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California Public Employees’ Retirement System Actuarial Office P.O. Box 942701 Sacramento, CA 94229-2701 TTY: (916) 795-3240 (888) 225-7377 phone (916) 795-2744 fax www.calpers.ca.gov August 2016 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE (CalPERS ID: 3165685202) Annual Valuation Report as of June 30, 2015 Dear Employer, As an attachment to this letter, you will find a copy of the June 30, 2015 actuarial valuation report of your pension plan. Your 2015 actuarial valuation report contains important actuarial information about your pension plan at CalPERS. Your CalPERS staff actuary, whose signature appears in the “Actuarial Certification” section on page 1, is available to discuss the report with you after August 31, 2016. Future Contributions The exhibit below displays the minimum employer contributions for Fiscal Year 2017-18 and projected contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19, before any cost sharing. The projected contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19 are based on the most recent information available, including an estimate of the investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-16, namely 0.0 percent. For a projection of employer contributions beyond Fiscal Year 2018-19, please refer to the “Projected Employer Contributions” in the “Highlights and Executive Summary” section. This 5-year projection of future employer contributions supersedes any previous projections we have provided. The “Risk Analysis” section of the valuation report also contains estimated employer contributions in future years under a variety of investment return scenarios. Fiscal Year Employer Normal Cost Rate Employer Payment of Unfunded Liability Employee PEPRA Rate 2017-18 12.136% $15,683,043 7.00% 2018-19 (projected) 12.1% $19,724,988 N/A Member contributions other than cost sharing (whether paid by the employer or the employee) are in addition to the above. The employer contributions in this report do not reflect any cost sharing arrangement you may have with your employees. The estimates for Fiscal Year 2018-19 also assume that there are no future contract amendments and no liability gains or losses (such as larger than expected pay increases, more retirements than expected, etc.). This is a very important assumption because these gains and losses do occur and can have a significant impact on required contributions. These gains and losses cannot be predicted in advance so the projected employer contributions are just estimates. The actual required employer contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19 will be provided in next year’s report.

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  • California Public Employees’ Retirement System Actuarial Office P.O. Box 942701 Sacramento, CA 94229-2701 TTY: (916) 795-3240 (888) 225-7377 phone • (916) 795-2744 fax www.calpers.ca.gov

    August 2016

    MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE (CalPERS ID: 3165685202) Annual Valuation Report as of June 30, 2015 Dear Employer,

    As an attachment to this letter, you will find a copy of the June 30, 2015 actuarial valuation

    report of your pension plan. Your 2015 actuarial valuation report contains important actuarial information about your pension plan at CalPERS. Your CalPERS staff actuary, whose signature appears in the “Actuarial Certification” section on page 1, is available to discuss the report with

    you after August 31, 2016. Future Contributions

    The exhibit below displays the minimum employer contributions for Fiscal Year 2017-18 and

    projected contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19, before any cost sharing. The projected contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19 are based on the most recent information available, including an estimate of the investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-16, namely 0.0 percent. For a

    projection of employer contributions beyond Fiscal Year 2018-19, please refer to the “Projected Employer Contributions” in the “Highlights and Executive Summary” section. This 5-year

    projection of future employer contributions supersedes any previous projections we have provided. The “Risk Analysis” section of the valuation report also contains estimated employer contributions in future years under a variety of investment return scenarios.

    Fiscal Year Employer Normal Cost Rate

    Employer Payment of Unfunded Liability

    Employee PEPRA Rate

    2017-18 12.136% $15,683,043 7.00%

    2018-19 (projected) 12.1% $19,724,988 N/A

    Member contributions other than cost sharing (whether paid by the employer or the employee) are in addition to the above. The employer contributions in this report do not reflect any

    cost sharing arrangement you may have with your employees. The estimates for Fiscal Year 2018-19 also assume that there are no future contract amendments and no liability gains or losses (such as larger than expected pay increases, more retirements

    than expected, etc.). This is a very important assumption because these gains and losses do occur and can have a significant impact on required contributions. These gains and losses cannot

    be predicted in advance so the projected employer contributions are just estimates. The actual required employer contributions for Fiscal Year 2018-19 will be provided in next year’s report.

  • MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE (CalPERS ID: 3165685202)

    Annual Valuation Report as of June 30, 2015 Page 2

    Changes since the Prior Year’s Valuation

    Beginning with Fiscal Year 2017-18 CalPERS will collect employer contributions toward the plan’s unfunded liability as dollar amounts instead of the prior method of a contribution rate. This change will address potential funding issues that could arise from a declining payroll or reduction

    in the number of active members in the plan. Funding the unfunded liability as a percentage of payroll could lead to the underfunding of the plans. Although employers will be invoiced at the beginning of the fiscal year for their unfunded liability payment the plan’s normal cost contribution will continue to be collected as a percentage of payroll.

    The CalPERS Board of Administration adopted a Risk Mitigation Policy which is designed to

    reduce funding risk over time. The policy establishes a mechanism whereby CalPERS investment performance that significantly outperforms the discount rate triggers adjustments to the discount rate, expected investment return and strategic asset allocation targets. A minimum excess

    investment return of 4% above the existing discount rate is necessary to cause a funding risk mitigation event. The policy has no impact on the current year valuation results but is expected to have an impact in future years. More details on the Risk Mitigation Policy can be found on our

    website.

    Besides the above noted changes, there may also be changes specific to the plan such as contract amendments and funding changes. Further descriptions of general changes are included in the “Highlights and Executive Summary”

    section and in Appendix A, “Actuarial Methods and Assumptions.” The effects of the changes on the required contributions are included in the “Reconciliation of Required Employer Contributions”

    section. We understand that you might have a number of questions about these results. While we are

    very interested in discussing these results with your agency, in the interest of allowing us to give every public agency their results, we ask that you wait until after August 31 to contact us with

    actuarial questions. If you have other questions, you may call the Customer Contact Center at (888)-CalPERS or (888-225-7377). Sincerely,

    ALAN MILLIGAN

    Chief Actuary

  • ACTUARIAL VALUATION as of June 30, 2015

    for the MISCELLANEOUS PLAN

    of the CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    (CalPERS ID: 3165685202)

    (Rate Plan ID: 78)

    REQUIRED CONTRIBUTIONS

    FOR FISCAL YEAR July 1, 2017 – June 30, 2018

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS

    ACTUARIAL CERTIFICATION 1

    HIGHLIGHTS AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Introduction 3 Purpose of the Report 3 Required Contributions 4 Plan’s Funded Status 5

    Projected Employer Contributions 5 Cost 6 Changes Since the Prior Year’s Valuation 7

    Subsequent Events 7

    ASSETS

    Reconciliation of the Market Value of Assets 9

    Asset Allocation 10 CalPERS History of Investment Returns 11

    LIABILITIES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

    Development of Accrued and Unfunded Liabilities 13 (Gain) / Loss Analysis 06/30/14 - 06/30/15 14

    Schedule of Amortization Bases 15 30-Year Amortization Schedule and Alternatives 16 Reconciliation of Required Employer Contributions 18

    Employer Contribution History 19 Funding History 19

    RISK ANALYSIS

    Analysis of Future Investment Return Scenarios 21 Analysis of Discount Rate Sensitivity 22 Volatility Ratios 23

    Hypothetical Termination Liability 24

    PLAN’S MAJOR BENEFIT PROVISIONS

    Plan’s Major Benefit Options 26

    APPENDIX A – ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

    Actuarial Data A1

    Actuarial Methods A1 – A2 Actuarial Assumptions A3 – A21 Miscellaneous A21

    APPENDIX B – PRINCIPAL PLAN PROVISIONS B1 – B10

    APPENDIX C – PARTICIPANT DATA

    Summary of Valuation Data C1 Active Members C2

    Transferred and Terminated Members C3 Retired Members and Beneficiaries C4 – C5

    APPENDIX D – DEVELOPMENT OF PEPRA MEMBER CONTRIBUTION RATE D1

    APPENDIX E – GLOSSARY OF ACTUARIAL TERMS E1 – E2

    (CY) FIN PROCESS CONTROL ID: 481061 (PY) FIN PROCESS CONTROL ID: 463702 REPORT ID: 95990 (EDITED)

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 1

    ACTUARIAL CERTIFICATION

    To the best of our knowledge, this report is complete and accurate and contains sufficient information to

    disclose, fully and fairly, the funded condition of the MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE. This valuation is based on the member and financial data as of June 30, 2015 provided by the various CalPERS databases and the benefits under this plan with CalPERS as of the date this report was produced.

    It is our opinion that the valuation has been performed in accordance with generally accepted actuarial principles, in accordance with standards of practice prescribed by the Actuarial Standards Board, and that the assumptions and methods are internally consistent and reasonable for this plan, as prescribed by the

    CalPERS Board of Administration according to provisions set forth in the California Public Employees’ Retirement Law.

    The undersigned is an actuary for CalPERS, who is a member of the American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries and meets the Qualification Standards of the American Academy of Actuaries to render the actuarial opinion contained herein.

    KURT SCHNEIDER, ASA, MAAA Pension Actuary, CalPERS

  • HIGHLIGHTS AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    INTRODUCTION

    PURPOSE OF THE REPORT

    REQUIRED CONTRIBUTIONS

    PLAN’S FUNDED STATUS

    PROJECTED EMPLOYER CONTRIBUTIONS

    COST

    CHANGES SINCE THE PRIOR YEAR’S VALUATION

    SUBSEQUENT EVENTS

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 3

    Introduction

    This report presents the results of the June 30, 2015 actuarial valuation of the MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF

    THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE of the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS). This actuarial valuation sets the required employer contributions for Fiscal Year 2017-18.

    The CalPERS Board of Administration adopted a Risk Mitigation Policy which is designed to reduce funding risk over time. The policy establishes a mechanism whereby CalPERS investment performance that significantly outperforms the discount rate triggers adjustments to the discount rate, expected investment

    return and strategic asset allocation targets. A minimum excess investment return of 4% above the existing discount rate is necessary to cause a funding risk mitigation event. The Risk Mitigation Policy does not have an impact on the current year actuarial valuation. More details on the Risk Mitigation Policy can be found on

    our website.

