical thinking.

    For most of the last century, firms in certain industries, especially public utility

    industries such as energy, transportation and communications, have been public

    owned or regulated to alleviate public fears that such firms would use market power

    to raise prices artificially. Many of these industries exhibited scale economies, which

    mean that a single firm would have the lowest cost of production and could

    monopolize the industry. Hence, these industries were treated as natural monopolies

    and regulated to control entry, prices and profits. Energy privatization has been part

    and parcel of a recent trend, which has placed greater reliance on market forces and

    less dependence in government in the allocation of resources. For many nations,

    their formerly state owned energy companies have been among the largest of

    companies to be privatized. Energy companies that have been privatized include

    some of world‟s largest Oil & Petroleum companies based in the industrialized

    nations. Giants, such as British Petroleum, British Gas, ENI (Italy), Petrol (Canada),

    Repsol (Spain) and TOTAL (France), have all undergone transitions form state –

    owned to significant degree of private ownership.

    By global standards, India is just at the beginning of the energy reforms. We

    however have an ideal opportunity to learn from these worldwide experiences of the

    restructuring of the energy industries and put in place the policy framework that

    draws from the best international practices. This will then enable us to leapfrog into

    new scales of development process. Seeing to oil sector development process, the

    crude oil production shows uneven growth from 1972 to 2001. During 2000-01 230

    crores of rupees import was recorded whereas 203 crores rupees were exported by

    India. It shows the gap of 2 crores rupees. Beside this, the demand of petroleum

    product in India was increased every year. 1950s and the 1960s were the years of

    rapid rates of increase of global oil demand, when oil demand grew by an average of

    7.7 % per year. The World‟s total Primary Energy Consumption in 2000 was 9,096

  • 91

    million tons of oil equivalent, and with a world population of 6,056 million. The total

    investment envisaged over the next 25 years in the downstream petroleum sector is

    a whopping Rs.3,70,000 crores or US $ 80 billion.

    Energy Intensity of an economy refers to the energy consumption per unit of GDP.

    The Economic growth and Energy demand are linked, however energy intensity is

    influenced by the stage of the economic development of particular economy and the

    standard of living of individuals. There is an unequivocal agreement that the quality

    of economic infrastructure particular, in India is a serious impediment to accelerating

    growth. Energy industry is obviously one of the most critical areas. Improving India‟s

    energy infrastructure requires a massive increase in investment in all the sub

    sectors. It also requires much greater levels of efficiency to ensure low cost and

    good quality of service.

    Thus, the researcher would like to conduct the research in Oil Industry. The study is

    important in views of researcher by considering important of financial performance in

    profitability, liquidity, asset of leading refineries of oil sector industry. The researcher

    will try to shows the whole pictures of selected Oil Industry and their various financial

    factors which affect the industry in various financial aspects.

    Meaning of Research

    Clifford Woddy has defined research. According to him, “the research comprises

    defining and redefining problems, formulating hypothesis or suggested solutions,

    organizing and evaluating data, making deductions and reaching conclusions, and at

    last carefully testing the conclusions to determine whether they fit the formulating

    hypothesis.”

    According to Robert Ross, “Research is essentially an investigation, a recording and

    an analysis of evidence for the purpose of gaining knowledge2.”

    Meaning of Research Methodology

    Social scientists grapple with numerous problems of bay to bay life. The complexity

    of problems of present day society makes it imperative for the social scientists to

    present day society makes it imperative for the social scientists to pursue a reliable

    course of action or a scientifically devised procedure of inquiry. Value free research

    or social inquiry without bias is the need of the twentieth century social sciences. Our

    search for definition of methodology would require us to know the nature of the

  • 92

    course pursued by research scholars in social sciences. “The procedures by which

    researchers go about their work of describing, explaining and predicting phenomena

    are called methodology3.” All the methods used by social scientists in their fact

    finding mission constitute methodology.

    3.1.2 TITLE OF RESEARCH PROBLEM

    The petroleum product and crude oil is core sector for any country. Now a days this

    sector is open for free market. The main benefits for exploring activity are fiscal

    incentives as a royalty and tax connection by the government. In addition to this

    attractive pricing and venture capital is another scope for the growth. It plays a vital

    role in the development of economics of the enterprise as well as country. So, the

    researcher would like to conduct the research on financial performance of oil

    industry. The main purpose of the study is to see the basic oil & petroleum scenario

    and what is the level of financial performance of the units undertaken the study. In

    modern times a number of financial problems are faced by the industry and for

    effective and corrective solution of all problems, some analytical study of the

    financial performance must be there. This is a doctoral research agenda on…

    “A Study of Financial Performance of Selected Oil Industry of India”

    The study of financial performance turns out to be very significant and important for

    the financial managers, to analyze with various financial aspects. The industry uses

    various indicators for measuring its financial performance. This indicates average of

    great importance and tells us the true financial position of the industry. Financial

    analysis report the efficiency with which the funds entrusted to the management has

    been deployed. This attempts to furnish the relevant information for its various users

    like creditors, bankers, financial institutions, equity share holders, suppliers,

    consumers, government, etc. for their decision making. These indications help in

    identifying the strength and weaknesses of the industry and suggestions.

    Financial analyst depends primarily on financial statements to diagnose financial

    performance. Because as long as accounting biases remain more or less the same

    overtime meaningful inferences can be drawn by examining trend and raw data in

    financial ratios. As well as similar biases characterize various firms in the same

    industry, inter firm comparisons are useful. If properly analyzed and interpreted,

    financial statements can provide valuable insights into a firm‟s performance. Analysis

  • 93

    of financial statements is of interest of lenders, investors, security analyst, managers

    and others. Financial statement analysis may be done for a variety of purposes

    which may range from a simply analysis of short-term liquidity position of the firm to

    a comprehensive assessment of the strength and weaknesses of the firm in various

    aspects. It is helpful in assessing corporate excellence judging creditworthiness,

    forecasting bond writing, predicating bankruptcy and assessing market risk.

    An analysis of financial statement can highlight a company‟s strength and short

    comings. This information can be used by management to improve performance and

    by others to predicate future results. Financial analysis can be used to predicate how

    such strategic decisions as a sale of a division, major marketing program or

    expanding a plant are likely to affect future financial performance.

    So, the main purpose of the research is to be helpful to take financial and managerial

    decisions by the external and internal stoke holders.

    3.1.3 SCOPE OF THE RESEARCH STUDY

    The scope of this research study is as under:

    Functional Scope

    Functional scope of this study is to analyze Financial Performance of selected Indian

    Oil industry.

    Geographical Scope

    In this study researcher selected 10 Oil Industries which are working and producing

    crude oil & petroleum production in India. So, whole India is geographical criteria for

    this research study.

    3.1.4 PERIOD OF RESEARCH STUDY

    This research study covered the data of last ten years of the functioning of the

    selected Oil Industries. A longer period could have been still better but due to time

    and resource constraints, the last ten years not very short period has been taken for

    analyzing the data of research program. The study period is 10 years, starting from

    financial year 2003-04 to 2012-13.

  • 94

    3.1.5 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

    Objective is a base for any work. The objectives determine the future and outcome of

    the research. No one work is started without any objectives. The present research

    work has the following objectives.

    To study the financial position of selected Oil Industries of India.

    To study the effective financial structure of selected Oil Industries of India.

    To evaluate the financial performance of selected Oil Industries of India

    through the annual accounts of appropriate ratios.

    To examine the Impact of global competitiveness on the overall profitability of

    the selected Oil Industries.

    To make comparative study of relation of financial performance of selected Oil

    Industries of India.

    To make suitable suggestions based on research findings to improve the

    effectiveness and efficiency of Indian Oil industries.

