christian leysen, ahlers on economy: get ready for the rebound
DESCRIPTION
Christian Leysen, Executive Chairman of Ahlers speaks at a session on 'The Economy: Get Ready for the Rebound' at at the 7th European 3PL Summit in Brussels, November 25th 2009. To download all of the slides from the conference for free visit www.3PLsummit.com/eu_2009pptsTRANSCRIPT
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Impact of the current economic situation
on supply chain strategy in Russiaon supply chain strategy in Russia
Christian Leysen
Executive Chairman Ahlers nv
7th European 3PL Summit
Brussels, 24 & 25 November 2009
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100 years of Ahlers History
� 1909 shipping agent in the port of Antwerp
� 60s expansion into liner services and ship management
� 70s - 80s expansion into international � 70s - 80s expansion into international forwarding and warehousing
� 90s expansion and internationalisation of all 4 activities
� 2009 a global logistic and maritime service provider
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Ahlers : 1 Company, 4 Activities
CrewingTraining
Liner agenciesPort agencies
Break bulkContainers
WarehousingAdded servicesTraining
Projects
20 staff300 seamen
Belgium, France, Congo, Angola,
Gabon
Port agencies
580
15 countries in Asia,
Containers
staff
CIS and Europe
Added services
220 staff
Belgium, Russia,Ukraine
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Our Network
Warehouses
• Ghent
• St-Petersburg
• Kharkiv
• Dnepropetrovsk
• Shanghai
• Semarang
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Facts & Figures
� HQ in Antwerp, Belgium
� Own entities in 20 countries : Africa, Asia, CIS and Europe
� 1,120 people - € 270 million turnover
� Partner network around the world
� 100 years – privately owned by founders family
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1960’s
Ahlers operated liner trade on Baltic Sea to nordic countries and former Soviet Union in 1960’s (Ventspils -at that time USSR, now Latvia).
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Antwerp Hansa Cruise 1992
Vladimir Putin
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� 1993 Liner & forwarding agent
� 1996 Started as warehouse (rented) operator
History of Ahlers in Russia
� 1997 Licensed customs broker
� 2000 Purchase land plot
� 2003 Start construction ALC
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Ahlers in Russia Today
� Shipping agency
� International Forwarding: multimodal solutions
� Specialist in project and break bulk cargo
� Licensed customs broker
� Ahlers Logistic Centre (ALC)
200 people
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� Licensed since 1997
� Listed in Register of Customs Brokers with non limited region of activities
Customs Brokerage
� Operate with Baltic, St. Petersburg, Pulkovo and Excise Customs houses
� Own offices in port area
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Ahlers Logistic Centre (ALC)
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LocationLocationLocationLocation
SEA PORTSEA PORT
-- in the region of sea portin the region of sea port-- on the ring road of St. Peteon the ring road of St. Pete-- close to the main transport routesclose to the main transport routes
80 km
ALCALC
RING ROADRING ROAD
80 km
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ALC
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ALC
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Economic situation in Russia
GDP (% real change pa)
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Consumer price inflation
(% real change pa; av)
5
10
15
20
Source: Russia business outlook, The Economist, November 2009
-8
-6
RUSSIA MAIN CIS EASTERN EUROPE
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
RUSSIA MAIN CIS EASTERN EUROPE
Main CIS: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Russia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan
Eastern Europe: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia
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Living Standards
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Retail sales
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Market size indicators
2009 2013
Population (million) 141.4 139.6
Nominal GDP (US$bn) 1,285 1,916
GDP per head (US$ at PPP) 14,900 18,390
Private consumption per head (US$) 4,580 6,750
Total imports (US$bn) 205 294
Private consumption (% of GDP) 50.5 49.1
Government consumption (% of GDP) 19.4 18.2
Gross fixed investment (% of GDP) 20.3 19.5
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Why is SCM hot ?
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� Human Resources– Employer loyalty
– Management model
– Nationalism + regional competition
– Know how
Where are the opportunities?
� Physical product flows– Bottlenecks
– Administration & regulation related issues
– Short term vision embedded in culture
– Uncertainty -> forecasting ?
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� Customs– Changes in import duties for some products to
stimulate added value industry
– Closure of main customs points in Moscow
– 1 customs zone for RU, BY, KZ
Where are the opportunities ?
� Survival of the fittest– Supply chain management gets more C-level
attention
– M&A opportunities
– Capacity moves to capability
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A practicle example
Consumer GoodsConsumer Goods
Real life case
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Situation as it was
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Asia
NDC Russia (ALC)
Central Asia
CIS
KZ
2009
Europe
Local prod
CIS HQ CG
Wholesaler - regions
Retail DC MOW LSP 2
Physical flow
Buffer Stock MOW LSP 3
X- dock
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Near Future ?
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Challenges of tomorrow
� Topograhy
Source: Cap Gemini
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Join us on www.ahlers.com
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More information ?
Stefan Van DoorslaerGeneral Manager Ahlers [email protected]+ 7.921.903.87.28
Ellen TheeuwesBusiness Development Manager Ahlers [email protected]+ 32.3.543.77.25
Christian LeysenExecutive Chairman Ahlers [email protected]+ 32.3.543.73.11
www.ahlers.com
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www.ahlers.com