    Purpose of the Report

    The actuarial valuation was prepared by the CalPERS Actuarial Office using data as of June 30, 2015. The purpose of the report is to:

    Set forth the assets and accrued liabilities of this plan as of June 30, 2015; Determine the required employer contributions for the fiscal year July 1, 2017 through June 30, 2018;

    Provide actuarial information as of June 30, 2015 to the CalPERS Board of Administration and other interested parties.

    The pension funding information presented in this report should not be used in financial reports subject to Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB) Statement No. 68 for an Agent Employer Defined Benefit

    Pension Plan. A separate accounting valuation report for such purposes is available from CalPERS and details for ordering are available on our website. The use of this report for any other purposes may be inappropriate. In particular, this report does not

    contain information applicable to alternative benefit costs. The employer should contact their actuary before disseminating any portion of this report for any reason that is not explicitly described above.

    California Actuarial Advisory Panel Recommendations This report includes all the basic disclosure elements as described in the Model Disclosure Elements for Actuarial Valuation Reports recommended in 2011 by the California Actuarial Advisory Panel (CAAP), with the exception of including the original base amounts of the various components of the unfunded liability in the Schedule of Amortization Bases shown on page 15.

    Additionally, this report includes the following “Enhanced Risk Disclosures” also recommended by the CAAP in the Model Disclosure Elements document:

    A “Deterministic Stress Test,” projecting future results under different investment income

    scenarios

    A “Sensitivity Analysis,” showing the impact on current valuation results using a 1 percent plus or minus change in the discount rate.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 4

    Required Contributions

    Fiscal Year

    Required Employer Contribution 2017-18

    Employer Normal Cost Rate

    12.136%

    Plus Either

    1) Monthly Employer Dollar UAL Payment $ 1,306,920

    Or

    2) Annual UAL Prepayment Option

    $

    15,126,070

    Required PEPRA Member Contribution Rate

    7.00%

    The total minimum required employer contribution is the sum of the Plan’s Employer Normal Cost Rate (expressed as a percentage of payroll) plus the Employer Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) Contribution Amount (billed monthly in dollars). Only the UAL portion of the employer contribution can be prepaid (which must be received in full no later than July 31). Plan Normal Cost contributions will be made as part of the payroll reporting process. If there is contractual cost sharing or other change, this amount will change. §20572 of the Public Employees’ Retirement Law assesses interest at an annual rate of 10 percent if a contracting agency fails to remit the required contributions when due. For additional detail regarding the determination of the required contribution for PEPRA members, see Appendix D. Required member contributions for Classic members can be found in Appendix B.

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2016-17 2017-18

    Normal Cost Contribution as a Percentage of Payroll

    Total Normal Cost 20.203% 20.046%

    Employee Contribution1 7.953% 7.910%

    Employer Normal Cost 12.250% 12.136%

    Projected Annual Payroll for Contribution Year $ 120,783,710 $ 121,495,072

    Estimated Employer Contributions Based On

    Projected Payroll

    Total Normal Cost $ 24,401,934 $ 24,354,902

    Employee Contribution1 9,605,928 9,610,260

    Employer Normal Cost 14,796,006 14,744,642

    Unfunded Liability Contribution 12,957,430 15,683,043

    Estimated Total Employer Contribution2 $ 27,753,436 $ 30,427,685

    1 For classic members, this is the percentage specified in the Public Employees Retirement Law, net of any reduction from

    the use of a modified formula or other factors. For PEPRA members, the member contribution rate is based on 50

    percent of the normal cost. A development of PEPRA member contribution rates can be found in Appendix D. Employee cost sharing is not shown in this report.

    2 As a percentage of projected payroll the UAL contribution for Fiscal Year 2017-18 is 12.908 percent for an estimated

    total employer contribution rate of 25.044 percent. As determined in the June 30, 2014 valuation, the Fiscal Year 2016-17 UAL contribution is 10.728 percent for a total employer contribution rate of 22.978 percent.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 5

    Plan’s Funded Status

    Projected Employer Contributions

    The estimated employer contribution for Fiscal Year 2018-19 is based on a projection of the most recent information we have available, including an estimated 0.0 percent investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-

    16. The table below shows projected employer contributions (before cost sharing) for the next five fiscal years, assuming CalPERS earns 0.0 percent for Fiscal Year 2015-16 and 7.50 percent every fiscal year thereafter,

    and assuming that all other actuarial assumptions will be realized and that no further changes to assumptions, contributions, benefits, or funding will occur during the projection period. The projected normal cost percentages do not reflect that the normal cost will decline over time as new employees are

    hired into PEPRA or other lower cost benefit tiers.

    Required

    Contribution Projected Future Employer Contributions

    Fiscal Year 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23

    Normal Cost % 12.136% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1%

    UAL $ 15,683,043 19,724,988 23,995,341 26,384,318 29,242,432 31,430,316

    For projected contributions under alternate investment return scenarios, please see the “Analysis of Future Investment Return Scenarios” in the “Risk Analysis” section.

    June 30, 2014 June 30, 2015

    1. Present Value of Projected Benefits $ 1,343,257,540 $ 1,391,538,022

    2. Entry Age Normal Accrued Liability 1,180,549,024 1,228,644,007

    3. Market Value of Assets (MVA) $ 972,056,589 $ 969,285,454

    4. Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) [(2) – (3)] $ 208,492,435 $ 259,358,553

    5. Funded Ratio [(3) / (2)] 82.3% 78.9%

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 6

    Cost

    Actuarial Cost Estimates in General

    What will this pension plan cost? Unfortunately, there is no simple answer. There are two major reasons for the complexity of the answer. First, actuarial calculations, including the ones in this report, are based on a

    number of assumptions about the future. These assumptions can be divided into two categories.

    Demographic assumptions include the percentage of employees that will terminate, die, become

    disabled, and retire in each future year. Economic assumptions include future salary increases for each active employee, and the

    assumption with the greatest impact: future asset returns at CalPERS for each year into the future until the last dollar is paid to current members of the plan.

    While CalPERS has set these assumptions to reflect our best estimate of the real future of the plan, it must be understood that these assumptions are very long-term predictors and will surely not be realized in any one year. For example, while the asset earnings at CalPERS have averaged more than the assumed return of

    7.5 percent for the past twenty year period ending June 30, 2015, returns for each fiscal year ranged from negative -24 percent to +21.7 percent.

    Second, the very nature of actuarial funding produces the answer to the question of plan cost as the sum of two separate pieces.

    The Normal Cost (i.e., the annual cost associated with one year of service accrual) expressed as a percentage of total active payroll.

    The Past Service Cost or Accrued Liability (i.e., the current value of the benefit for all credited past

    service of current members) which is expressed as a lump sum dollar amount.

    The cost is the sum of a percent of future pay and a lump sum dollar amount. In prior years CalPERS converted Past Service Cost to a percent of payroll and expressed the total required employer contribution as a single rate. Going forward the Past Service Cost will no longer be converted to a percent of payroll and

    this cost will be invoiced to the employer as a monthly dollar contribution amount with the option to prepay the annual amount at the beginning of the fiscal year. The normal cost will continue to be expressed as a percentage of active payroll with employer and employee contributions payable as part of the payroll reporting process.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 7

    Changes since the Prior Year’s Valuation

    Benefits

    The standard actuarial practice at CalPERS is to recognize mandated legislative benefit changes in the first annual valuation following the effective date of the legislation. Voluntary benefit changes by plan

    amendment are generally included in the first valuation that is prepared after the amendment becomes effective, even if the valuation date is prior to the effective date of the amendment.

    This valuation generally reflects plan changes by amendments effective before the date of the report. Please refer to the “Plan’s Major Benefit Options” and Appendix B for a summary of the plan provisions used in this valuation. The effect of any mandated benefit changes or plan amendments on the unfunded liability is

    shown in the “(Gain)/Loss Analysis” and the effect on the employer contribution is shown in the “Reconciliation of Required Employer Contributions.” It should be noted that no change in liability or contribution is shown for any plan changes which were already included in the prior year’s valuation.

    Actuarial Methods and Assumptions

    Beginning with Fiscal Year 2017-18 CalPERS will collect employer contributions toward the plan’s unfunded liability as dollar amounts instead of the prior method of a contribution rate. This change will address potential funding issues that could arise from a declining payroll or reduction in the number of active members in the plan. Funding the unfunded liability as a percentage of payroll could lead to the

    underfunding of the plans. Although employers will be invoiced at the beginning of the fiscal year for their unfunded liability payment the plan’s normal cost contribution will continue to be collected as a percentage of payroll.

    Subsequent Events

    Risk Mitigation

    The CalPERS Board of Administration adopted a Risk Mitigation Policy which is designed to reduce funding risk over time. The policy establishes a mechanism whereby CalPERS investment performance that

    significantly outperforms the discount rate triggers adjustments to the discount rate, expected investment return and strategic asset allocation targets. A minimum excess investment return of 4% above the existing discount rate is necessary to cause a funding risk mitigation event. More details on the Risk Mitigation Policy

    can be found on our website.

  • ASSETS

    RECONCILIATION OF THE MARKET VALUE OF ASSETS

    ASSET ALLOCATION

    CALPERS HISTORY OF INVESTMENT RETURNS

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 9

    Reconciliation of the Market Value of Assets

    1. Market Value of Assets as of 6/30/14 including Receivables $ 972,056,589

    2. Change in Receivables for Service Buybacks as of 6/30/14 (458,799)

    3. Employer Contributions 21,062,579

    4. Employee Contributions 8,808,710

    5. Benefit Payments to Retirees and Beneficiaries (53,420,163)

    6. Refunds (432,784)

    7. Lump Sum Payments 0

    8. Transfers and Miscellaneous Adjustments 1,009,449

    9. Investment Return 20,659,873

    10. Market Value of Assets as of 6/30/15 including Receivables $ 969,285,454

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 10

    Asset Allocation

    CalPERS adheres to an Asset Allocation Strategy which establishes asset class allocation policy targets and

    ranges, and manages those asset class allocations within their policy ranges. CalPERS Investment Belief No. 6 recognizes that strategic asset allocation is the dominant determinant of portfolio risk and return. On February 19, 2014, the CalPERS Board of Administration adopted changes to the current asset allocation as

    shown in the Policy Target Allocation below expressed as a percentage of total assets. The asset allocation has an expected long term blended rate of return of 7.5 percent.

