choi nasa pmc_2012
TRANSCRIPT
마스터 제목 스타일 편집
2012-02-23 11
PM Challenge 2012
2012. 2. 22
Korea Aerospace Research Institute
KARI Space Project Manage-ment in a Changing Global
Environment
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1. Major Factors to Change a Global Environment in Space Program
Economy
Iran, North Korea, …
Bankrupcy of Lehman Bros.(2008), Euro-pean Sovereign Debt Crisis(2009 - present), …
Global Warming, Natural Disaster, …
Mars Exploration, Asteroid Exploration, Space Defense, Green Energy, …
Alien, New Creature, Water in Moon,…
Diplo-macy
Nature
Initiative
New Dis-covery
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70
73
84
93
102
81
93
86
77
87
0.0300000000000001
0.0400000000000001
0.0400000000000001
0.0900000000000001
0.01
61
53
58
64
65
13
14
16
22
22
Commercial Space Products & ServicesCommercial Infrastructure & Support IndustriesCommercial Space Transportation Services
Keep increasing despite economycrises
2. Global Space Economy Size
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
225.4
232.4
244.1
256.8
276.5
단위 , B$
Average An-nual growth
rate : greater than 5%
(출처 : Space Foundation, The Space Report 2011)
Global Space Activity Revenues and Budgets
2020 년 :
$400B
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$102B(37%)
$87.39B(32%)
$64.63B(23%)
$22.49B(8%)
$0.01B(<1%)
Commercial SpaceTransportation ServicesNon-U.S. Government
Space Budgets
U.S. GovernmentSpace Budgets
Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries
Commercial SpaceProducts & Services
Korean Government
Budget in 2010 : $271B
2010 Military Space Budget - U.S. $43.7B - Non U.S. $2.3B - Total $46.0B
Government Space Budget - Space Exploration - National Security Program - Scientific Research
Global Space Activity, 2010
Total
$276.52Billion
2. Global Space Economy Size
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Type 2010 2019(E)
Earth Observation 2.01 3.80
- Data Sales (0.89) (1.80)
- Value-Added Services (1.12) (2.00)
Direct-to-Home TV 79.22
Satellite Radio 2.84
Satellite Services 17.92
Total 102.00
Commercial Space Product & Service, 2010
Unit : B$
2. Global Space Economy Size
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Type Commercial Government Sum
Launch Industry 2.45 4.90 7.35
Satellite Manufacturing 3.41 7.14 10.55
Ground Station & Equipment 80.47
- Geolocation & Navigation Equipment (71.62)
- Others (Ground Control Station, Mobile Satellite Terminal, etc) (8.85)
Independent Research & Development 0.18
Insurance 0.88
Sum 87.39
Commercial Infrastructure & Support Indus-tries, 2010
Unit : B$
2. Global Space Economy Size
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3. Space Competitiveness Index
SCI in 2009 (From : Futron, 2009 Space Competitiveness Index(SCI))
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Global
KoreaAutomobile
In 2009
AutomobileIn 2009
Semi-ConductorIn 2010
Semi-ConductorIn 2010
AerospaceIn 2010
AerospaceIn 2010
Ship BuildingIn 2010
Ship BuildingIn 2010
$1.4Trill $47.7B (3.5%)
$300B
$39B (12.9%)
$71.7B
$30.6B(42.7%)
$570B
$2.5B(0.4%)
Korea Competitiveness in Market ShareKorea Competitiveness in Market Share
※Complete Car
Global
Korea
Global
Korea
Global
Korea
4. Korea Competitiveness
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Year 2006 2007 2008
2009
2010
Sales Total ($Mill) 733 955 784 676 699
Space Manufacturing 8.1% 14.3% 27.9%
21% 11.5%
Space Application 91.9% 85.7% 72.1%
79.0%
88.5%
Korea Space Industries Sales2007 2008 2009 2010
Space Manufacturing($Mill)
Satellite 45.4 40.9 17.0 40.2
Launcher 15.7 19.1 5.8 1.3
Ground Equip-ment
75.4 158.6 119.2 38.8
Space Applica-tion
($Mill) 818.4 565.4 534.0 618.7
Korea Space Activities (Sales+R&D+Research)
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Activities Total ($Bill)
1.17 1.36 1.19 1.00 0.91
5. Korea Space Sales
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Success of
Government
Space
Projects
Expansion of
Space Cul-ture
Collaboration with Foreign
Countries
Achievement
of Core Tech-
nologies
KARI
CanSat, CubeSat for students Space Exploration,Space Science, Earth Sci-ence (w/ NASA, JAXA, etc.)