    3.1.6 HYPOTHESES OF THE STUDY

    In present study is based on some of the hypothesis which is explained as below:

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Gross Profit Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Gross Profit Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Net Profit Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Net Profit Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Operating Profit Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Operating Profit Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Current Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

  • 95

    H1: There is significant difference in Current Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Debt Equity Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Debt Equity Ratio of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Debtors Turnover Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Debtors Turnover Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Return on Capital Employed Ratio of

    selected oil Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Return on Capital Employed Ratio of selected

    Oil Industries during the period of study

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Dividend Payout Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Dividend Payout Ratio of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    Ho: There is no significant difference in Earnings per Share of selected Oil

    Industries during the period of study.

    H1: There is significant difference in Earnings per Share of selected Oil Industries

    during the period of study.

    3.1.7 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

    As earlier mentioned in the introduction the industry is core industry and it has a very

    large investment in the country. So it can be said that the large investments are

  • 96

    blocked in the oil industries undertaken for the study for the research purpose, there

    have been many reasons for the significance of the study. The significance of the

    study is as under:

    If analysis is done with respect to various aspects like liquidity, profitability,

    asset utilization, the relevant information can be furnished to its various users

    for their decision making. It is also necessary to find out some important

    factors which affect internal decision of industry. So this research will be

    useful to Oil & Petroleum Industry itself.

    As far as many financial and non-financial institutes and government institutes

    are affected by their various financial aspects, the various ratios should be

    analyzed and the most common factors affecting is oil industries‟ financial

    position should be studied. So researcher feels its necessity and importance

    and therefore has chosen this subject for his doctoral research purpose.

    Privatization is taking place in the oil sector. So, there should not be

    monopolization of any industry and competitiveness should be increased

    among all the industries. To create this situation, every unit or industry should

    find out their financial position and various factors which affect their financial

    conditions. This study will help to create this type of condition.

    A large mass of the country has started to invest their money in the share

    markets. The financial analysis will be helpful to them to take proper decision

    to invest their money in these sectors.

    Oil & Petroleum are natural product and their sources are very limited. But the

    demand of petroleum product is increasing day by day. Oil demand grew by

    an average of 7.7% per year in last few years. For this, government should

    control its profitability and rate of oil prices. So if the data should be analyses

    financially profitability and other financial aspects can be brought to the notice

    of this core industry.

    The thesis will be a guiding path for the analysis of the study of the units,

    companies & industries.

    Saurashtra University or Other University M. Phil students have undertaken

    the research study by taking two Oil Industries and tried to make financial

    analysis of relevant data. This study that undertakes Ten Oil Industries for the

    research purpose will be the further analysis of the industry.

  • 97

    3.1.8 RESEARCH DESIGN

    According to Claire Selltiz, “Research Design is the arrangement of the conditions for

    collection and analysis of data in a manner that aims to combine relevance to the

    research purpose with economy in procedure „Architects Design‟ a plan before

    constructing a building bearing well in mind the purpose for which the building is to

    be used4.”

    For the financial analysis, each unit first of all finds out the ratio of gross profit ratio,

    net profit ratio, operating profit ratio & current ratio with its graphical representation.

    Every Oil industry unit‟s working capital efficiency level has been tested through

    debtor‟s turnover ratio and fixed turnover ratio indicates the extent to which the

    investments in fixed assets contribute towards sales. To check the financial position

    ratio of all Oil industry units will be used chi-square test. The test is a technique

    through the use of which it is possible for all researchers to test the goodness of fit,

    test the significance of association between two attributes and test the homogeneity

    or the significance of population variance.

    After testing every unit of ratio further, a hypothesis will be tested for the ratio that

    whether there is significant difference in the ratio trend for the period of study for the

    units undertaken for the study. If the hypothesis is accepted there is no significant

    difference in the ratio of units and if it is rejected, there is significant difference in the

    units for the period of study. Thus there is analysis test of chi-square of selected Oil

    Industries.

    Thereafter, to will be conducted to find out the F-test Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)

    of each units of oil industry, whether all ratios have been correlates with one another

    and thus a table of F- test has been calculated. ANOVA is a general technique that

    can be used to test the hypothesis that the means among two or more groups are

    equal, under the assumption that the sampled populations are normally distributed.

    After testing every unit with F - test further, a hypothesis will be tested for the ratio to

    see whether there is significant difference in the ratio trend for the period of study

    among the units under taken for the study. If the hypothesis is accepted, there is no

    significant difference in the ratio of units and if it is rejected, there is significant

    difference in the units for the period of study .Thus, there is comparison analysis and

    hypotheses testing of all ratios.

  • 98

    3.1.9 SAMPLE DESIGN

    The petroleum products and crude oil is core sector for any country. Now days, this

    sector is open as free market. The main benefits for exploring activities are fiscal

    incentives in the royalty and tax connection by the government. In addition to this

    attractive pricing and venture capital is another scope for the growth. It plays a vital

    role in the development of economics of the enterprise as well as country. So, the

    researcher would like to conduct the research on financial performance of oil

    industry. The main purpose of the study is to see the basic oil & petroleum scenario

    and what is the level of financial performance of the units undertaken in the study. In

    modern times a number of financial problems are faced by the industry and for

    effective and corrective solution of all problems, some analytical study of the

    financial performance must be there. Thus, the researcher would like to conduct the

    research in Oil Industry. The study is important in view of researcher by considering

    importance of financial performance in profitability, liquidity, asset of leading

    refineries of oil sector industry. The researcher will try to show the whole picture of

    selected Oil Industry and their various financial factors which affect the industry in

    various financial aspects.

    The Universe of the study is all the leading units which are working in the

    Oil/Refinery sector. At initial stage researcher has decided to take all the unit of

    Oil/refinery sector for his research purpose but after collection of data, researcher

    decided to include only 10 Oil Industries for his research. These are the best

    companies in oil and gas exploration.

    The following Oil/Petroleum Industries which give the picture of oil sectors of India

    have been taken for the study.

    1. Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL)

    2. Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL)

    3. Essar oil Limited (EOL)

    4. Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL)

    5. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL)

    6. Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL)

    7. Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MPL)

    8. Mangalore Refinery & Petroleum Limited (MRPL)

  • 99

    9. Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC)

    10. Reliance Petroleum Limited (RPL)

    3.1.10 DATA COLLECTION

    The data collection is very important task for the researcher for the research study.

    This research study is mainly based on secondary data. The secondary data shall be

    collected from the records, documents, related subject matter and related websites.

    Besides, the researcher shall collect and analyze published data as per the

    requirement.

    As such, the universe of this research study is restricted to selected Oil Industries

    which are working in India, so, researcher has selected 10 Oil Industries. The data

    regarding selected Oil Industries have been obtained and collected from the annual

    report of the Oil Industries and related websites.

    3.1.11 STATISTCAL TECHNIQUES

    The main base of this study is to analyze Financial Performance of Selected Oil

    Industries of India. Verifying and testing these hypotheses, some statistical

    techniques have been used. Here, mainly applied test or techniques are as under.

    1. Average/Mean

    The most commonly used average is the arithmetic mean, briefly referred to as the

    mean. The mean can be found by adding all the variables and dividing it by total

    number of the years taken. It gives a brief picture of a large group which represents

    and gives a basic of comparison with other groups.

    2. The Standard Deviation

    The Standard Deviation concept was introduced by Karl Pearson in 1823. It is by far

    the most important and widely used measure of studying dispersion. Standard

    deviation is also known as root mean square deviation for the reason that it is the

    square root of the mean of the square deviation from arithmetic mean.

