cincinnati police department 2015 crime summary & year-end report · 2016-01-19 · cincinnati...
TRANSCRIPT
Cincinnati Police Department
2015 Crime Summary & Year-End Report
CPD Crime Analysis & Problem Solving Squad
Office of Performance & Data Analytics
Violent Crime
Summary
VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, RAPE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT
−20.7%since
2011
−13.0%compared to
4-year
average
−0.6%compared to
2014
3
*Standard Deviation is a statistical measure to help determine if a
variation from the average is statistically significant
The top
0.5%(or 37 segments)
street segments
account for
14.4%(or 303 violent crimes)
of all violent crimes
for 2015
------------------------1.4800 block of Hawaiian
Te (20)
2.3500 block of Reading
Rd (17)
3.2300 block of Ferguson
Rd (13)
4.1800 block of Westwood
Northern Bv (13)
5.0 block of E Liberty St
(12)
6.2300 block of Harrison
Av (12)
7.3400 block of Warsaw Av
(11)
VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT
4
Note: Street segment may be multiple “100-blocks” long should there be no intersections to provide natural cut points.
VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT
Segments with
6+ fewer Violent Crimes
1. 1900 block of Westmont Ln (-
10)
2. 3100 block of Reading Rd (-9)
3. 2300 block of St James Av (-7)
4. 3600 block of Vine St (-7)
5. 100 block of E 14th St (-6)
6. 3100 block of Harrison Av (-6)
7. 200 block of Hearne Av (-6)
8. 2300 block of Ohio Av (-6)
9. 3600 block of Warsaw Av (-6)
--------------------------
Segments with
6+ more Violent Crimes
1. 900 block of Chateau Av (+7)
2. 3000 block of Bracken Woods
Ln (+6)
3. 3200 block of Moosewood Av
(+6)
4. 3000 block of Warsaw Av (+6)
5. 1800 block of Westwood
Northern Bv (+6)
5
VIOLENT CRIMERAPE
+6.9%since
2011
+0.4%compared to
4-year
average
+3.8%compared to
2014
6
VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY
−28.3%since
2011
−21.6%compared to
4-year
average
−6.7%compared to
2014
7
VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY
--Other Notes--
All districts and
Central Business
Section were
> 1standard deviation*
below the 4-year
average
DST 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15
District 1 305 246 229 183 183 ↓0
District 2 162 136 160 125 127 ↑2
District 3 378 481 442 394 352 ↓42
District 4 474 433 406 341 331 ↓10
District 5 341 331 284 252 215 ↓37
CBS 89 86 74 55 50 ↓5
Citywide 1756 1717 1597 1350 1259 ↓91
Statistically Significant Increase
Statistically Significant Decrease
8
*Standard Deviation is a statistical measure to help determine if a
variation from the average is statistically significant
VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY
Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15
1 WESTWOOD 111 141 141 122 109 ↓13
2 OVER-THE-RHINE 177 151 143 121 105 ↓16
3 EAST PRICE HILL 95 123 105 88 89 ↑1
3 AVONDALE 97 108 116 87 89 ↑2
5 WALNUT HILLS 106 107 84 94 84 ↓10
6 WEST PRICE HILL 75 100 87 81 71 ↓10
7 NORTHSIDE 78 56 39 45 51 ↑6
8 C. B. D. / RIVERFRONT 89 86 74 55 50 ↓5
9 WEST END 91 71 58 49 48 ↓1
10 COLLEGE HILL 49 48 37 47 46 ↓1
11 SOUTH FAIRMOUNT 25 33 37 32 31 ↓1
12 MOUNT AUBURN 31 36 26 29 30 ↑1
13 ROSELAWN 69 57 60 39 29 ↓10
14 MADISONVILLE 35 30 27 21 28 ↑7
15 MOUNT AIRY 34 44 47 37 25 ↓12
16 FAIRVIEW 59 65 48 38 24 ↓14
17 EVANSTON 53 25 50 38 21 ↓17
18CLIFTON/UNIVERSITY HEIGHTS
23 25 31 23 19 ↓4
18 BONDHILL 44 42 37 19 19 ↓0
18 NORTH AVONDALE 35 29 16 19 19 ↓0
--Other Notes--
UC area (CUF,
Corryville, Clifton)
−46.7%compared to
4-year average
12of the top 20
neighborhoods
had lowest robbery totals
over the past 5 years
in 2015
Statistically
Significant
Increase
Statistically
Significant
9
VIOLENT CRIMEAGGRAVATED ASSAULT
−15.0%since
2011
−1.7%compared to
4-year
average
+8.7%compared to
2014
10
Property Crime
Summary
PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E, THEFT FROM AUTO, PERSONAL/OTHER THEFT, AUTO THEFT
−20.0%since
2011
−9.6%compared to
4-year
average
−0.5%compared to
2014
12
PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E
−33.7%since
2011
−21.2%compared to
4-year
average
−8.2%compared to
2014
13
DST 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15
District 1 364 276 307 303 257 ↓46
District 2 1076 1057 904 778 793 ↑15
District 3 2242 1776 1890 1755 1538 ↓217
District 4 1262 1117 1093 934 916 ↓18
District 5 1673 1261 1219 1022 893 ↓129
CBS 74 40 58 46 44 ↓2
Citywide 6698 5529 5471 4840 4441 ↓399
PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E
--Other Notes--
All districts were
> 1standard deviation
below the 4-year
average
Statistically Significant Increase
Statistically Significant Decrease
14
PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E
--Other Notes--
Not shown…
Clifton is down
42and the West End
is down
41burglaries in 2015
compared to 2014
12of the top 20
neighborhoods
had lowest burglary totals over
the past 5 years
in 2015
Statistically
Significant
Increase
Statistically
Significant
Decrease
Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15
1 WESTWOOD 619 519 586 559 413 ↓146
2 WEST PRICE HILL 460 405 373 359 359 ↓0
3 EAST PRICE HILL 433 359 369 300 289 ↓11
4 Winton Hills 228 143 102 114 188 ↑74
5 AVONDALE 233 266 218 200 187 ↓13
6 MADISONVILLE 210 203 191 119 146 ↑27
7 NORTHSIDE 285 218 269 142 143 ↑1
8 COLLEGE HILL 251 178 197 198 138 ↓60
9 WALNUT HILLS 166 153 162 137 130 ↓7
9 OVER-THE-RHINE 173 138 150 122 130 ↑8
11 MOUNT AIRY 201 219 175 155 125 ↓30
12 BONDHILL 154 96 123 118 114 ↓4
13 EVANSTON 151 182 131 114 110 ↓4
13 CARTHAGE 108 104 85 92 110 ↑18
15 SOUTH FAIRMOUNT 143 131 191 166 105 ↓61
16 FAIRVIEW 225 141 150 123 100 ↓23
17 MT. WASHINGTON 123 106 96 75 99 ↑24
18 NORTH AVONDALE 123 126 108 98 95 ↓3
19 ROSELAWN 181 120 121 75 89 ↑14
20CLIFTON/UNIVERSITY HEIGHTS
149 90 118 92 81 ↓1115
PROPERTY CRIMETHEFT FROM AUTO
−22.5%since
2011
−7.6%compared to
4-year
average
+5.3%compared to
2014
16
PROPERTY CRIMEPERSONAL/OTHER THEFT
−8.4%since
2011
−3.2%compared to
4-year
average
+0.9%compared to
2014
17
PROPERTY CRIMEAUTO THEFT
−14.0%since
2011
−3.0%compared to
4-year
average
+6.9%compared to
2014
18
Homicides & Shootings
Cincinnati Total Homicides & Nonfatal Shooting Victims
January 1 – December 31
72 67 53 74 63 71
370 369328
362320
421
442 436
381
436
383
492
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
# o
f V
icti
ms
Year
NonfatalShootings
Homicides
Re
po
rt P
rod
uce
d:
13
Ja
nu
ary
20
16
20
HOMICIDESGUN & NON-GUN
Gun Homicides
+3.4%compared to
2014 and
+1.8%to 7-year average
Non-Gun Homicides
+85.7%compared to
2014 and
+44.4%to 7-year average
All homicides
+12.7%compared to 2014 and
+7.6%to 7-year average
Fatal & Nonfatal Shootings (Victims)January 1 – December 31
•
•
•
•
27.7% increase from 2014
22.2% increase from 3-year average
17.8% increase from 5-year average
16.8% increase from 2008-14 average
22
Cincinnati Group Member Involved HomicidesJanuary 1 – December 31
54.7%
60.8%
58.7%
49.3%
29
45
37
35
24
29
26
36
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
2012
2013
2014
2015
GMI
Non-GMI
*GMI data are only available 2012-present
Re
po
rt P
rod
uce
d:
13
Ja
nu
ary
20
16
23
Cincinnati Group Member Involved Nonfatal ShootingsJanuary 1 – December 31*GMI data are only available 2012-present
Re
po
rt P
rod
uce
d:
13
Ja
nu
ary
20
16 57.9%
61.3%
52.8%
53.9%
190
222
169
227
138
140
151
194
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
2012
2013
2014
2015
GMI
Non-GMI
24
5+ year low
with
64victims over the
90 day window
ending
17 March 2015
5+ year high
with
159victims over the
90 day window
ending
17 July 2015
SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL
25
SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL
Two above a 5+
year low with
15victims over the
28 day window
ending
15 March 2015
5+ year high
with
60victims over the
28 day window
ending
20 May 2015
26
Homicides & Nonfatal Shooting Victims by DistrictJanuary 1 – December 31
Rep
ort
Pro
du
ce
d:
13
Ja
nu
ary
20
16
92 10269
9456
73
34 29
31
34
19
42
110 105
115
116
112
140
128 138
115
118
133
156
76 61
49
68
54
792 1
2
6
9
2
442 436
381
436
383
492
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CBS
D5
D4
D3
D2
D1
27
Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15
1 AVONDALE 32 34 45 50 52 ↑2
2 WESTWOOD 22 27 18 15 46 ↑31
3 WALNUT HILLS 20 29 21 28 38 ↑10
4 OVER-THE-RHINE 69 41 55 28 36 ↑8
5 WEST END 26 24 30 25 34 ↑9
6 MOUNT AIRY 13 11 12 12 23 ↑11
7 WINTON HILLS 18 12 27 15 20 ↑5
8 EAST PRICE HILL 13 26 24 25 18 ↓7
9 ROSELAWN 23 17 15 13 17 ↑4
9 EAST WESTWOOD 9 3 9 10 17 ↑7
SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL
Statistically Significant Increase
Statistically Significant Decrease28
Staffing
Staffing Levels
30
1023984 957
1012 1009
115129
117
125 133
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
CPD Staffing Level SnapshotJanuary 2012 - January 2016
Sworn Civilian
CY2016 Recruit Classes• 106th Recruit Class started 01.04.16 and will
graduate 07.01.16 (26 weeks).
• 53 Recruits: two resigned, one before and one
after the class started (expect about 10% loss).
• 31 m/w; 9 f/w, 6 m/b, 5 f/b, and 2 m/o. (58%
m/w; 41.5% other).
• 107th Recruit class of 30 is scheduled as part
of FY17 budget
31
Strategic Focus
DISENTANGLE OFFENDER &
PLACE CRIMINAL NETWORKS
CIRVs approach
Next approach will integrate offender-with place-based
initiatives