    The asset allocation and market value of assets shown below reflect the values of the Public Employees ’ Retirement Fund (PERF) in its entirety as of June 30, 2015. The assets for CITY OF RIVERSIDE MISCELLANEOUS PLAN are part of the PERF and are invested accordingly.

    (A) Asset Class

    (B)

    Market Value ($ Billion)

    (C)

    Policy Target Allocation

    Global Equity 162.5 51.0%

    Private Equity 29.0 10.0%

    Global Fixed Income 53.1 20.0%

    Liquidity 7.5 1.0%

    Real Assets 31.8 12.0%

    Inflation Sensitive Assets 15.6 6.0%

    Other 2.4 0.0%

    Total Fund $301.9 100.0%

    Global Equity 53.8%

    Private Equity 9.6%

    Global Fixed Income 17.6%

    Liquidity 2.5%

    Real Assets 10.5%

    Inflation 5.2%

    Other 0.8%

    Asset Allocation at 6/30/2015

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 11

    CalPERS History of Investment Returns

    The following is a chart with the 20-year historical annual returns of the Public Employees Retirement Fund

    for each fiscal year ending on June 30. Beginning in 2002, the figures are reported as gross of fees.

    The table below shows historical geometric mean annual returns of the Public Employees Retirement Fund for various time periods ending on June 30, 2015, (figures are reported as gross of fees). The geometric mean rate of return is the average rate per period compounded over multiple periods. It should be

    recognized that in any given year the rate of return is volatile. Although the expected rate of return on the recently adopted new asset allocation is 7.5 percent, the portfolio has an expected volatility of 11.76 percent per year. The volatility is a measure of the risk of the portfolio expressed in the standard deviation

    of the fund’s total return distribution, expressed as a percentage. Consequently, when looking at investment returns, it is more instructive to look at returns over longer time horizons.

    History of CalPERS Geometric Mean Rates of Return and Volatilities

    1 year 5 year 10 year 20 year 30 year

    Geometric Return 2.4% 10.7% 6.1% 7.7% 9.1%

    Volatility – 9.4% 14.0% 11.8% 10.5%

    -25.0%

    -20.0%

    -15.0%

    -10.0%

    -5.0%

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

    15.3%

    20.1%

    19.5%

    12.5%

    10.5%

    -7.2%

    -6.1%

    3.7%

    16.6% 12.3%

    11.8%

    19.1%

    -5.1%

    -24.0%

    13.3%

    21.7%

    0.1%

    13.2%

    17.7%

    2.4%

  • LIABILITIES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

    DEVELOPMENT OF ACCRUED AND UNFUNDED LIABILITIES

    (GAIN) / LOSS ANALYSIS 06/30/14 - 06/30/15

    SCHEDULE OF AMORTIZATION BASES

    30-YEAR AMORTIZATION SCHEDULES AND ALTERNATIVES

    RECONCILIATION OF REQUIRED EMPLOYER CONTRIBUTIONS

    EMPLOYER CONTRIBUTION HISTORY

    FUNDING HISTORY

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 13

    Development of Accrued and Unfunded Liabilities

    June 30, 2014 June 30, 2015

    1. Present Value of Projected Benefits

    a) Active Members $ 592,549,521 585,711,322

    b) Transferred Members 54,334,748 56,042,467

    c) Terminated Members 18,554,373 18,647,561

    d) Members and Beneficiaries Receiving Payments 677,818,898 731,136,672

    e) Total $ 1,343,257,540 1,391,538,022

    2. Present Value of Future Employer Normal Costs $ 96,376,610 95,981,094

    3. Present Value of Future Employee Contributions $ 66,331,906 66,912,921

    4. Entry Age Normal Accrued Liability

    a) Active Members [(1a) - (2) - (3)] $ 429,841,005 422,817,307

    b) Transferred Members (1b) 54,334,748 56,042,467

    c) Terminated Members (1c) 18,554,373 18,647,561

    d) Members and Beneficiaries Receiving Payments (1d) 677,818,898 731,136,672

    e) Total $ 1,180,549,024 1,228,644,007

    5. Market Value of Assets (MVA) $ 972,056,589 969,285,454

    6. Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) [(4e) - (5)] $ 208,492,435 259,358,553

    7. Funded Ratio [(5) / (4e)] 82.3% 78.9%

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 14

    (Gain)/Loss Analysis 6/30/14 – 6/30/15

    To calculate the cost requirements of the plan, assumptions are made about future events that affect the

    amount and timing of benefits to be paid and assets to be accumulated. Each year, actual experience is compared to the expected experience based on the actuarial assumptions. This results in actuarial gains or losses, as shown below.

    1. Total (Gain)/Loss for the Year a) Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) as of 6/30/14 $ 208,492,435

    b) Expected Payment on the UAL during 2014/2015 7,731,569 c) Interest through 6/30/15 [.075 x (1a) - ((1.075)½ - 1) x (1b)] 15,352,240 d) Expected UAL before all other changes [(1a) - (1b) + (1c)] 216,113,106

    e) Change due to plan changes 0 f) Change due to assumption change 0 g) Expected UAL after all other changes [(1d) + (1e) + (1f)] 216,113,106

    h) Actual UAL as of 6/30/15 259,358,553

    i) Total (Gain)/Loss for 2014/2015 [(1h) - (1g)] $ 43,245,447

    2. Contribution (Gain)/Loss for the Year a) Expected Contribution (Employer and Employee) $ 30,679,222

    b) Interest on Expected Contributions 1,129,672 c) Actual Contributions 29,871,289 d) Interest on Actual Contributions 1,099,923

    e) Expected Contributions with Interest [(2a) + (2b)] 31,808,894 f) Actual Contributions with Interest [(2c) + (2d)] 30,971,212

    g) Contribution (Gain)/Loss [(2e) - (2f)] $ 837,682 3. Asset (Gain)/Loss for the Year

    a) Market Value of Assets as of 6/30/14 $ 972,056,589 b) Prior Fiscal Year Receivables (3,614,744) c) Current Fiscal Year Receivables 3,155,945

    d) Contributions Received 29,871,289 e) Benefits and Refunds Paid (53,852,947) f) Transfers and Miscellaneous Adjustments 1,009,449

    g) Expected Int. [.075 x (3a + 3b) + ((1.075)½ - 1) x ((3d) + (3e) + (3f))] 71,787,254 h) Expected Assets as of 6/30/15 [(3a) + (3b) + (3c) + (3d) + (3e) + (3f) + (3g)] 1,020,412,835 i) Market Value of Assets as of 6/30/15 969,285,454

    j) Asset (Gain)/Loss [(3h) - (3i)] $ 51,127,381

    4. Liability (Gain)/Loss for the Year a) Total (Gain)/Loss (1i) $ 43,245,447 b) Contribution (Gain)/Loss (2g) 837,682

    c) Asset (Gain)/Loss (3j) 51,127,381

    d) Liability (Gain)/Loss [(4a) - (4b) - (4c)] $ (8,719,616)

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 15

    Schedule of Amortization Bases

    There is a two-year lag between the valuation date and the start of the contribution fiscal year.

    The assets, liabilities, and funded status of the plan are measured as of the valuation date: June 30, 2015. The required employer contributions determined by the valuation are for the fiscal year beginning two years after the valuation date: Fiscal Year 2017-18.

    This two-year lag is necessary due to the amount of time needed to extract and test the membership and financial data, and the need to provide public agencies with their required employer contribution well in advance of the start of the fiscal year.

    The Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) is used to determine the employer contribution and therefore must be rolled forward two years from the valuation date to the first day of the fiscal year for which the contribution is being determined. The UAL is rolled forward each year by subtracting the expected payment on the UAL for

    the fiscal year and adjusting for interest. The expected payment on the UAL for a fiscal year is equal to the Expected Employer Contribution for the fiscal year minus the Expected Normal Cost for the year. The Employer Contribution for the first fiscal year is determined by the actuarial valuation two years ago and the contribution for the second year is from the actuarial valuation one year ago. The Normal Cost Rate for each of the two fiscal years is assumed to be the same as the rate

    determined by the current valuation. All expected dollar amounts are determined by multiplying the rate by the expected payroll for the applicable fiscal year, based on payroll as of the valuation date.