    3. T-Test

    T-test is based on T-Distribution and is considered an appropriate test for judging the

    significance of a sample mean. It can also be used for judging the significance of the

    Co-efficient of simple and partial Co-relations. The relevant test is calculated from

  • 100

    the sample data and then compared with its problem value based on T-distribution at

    a specified level of significance for concerning degree of freedom for accepting or

    rejecting the Null Hypothesis.

    4. F-Test or ANOVA (Analysis of Variances)

    Analysis of variance is an extremely useful technique concerning researches in the

    fields of economics, biology, psychology, sociology, business industry and in

    researches of several other disciplines. This technique is used when multiple sample

    cases are involved. The basic principle of ANOVA is to test the differences among

    the means of the population by examining the amount of variation within each of

    these samples, relative to the amount of variation between the samples. In terms of

    variation within the given population, it is assumed that the values differ from the

    mean of this population only because of random effects i.e., there are influences

    which are unexplainable whereas in examining differences between populations we

    assume that the difference between the means of the population and the grand

    mean is attributable to what is called a „specific factor‟ or what is technically

    described as „treatment effect‟. Thus while using ANOVA; we assume that each of

    the samples is drawn from a normal population and that each of this population has

    the same variances. We also assume that all factors other than the one or more

    being tested are effectively controlled.

    The value of F is to be compared to the F-limit for given degrees of freedom. If the F

    value researcher works out is equal or exceeds the F-limit value, researcher may say

    that there are significant differences between the means.

    ANOVA is a general technique that can be used to test the hypothesis that the

    means among two or more groups are equal, under the assumption that the sampled

    populations are normally distributed. The ANOVA is classified into one-way and two-

    way. One-way ANOVA evaluates the effect of a single factor on a single response

    variable. Two way classifications are applicable when the data is classified on the

    basis of two factors5.

  • 101

    5. Chi-Square Test or Test

    In order that we may apply the chi-square test either as a test of goodness of fit or as

    a test to judge the significance of association between attributes, it is necessary that

    the observed as well as theoretical or expected frequencies must be grouped in the

    same way and the theoretical distribution must be adjusted to give same total

    frequency as we find in case of observed distribution. Chi-Square is then calculated

    as follows6:

    ∑[( )

    ]

    Where

    fo = Observed frequency of the cell in row and column.

    fe = Expected frequency of the cell in row and column

    6. Time Series Analysis

    Morris Hamburg defines time series as - “A time series is a set of statistical

    observations arranged in chronological order.” One of the most important tasks

    before economist and businessmen these days it is make estimates for the future.

    The first step in making estimates for the future consists of gathering information

    from the past. In this connection one usually deals with statistical data, are collected,

    observed or recorded at successive intervals of time. Such data are generally

    referred to as “Time Series”. In the analysis of time series, time is the most important

    factor because the variable is related to time which may be either year, month, week,

    day, hour or even minutes or seconds. Time series data are of two kinds viz., period

    data and point data. Period data refers to the accumulated value of a flow variable

    during a particular period. Point data refers to the value of a stock variable at a point

    of time. The essential requirements of a time series are:

    1. It must consist of a homogeneous set of values.

    2. The data should be available for a sufficiently long period say, for 7 to 10

    relevant time periods.

    3. The time elapsing between various values must, as far as possible, be equal.

    4. The gaps, if any, in the data should be made up by interpolation.

  • 102

    The analysis of time series is useful in administration, planning, evaluation of socio-

    economic progress as well as for research in various scientific field including pure

    science and humanities7.

    3.1.12 CHAPTER PLAN OF THE STUDY

    1. Overview of Oil Industry of India

    This chapter includes Introduction of Oil Industry, Meaning and Definition of the Oil &

    Oil Industry, Brief History of the Oil Industry, History of the Oil Industry in India,

    Globalization & The Indian Oil Industry, Structure & Current Status of Oil Industry in

    India, Performance of Indian Oil/Petroleum Industry, Indian Economy & Oil Industry,

    Evolution of Indian Oil & Gas Industry, Development of Oil Industry Sector in India,

    The Oil Industry Present Scenario and Careers in the Oil & Gas Industry.

    2. Conceptual Framework of Financial Performance

    This chapter includes Concept, Types, Objective, Characteristics and Nature of

    Financial Statement, Essential Qualities and techniques of Financial Statement,

    Classification of Ratio, Ratio Analysis, Advantages and Limitation of Ratio Analysis,

    Limitation of Financial Statement and Use of Financial Data for the Performance

    Evaluation of the unit.

    3. Research Methodology, Review of Literature and Brief Profile & History of

    Selected oil Industries

    This chapter includes the Title of Research problem, Scope of Research study,

    Objective, Hypotheses, Significance and Period of the Study, Research & Sample

    Design, Data Collection, Statistical Techniques, Limitation of the study & Plan of the

    Study, Meaning of literature Review and Literature Survey for the Research Work.

    This chapter also includes brief profiles and History of 10 selected Oil Industries.

    4. Data Analysis & Interpretation - I

    This chapter covers the analysis of Chi-Square test of Selected Oil Industry. This

    chapter also covers the broader hypotheses testing and the conclusion drawn on the

    basis of the analysis.

  • 103

    5. Data Analysis & Interpretation - II

    As the title states, this chapter covers the analysis of the results obtained with the

    research methodology and also includes Comparative Study of Financial

    Performance of Selected Oil Industries using various statistical tools and techniques

    and also includes F-test (ANOVA) Analysis.

    6. Summary, Findings, Conclusion and Suggestions

    This chapter covers major findings and suggestions for the Financial Performance

    and Profitability. So, researcher can say that this chapter provides solid and useful

    information to the Oil industry and at last conclusion of this research study will be

    included.

    3.1.13 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

    Any study cannot be free from limitations. Some limitations such as, the limitation of

    time, areas, economic factors and scope as well as the method of the study. Some

    limitations for present research work are as under.

    Scope of this study is wider but sample size is limited to only 10 Oil Industries

    in this study.

    This research study is based on secondary data collected from annual reports

    of various Oil Industries units and related websites. The limitation of the

    secondary data and its findings depend entirely on the accuracy of such data.

    The data, which is used for his study is based on annual report of the Oil

    Industries units and secondary data collected from published reports from

    time to time. Therefore, the quality of this research depends on quality and

    reliability of data published in annual reports.

    Results of this research are confined and limited to the selected Oil Industries

    units

    The study is limited to 10 years (2003-04 to 2012-13) only.

    There are different methods to measure efficiency, effectiveness and

    profitability.

    The present study is based on ratio analysis and it has its own limitation that

    applied to this study also.

    Financial statements are normally prepared on the concept of historical cost.

    They do not reflect values in terms of current cost. Thus, financial analysis on

  • 104

    such financial statements or accounting figures would not portray the effects

    of price level changing over the period.

    Financial analysis does not depict those facts which cannot be expressed in

    terms of money, for example; efficiency of workers, reputation and prestige of

    the management.

    3.1.14 FUTURE SCOPE OF THE STUDY

    Ten Oil Industries have been taken for the period of ten years i.e. 2003-04 to 2012-

    13 for the analytical study of performance of the sampled units. The researcher has

    covered most of the financial parts of the sampled units. However there are more

    scopes for further study.

    The financial aspects of these 10 units have been analyzed by performance

    analysis. Still many aspects of these units such as inventory, managerial

    decision, costing method, market policies, social responsibilities, human

    resource management etc. can be studied in future. There is a great scope for

    further research in these areas.

    This study is limited up to the period 2012-13. Still their financial performance

    can be continued for coming years. Thus, this field is open for further

    research.

  • 105

    REFERENCES

    1. Kothari C. R., “Research Methodology: Method & Techniques”, Published by

    New Age International (p) Ltd., New Delhi, 2004, p. 1.

