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Chemical Alternatives Assessments: Combining Exposure, (Health) Effects and Life Cycle Assessment Ann Mason, American Chemistry Council Erin Mulholland, thinkstep Hans Plugge, 3E Company

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Chemical Alternatives

Assessments: Combining

Exposure, (Health) Effects

and Life Cycle Assessment

Ann Mason, American Chemistry Council

Erin Mulholland, thinkstep

Hans Plugge, 3E Company

Hazard Assessment in

Alternatives Assessment

Ann M. Mason

American Chemistry Council

Moving from Hazard Assessment

to Risk Assessment in

Alternatives Assessment

Hans Plugge

3E Company

Hazard vs Risk

Hazard Assessment – the inherent hazard of a chemical via specific or all routes of exposure without consideration of exposure

Exposure Assessment – the likely amount of chemical exposure to occur from a specific usage scenario for a chemical/product

Risk Assessment – the probability of an effect resulting from a particular chemical exposure scenario – for a single chemical and scenario, the product of exposure and hazard

Hazard Assessment: Health Effects

List scores

Classification scores

Scientific data scores

Probabilistic data

Exposure Assessment

• Hundreds of scenarios available

• One exposure scenario at a time

• Most exposures involve multiple scenarios

• Need a way to sum exposure

Modeling

Spray Finishing

Activity Chemical

h/day Quantity Temp Room PPE

Product Liters °C Volume Value

Transport A, B, C 0.5 3.8 25 140 1

Mixing A, B 1.5 2 25 140 10

Spraying B 3 1.3 25 800 20

Flashing B 0.5 0.5 25 800 20

Cleaning C 1 1 25 140 10

Drying B 1.5 0.2 25 800 20

Exposure Assessment

Detailed analysis of scenarios •May need multiple algorithms Population average vs high exposure

Need lots of physical chemistry data

Detailed chemical analysis of mixtures

Difficult to automate

Time-weighted average vs peak exposure • Exposures modeled to be exceeding e.g. TWA need to be field verified

Exposure Screening

Single model for each scenario

Auto-selection of algorithms

Easy to obtain effect data

Auto-calculation of exposure and risk

Time-weighted summation of exposures and hence risk

• Inherently simple

• Relative vs absolute risk

• Screening vs Regulatory Limits

• Occupational vs consumer

• Average vs sensitive vs high exposure population

Risk Assessment

Potentials for Informing Exposure

Assessment through Life Cycle

Assessment

Erin Mulholland

thinkstep

Putting It All together: Integrating

Effects, Exposure and Life Cycle

Assessment

Hans Plugge

3E Company

Alternatives Assessment

Alternatives Assessment is the growing and rapidly expanding art and

science of evaluating the

relative hazards and risks of existing chemicals (or

products).

Informs the scientific process of

substituting functionally similar

chemicals with reduced overall

health & environmental risks.

Maintaining functionality is of utmost importance – substitution must

provide similar functionality within a mixture (product) or inherently makes for an unacceptable

substitute.

