china in the world economyby nicholas r. lardy
TRANSCRIPT
China in the World Economy by Nicholas R. LardyReview by: Donald ZagoriaForeign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 5 (Sep. - Oct., 1994), pp. 167-168Published by: Council on Foreign RelationsStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20046894 .
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Recent Books
The Politics of Social Transformation in
Afghanistan, Iran, and Pakistan.
EDITED BY MYRON WEINER AND
ali banuazizi. Syracuse: Syracuse
University Press, 1994, 488 pp. $45.00
(paper, $18.95). Each of these three Muslim countries
has undergone profound changes in
recent years. As the editors point out,
these states have been involved in attempts at extensive social engineering, often
with Islamic overtones. The individual
chapters concentrate on political elites,
the issue of redistribution and social
equity, and state policies toward women.
More could be done in comparing the
three cases, but the individual chapters are of high quality, and the reader can
pick and choose according to specific areas of interest. A valuable collection.
Asia and the Pacific DONALD ZAGORIA
China in the World Economy, by
Nicholas R. lardy. Washington: Institute for International Economics,
1994,156 pp. $16.95 (paper). This dense, information-packed mono
graph can be rewardingly read on several
levels. First, it explodes a number of myths about China, including the one that exag
gerates the size of the Chinese economy.
Second, there is an informative chapter on
economic issues in U.S.-China relations.
Third, in a stimulating concluding chap
ter, the author demonstrates that China is
already more integrated into the world
economy than Japan, Taiwan, or South
Korea were at comparable stages of their
economic development. More surpris
ingly, he argues that China, in some cru
cial respects, is more open than these
other Asian economies. This greater inte
gration gives China an enormous stake in
the evolution of the world economy and
has important policy implications for the United States.
Finally, Lardy s volume can be read as
a potent critique of U.S. policy toward
China. Instead of labeling China, along with Iran and Iraq, a "backlash state," as
National Security Advisor Anthony Lake labeled it recently, China should be treated as a
potential strategic partner. And when
China's behavior?in human rights, non
proliferation, or other areas?does not
meet acceptable international standards, this should be addressed by multilateral rather than unilateral sanctions.
Most importandy, Lardy (like Bresnan) demonstrates the inadequacy of Americas
present and planned national export strat
egy. The proposed funding for the U.S.
Export-Import Bank is far too small, much less than that offered by our Japa nese and European competitors. The
Clinton export promotion package does
not include explicit bilateral aid for China
comparable to Japan's. Moreover, because
of foreign policy sanctions, low levels of
official export finance, and regulatory bur
dens, the United States is losing huge amounts of potential exports worldwide.
In 1989 alone, the United States probably missed opportunities for five to ten billion dollars worth of exports to China in such
areas as chemicals, industrial machinery,
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FOREIGN AFFAIRS September/October 1994 [167]
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Recent Books
electronic and electrical equipment, and
transportation equipment, instruments,
and related products. Lardy offers a num
ber of sensible suggestions for revising the Export Administration Act, the single
most important law governing U.S. export
controls, and he offers a number of sugges tions for promoting U.S. exports to China.
If the Clinton administration wants
to develop a more coherent national eco
nomic strategy that promotes U.S. exports, as it says it does, it should ponder the
ideas elaborated here.
An Emerging China in a World of Interdependence: A Report
to the
Trilateral Commission, by yoichi
FUNABASHI, MICHEL OKSENBERG,
and Heinrich weiss. NewYork:
The Trilateral Commission, 1994,
84 pp. $9.00 (paper). There is no greater challenge to the
Western powers in the post-Cold War
era than to develop a unified and realistic
policy toward the People's Republic of China. This report from the Trilateral
Commission goes a long way toward
providing the basis for such a policy.
Written by three prominent specialists? one American, one Japanese and one
European Asian?the report is sharply critical of Western (particularly U.S.)
policy toward China in recent years. It
deplores the "sporadic" attention to
China since Tiananmen, the "inconsis
tent signals," the failure to sustain high level dialogue, and the lost opportunities "to share and shape perspectives" and
help nurture the sense of responsibility that should accompany China's growing
great power status. The result of this mis
guided policy has been to force the West
to seek Chinese cooperation on "head
line-grabbing transitory issues"?such
as the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, North
Korea's acquisition of nuclear weapons, or Beijing's treatment of specific dissi
dents?rather than to develop a shared
conceptual framework to illuminate for
the Chinese why it is in their interest to resolve the problem at hand.
The report argues that China should
be regarded more as an opportunity than
a threat, and it recommends a wide range of economic, strategic, and political actions that would facilitate China's
involvement in the world community. It
also urges that expectations be kept real
istic. All too often in the past, it points
out, Western powers have harbored unre
alistic hopes for China, and "China has been blamed for dashing the unrealistic dreams of others." China, the report con
tinues, is a great civilization with its own
history and traditions, and its path will
be shaped largely by internal forces and the choices of its leaders. In seeking to
incorporate China in the emerging world
order, Western leaders must recognize that China's leaders will govern their
country in accord with their own vision.
Consequently, the West will require great
patience and persistence, and the chal
lenge of incorporating China into the
world community will be a protracted one, involving decades and generations.
In sum, the challenge of dealing with
China requires what the American politi cal process seems incapable of develop
ing?a steady, long-term, consistent policy that sets out to weave China into webs of
economic interdependence, engage China
in multilateral security arrangements, and
maintain frequent and extensive high-level
[l68] FOREIGN AFFAIRS Volume73No.3
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