    2. Ibid, p. 2.

    3. Ramanath H.R., “Research Methodology & Operation Research”, Published

    by Himalaya Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., Mubai, 2007, p. 26.

    4. Sachdeva J. K., “Business Research Methodology”, Published by Himalaya

    Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai, 2008 p. 43.

    5. Parmar S.J., “Financial Efficiency Modern Methods Tools & Techniques”,

    Published by Raj book enterprises, Jaipur, 2001, p. 61.

    6. Gupta S.P., “Statistical Methods”, Published by Sultan Chand & Sons

    Educational Publishers. New Delhi, 2001, p. 282.

    7. Ibid, p. 284.

  • 106

    3.2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE

    3.2.1 Meaning of Literature Review

    3.2.2 Literature Survey for the Research Work

  • 107

    3.2.1 MEANING OF LITERATURE REVIEW

    A literature review is designed to identify related research, to set the current

    research project within a conceptual and theoretical context. When looked at that

    way, there is almost no topic that is so new or unique that they can‟t locate relevant

    and informative related research. The literature review section examines recent

    research studies company data or industry reports that act as a basis for proposed

    study. Begin your discussion of the related literature and secondary data from a

    comprehensive perspective, moving to more specific studies that are associated with

    your problems. If the problem has a historical background, begin with the earliest

    references.

    The literature review also explains the need for the proposed work to appraise the

    short comings and informational gaps in secondary data sources. This analysis may

    go beyond scrutinizing the availability or conclusions of past studies and their data,

    to examining the accuracy of secondary sources. The credibility to the sources and

    the appropriateness of earlier studies close the literature review section by

    summarizing the important aspects of the literature and interpreting them in terms of

    your problems. Refine the problems as necessary in light of your findings.

    3.2.2 LITERATURE SURVEY FOR THE RESEARCH WORK

    Literature survey for the research work is as follows:

    Manoj Anand (2005)

    In this paper, difficult times have their own merits. This is as truer for an individual as

    it is for an organization. These are the times when the entire organization gets an

    opportunity to display its resilience through its innovative skills and creative abilities.

    After the liberalization of the Indian economy in 1991 and the opening of the oil

    sector, CIL focused on volume growth and achieved a market share of 20 percent. In

    the growth phase, cost efficiency and cost effectiveness of the operational aspects

    were ignored. In the late 1990, due to increased competition and acquisition of CIL

    by British Petroleum, the focus shifted from high growth to efficient supply chain

    management. This brought about a sea change in the cost and performance

    management systems at CIL. It required a cultural change from chasing production

    volume targets to developing competitiveness through total quality management,

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=372553http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=372553

  • 108

    business process reengineering, activity-based cost management system, and

    change in mindset. The focus of performance contract changed from a few financial

    measures to a broad set of perspectives to achieve the company's corporate

    mission1.

    Srinivas Kolluru (2005)

    In this study, the Indian steel industry has been showing tremendous improvements

    in terms of growth in capacity, production and exports and has become a major

    competitor in the global arena, thanks to the forces of deregulation and globalization.

    Keeping in view the current performance, the future looks bright for the domestic

    steel industry. India will be among the top 5 consumers of steel by 2010. The primary

    objective of this study is to measure an overall index of performance across the

    Indian steel companies based on eleven financial ratios including the profit ratio for

    each company by using the globally popular method – the Taxonomic Method. This

    method is preferred over the parametric methods using flexible functional forms and

    the Data Envelope Analysis (DEA). The empirical results show that, overall

    composite index would serve as a better performance indicator than the conventional

    stand-alone operating profit margin. Statistically speaking, the performance of eleven

    companies appeared to be converging during 1999-2003. The regression results

    reveal that the size factor - log (assets) - has been dominant. Contrary to

    conventional expectations the sign of market share shows positive and significant

    relation with overall performance2.

    Surender Kumar (2005)

    In this study assesses the oil prices-macroeconomic relationship by means of

    multivariate VAR using both linear and non-linear specifications. Scaled oil prices

    model outperforms other models used in the study. It studies the impacts of oil price

    shocks on the growth of industrial production for Indian economy over the period

    1975 to 2004. It is found that oil prices Granger cause macroeconomic activities.

    Evidence of asymmetric impact of oil price shocks on industrial growth is found. Oil

    price shocks negatively affect the growth of industrial production and they find that

    an hundred percent increase in oil prices lowers the growth of industrial production

    by one percent. Moreover, the variance decomposition analysis while putting the

    study in perspective finds that the oil price shocks combined with the monetary

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=358428http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=358428

  • 109

    shocks are the largest source of variation in industrial production growth other than

    the variable itself3.

    P. Srinivasan (2007)

    In this Study, the Johansen‟s co-integration technique followed by the Vector Error

    Correction Model (VECM) were employed to examine the causal relationship

    between National Stock Exchange (NSE) spot and futures markets prices of selected

    nine oil and gas industry stocks of India. The empirical analysis was conducted on

    the daily data series from May 12th, 2005 to January 29th, 2009. The analysis reveals

    that there exists a long-run relationship between spot and futures prices of each of

    the selected individual securities. Besides, the study also indicates a bidirectional

    relationship between spot and futures markets prices in the case of four oil industry

    stocks, spot leading the futures price in the case of three stocks, and the futures

    leading the spot price in the case of two selected gas and oil industry stocks4.

    Narayan Rao Sapar (2008)

    In this paper earnings management occurs when managers use judgment in

    financial reporting and in structural transactions to alter financial reports to either

    mislead some stakeholders about the underlying performances of the company or to

    influence contractual outcomes that depend on reported financial performance. Many

    research studies are conducted to investigate the earnings management in

    developed economies. Due to regulated operating environment of in India until 1992

    earnings management was not a fertile topic for research. But, post-1992 companies

    are given freedom to price their capital issues. This freedom motivates the issuers to

    manage their earnings prior to capital issues. The objectives of the study are to

    investigate if firms in India manage earnings prior to launching of equity rights issues

    and the post issue performance of the firms. They used discretionary current

    accruals (DCAs) to measure the extent of earnings management. Modified Jones

    Model is used to estimate DCAs during three years prior to the rights issue (pre-

    issue period) and three years after the rights issue (post-issue period). DCAs of

    rights issue firms are adjusted for DCAs of control sample (non-rights issuers).

    Adjusted mean DCAs of pre-issue period are compared with adjusted mean DCAs of

    the post-issue period to detect earnings management. The results suggest that there

    has been earnings management prior to the rights issues. Analysis of pre-and-post

  • 110

    issue performance the sample firms corroborate the findings based on DCAs. Study

    period is 1993-94 to 2003-04. Sample size is 2595.

    Vaibhav Datta Pangam (2009)

    In this study, energy use has been central to the development of the world economy

    over many centuries, and remains crucial for alleviating poverty, expanding

    economic opportunities, providing light, heat and mobility, and enhancing the

    welfare. To the fore are fossil fuels that provide more than 90% of the world‟s total

    commercial energy needs, with oil the leading source in the global energy mix. The

    study deals with global Oil and Gas Industry, a case study on the Indian Gas

    industry. Use of Discounted Cash Flow technique to value Selected Oil Marketing

    Companies and Gas Companies, The study was undertaken for a period of 7 years

    i.e. from 31st March 2005 to 31st March 2011, taking into consideration the financial

    performance of the companies over a period of time. Financial Performance from

    2009 onwards is forecasted taking into consideration the present financials of the

    company, its business and key development6.