Alternatives Assessment

• List based

• Classification based

• Scientific data based

Hazard Assessment

• Screening

• Detailed

Exposure Assessment

• Screening

• Detailed Risk Assessment

Integrated Life Cycle Assessment

WORSE

PRODUCTCOMPO-SITION

CHEMICALSOF

CONCERN

CHEMICALFUNCTIONALITY

EXISTINGALTERNATIVES

R&D

DE NOVOCHEMICALS

STRUCTURESPHYSICAL

CHEMISTRY

CLASSICALIN VIVO

TOXICOLOGYIN VITRO

ADVERSEOUTCOMEPATHWAYS

ENZYMEDATA

TOXICOGENOMICS

DATAANALY-

TICS

DATAGAPS

READ-ACROSS/ QSAR / MOLECULAR TOXICOLOGY

PRELIMINARY SCREENING HAZARD ASSESSMENT

(REGULATORY) HAZARDASSESSMENT

PHYSICALCHEMISTRY

EXPOSUREASSESSMENT

TOXICOLOGYDATA

ECOTOXICOLOGYDATA

(REGULATORY) RISK ASSESSMENT

REGULATORY ANALYSIS

INTERIM

LIFECYCLE

ASSESSMENTSUSTAINABILITY ECONOMICS

ENGINEERINGPERFORMANCE

REGULATORYANALYSIS

ACCEPT

DOCUMENT

IMPLEMENT

FRAMEWORK FORASSESSMENT OF CHEMICALS

GREEN CHEMISTRY AND ENGINEERING CONFERENCEJUNE 14-16, 2016, PORTLAND, OR, USA

Hans Plugge & Longzhu Shen3E Company & Yale University

Bethesda, MD & New Haven, [email protected] & [email protected]

After National Academy of Sciences, 2014

COMPUTATIONAL CHEMISTRY

CHEMINFORMATICS

PROBABILISTIC MODEL

WORSE

BETTER/EQUIVOCAL

BETTER/EQUIVOCAL

YES

NO

NO

YES

NO

Preliminary Screening

Data Gaps

Read Across

• Homologues e.g. octanal vs heptanal

• Analogues e.g. octanal vs octanone

QSAR Quantitative Structure Activity

Relationships

• Based on existing (classical) data

Molecular Toxicology

• Based on enzyme/in vitro data

Screening Alternatives Assessment

Best outcome: greener Alternatives

No alternative better

Decreased exposure/risk?

Back to R&D

Regulatory Risk Assessment

Sustainability Assessment

Sustainability

Economics

Life Cycle Assessment

Engineering Performance

Regulatory Analysis

WORSE

PRODUCTCOMPO-SITION

CHEMICALSOF

CONCERN

CHEMICALFUNCTIONALITY

EXISTINGALTERNATIVES

R&D

DE NOVOCHEMICALS

STRUCTURESPHYSICAL

CHEMISTRY

CLASSICALIN VIVO

TOXICOLOGYIN VITRO

ADVERSEOUTCOMEPATHWAYS

ENZYMEDATA

TOXICOGENOMICS

DATAANALY-

TICS

DATAGAPS

READ-ACROSS/ QSAR / MOLECULAR TOXICOLOGY

PRELIMINARY SCREENING HAZARD ASSESSMENT

(REGULATORY) HAZARDASSESSMENT

PHYSICALCHEMISTRY

EXPOSUREASSESSMENT

TOXICOLOGYDATA

ECOTOXICOLOGYDATA

(REGULATORY) RISK ASSESSMENT

REGULATORY ANALYSIS

INTERIM

LIFECYCLE

ASSESSMENTSUSTAINABILITY ECONOMICS

ENGINEERINGPERFORMANCE

REGULATORYANALYSIS

ACCEPT

DOCUMENT

IMPLEMENT

FRAMEWORK FORASSESSMENT OF CHEMICALS

GREEN CHEMISTRY AND ENGINEERING CONFERENCEJUNE 14-16, 2016, PORTLAND, OR, USA

Hans Plugge & Longzhu Shen3E Company & Yale University

Bethesda, MD & New Haven, [email protected] & [email protected]

After National Academy of Sciences, 2014

COMPUTATIONAL CHEMISTRY

CHEMINFORMATICS

PROBABILISTIC MODEL

WORSE

BETTER/EQUIVOCAL

BETTER/EQUIVOCAL

YES

NO

NO

YES

NO

Uses of Alternatives Assessment

Greener products More acceptable

across supply chain

Consumer vs industrial

Ranking of existing products/releases

Prioritize R&D

New products Up front analysis

of greenness

Incorporate sustainability into

supply chain

Future

Alternatives Assessment is a long term interim solution for selecting greener chemicals.

Increasingly de novo green chemistry will be used to influence the selection of

greener chemicals eventually taking over the entire process of selecting greener chemicals

Eventually we will achieve the Holy Grail: integrating risk

assessment and LCA in a semi-automated screening approach

Authors

• Ann Mason American Chemistry Council, Washington, DC

[email protected]

• Erin Mulholland thinkstep, Boston, MA

[email protected]

• Hans Plugge 3E Company, Bethesda, MD

[email protected]