    Reason for Base Date

    Established

    Amorti-zation Period

    Balance 6/30/15

    Expected Payment 2015-16

    Balance 6/30/16

    Expected Payment 2016-17

    Balance 6/30/17

    Scheduled Payment for

    2017-18

    FS 30-YEAR AMORTIZATION 06/30/08 23 $(3,169,725) $(209,501) $(3,190,239) $(215,786) $(3,205,775) $(222,260)

    ASSUMPTION CHANGE 06/30/09 14 $44,930,630 $3,935,556 $44,219,956 $4,053,623 $43,333,567 $4,175,232

    SPECIAL (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/09 24 $24,564,429 $1,588,799 $24,759,459 $1,636,463 $24,919,699 $1,685,556

    SPECIAL (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/10 25 $(12,007,359) $(761,005) $(12,118,884) $(783,835) $(12,215,102) $(807,350)

    ASSUMPTION CHANGE 06/30/11 16 $1,711,079 $138,332 $1,695,985 $142,482 $1,675,456 $146,756

    SPECIAL (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/11 26 $(2,505,279) $(155,779) $(2,531,660) $(160,452) $(2,555,175) $(165,266)

    PAYMENT (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/12 27 $427,367 $26,101 $432,358 $26,884 $436,910 $27,691

    (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/12 27 $76,157,976 $4,651,277 $77,047,277 $4,790,815 $77,858,600 $4,934,540

    (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/13 28 $130,009,885 $1,828,594 $137,864,700 $3,766,903 $144,298,945 $5,819,865

    ASSUMPTION CHANGE 06/30/14 19 $65,591,868 $(720,012) $71,257,782 $1,357,296 $75,194,841 $2,796,030

    (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/14 29 $(109,597,765) $(10,013) $(117,807,216) $(1,656,963) $(124,924,782) $(3,413,343)

    (GAIN)/LOSS 06/30/15 30 $43,245,447 $(61,596) $46,552,720 $(117,878) $50,166,393 $705,592

    TOTAL $259,358,553 $10,250,753 $268,182,238 $12,839,552 $274,983,577 $15,683,043

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 20 Page 16

    30-Year Amortization Schedule and Alternatives

    The amortization schedule on the previous page shows the minimum contributions required according to

    CalPERS amortization policy. There has been considerable interest from many agencies in paying off these unfunded accrued liabilities sooner and the possible savings in doing so. As a result, we have provided alternate amortization schedules to help analyze the current amortization schedule and illustrate the

    advantages of accelerating unfunded liability payments. Shown on the following page are future year amortization payments based on 1) the current amortization

    schedule reflecting the individual bases and remaining periods shown on the previous page, and 2) alternate “fresh start” amortization schedules using two sample periods that would both result in interest savings relative to the current amortization schedule. Note that the payments under each alternate scenario

    increase by 3 percent for each year into the future. The schedules do not attempt to reflect any experience after June 30, 2015 that may deviate from the actuarial assumptions. Therefore, future amortization payments displayed in the Current Amortization Schedule may not match projected amortization payments

    shown in connection with Projected Employer Contributions provided elsewhere in this report. The Current Amortization Schedule typically contains individual bases that are both positive and negative. Positive bases result from plan changes, assumption changes or plan experience that result in increases to

    unfunded liability. Negative bases result from plan changes, assumption changes or plan experience that result in decreases to unfunded liability. The combination of positive and negative bases within an amortization schedule can result in unusual or problematic circumstances in future years such as:

    A positive total unfunded liability with a negative total payment,

    A negative total unfunded liability with a positive total payment, or Total payments that completely amortize the unfunded liability over a very short period of time

    In any year where one of the above scenarios occurs, the actuary will consider corrective action such as replacing the existing unfunded liability bases with a single “fresh start” base and amortizing it over a

    reasonable period. The Current Amortization Schedule on the following page may appear to show that, based on the current

    amortization bases, one of the above scenarios will occur at some point in the future. It is impossible to know today whether such a scenario will in fact arise since there will be additional bases added to the amortization schedule in each future year. Should such a scenario arise in any future year, the actuary will

    take appropriate action based on guidelines in the CalPERS amortization policy. For purposes of this display, total payments include any negative payments. Therefore, the amount of estimated savings may be understated to the extent that negative payments appear in the current schedule.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 17

    30-Year Amortization Schedule and Alternatives

    Alternate Schedules

    Current Amortization

    Schedule 20 Year Amortization 15 Year Amortization

    Date Balance Payment Balance Payment Balance Payment

    6/30/2017 274,983,577 15,683,043 274,983,577 20,762,753 274,983,577 25,207,617

    6/30/2018 279,346,820 18,560,529 274,080,065 21,385,635 269,471,532 25,963,845

    6/30/2019 281,053,864 21,596,555 272,462,972 22,027,204 262,762,009 26,742,761

    6/30/2020 279,741,119 22,678,193 270,059,403 22,688,020 254,741,676 27,545,043

    6/30/2021 277,208,455 24,152,688 266,790,418 23,368,661 245,287,992 28,371,395

    6/30/2022 272,957,050 24,877,270 262,570,556 24,069,721 234,268,504 29,222,537

    6/30/2023 267,635,528 25,623,587 257,307,330 24,791,812 221,540,071 30,099,213

    6/30/2024 261,141,091 26,392,294 250,900,681 25,535,567 206,948,048 31,002,189

    6/30/2025 253,362,560 27,184,063 243,242,393 26,301,634 190,325,398 31,932,255

    6/30/2026 244,179,714 27,999,585 234,215,458 27,090,683 171,491,737 32,890,222

    6/30/2027 233,462,606 28,839,573 223,693,400 27,903,403 150,252,309 33,876,929

    6/30/2028 221,070,798 29,704,759 211,539,540 28,740,505 126,396,884 34,893,237

    6/30/2029 206,852,555 30,595,903 197,606,216 29,602,721 99,698,572 35,940,034

    6/30/2030 190,643,991 31,513,779 181,733,928 30,490,802 69,912,545 37,018,235

    6/30/2031 172,268,110 26,143,780 163,750,436 31,405,526 36,774,663 38,128,782

    6/30/2032 158,081,767 24,750,031 143,469,776 32,347,692

    6/30/2033 144,276,521 23,013,629 120,691,208 33,318,123

    6/30/2034 131,236,221 21,393,332 95,198,084 34,317,667

    6/30/2035 118,897,858 19,655,106 66,756,626 35,347,197

    6/30/2036 107,436,349 17,793,332 35,114,620 36,407,612

    6/30/2037 97,045,557 18,327,132

    6/30/2038 85,321,998 18,876,945

    6/30/2039 72,149,115 19,443,254

    6/30/2040 57,401,104 20,465,200

    6/30/2041 40,487,414 13,709,239

    6/30/2042 29,309,928 15,322,485

    6/30/2043 15,621,483 14,113,800

    6/30/2044 2,159,596 1,429,152

    6/30/2045 839,790 (676,054)

    6/30/2046 1,603,722 1,662,774

    Totals 610,824,958 557,902,938 468,834,294

    Estimated Savings 52,922,020 141,990,664

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 18

    Reconciliation of Required Employer

    Contributions

    Normal Cost (% of Payroll)

    1. For Period 7/1/16 – 6/30/17

    a) Employer Normal Cost 12.250%

    b) Employee Contribution 7.953%

    c) Total Normal Cost 20.203%

    2. Effect of changes since the prior year annual valuation

    a) Effect of changes in demographics results (0.157%)

    b) Effect of plan changes 0.000%

    c) Effect of changes in assumptions 0.000%

    d) Net effect of the changes above [sum of (a) through (c)] (0.157%)

    3. For Period 7/1/17 – 6/30/18

    a) Employer Normal Cost 12.136%

    b) Employee Contribution 7.910%

    c) Total Normal Cost 20.046%

    Employer Normal Cost Change [(3a) – (1a)] (0.114%)

    Employee Contribution Change [(3b) – (1b)] (0.043%)

    Unfunded Liability Contribution ($)

    1. For Period 7/1/16 – 6/30/17 12,957,430

    2. Effect of changes since the prior year annual valuation

    a) Effect of changes in demographics and financial results 705,592

    b) Effect of plan changes 0

    c) Effect of changes in assumptions 0

    d) Effect of progression of amortization payments

    2,020,021

    e) Effect of changes due to Fresh Start 0

    f) Effect of elimination of amortization base 0

    g) Net effect of the changes above [sum of (a) through (f)] 2,725,613

    3. For Period 7/1/17 – 6/30/18 [(1)+(2g)] 15,683,043

    The amounts shown for the period 7/1/16 – 6/30/17 may be different if a prepayment of unfunded actuarial liability is made or a plan change became effective after the prior year’s actuarial valuation was performed.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 19

    Employer Contribution History

    The table below provides a recent history of the required employer contributions for the plan, as determined

    by the annual actuarial valuation. It does not account for prepayments or benefit changes made during a fiscal year.

    Required By Valuation

    Fiscal Year

    Employer Normal Cost

    Unfunded Rate

    Unfunded Liability Payment ($)

    2012 - 13 11.814% 6.463% N/A

    2013 - 14 11.851% 6.463% N/A

    2014 - 15 11.554% 7.440% N/A

    2015 - 16 11.871% 9.141% N/A

    2016 - 17 12.250% 10.728% N/A

    2017 - 18 12.136% N/A 15,683,043

    Funding History

    The table below shows the recent history of the actuarial accrued liability, the market value of assets, the funded ratio and the annual covered payroll.

    Valuation Date

    Accrued Liability

    Market Value

    of Assets (MVA)

    Unfunded Liability

    Funded Ratio

    Annual

    Covered Payroll

    06/30/10 $ 952,499,597 $ 660,844,061 $ 291,655,536 69.4% $ 106,590,492

    06/30/11 998,216,259 786,080,314 212,135,945 78.7% 108,106,192

    06/30/12 1,046,199,578 766,804,452 279,395,126 73.3% 110,037,157

    06/30/13 1,086,925,211 847,232,156 239,693,055 77.9% 110,552,014

    06/30/14 1,180,549,024 972,056,589 208,492,435 82.3% 110,534,205

    06/30/15 1,228,644,007 969,285,454 259,358,553 78.9% 111,185,202

  • RISK ANALYSIS

    ANALYSIS OF FUTURE INVESTMENT RETURN SCENARIOS

    ANALYSIS OF DISCOUNT RATE SENSITIVITY

    VOLATILITY RATIOS

    HYPOTHETICAL TERMINATION LIABILITY

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 21

    Analysis of Future Investment Return Scenarios

    The investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-16 was not known at the time this report was produced. The

    investment return in Fiscal Year 2015-16 as of April 30, 2016 is 0.0 percent before administrative expenses. For purposes of projecting future employer contributions, we are assuming a 0.0 percent investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-16.

    The investment return realized during a fiscal year first affects the required contribution for the fiscal year two years later. For example, the investment return for Fiscal Year 2015-16 will first be reflected in the

    June 30, 2016 actuarial valuation that will be used to set the employer contribution for Fiscal Year 2018-19. The Fiscal Year 2016-17 investment return will first be reflected in the June 30, 2017 actuarial valuation that will be used to set the employer contribution for Fiscal Year 2019-20 and so forth.