    Harpreet Singh Bedi (2009)

    In this paper, the form and content of the capitalist world economy is fast evolving

    and they find capital being increasingly concentrated and centralized as the battle of

    market competition intensifies. Companies have to keep running just to stay in the

    same place so intense is the competition. One of the factors that make the critical

    difference between the companies is the public perception of a business's value

    systems that are best exhibited by initiatives in discharging its Corporate Social

    Responsibility (CSR). From a long time several Researchers have reported a

    positive, negative, and neutral impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on

    financial performance. This inconsistency may be due to flawed empirical analysis.

    In this paper, they study the relationship between social and financial performance of

    a company. In present study Top 1000 Indian firms are examined for the financial

    year 2007-08, which are rated by karmyog (Mumbai base NGO), but for the purpose

    of research only 37 companies were considered, who spend some amount to full fills

    their corporate social responsibilities and then relationship between their financial

    performance and expenditure on corporate social responsibility is measured by using

    correlation and regression. The analysis reveals that there is a positive relationship

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1062421http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1062421

  • 111

    between CSR and financial performance and the descriptive and inferential

    measures shows that corporate social expenditure depends upon the financial

    performance of the Company. But at the same time they also observe that most of

    the top Indian companies are spending nothing on part of their social

    responsibilities7.

    Sridhar Gogineni (2010)

    In this study, they investigate the impact of daily oil price changes on the stock

    returns of a wide array of industries. They find that in addition to the stock returns of

    industries that depend heavily on oil, stock returns of some industries that use little

    oil also are sensitive to oil prices perhaps because their main customers are

    impacted by oil price changes. In addition, they present robust estimates of

    industries‟ cost-side and demand-side dependence on oil. These measures can

    serve as reliable benchmarks when classifying industries into oil-intensive and non-

    oil intensive groups, a distinction widely used in studies and media without any

    quantitative justification so far. Further, they find that the sensitivity of industries

    returns to oil price changes depends on both the cost-side and demand-side

    dependence on oil and that the relative effects of these factors vary across

    industries8.

    Varun Rai (2010)

    In this paper, the state-owned company Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited

    (ONGC) is India‟s largest company devoted to exploration and production (E&P).

    This paper attempts to unpack the dynamic of the government-ONGC relationship.

    Focusing specifically on how government ownership and control has influenced

    ONGC‟s performance and strategy, this paper makes four main arguments. First,

    ONGC exists, just as with national oil companies in many other countries, because

    of a legacy of suspicion about outsiders. It performed well when it was tasked with

    things that were not that difficult and when it had help for the more difficult ventures,

    such as frontier E&P and development. Second, ONGC has run into trouble as it

    matured, and the roots of its troubles are mainly in its interactions with the GoI and

    secondarily in its management. Third, a slew of reforms instituted since the mid-

    1990s have fundamentally changed the landscape of the E&P sector in India and the

    dynamic of government - ONGC relationship. Targeted at improving corporate

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=597957http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=597957http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1265440http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1265440

  • 112

    governance, enhancing competition in E&P, and eliminating price controls, those

    reforms have had a mixed impact on ONGC‟s performance and strategy. They also

    highlight the difficulties the government has had in encouraging higher efficiencies in

    ONGC and the oil and gas sector. Fourth, given the deep interconnects of the oil and

    gas sector with India‟s political economy, fixing the oil and gas sector essentially

    entails fixing the larger political economy within which the sector is embedded9.

    Sunita Sukhija (2010)

    In this study, the banking sector is the most dominant sector of the financial system

    in India and with good valuations and increasing profits; the sector has been among

    the top performers in the markets. Undoubtedly, being tech-savvy and full of

    expertise, private banks have played a major role in the development of Indian

    banking industry. In the process they have jolted public sector banks out of

    complacency and forced them to become more competitive. At present, Private

    Banks in India includes leading banks like ICICI Banks, ING Vysya Bank, Kotak

    Mahindra Bank, SBI Commercial and International Bank, etc. Private Banks such as

    HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank are posting a rapid increase in their asset base every

    year as compared to public sector banks. The objective of present paper is to

    analyze the financial position of the private sector banks. The analysis reveals that

    HDFC is the most efficient bank in terms of generating earning per share. KMB has

    higher P/B Ratio it shows that, the higher the premium the market is willing to pay for

    the company above its hard assets10.

    Priyanka Gupta (2010)

    In this study, most organizations today realize that a „satisfied‟ employee is not

    necessarily the „best‟ employee in terms of loyalty and productivity. It is only an

    „engaged employee‟ who is intellectually and emotionally bound with the

    organization, feels passionately about its goals and is committed towards its values.

    Employee engagement relates to the employee‟s commitment to the organization‟s

    success. Engaged employees who are inspired and guided by the leadership,

    equipped with the right tools and managed by the right systems and processes

    deliver superior performance. The objective of this study is to determine the level of

    employee‟s passion about their work and emotion commitment to their company and

    to their coworkers. The study will also provide additional evidence about the impact

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1482390http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1482390http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1514980http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1514980

  • 113

    of drivers on employee engagement. Further, the survey is designed to translate the

    'softer' aspects of workplace emotions and behaviors into a hard measure of

    engagement, which in turn can be linked to organizational outcomes. Employees

    respond to each of the 40 questions on a scale of Strongly disagree to Strongly

    agree on a range of topics related to employee needs in the workplace such as Pride

    for the company, involvement, commitment, friendships, pay, benefits, progress

    reports, and job related growth opportunities etc. High scores reflect engaged

    employees whose needs are being met and who are fully engaged in improving

    workplace productivity. Middle of the range scores reflect workers who are not

    engaged, whilst low scores imply disengagement - those employees whose needs

    are not being met and who can actually discourage productivity. Study has shown

    there is no significant relationship between various variables like age, gender etc.

    with Employee Engagement. Trust & Integrity, Compensation & Benefits, Co-

    Workers & Work Resources majorly affect the Employee Engagement11.

    Pooja Chatterjee (2011)

    In this Paper, the shale gas industry in India is poised for rapid development after the

    Oil and Natural Gas Company (ONGC) found an „unlimited reserve‟ of shale gas at

    Sarpi spread over an area of 1250-1300 sq. km. The Sarpi deposit is Asia‟s first

    shale gas pool and the only tapped shale gas reserve outside the commercial

    developments in the US and Canada. This has pushed India to identify areas for

    commercial exploration and exploitation and formulate a policy to attract investors

    and regulate the industry. However development of such resources could face

    several roadblocks, if a potential investor chooses project financing as the

    mechanism to develop the fields. The objective of this paper is to ascertain the

    barriers to project financing shale gas development and how those barriers could be

    trounced. To achieve this objective the paper will provide an overview of the fledgling

    shale gas industry in India and the problems in financing in light of the political,

    financial and market trends. Five primary barriers have been identified: the

    regulatory and legal risks, environmental risks, market risk, land acquisition risk and

    capital availability risk due to the recent global credit crisis. To mitigate these affects,

    this paper recommends certain strategies for overcoming these barriers12.

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1706307http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1706307

  • 114

    Surbhi Arora (2012)

    As India is opening up its regions of oil & gas Exploration, Production, Refining and

    Marketing and is set to become a potential exporter in this multi-billion dollar

    industry. India is well placed to be a major player in the hydrocarbon value chain as it

    has 20 refineries with a total refining capacity at over 179 MMTPA and is emerging

    as an international destination for oil refining. It is expected to enhance its refining

    competence by 45% in the next 5 years and is becoming a significant exporter of

    petroleum products. India being the 4th and 6th largest consumer of oil and importer

    of oil respectively, imported about 72% of our total oil consumption in the year 2004-

    05. During the year 2008-09, Indian refineries have imported 132 million metric

    tonnes and our import requirement is expected to increase to 91% by 2003-04 as our

    demand for crude oil has been increasing every year but production being stagnant

    since last five years. For importing more than seventy percent of our crude oil

    requirement, our Indian refineries will have to take lot of vessels. This paper

    assesses/analyzes the crude oil import scenario, the number of vessels required for

    importing the crude oil from different countries and to estimate the tonnage

    requirement for shipping industry in the coming future so that the Indian shipping

    industry can take an advantage of this big emerging opportunity13.