6. KARI Top Management Strategy
Collaboration with several government bodies
Evolution of technology
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7. KARI Project Management
Political Support
Ocean PayloadDevelopment
Meteorological PayloadDevelopment
Environment PayloadDevelopment
System/BusDevelopment2nd Korean
GeostationarySatellite
2nd KoreanGeostationary
Satellite
ME MEST
MLTMKMA
National Committee of Space Development
ME : Ministry of EnvironmentKMA : Korea Meteorological Administration
MEST : Ministry of Education, Science & TechnologyMLTM : Ministry of Land, Transport & Maritime Affairs
Collaborative Support from Government
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II. Satellite Development
Evolution of Technology
KOMPSAT-1
Sys-tem
Co-Op(w/ )
BusCo-Op(w/ )
Pay-load
Procure + OJT(w/ )
KOMPSAT-2
Led byConsult
with
Led by
Co-Op(w/ ELOP)
KOMPSAT-3
Indigenous
Indigenous
Led by Consult
1999 2006 2012
7. KARI Project Management
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7. KARI Project Management
Evolution of Technology
Optical Payload
COMSAREA
Korea leading de-velopment(Expert support for some in-sufficient Technology)
GEO-KOMPSAT2
Ka-band Payload
Ground/Operation
System
Satellite Bus
Co-Develop-ment
Self-Develop-ment
Co-Development
Self-development(Performance Enhancement)
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○ Space Science and Space Exploration are most suitable area
for international cooperation
○ Mutual use of infra and resources is the big advantage
KARI and NASA offered the following joint project topics- Space Exploration : 5 topics including lunar impactor- Space Science : 3 topics- Earth Science : 6 topics
7. KARI Project Management
KARI and JAXA are collaborating in the following areas;- ISS/JEM Utilization- Aviation Program- Environmental Test Technology- Sentinel Asia Program- Space Education, APRSAF Task Force, etc.
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7. KARI Project Management
• NASA will lead the mothership (or-biter) & cubesat design, analysis & manufacturing
• NASA will provide the launch service and DSN(Deep Space Network) for the lunar impactor mission
• KARI would possibly join the mothership (orbiter) design, analysis & manufacturing in the selected subsystem as well as mission design for the whole lunar mission
• Korean universities perform cubesat design & manufacturing as well as scientific analy-sis from the acquired scientific data
Lunar Swirl
Lunar Prospector Magnetic Field Map
Orbiting Mother ship < 200kg
Cubesat Probe
The Lunar Impactor mission is designed to investigate the lunar swirls which are one of the most enigmatic geologic features in the solar system.
Example
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8. Summary
○ Despite economy crises, global space economy size has increased
○ Korea space economy size has fluctuated during that period
○ In Korea, the major customer is the government so that, at present, the
domestic environment is much more important than the global envi-
ronment
○ KARI has 4 launches(4 satellites and 1 launcher) in 2012
so that KARI space project management will be evaluated
according to the results
KOMPSAT-32012. 5. 18
KOMPSAT-5Middle of 2012
NARO 3rd AttemptOctober of 2012
STSAT-3End of 2012
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○ Space exploration, space science and earth science may be the most
suitable areas to cooperate with global partners in any global environ-
ment changes
○ The space development strategy and program management approaches
developed in Korea could be a bench mark model to emerging coun-
tries in space development
8. Summary
Thank You