    As part of this report, a sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the effects of various investment returns during fiscal years 2016-17, 2017-18 and 2018-19 on the 2019-20, 2020-21 and 2021-22 employer

    contributions. Once again, the projections assume that all other actuarial assumptions will be realized and that no further changes to assumptions, contributions, benefits, or funding will occur. Five different investment return scenarios were selected.

    The first scenario is a -3.8 percent return for each of the 2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19 fiscal years. Based on the current investment allocation, this is what one would expect if the markets were to give

    us about a 5th percentile return from July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2019. The second scenario is a 2.8 percent return for each of the 2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19 fiscal

    years. Based on the current investment allocation, this is what one would expect if the markets were

    to give us about a 25th percentile return from July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2019. The third scenario is a 7.5 percent return for each of the 2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19 fiscal years.

    Based on the current investment allocation, this is what one would expect if the markets were to give us about a 49th percentile return from July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2019.

    The fourth scenario is a 12.0 percent return for each of the 2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19 fiscal

    years. Based on the current investment allocation, this is what one would expect if the markets were to give us about a 75th percentile return from July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2019.

    Finally, the last scenario is an 18.9 percent return for each of the 2016-17, 2017-18, and 2018-19

    fiscal years. Based on the current investment allocation, this is what one would expect if the markets were to give us about a 95th percentile return from July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2019.

    The table below shows the estimated projected contributions and the estimated increases for the plan under the five different scenarios.

    2016-19 Investment Return Scenario

    Fiscal Year Estimated Change Between 2018-19

    and 2021-22 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22

    (3.8%)

    Normal Cost 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0%

    UAL Contribution $25,710,436 $31,531,698 $39,548,562 $19,823,574

    2.8%

    Normal Cost 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0%

    UAL Contribution $24,708,824 $28,572,709 $33,719,454 $13,994,466

    7.5%

    Normal Cost 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0%

    UAL Contribution $23,995,341 $26,384,318 $29,242,432 $9,517,444

    12.0%

    Normal Cost 12.4% 12.7% 12.9% 0.8%

    UAL Contribution $23,341,922 $24,431,151 $25,220,614 $5,495,626

    18.9%

    Normal Cost 12.9% 13.7% 14.5% 2.4%

    UAL Contribution $22,370,065 $21,515,789 $19,114,919 $(610,069)

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 22

    For the last two scenarios in the table above the results incorporate the impact of CalPERS Risk Mitigation

    Policy. A 12.0% return would result in a reduction of the discount rate by 0.05% and a return of 18.9% would reduce the discount rate by 0.15%. Reducing the discount rate increases both the plan’s accrued liability and normal cost. While the projections reflect estimated changes to the normal cost due to lower

    discount rates, they do not reflect the possible increase in the PEPRA member contribution rate in such scenarios. More details about the Risk Mitigation policy can be found on our website.

    The projected normal cost percentages do not reflect that the normal cost will decline over time as new employees are hired into PEPRA or other lower cost benefit tiers.

    Analysis of Discount Rate Sensitivity

    The following analysis looks at the Fiscal Year 2017-18 total normal cost rates and liabilities under two different discount rate scenarios. Shown below are the total normal cost rates assuming discount rates that

    are 1 percent lower and 1 percent higher than the current valuation discount rate. This analysis shows the potential plan impacts if the PERF were to realize investment returns of 6.50 percent or 8.50 percent over the long-term.

    This type of analysis gives the reader a sense of the long-term risk to required contributions.

    Sensitivity Analysis

    As of June 30, 2015 6.50% Discount Rate (-1%)

    7.50% Discount Rate (assumed rate)

    8.50% Discount Rate (+1%)

    Plan’s Total Normal Cost 25.352% 20.046% 16.065%

    Accrued Liability $1,397,021,919 $1,228,644,007 $1,090,353,228

    Unfunded Accrued Liability $427,736,465 $259,358,553 $121,067,774

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 23

    Volatility Ratios

    The actuarial calculations supplied in this communication are based on a number of assumptions about

    long-term demographic and economic behavior. Unless these assumptions (terminations, deaths, disabilities, retirements, salary growth, and investment return) are exactly realized each year, there will be differences on a year-to-year basis. The year-to-year differences between actual experience and the assumptions are

    called actuarial gains and losses and serve to lower or raise required employer contributions from one year to the next. Therefore, employer contributions will inevitably fluctuate, especially due to the ups and downs of investment returns.

    Asset Volatility Ratio (AVR)

    Plans that have higher asset-to-payroll ratios experience more volatile employer contributions (as a percentage of payroll) due to investment return. For example, a plan with an asset-to-payroll ratio of 8 may experience twice the contribution volatility due to investment return volatility than a plan with an asset-to-

    payroll ratio of 4. Shown below is the asset volatility ratio, a measure of the plan’s current volatility. It should be noted that this ratio is a measure of the current situation. It increases over time but generally tends to stabilize as the plan matures.

    Liability Volatility Ratio (LVR) Plans that have higher liability-to-payroll ratios experience more volatile employer contributions (as a

    percentage of payroll) due to investment return and changes in liability. For example, a plan with a liability-to-payroll ratio of 8 is expected to have twice the contribution volatility of a plan with a liability-to-payroll ratio of 4. The liability volatility ratio is also included in the table below. It should be noted that this ratio

    indicates a longer-term potential for contribution volatility. The asset volatility ratio, described above, will tend to move closer to the liability volatility ratio as the plan matures.

    Contribution Volatility As of June 30, 2015

    1. Market Value of Assets without Receivables $ 966,129,509

    2. Payroll 111,185,202

    3. Asset Volatility Ratio (AVR) [(1) / ( 2)] 8.7

    4. Accrued Liability $ 1,228,644,007

    5. Liability Volatility Ratio (LVR) [(4) / (2)] 11.1

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION - June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Page 24

    Hypothetical Termination Liability

    The hypothetical termination liability is an estimate of the financial position of the plan had the contract with

    CalPERS been terminated as of June 30, 2015. The plan liability on a termination basis is calculated differently compared to the plan’s ongoing funding liability. For this hypothetical termination liability calculation, both compensation and service are frozen as of the valuation date and no future pay increases

    or service accruals are assumed. A more conservative investment policy and asset allocation strategy was adopted by the CalPERS Board for

    the Terminated Agency Pool. The Terminated Agency Pool has limited funding sources since no future employer contributions will be made. Therefore, expected benefit payments are secured by risk-free assets and benefit security for members is increased while limiting the funding risk. However, this asset allocation

    has a lower expected rate of return than the PERF and consequently, a lower discount rate assumption. The lower discount rate for the Terminated Agency Pool results in higher liabilities for terminated plans.

    The effective termination discount rate will depend on actual market rates of return for risk-free securities on the date of termination. As market discount rates are variable the table below shows a range for the hypothetical termination liability based on the lowest and highest interest rates observed during an

    approximate 2-year period centered around the valuation date.

    Market

    Value of Assets (MVA)

    Hypothetical Termination

    Liability1,2

    @ 2.00%

    Funded

    Status

    Unfunded Termination

    Liability @ 2.00%

    Hypothetical Termination

    Liability1,2 @ 3.25%

    Funded

    Status

    Unfunded Termination

    Liability @ 3.25%

    $969,285,454 $2,302,080,615 42.1% $1,332,795,161 $1,982,570,015 48.9% $1,013,284,561

    1 The hypothetical liabilities calculated above include a 7 percent mortality contingency load in accordance with Board

    policy. Other actuarial assumptions, such as wage and inflation assumptions, can be found in Appendix A.

    2 The current discount rate assumption used for termination valuations is a weighted average of the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields where the weights are based on matching asset and liability durations as of the termination date. The discount rates used in the table are based on 20-year Treasury bonds, rounded to the nearest quarter percentage point, which is a good proxy for most plans. The 20-year Treasury yield was 2.75 percent on June 30, 2015.

    In order to terminate the plan, you must first contact our Retirement Services Contract Unit to initiate a Resolution of Intent to Terminate. The completed Resolution will allow the plan actuary to give you a

    preliminary termination valuation with a more up-to-date estimate of the plan liabilities. CalPERS advises you to consult with the plan actuary before beginning this process.

  • PLAN’S MAJOR BENEFIT PROVISIONS

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015

    MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Plan’s Major Benefit Options

    Shown below is a summary of the major optional benefits for which your agency has contracted. A description of principal standard and optional plan provisions is in the following section of this Appendix.

    Contract Package

    Active

    Misc

    Active

    Misc

    Active

    Misc

    Inactive

    Misc

    Inactive

    Misc

    Inactive

    Misc

    Inactive

    Misc Benefit Provision

    Benefit Formula 2.7% @ 55 2.7% @ 55 2.0% @ 62 2.0% @ 55 2.0% @ 55 2.7% @ 55 2.0% @ 55 Social Security Coverage No No No Yes No Yes No Full/Modified Full Full Full Modified Full Modified Full

    Employee Contribution Rate 8.00% 8.00% 7.00%

    Final Average Compensation Period One Year Three Year Three Year One Year One Year One Year One Year Sick Leave Credit No No No No No No No

    Non-Industrial Disability Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Industrial Disability No No No No No No No

    Pre-Retirement Death Benefits

    Optional Settlement 2W Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No

    1959 Survivor Benefit Level Level 3 Level 3 Level 3 No Level 3 No Level 3 Special No No No No No No No Alternate (firefighters) No No No No No No No

    Post-Retirement Death Benefits

    Lump Sum $500 $500 $500 $500 $500 $500 $500

    Survivor Allowance (PRSA) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No COLA 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%

    Page 26

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 MISCELLANEOUS PLAN OF THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE

    CalPERS ID: 3165685202

    Plan’s Major Benefit Options

    Shown below is a summary of the major optional benefits for which your agency has contracted. A description of principal standard and optional plan provisions

    is in the following section of this Appendix.