    Sreeram R. Gopalakrishnan

    The Oil Industry in India is mixture of public sector and private sector players. The

    prominent ones among these companies are ONGC, GAIL, IOCL, HPCL, BPCL, RIL

    and Essar. All these companies are comparable with each other in terms of turnover,

    profits and the importance they have in ensuring the energy security of the nation. In

    fact, RIL has the biggest presence in the minds of investors, business community

    and institutional stakeholders. The company also has a larger than life image often

    associated with the entrepreneurial spirit of Dhirubhai Ambani and the somewhat

    grudging admiration for the present benefactor of that effort, Mukesh Ambani. But,

    for the retail customer, the millions of homemakers and the large consumer of bulk

    fuels the three companies IOCL, BPCL & HPCL have a dominant presence too.

    Collectively known as the Oil Marketing Companies these three have a triopoly of the

    downstream marketing segment of the industry. This segment is also perhaps the

    most affected by the policies of the Government14.

  • 115

    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW

    Daniel W. Collins, Michael S. Rozeff & Dan S. Dhaliwal (2000)

    In this paper examines the economic reasons for the observed negative abnormal

    common stock performance of firms whose reported earnings and stockholders'

    equity were negatively affected by the proposed elimination of full cost accounting in

    the oil and gas industry. Four explanations of the market effects of this mandatory

    accounting change are examined: 1. Naive investor theory, 2. Modified naive

    investor theory, 3. Contracting cost theory & 4. Estimation risk theory. These

    hypotheses are developed in detail and used to generate variables for a cross-

    sectional model which explains observed return behavior. The effect of the

    accounting change on total stockholders' equity, the existence of financial contracts

    denominated in terms of accounting numbers and, to a lesser extent, firm size are

    shown to be important explanatory variables. The importance of these variables is

    consistent with both the contracting cost and estimation risk theories15.

    Peter C. Reiss (2000)

    In this paper studies the investment activities of 44 independent oil and gas firms

    from 1978 to 1986. It develops a dynamic model of oil and gas exploration and

    development. The model predicts less of a decline in exploration activity than

    actually occurred in 1985-86. They consider the extent to which financial factors may

    have affected firms' investment plans during the 1985-86 deflation. There is some

    evidence that credit contracts in this industry did place important limitations on firm's

    abilities to respond to the energy price deflation. These constraints were imposed

    because lenders could not separately distinguish between unfavorable industry

    developments and poor individual firm performance16.

    Roberta Salomone & Giulia Galluccio (2001)

    As environmental performance is increasingly seen to have an influence over

    financial performance and financial risk assessment, disclosure of environmental

    issues in the Annual Reports is a fundamental requirement for a company in order to

    satisfy the information needs of its stakeholders. Given this pressure there is a

    definite trend among leading companies to report their environmental performances

    within the financial statements, but the way companies disclose environmental-

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=278372http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=278372

  • 116

    related information varies from company to company and from country to country.

    Besides, the qualitative level of this kind of disclosure, in term of relevance,

    comparability and credibility, is not generally very high. More and more voluntary and

    regulatory guidelines are emerging to encourage companies to disclose

    environmental issues in Annual Report. The aim of this paper is to examine literature

    relating to environmental disclosures in the Annual Report and to identify this

    environmental disclosure, but also its location and typology, thereby defining current

    practices on environmental reporting in Annual Reports of selected firms in the

    chemical and oil & gas industries17.

    Virginia Lee Acha (2002)

    In this study, they seek to unravel the relationship between technological capabilities

    and operational performance amongst a peer group of integrated oil companies in

    the upstream petroleum industry. They argue that the development and deployment

    of technological capabilities and their complex relationship with operational

    performance is conditioned by the interpretative frameworks or technology frames of

    the firm. The concept of a technology frame builds upon two theoretical flows:

    organizational sociology and the resource-based view of the firm. The technology

    frame is defined as the firm‟s self-image of its technological resources, capabilities

    and opportunities. The technology frame should not be confused with strategy; the

    frame is comprised of the evident and latent beliefs that provide the context for

    determining strategy. Using conventional metrics, they compiled a dataset of

    technological capabilities and operational performance measures for the 10 leading

    oil companies for the period 1984 to 1997. Fieldwork interviews and industry

    research developed and expanded this analysis. These findings indicate that, not

    only is the relationship between technological capabilities and operational

    performance too complex to be modeled by simple variables and functions, but also

    that the proxy variables reveal the technology frames rather than the technological

    capabilities of these firms. To explore the technology frame, they consider two

    elements: the firm‟s appraisal of the upstream industry and the nature of the role for

    technology. The gearing ratio and R&D expenditures are used as indicators of the

    firm‟s appraisal of the dynamics of the upstream industry, while the nature of the role

    for technology is proxies by the inclusion or absence of technology management at

    the executive board level and the positioning of technology within the Annual Report.

  • 117

    The existence and value of the frame as a heuristic is then tested through panel data

    regressions on key expectations of strategic behavior and outcomes in the area of

    technological capabilities of firms. On this basis, they have able to interpret the data

    on technological capabilities and their complex relationship with operational

    performance in a more consistent and comprehensive manner18.

    Matteo Manera & Alessandro Lanza (2003)

    In this Paper, the identification of the forces that drive oil stock prices is extremely

    important given the size of the Oil & Gas industry and its links with the energy sector

    and the environment. In the next decade oil companies will have to deal with

    international policies to contrast climate change. This issue is likely to affect

    companies' shareholder values. In this paper they focus on the long-run financial

    determinants of the stock prices of six major oil companies (Bp, Chevron-Texaco,

    Eni, Exxon-Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Total-Fina-Elf) using multivariate co-integration

    techniques and vector error correction models. Weekly oil stock prices are analyzed

    together with the relevant stock market indexes, exchange rates, spot and future oil

    prices over the period January 1998-April 2003. The empirical results confirm the

    statistical significance of the major financial variables in explaining the long-run

    dynamics of oil companies' stock values19.

    Anne - Marie Brook, Douglas Sutherland, Douglas Sutherland &

    Robert Price (2004)

    This paper analyses the factors influencing the price of oil and its likely evolution

    over the next quarter century. It begins by investigating the fundamental forces

    shaping long-term oil price developments, highlighting the importance of growth-led

    demand for oil, particularly that emanating from fast-growing, energy-intensive

    developing countries, and the implications of increasingly geographically

    concentrated oil reserves. The paper presents oil price projections to 2030 and

    examines the sensitivity of the projections to the assumptions about growth and non-

    OPEC supply. While certain combinations of factors could lead to a significantly

    higher oil price, the projections also suggest that the optimal strategy of resource-

    rich oil producers would be to prevent it rising too far. The paper then documents

    short-term influences on the oil price, which peaked at $50 a barrel in 2004, and

    notes that they have probably led to a significant departure from the long-run

  • 118

    equilibrium price which could persist for some time. Finally, the paper assesses the

    effects of higher oil prices on OECD-area economic activity and inflation. It argues

    that these effects have diminished over time, but that monetary policy should remain

    vigilant in preventing second-round effects on inflation. At the same time, fiscal policy

    should remain orientated towards long-term goals while structural policies should

    assist in the development of greater transparency in oil markets20.