    Contract Package

    Inactive

    Misc Receiving

    Misc

    Benefit Provision Benefit Formula 2.0% @ 55

    Social Security Coverage Yes

    Full/Modified Modified Employee Contribution Rate

    Final Average Compensation Period One Year

    Sick Leave Credit No Non-Industrial Disability Standard

    Industrial Disability No

    Pre-Retirement Death Benefits Optional Settlement 2W No 1959 Survivor Benefit Level No

    Special No Alternate (firefighters) No

    Post-Retirement Death Benefits

    Lump Sum $500 $500 Survivor Allowance (PRSA) No Yes

    COLA 3% 3%

    Page 27

  • APPENDICES

    APPENDIX A – ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

    APPENDIX B – PRINCIPAL PLAN PROVISIONS

    APPENDIX C – PARTICIPANT DATA

    APPENDIX D – DEVELOPMENT OF PEPRA MEMBER CONTRIBUTION RATES

    APPENDIX E – GLOSSARY OF ACTUARIAL TERMS

  • APPENDIX A

    ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

    ACTUARIAL DATA

    ACTUARIAL METHODS

    ACTUARIAL ASSUMPTIONS

    MISCELLANEOUS

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 APPENDIX A ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

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    Actuarial Data

    As stated in the Actuarial Certification, the data which serves as the basis of this valuation has been

    obtained from the various CalPERS databases. We have reviewed the valuation data and believe that it is reasonable and appropriate in aggregate. We are unaware of any potential data issues that would have a material effect on the results of this valuation, except that data does not always contain the latest salary

    information for former members now in reciprocal systems and does not recognize the potential for unusually large salary deviation in certain cases such as elected officials. Therefore, salary information in these cases may not be accurate. These situations are relatively infrequent, however, and when they do

    occur, they generally do not have a material impact on the required employer contributions.

    Actuarial Methods

    Actuarial Cost Method The actuarial cost method used is the Entry Age Normal Cost Method. Under this method, projected benefits

    are determined for all members and the associated liabilities are spread in a manner that produces level annual cost as a percentage of pay in each year from the member’s age of hire (entry age) to their assumed retirement age on the valuation date. The cost allocated to the current fiscal year is called the normal cost.

    The actuarial accrued liability for active members is then calculated as the portion of the total cost of the plan allocated to prior years. The actuarial accrued liability for members currently receiving benefits and for

    members entitled to deferred benefits is equal to the present value of the benefits expected to be paid. No normal costs are applicable for these participants.

    Amortization of Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability The excess of the total actuarial accrued liability over the market value of plan assets is called the unfunded actuarial accrued liability (UAL). Funding requirements are determined by adding the normal cost and an

    amortization payment toward the unfunded liability. Commencing with the June 30, 2013 valuation, all new gains or losses are tracked and amortized over a fixed 30-year period with a 5 year ramp up at the beginning and a 5 year ramp down at the end of the amortization period. All changes in liability due to plan

    amendments (other than golden handshakes) are amortized over a 20-year period with no ramp. Changes in actuarial assumptions, or changes in actuarial methodology are amortized over a 20-year period with a 5 year ramp up at the beginning and a 5 year ramp down at the end of the amortization period. Changes in

    unfunded accrued liability due to a Golden Handshake will be amortized over a period of 5 years. Exceptions for Inconsistencies:

    An exception to the amortization rules above is used whenever their application results in inconsistencies. In these cases, a “fresh start” approach is used. This means that the current unfunded actuarial liability is

    projected and amortized over a set number of years. For example, a fresh start is needed in the following situations:

    1) When a positive payment would be required on a negative unfunded actuarial liability (or conversely a negative payment on a positive unfunded actuarial liability); or

    2) When there are excess assets, rather than an unfunded liability. In this situation, a 30-year fresh start is used.

    It should be noted that the actuary may determine that a fresh start is necessary under other circumstances. In all cases of a fresh start, the period is set by the actuary at what is deemed appropriate;

    however, the period will not be greater than 30 years.

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    Exceptions for Inactive Plans:

    The following exceptions apply to plans classified as Inactive. These plans have no active members and no expectation to have active members in the future.

    Amortization of unfunded liability is on a “level dollar” basis rather than a “level percent of pay”

    basis

    Actuarial judgment will be used to shorten amortization periods for Inactive plans with existing periods that are deemed too long given the duration of the liability. In many cases, a Fresh Start

    approach with a 20 year closed period will be used. However, the specific demographics of the plan will be used to determine if periods shorter or longer than 20 years may be more appropriate.

    Asset Valuation Method It is the policy of the CalPERS Board of Administration to use professionally accepted amortization methods to eliminate a surplus or an unfunded accrued liability in a manner that maintains benefit security for the

    members of the System while minimizing substantial variations in required employer contributions. On April 17, 2013, the CalPERS Board of Administration approved a recommendation to change the CalPERS amortization and rate smoothing policies. Beginning with the June 30, 2013 valuations that set the employer

    contribution for Fiscal Year 2015-16, CalPERS employs a policy that amortizes all gains and losses over a fixed 30-year period. The increase or decrease in the rate is then spread directly over a 5-year period. This method is referred to as “direct rate smoothing.” CalPERS no longer uses an actuarial value of assets and

    only uses the market value of assets. The direct rate smoothing method is equivalent to a method using a 5 year asset smoothing period with no actuarial value of asset corridor and a 25-year amortization period for gains and losses.

    PEPRA Normal Cost Rate Methodology

    Per Government Code Section 7522.30(b) the “normal cost rate” shall mean the annual actuarially determined normal cost for the plan of retirement benefits provided to the new member and shall be established based on actuarial assumptions used to determine the liabilities and costs as part of the annual

    actuarial valuation. The plan of retirement benefits shall include any elements that would impact the actuarial determination of the normal cost, including, but not limited to, the retirement formula, eligibility and vesting criteria, ancillary benefit provisions, and any automatic cost-of-living adjustments as determined by the public retirement system.

    Each non-pooled plan is considered to be stable with a sufficiently large demographic of actives. It is preferable to determine normal cost using a large active population ongoing so that this rate remains

    relatively stable. The total PEPRA normal cost will be calculated using all active members within a non-pooled plan. Accordingly, plans will be funded equally between employer and employee based on the demographics of the employees of that employer. As each non-pooled plan builds up to either 100+ active

    PEPRA members or half of their active population is under the PEPRA formula, the total PEPRA normal cost will be based on the active PEPRA population in the plan.

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    Actuarial Assumptions

    In 2014, CalPERS completed a 2-year asset liability management study incorporating actuarial assumptions

    and strategic asset allocation. On February 19, 2014, the CalPERS Board of Administration adopted relatively modest changes to the current asset allocation that will reduce the expected volatility of returns. The adopted asset allocation is expected to have a long-term blended return that continues to support a

    discount rate assumption of 7.5 percent. The Board also approved several changes to the demographic assumptions that more closely align with actual experience. The most significant of these is mortality improvement to acknowledge the greater life expectancies we are seeing in our membership and expected

    continued improvements. The new actuarial assumptions were first used in the June 30, 2014 valuation to set the Fiscal Year 2016-17 contribution for public agency employers. The increase in liability due to new actuarial assumptions is amortized over a 20-year period with a 5-year ramp-up/ramp-down in accordance

    with Board policy. These new actuarial assumptions are set forth in this section. For more details and additional rationale for the selection of the actuarial assumptions, please refer to the

    CalPERS Experience Study and Review of Actuarial Assumptions report from January 2014 that can be found on the CalPERS website under: “Forms and Publications”. Click on “View All” and search for Experience Study.

    All actuarial assumptions (except the discount rates used for the hypothetical termination liability) represent an estimate of future experience rather than observations of the estimates inherent in market data.

    Economic Assumptions

    Discount Rate

    7.5 percent compounded annually (net of expenses). This assumption is used for all plans.

    Termination Liability Discount Rate

    The current discount rate assumption used for termination valuations is a weighted average of the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields where the weights are based on matching asset and liability durations as of the termination date.

    The hypothetical termination liabilities in this report are calculated using an observed range of market interest rates. This range is based on the lowest and highest 20-year Treasury bond

    observed during an approximate 2-year period centered around the valuation date. The 20-year Treasury bond has a similar duration to most plan liabilities and serves as a good proxy for the termination discount rate. The 20-year Treasury yield was 2.75 percent on June 30, 2015.

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 APPENDIX A ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

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    Salary Growth

    Annual increases vary by category, entry age, and duration of service. A sample of assumed increases are shown below.

    Public Agency Miscellaneous

    Duration of Service (Entry Age 20) (Entry Age 30) (Entry Age 40)

    0 0.1220 0.1160 0.1020

    1 0.0990 0.0940 0.0830

    2 0.0860 0.0810 0.0710

    3 0.0770 0.0720 0.0630

    4 0.0700 0.0650 0.0570

    5 0.0640 0.0600 0.0520

    10 0.0460 0.0430 0.0390

    15 0.0420 0.0400 0.0360

    20 0.0390 0.0380 0.0340

    25 0.0370 0.0360 0.0330

    30 0.0350 0.0340 0.0320

    Public Agency Fire

    Duration of Service (Entry Age 20) (Entry Age 30) (Entry Age 40)

    0 0.2000 0.1980 0.1680

    1 0.1490 0.1460 0.1250

    2 0.1200 0.1160 0.0990

    3 0.0980 0.0940 0.0810

    4 0.0820 0.0780 0.0670

    5 0.0690 0.0640 0.0550

    10 0.0470 0.0460 0.0420

    15 0.0440 0.0420 0.0390

    20 0.0420 0.0390 0.0360

    25 0.0400 0.0370 0.0340

    30 0.0380 0.0360 0.0340

    Public Agency Police

    Duration of Service (Entry Age 20) (Entry Age 30) (Entry Age 40)

    0 0.1500 0.1470 0.1310

    1 0.1160 0.1120 0.1010

    2 0.0950 0.0920 0.0830

    3 0.0810 0.0780 0.0700

    4 0.0700 0.0670 0.0600

    5 0.0610 0.0580 0.0520

    10 0.0450 0.0430 0.0370

    15 0.0450 0.0430 0.0370

    20 0.0450 0.0430 0.0370

    25 0.0450 0.0430 0.0370

    30 0.0450 0.0430 0.0370

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 APPENDIX A ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

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    Salary Growth (continued)

    Public Agency County Peace Officers

    Duration of Service (Entry Age 20) (Entry Age 30) (Entry Age 40)

    0 0.1770 0.1670 0.1500

    1 0.1340 0.1260 0.1140

    2 0.1080 0.1030 0.0940

    3 0.0900 0.0860 0.0790

    4 0.0760 0.0730 0.0670

    5 0.0650 0.0620 0.0580

    10 0.0470 0.0450 0.0410

    15 0.0460 0.0450 0.0390

    20 0.0460 0.0450 0.0380

    25 0.0460 0.0450 0.0380

    30 0.0460 0.0440 0.0380

    Schools

    Duration of Service (Entry Age 20) (Entry Age 30) (Entry Age 40)

    0 0.0900 0.0880 0.0820

    1 0.0780 0.0750 0.0700

    2 0.0700 0.0680 0.0630

    3 0.0650 0.0630 0.0580

    4 0.0610 0.0590 0.0540

    5 0.0580 0.0560 0.0510

    10 0.0460 0.0450 0.0410

    15 0.0420 0.0410 0.0380

    20 0.0390 0.0380 0.0350

    25 0.0370 0.0350 0.0330

    30 0.0350 0.0330 0.0310

    The Miscellaneous salary scale is used for Local Prosecutors.