    Agusman & Elis Deriantino (2005)

    This study examines the impact of oil price changes on stock returns of nine industry

    sectors in Indonesia using monthly data during the period January 1996 to June

    2008. The results suggest that that in general oil price changes do not have

    significant impacts on industry stock returns. However, the Government decision to

    liberalize domestic oil price in October 2005 has a positive and significant impact on

    stock returns of the mining, but a negative and significant impact on stock returns of

    the trading sectors. Moreover, using a dummy interaction variable to observe the

    impact of oil price hikes following the oil price liberalization policy, they find a

    consistent result for the mining and trading sectors, although the impact is also

    negative and significant to the consumption and infrastructure sectors. Nevertheless,

    the sensitivity of stock returns of these sectors on oil price changes is asymmetric,

    given decreasing oil price does not have significant effects on stock returns of any

    sectors. This may indicate that decreasing oil price does not always bring good news

    to investors21.

    Jacqueline Lang Weaver (2006)

    This article examines the future of our petroleum-based economy in light of the

    voluminous debates over Peak Oil and includes the perspectives of the Western

    multinational oil companies themselves. The article surveys the Peak Oil discussions

    and the media campaigns of the major oil companies and finds that they reflect three

    different, although related, concerns: First, the “true” Peak Oil debate about when

    world-wide, long-term oil production will follow the downward slope of the famous

    Hubbert curve; second, the causes of the recent doubling in short-term energy

    prices, not forecast even as late as 2003; and third, the long-term national security

    implications of the Western world's increasing dependence on oil and natural gas

    imports from hostile and unstable countries. The article compares the analyses and

  • 119

    forecasts of the Peak Oil debaters with the views of the major oil companies,

    primarily by examining the recent ExxonMobil Energy Outlook through 2030. This

    Outlook projects that the world will use 50% more energy in 2030 than in 2005, even

    with energy efficiency improvements in both OECD and non-OECD countries. In

    2030, oil and gas will still constitute 60% of our energy supplies, the same

    percentage as in 2005, but the world has adequate remaining reserves to fuel this

    demand. The world's dependence on OPEC crude oil will increase significantly and

    consuming countries will become increasingly reliant on imports of LNG. Yet, two

    key, understated assumptions of this Outlook are that “timely and adequate energy

    supplies” will be available and that “investments can be made in a timely fashion.”

    These assumptions appear to assume away the very issues sought to be addressed.

    The import of these assumptions is then discussed through BP's analysis of energy

    supply and demand fundamentals: that “events always override the fundamentals.”

    The article then addresses the six key factors or “events” that, in the author's view,

    underlie much of the current Peak Oil discussion, such as the proposition that “Big

    Oil is not so big” and “China believes in Peak Oil”. The Shell Global Scenario of

    integrated capital markets, trade and market liberalization (the “Open Doors”

    scenario) is contrasted with its “Flags” scenario of national preferences, post-9-11

    security concerns, and distrust of markets and corporate governance in a post-Enron

    world. The article concludes with policy implications of the “eventful” future facing the

    traditional petroleum-based economy today22.

    Amir Hossein Mabadi (2007)

    This article examines the transfer of Technology is one of the significant issues in oil

    and gas contracts. At one side petroleum developing countries are concern about

    controlling and operating of all phases of their industry‟s operation which in turn, has

    led to their awareness of the need to acquire at least an adequate understanding of

    the related technology. At the other side, referring to old concession contracts, the

    physical and temporary imports of the machinery and the equipment and skilled

    expatriate personnel, have been sent back to the countries where they have come

    from or are maintained on the job as long as is necessary, without any effective

    transplanting of the know-how involved to the recipient countries. Even in the case of

    proper and permanent transfer of technology, it seems essential to remark that there

    is a genuine divergence of interests between the developing petroleum countries and

  • 120

    the International or foreign oil companies which have most important role in

    developing and investing in the developing petroleum countries oil and gas industry.

    “It is fundamental to the understanding of the transfer of technology to appreciate

    that development of the local technological capacity is not in the interest of

    multinational corporations.” Apart from the problems mentioned above, usually,

    certain amount of vagueness, beyond the normal political and sometimes economic

    problems which may arise, cast shade on the transfer of technology; the substance

    of transfer of technology or a real transfer of technology, the capacity of developing

    petroleum countries for absorption and adoption of required technology, the various

    channels for transfer of technology in oil and gas industry and the suggested

    alternative ways. With these initial considerations as a background, we will attempt

    to compare transfer of technology through different oil and gas contracts, with

    consideration on Iranian Oil Buyback Contracts, to find their problems and make

    some suggestions for improvement of transfer of technology through oil and gas

    contracts. For this purpose this article proposed in three main chapters to investigate

    the issue; in the first part we will try to clarify the concepts of “Technology” and

    “Transfer of Technology” For the purposes of this essay, in two distinct parts. In the

    second chapter, they will discuss “Transfer of Technology through Oil and Gas

    Contracts” as one of the main legal arrangements through that petroleum industry

    technology has been transferred in three sections. Third chapter relates to the

    Alternative Channels for the Transfer of Technology in Oil and Gas Industry apart

    from the traditional ways in the oil and gas contracts. They will also discuss this

    chapter in three sections. Finally they will conclude with due regard to all above

    mentioned issues23.

    John L. Simpson (2008)

    This paper examines oil stock market and oil company stock price data in 30 and 60

    day windows either side of OPEC production allocation meetings. The study

    continues on to investigate co-integration and erogeneity over the full period in the

    sample. The results justify asking the question as to whether or not oil companies

    anticipate and use information on the outcomes of these meetings. The study

    concludes that the pricing of crude oil has more to do with the behavior of oil market

    protagonists than freely interacting supply and demand forces. This continues to

    have implications for the health of the global economy and financial system24.

    http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=283889http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=283889

  • 121

    Amir Hossein Mabadi (2008)

    Since oil and gas industry - as an Iran economic back bone - has a vital importance,

    financing in this sector has attracted huge amount of attention among economists

    and even owing to its inherent political character, politicians have involved in this

    crucial discussion. In this research leaving aside any economic discussion

    concerning necessity of foreign investment in the Iranian oil and gas industry, they

    have attempted to find out what are the main differences between the three

    important upstream oil and gas contracts bearing in mind the desire of international

    oil companies to enter into one of these contracts and the elements that bring about

    differences. Moreover what changes should be applied to Iran‟s contractual clauses

    to attract foreign investment through upstream oil and gas contracts and why those

    amendments will be attractive for foreigners are also examined in details. To achieve

    the mentioned goals, this dissertation has been divided to three separate parts, each

    one includes several chapters. In Part One, they have attempted to describe main

    elements of this dissertation i.e. two most important upstream oil and gas contracts

    which are buyback contracts and production sharing contracts and joint venture

    contracts. In Part Two, they have an overview on some contractual clauses that

    could have direct effects on foreign investors‟ decision making process on an oil and

    gas project and foreign investment attraction capacity of host country as a result.

    The last Part of this dissertation, based on aforesaid situation in upstream oil and

    gas contracts, they will suggest some amendments in contractual clauses to be more

    attractive for foreigners to invest their capital in Iran investment and make Iran able

    to absorb required investment for developing Iran oil and gas fields to highest

    possible level25.

    Stephane Dees & Audrey Gasteuil (2008)

    This paper examines the rapid rise in the price of crude oil between 2004 and 2006

    are the subject of debate. This paper investigates the factors that might have

    contributed to the oil price increase in addition to demand and supply for crude oil, by

    expanding a model for crude oil prices to include refinery utilization rates, a non-

    linear effect of OPEC capacity utilization, and conditions in futures markets as

    explanatory variables. Together, these factors allow the model to perform well

    relative to forecasts implied by the far month contracts on the New York Mercantile

  • 122

    Exchange and are able to account for much of the $26 rise in crude oil prices

    between 2004 and 200626.