    The Police salary scale is used for Other Safety, Local Sheriff, and School Police.

    Overall Payroll Growth 3.00 percent compounded annually (used in projecting the payroll over which the unfunded liability is amortized). This assumption is used for all plans.

    Inflation

    2.75 percent compounded annually. This assumption is used for all plans.

    Non-valued Potential Additional Liabilities The potential liability loss for a cost-of-living increase exceeding the 2.75 percent inflation assumption, and any potential liability loss from future member service purchases are not reflected

    in the valuation.

    Miscellaneous Loading Factors

    Credit for Unused Sick Leave Total years of service is increased by 1 percent for those plans that have accepted the provision

    providing Credit for Unused Sick Leave.

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    Conversion of Employer Paid Member Contributions (EPMC)

    Total years of service is increased by the Employee Contribution Rate for those plans with the provision providing for the Conversion of Employer Paid Member Contributions (EPMC) during the final compensation period.

    Norris Decision (Best Factors)

    Employees hired prior to July 1, 1982 have projected benefit amounts increased in order to reflect the use of “Best Factors” in the calculation of optional benefit forms. This is due to a 1983

    Supreme Court decision, known as the Norris decision, which required males and females to be treated equally in the determination of benefit amounts. Consequently, anyone already employed at that time is given the best possible conversion factor when optional benefits are determined. No

    loading is necessary for employees hired after July 1, 1982.

    Termination Liability

    The termination liabilities include a 7 percent contingency load. This load is for unforeseen improvements in mortality.

    Demographic Assumptions

    Pre-Retirement Mortality

    Non-industrial death rates vary by age and gender. Industrial death rates vary by age. See sample rates in table below. The non-industrial death rates are used for all plans. The industrial death rates are used for safety plans (except for Local Prosecutor safety members where the

    corresponding miscellaneous plan does not have the Industrial Death Benefit).

    Non-Industrial Death Industrial Death (Not Job-Related) (Job-Related)

    Age Male Female Male and Female

    20 0.00031 0.00020 0.00003 25 0.00040 0.00023 0.00007

    30 0.00049 0.00025 0.00010 35 0.00057 0.00035 0.00012 40 0.00075 0.00050 0.00013

    45 0.00106 0.00071 0.00014 50 0.00155 0.00100 0.00015 55 0.00228 0.00138 0.00016

    60 0.00308 0.00182 0.00017 65 0.00400 0.00257 0.00018 70 0.00524 0.00367 0.00019

    75 0.00713 0.00526 0.00020 80 0.00990 0.00814 0.00021

    Miscellaneous plans usually have industrial death rates set to zero unless the agency has specifically contracted for industrial death benefits. If so, each non-industrial death rate shown above will be split into two components; 99 percent will become the non-industrial death rate and 1 percent will become the industrial death rate.

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    Post-Retirement Mortality

    Rates vary by age, type of retirement, and gender. See sample rates in table below. These rates are used for all plans.

    Healthy Recipients

    Non-Industrially Disabled Industrially Disabled (Not Job-Related) (Job-Related)

    Age Male Female Male Female Male Female

    50 0.00501 0.00466 0.01680 0.01158 0.00501 0.00466

    55 0.00599 0.00416 0.01973 0.01149 0.00599 0.00416 60 0.00710 0.00436 0.02289 0.01235 0.00754 0.00518 65 0.00829 0.00588 0.02451 0.01607 0.01122 0.00838

    70 0.01305 0.00993 0.02875 0.02211 0.01635 0.01395 75 0.02205 0.01722 0.03990 0.03037 0.02834 0.02319 80 0.03899 0.02902 0.06083 0.04725 0.04899 0.03910

    85 0.06969 0.05243 0.09731 0.07762 0.07679 0.06251 90 0.12974 0.09887 0.14804 0.12890 0.12974 0.09887 95 0.22444 0.18489 0.22444 0.21746 0.22444 0.18489

    100 0.32536 0.30017 0.32536 0.30017 0.32536 0.30017 105 0.58527 0.56093 0.58527 0.56093 0.58527 0.56093 110 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000

    The post-retirement mortality rates above include 20 years of projected on-going mortality improvement using Scale BB published by the Society of Actuaries.

    Marital Status

    For active members, a percentage who are married upon retirement is assumed according to member category as shown in the following table.

    Member Category Percent Married

    Miscellaneous Member 85% Local Police 90%

    Local Fire 90% Other Local Safety 90% School Police 90%

    Age of Spouse

    It is assumed that female spouses are 3 years younger than male spouses. This assumption is used for all plans.

    Terminated Members

    It is assumed that terminated members refund immediately if non-vested. Terminated members

    who are vested are assumed to follow the same service retirement pattern as active members but with a load to reflect the expected higher rates of retirement, especially at lower ages. The following table shows the load factors that are applied to the service retirement assumption for

    active members to obtain the service retirement pattern for separated vested members:

    Age Load Factor Miscellaneous Load Factor Safety

    50 190% 310% 51 110% 190%

    52 110% 105% 53 through 54 100% 105%

    55 100% 140%

    56 and above 100% (no change) 100% (no change)

    Termination with Refund

    Rates vary by entry age and service for miscellaneous plans. Rates vary by service for safety plans. See sample rates in tables below.

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    Public Agency Miscellaneous

    Duration of Service Entry Age 20 Entry Age 25 Entry Age 30 Entry Age 35 Entry Age 40 Entry Age 45

    0 0.1742 0.1674 0.1606 0.1537 0.1468 0.1400

    1 0.1545 0.1477 0.1409 0.1339 0.1271 0.1203

    2 0.1348 0.1280 0.1212 0.1142 0.1074 0.1006

    3 0.1151 0.1083 0.1015 0.0945 0.0877 0.0809

    4 0.0954 0.0886 0.0818 0.0748 0.0680 0.0612

    5 0.0212 0.0193 0.0174 0.0155 0.0136 0.0116

    10 0.0138 0.0121 0.0104 0.0088 0.0071 0.0055

    15 0.0060 0.0051 0.0042 0.0032 0.0023 0.0014

    20 0.0037 0.0029 0.0021 0.0013 0.0005 0.0001

    25 0.0017 0.0011 0.0005 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

    30 0.0005 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

    35 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

    Public Agency Safety

    Duration of Service Fire Police County Peace Officer

    0 0.0710 0.1013 0.0997

    1 0.0554 0.0636 0.0782

    2 0.0398 0.0271 0.0566

    3 0.0242 0.0258 0.0437

    4 0.0218 0.0245 0.0414

    5 0.0029 0.0086 0.0145

    10 0.0009 0.0053 0.0089

    15 0.0006 0.0027 0.0045

    20 0.0005 0.0017 0.0020

    25 0.0003 0.0012 0.0009

    30 0.0003 0.0009 0.0006

    35 0.0003 0.0009 0.0006

    The police termination and refund rates are also used for Public Agency Local Prosecutors, Other Safety, Local Sheriff, and School Police.

    Schools

    Duration of Service Entry Age 20 Entry Age 25 Entry Age 30 Entry Age 35 Entry Age 40 Entry Age 45

    0 0.1730 0.1627 0.1525 0.1422 0.1319 0.1217

    1 0.1585 0.1482 0.1379 0.1277 0.1174 0.1071

    2 0.1440 0.1336 0.1234 0.1131 0.1028 0.0926

    3 0.1295 0.1192 0.1089 0.0987 0.0884 0.0781

    4 0.1149 0.1046 0.0944 0.0841 0.0738 0.0636

    5 0.0278 0.0249 0.0221 0.0192 0.0164 0.0135

    10 0.0172 0.0147 0.0122 0.0098 0.0074 0.0049

    15 0.0115 0.0094 0.0074 0.0053 0.0032 0.0011

    20 0.0073 0.0055 0.0038 0.0020 0.0002 0.0002

    25 0.0037 0.0023 0.0010 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

    30 0.0015 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

    35 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

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    Termination with Vested Benefits

    Rates vary by entry age and service for miscellaneous plans. Rates vary by service for safety plans. See sample rates in tables below.

    Public Agency Miscellaneous

    Duration of Service Entry Age 20 Entry Age 25 Entry Age 30 Entry Age 35 Entry Age 40

    5 0.0656 0.0597 0.0537 0.0477 0.0418

    10 0.0530 0.0466 0.0403 0.0339 0.0000

    15 0.0443 0.0373 0.0305 0.0000 0.0000

    20 0.0333 0.0261 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    25 0.0212 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    30 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    35 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    Public Agency Safety

    Duration of Service Fire Police

    County Peace Officer

    5 0.0162 0.0163 0.0265

    10 0.0061 0.0126 0.0204

    15 0.0058 0.0082 0.0130

    20 0.0053 0.0065 0.0074

    25 0.0047 0.0058 0.0043

    30 0.0045 0.0056 0.0030

    35 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    When a member is eligible to retire, the termination with vested benefits probability is set to zero.