    Christian O. H. Wolf & Michael G. Pollitt (2008)

    This study empirically investigates the impact of privatization on firm performance in

    the global oil and gas industry, where questions of resource control have regained

    widespread attention. Using a dataset of 60 public share offerings by 28 National Oil

    Companies it is shown that privatization is associated with comprehensive and

    sustained improvements in performance and efficiency. Over the seven-year period

    around the initial privatization offering, return on sales increases by 3.6 percentage

    points, total output by 40%, capital expenditure by 47%, and employment intensity

    drops by 35%. Many of their observed performance improvements are already

    realized in anticipation of the initial privatization date, accrue over time, and level off

    after the initial ownership change rather than accelerate. Details of residual

    government ownership, control transfer, and size and timing of follow-on offerings

    provide limited incremental explanatory power for firm performance, except for

    employment intensity. Based on these results partial privatizations in the oil sector

    might be seen to capture a significant part of the performance improvement

    associated with private capital markets without the selling government having to

    cede majority control27.

    Sergei M. Guriev & Anton Kolotilin (2008)

    In this paper they study nationalizations in the oil industry around the world in 1960-

    2002. They show, both theoretically and empirically, that governments are more

    likely to nationalize when oil prices are high and when political institutions are weak.

    They consider a simple dynamic model of the interaction between a government and

    a foreign oil company. The government cannot commit to abstain from expropriation

    and the company cannot commit to pay high taxes. Even though nationalization is

    inefficient it does occur in equilibrium when oil prices are high. The model's

    predictions are consistent with the panel analysis of a comprehensive dataset on

    nationalizations in the oil industry since 1960. Nationalization is more likely to

    happen when oil prices are high and the quality of institutions is low even when

    controlling for country fixed effects28.

  • 123

    Christian O. H. Wolf (2009)

    This paper sets out an analytical framework for assessing the performance and

    value creation of National Oil Companies (NOCs). NOCs differ greatly in their

    institutional environments, their corporate objectives and operations, and their

    domestic and international socio-economic linkages, which makes a comparative

    assessment of NOCs‟ value creation far from trivial. But because the petroleum

    sector is of significant importance to many countries around the world, the attempt of

    identifying, measuring, benchmarking and improving NOC value creation is vital for

    the broader effort of improving standards of living in these countries. A central

    contribution of this framework is the proposal of the „NOC Value Creation Index‟, a

    composite indicator that attempts to integrate measurement of NOC operational

    performance, financial performance and delivery on the national mission29.

    Kyla Tienhaara (2011)

    In this study, the literature on environmental regulation of the upstream oil and gas

    sector in developing countries and economies in transition has focused largely on

    domestic legislation as well as a number of intergovernmental agreements and,

    more recently, voluntary industry initiatives. Much less notice has been taken of

    environmentally relevant content of contracts negotiated between international oil

    companies and petroleum producing states, which often have a significant if not

    dominant role in shaping the regulatory regime for oil and gas operations. The only

    major study on this subject, carried out by Zhiguo Gao, was published in 1994. Gao

    concluded that environmental issues had not received enough attention in the oil and

    gas contracts that they had reviewed. A limited survey indicates that oil and gas

    contracts negotiated and signed in the last fifteen years generally give greater

    attention to environmental protection than those signed previously, but the coverage

    of specific topics varies widely as does the strength of terms. Additionally, concerns

    that certain contractual provisions may actually undermine rather than bolster

    environmental protection efforts have become more prominent in the period since

    Gao‟s study. Thus, there remains significant scope for oil and gas contracts to be

    improved from an environmental governance perspective30.

  • 124

    Emma Ik Okoye (2011)

    This study examines Oil revenue has been and is still the main stay of the Nigerian

    economy and is likely to remain so tor sometime to come. Total annual revenue from

    Oil runs into several billions and the importance of ensuring that effective machinery

    exists for the collection of this massive wealth cannot therefore be overemphasized.

    They are going to look at the history of exploration and production or upstream

    activities in Nigeria in order to better appreciate the accounting aspects. The nature

    of the cost incurred and revenues earned from exploring for and revenues earned

    from exploring for and producing petroleum products will be examined. Issues

    involved in developing accounting policies in the upstream oil and gas industry will

    be considered. The Impact of full cost and successful effort method on financial

    statements and their usability will be highlighted. The upstream petroleum industry is

    capital intensive necessitating the type of financing arrangement obtainable in the

    industry. In this paper, an update in the financing arrangements will be discussed. Oil

    and gas are two most important natural resources in Nigeria. Taxation is one tool;

    government can use to maximize the benefit of these resources to the nation. The

    issues and problems of assessment of tax in the industry will be presented31.

    Onyekachi Wisdom Duru (2011)

    In this Paper, the oil and gas sector in Nigeria is undoubtedly going through serious

    crisis, due partly to a sharp reaction by the oil producing communities, which suffer

    grievous hardships resulting from the operations of the laws governing the sector.

    The various attempts to suppress these people through the gun have failed woefully.

    The only option clearly available to the key players in the industry (the government

    and the oil producing/servicing companies) is to adopt fair and equitable laws as a

    framework for the exploitation of the oil and gas resources in Nigeria. This paper

    assesses the available laws regulating the oil and gas industry in Nigeria and

    recommends a progressive legal framework for the regulation of the Nigerian oil and

    gas sector, with a view to remedying the perceived lapses in the law32.

    Giulio Greco (2012)

    In this paper they investigate the impact of corporate governance and ownership

    structure variables on earnings management in the European oil industry. They used

    quarterly data and a panel data methodology. The findings show non-linear

  • 125

    relationships among institutional investor‟s ownership and governmental ownership

    with the magnitude of earnings management. For governmental ownership, they

    found that a positive association within lower levels of ownership, consistently with

    the incentives for oil companies to avoid closer political scrutiny on the reported

    results. They found a negative association with earnings management magnitude in

    firms where governments are the controlling shareholders or large block holders.

    The findings also show that relevant governance variables, such as the proportion of

    independent directors, the audit committee‟s size and meeting frequency, contribute

    to constrain earnings management. Overall, the results suggest that key variables

    related to ownership and governance structures impact on earnings management

    across different national settings and governance systems. Moreover, the

    relationship of ownership structures with earnings management appears to be

    complex and varying at different levels of ownership. This study could have several

    practical implications. Firstly, accountability and stricter control could be two issues

    for firms where governments are shareholders that engage in earnings management

    practices. Secondly, higher participation of institutional investors in the ownership

    and in the governance may be an effective monitoring device over earnings

    manipulation33.

    Mohammad Ahmed (2012)

    This study examines project management methodology is a set of established

    guidelines that are used for executing projects in every industry. They are broadly

    based on initiating, planning, organizing, executing, and monitoring & controlling

    process group. However, project management is carried out through nine project

    management knowledge areas i.e. integration, scope, time, cost, quality, human

    resource, communications, risk and procurement management. Projects are

    governed by certain factors that have major influence in directing the success or

    failures. Broadly cost, time & scope have been identified as key important success

    factors for projects. This research is carried out to identify the critical success factors

    in EPC/PC projects in Oil & Gas industry of Kuwait and to compare the results with

    previous established success factors. Previously established researches were used

    to define the frame work for the research to facilitate in identifying success factors. A

    questionnaire was developed, based on the nine knowledge management areas,

    and data were acquired from the selected participants of a particular organization

  • 126

    which is operating in the oil & gas industry executing EPC/PC projects. The data

    were collected based on convenience sampling technique. Acquired data were

    analyzed through factor analysis technique and critical factors based on these data,

    acquired from the selected organization, were identified. The findings indicated