    After termination with vested benefits, a miscellaneous member is assumed to retire at age 59 and a safety member at age 54.

    The Police termination with vested benefits rates are also used for Public Agency Local

    Prosecutors, Other Safety, Local Sheriff, and School Police.

    Schools

    Duration of

    Service Entry Age 20 Entry Age 25 Entry Age 30 Entry Age 35 Entry Age 40

    5 0.0816 0.0733 0.0649 0.0566 0.0482

    10 0.0629 0.0540 0.0450 0.0359 0.0000

    15 0.0537 0.0440 0.0344 0.0000 0.0000

    20 0.0420 0.0317 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    25 0.0291 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    30 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

    35 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

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    Non-Industrial (Not Job-Related) Disability

    Rates vary by age and gender for miscellaneous plans. Rates vary by age and category for safety plans.

    Miscellaneous Fire Police County Peace Officer Schools

    Age Male Female Male and Female Male and Female Male and Female Male Female

    20 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003

    25 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

    30 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002

    35 0.0005 0.0008 0.0001 0.0003 0.0004 0.0005 0.0004

    40 0.0012 0.0016 0.0001 0.0004 0.0007 0.0015 0.0010

    45 0.0019 0.0022 0.0002 0.0005 0.0013 0.0030 0.0019

    50 0.0021 0.0023 0.0005 0.0008 0.0018 0.0039 0.0024

    55 0.0022 0.0018 0.0010 0.0013 0.0010 0.0036 0.0021

    60 0.0022 0.0014 0.0015 0.0020 0.0006 0.0031 0.0014

    The miscellaneous non-industrial disability rates are used for Local Prosecutors.

    The police non-industrial disability rates are also used for Other Safety, Local Sheriff, and

    School Police.

    Industrial (Job-Related) Disability Rates vary by age and category.

    Age Fire Police County Peace Officer

    20 0.0001 0.0000 0.0004

    25 0.0003 0.0017 0.0013

    30 0.0007 0.0048 0.0025

    35 0.0016 0.0079 0.0037

    40 0.0030 0.0110 0.0051

    45 0.0053 0.0141 0.0067

    50 0.0277 0.0185 0.0092

    55 0.0409 0.0479 0.0151

    60 0.0583 0.0602 0.0174

    The police industrial disability rates are also used for Local Sheriff and Other Safety. Fifty percent of the police industrial disability rates are used for School Police.

    One percent of the police industrial disability rates are used for Local Prosecutors. Normally, rates are zero for miscellaneous plans unless the agency has specifically contracted

    for industrial disability benefits. If so, each miscellaneous non-industrial disability rate will be split into two components: 50 percent will become the non-industrial disability rate and 50 percent will become the industrial disability rate.

    Service Retirement

    Retirement rates vary by age, service, and formula, except for the safety ½ @ 55 and 2% @ 55 formulas, where retirement rates vary by age only.

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    Service Retirement

    Public Agency Miscellaneous 1.5% @ 65

    Duration of Service

    Age 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 25 Years 30 Years

    50 0.008 0.011 0.013 0.015 0.017 0.019

    51 0.007 0.010 0.012 0.013 0.015 0.017

    52 0.010 0.014 0.017 0.019 0.021 0.024

    53 0.008 0.012 0.015 0.017 0.019 0.022

    54 0.012 0.016 0.019 0.022 0.025 0.028

    55 0.018 0.025 0.031 0.035 0.038 0.043

    56 0.015 0.021 0.025 0.029 0.032 0.036

    57 0.020 0.028 0.033 0.038 0.043 0.048

    58 0.024 0.033 0.040 0.046 0.052 0.058

    59 0.028 0.039 0.048 0.054 0.060 0.067

    60 0.049 0.069 0.083 0.094 0.105 0.118

    61 0.062 0.087 0.106 0.120 0.133 0.150

    62 0.104 0.146 0.177 0.200 0.223 0.251

    63 0.099 0.139 0.169 0.191 0.213 0.239

    64 0.097 0.136 0.165 0.186 0.209 0.233

    65 0.140 0.197 0.240 0.271 0.302 0.339

    66 0.092 0.130 0.157 0.177 0.198 0.222

    67 0.129 0.181 0.220 0.249 0.277 0.311

    68 0.092 0.129 0.156 0.177 0.197 0.221

    69 0.092 0.130 0.158 0.178 0.199 0.224

    70 0.103 0.144 0.175 0.198 0.221 0.248

    Public Agency Miscellaneous 2% @ 60

    Duration of Service

    Age 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 25 Years 30 Years

    50 0.010 0.013 0.015 0.018 0.019 0.021

    51 0.009 0.011 0.014 0.016 0.017 0.019

    52 0.011 0.014 0.017 0.020 0.022 0.024

    53 0.010 0.012 0.015 0.017 0.020 0.021

    54 0.015 0.019 0.023 0.025 0.029 0.031

    55 0.022 0.029 0.035 0.040 0.045 0.049

    56 0.018 0.024 0.028 0.033 0.036 0.040

    57 0.024 0.032 0.038 0.043 0.049 0.053

    58 0.027 0.036 0.043 0.049 0.055 0.061

    59 0.033 0.044 0.054 0.061 0.068 0.076

    60 0.056 0.077 0.092 0.105 0.117 0.130

    61 0.071 0.097 0.118 0.134 0.149 0.166

    62 0.117 0.164 0.198 0.224 0.250 0.280

    63 0.122 0.171 0.207 0.234 0.261 0.292

    64 0.114 0.159 0.193 0.218 0.244 0.271

    65 0.150 0.209 0.255 0.287 0.321 0.358

    66 0.114 0.158 0.192 0.217 0.243 0.270

    67 0.141 0.196 0.238 0.270 0.301 0.337

    68 0.103 0.143 0.174 0.196 0.219 0.245

    69 0.109 0.153 0.185 0.209 0.234 0.261

    70 0.117 0.162 0.197 0.222 0.248 0.277

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 APPENDIX A ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

    A-12

    Service Retirement

    Public Agency Miscellaneous 2% @ 55

    Duration of Service

    Age 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 25 Years 30 Years

    50 0.014 0.018 0.021 0.025 0.027 0.031

    51 0.012 0.014 0.017 0.020 0.021 0.025

    52 0.013 0.017 0.019 0.023 0.025 0.028

    53 0.015 0.020 0.023 0.027 0.030 0.034

    54 0.026 0.033 0.038 0.045 0.051 0.059

    55 0.048 0.061 0.074 0.088 0.100 0.117

    56 0.042 0.053 0.063 0.075 0.085 0.100

    57 0.044 0.056 0.067 0.081 0.091 0.107

    58 0.049 0.062 0.074 0.089 0.100 0.118

    59 0.057 0.072 0.086 0.103 0.118 0.138

    60 0.067 0.086 0.103 0.123 0.139 0.164

    61 0.081 0.103 0.124 0.148 0.168 0.199

    62 0.116 0.147 0.178 0.214 0.243 0.288

    63 0.114 0.144 0.174 0.208 0.237 0.281

    64 0.108 0.138 0.166 0.199 0.227 0.268

    65 0.155 0.197 0.238 0.285 0.325 0.386

    66 0.132 0.168 0.203 0.243 0.276 0.328

    67 0.122 0.155 0.189 0.225 0.256 0.304

    68 0.111 0.141 0.170 0.204 0.232 0.274

    69 0.114 0.144 0.174 0.209 0.238 0.282

    70 0.130 0.165 0.200 0.240 0.272 0.323

    Public Agency Miscellaneous 2.5% @ 55

    Duration of Service

    Age 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 25 Years 30 Years

    50 0.004 0.009 0.019 0.029 0.049 0.094

    51 0.004 0.009 0.019 0.029 0.049 0.094

    52 0.004 0.009 0.020 0.030 0.050 0.095

    53 0.008 0.014 0.025 0.036 0.058 0.104

    54 0.024 0.034 0.050 0.066 0.091 0.142

    55 0.066 0.088 0.115 0.142 0.179 0.241

    56 0.042 0.057 0.078 0.098 0.128 0.184

    57 0.041 0.057 0.077 0.097 0.128 0.183

    58 0.045 0.061 0.083 0.104 0.136 0.192

    59 0.055 0.074 0.098 0.123 0.157 0.216

    60 0.066 0.088 0.115 0.142 0.179 0.241

    61 0.072 0.095 0.124 0.153 0.191 0.255

    62 0.099 0.130 0.166 0.202 0.248 0.319

    63 0.092 0.121 0.155 0.189 0.233 0.302

    64 0.091 0.119 0.153 0.187 0.231 0.299

    65 0.122 0.160 0.202 0.245 0.297 0.374

    66 0.138 0.179 0.226 0.272 0.329 0.411

    67 0.114 0.149 0.189 0.229 0.279 0.354

    68 0.100 0.131 0.168 0.204 0.250 0.322

    69 0.114 0.149 0.189 0.229 0.279 0.354

    70 0.127 0.165 0.209 0.253 0.306 0.385

  • CALPERS ACTUARIAL VALUATION – June 30, 2015 APPENDIX A ACTUARIAL METHODS AND ASSUMPTIONS

    A-13

    Service Retirement

    Public Agency Miscellaneous 2.7% @ 55

    Duration of Service

    Age 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 25 Years 30 Years

    50 0.004 0.009 0.014 0.035 0.055 0.095

    51 0.002 0.006 0.011 0.030 0.050 0.090

    52 0.006 0.012 0.017 0.038 0.059 0.099

    53 0.010 0.017 0.024 0.046 0.068 0.110

    54 0.032 0.044 0.057 0.085 0.113 0.160

    55 0.076 0.101 0.125 0.165 0.205 0.265

    56 0.055 0.074 0.093 0.127 0.160 0.214

    57 0.050 0.068 0.086 0.118 0.151 0.204

    58 0.055 0.074 0.093 0.127 0.161 0.215