city of the future - a holistic approach to understand urban complexity
TRANSCRIPT
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City of the Future A Holistic Approach to Understand
Urban Complexity
— Dominik P.H. Kalisch, PhD
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Source:A
dam
Col
e, M
aggi
e St
arba
rd /
NPR
, 201
1
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Projected Population Growth of World Cities per Hour
Source: The Design Surgent, 2012
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Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Innovation
Era
Demand
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Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing
Early Industrialization
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Innovation
Era
Demand
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Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing Transportation
Early Industrialization
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Innovation
Era
Demand
![Page 8: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing TransportationMass
Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
Innovation
Era
Demand
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Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Services
Innovation
Era
Demand
![Page 10: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Information Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
Demand
![Page 11: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Health Life Quality
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
Demand
![Page 12: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Health Life Quality
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
HumanNature
HumanNature
Technology
Services Globalization
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Innovation
Era
Demand
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Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 14: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Expanded Cities
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 15: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Expanded Cities First Mega Cities
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 16: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Expanded Cities First Mega Cities Factory Settlements
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 17: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Expanded Cities First Mega Cities Factory Settlements Suburban Cities
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 18: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow
Expanded Cities First Mega Cities Factory Settlements Suburban Cities New York City
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
![Page 19: City of the Future - A Holistic Approach to Understand Urban Complexity](https://reader031.vdocuments.net/reader031/viewer/2022030206/58ab7d2f1a28ab3e738b4a23/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Innovations as Answers for Society’s Demands
1750 205020001950190018501800
Qu
elle
: nac
h L
eo A
. Nefi
od
ow?
Expanded Cities First Mega Cities Factory Settlements Suburban Cities New York City
Clothing TransportationIndividual Mobility
Information & Communication
Mass Consumption
Early Industrialization Late Industrialization Life Sciences
Steam Engine Textile Industry
Steel Train
Electricity Chemistry
CarPetrochemistry
Biotechnology
Green EnergyInformation Technology
Services Globalization
Innovation
Era
DemandHealth
Life Quality
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Revolutionary Changes
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MarketsEnergy Building Mobility Working Information
Product to UserStandardization IndividualCentral Industrialization Linear
Revolutionary Changes
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MarketsEnergy Building Mobility Working Information
Real-timeKnowledge-based Integrated
Product to User
Self sustained
Standardization
Cloud mobility
Individual
Decentralized
Central Industrialization Linear
Revolutionary Changes
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Technology Change
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Technology Change
2005
Source: Luca Bruno, 2005
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Technology Change
2005 2013
Source: Luca Bruno, 2005 Source: Michael Sohn, 2013
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INVESTMENTneeds in urban infrastructure
$ 300 trillionby 2030Booz & Company 2010
SUSTAINABLEcities as vision
• Maximum livability for all inhabitants
• Sustainable urban systems
• Minimal ecological footprint
INNOVATIONfor the city of tomorrow
• New markets in urban systems
• Identifying upcoming technology
• Conceive new products, systems and business models
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Urban System
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Urban System
Urban Sub-Systems
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Urban System
Impact factors
Urban Sub-Systems
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Urban System
Impact factors
Urban Sub-Systems
Key Factors for Sustainable Cities
Key factor 1
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Urban System
Impact factors
Urban Sub-Systems
Key Factors for Sustainable Cities
Key factor 1
Key factor 2
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Services
Security
Government
HealthEducation
Information and CommunicationTechnology
Urban Production
Nourishment
Environment andClimate
Transport and Logistics
Energy & Resource Infrastructure
Buildings
Mobility and Transportation
City Structure
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Services
Security
Government
HealthEducation
Information and CommunicationTechnology
Urban Production
Nourishment
Environment andClimate
Transport and Logistics
Energy & Resource Infrastructure
Buildings
Mobility and Transportation
City Structure
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Services
Security
Government
HealthEducation
Information and CommunicationTechnology
Urban Production
Nourishment
Environment andClimate
Transport and Logistics
Energy & Resource Infrastructure
Buildings
Mobility and Transportation
City Structure
Human and Lifestyle
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by
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Founding members of m:ci
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New members of m:ci
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New York
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New YorkBerlin
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New York Tokyo
Berlin
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New York Tokyo
BerlinCopenhagen
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New York Tokyo
BerlinCopenhagen Freiburg
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New York Tokyo
BerlinCopenhagen Freiburg
Singapore
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Sectors
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Sectors Practice Examples
#1
#2
#n
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
#1
#2
#n
Field research
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
#1
#2
#n
Field research
#3
Evaluation ofInterfaces
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
#1
#2
#n
Field research
#3
Evaluation ofInterfaces
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
#1
#2
#n
Field research
#3
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods
Statistical Analysis
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods
#1
#2
#n
Statistical Analysis
Field research
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Statistical Analysis
Field research
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field research
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods Fields of Application
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field of Application x
Field of Application y
Field of Application z
Field research
#3
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ICT
Water
Transport
Buildings
Resilience
Energy
Incentives
Regulations
Education
Urban Planning
Image
R&D Tactics
Business Tactics
Organization Structure
Strategic Planning
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods Fields of Application
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field of Application x
Field of Application y
Field of Application z
Field research
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods Fields of Application
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field of Application x
Field of Application y
Field of Application z
Field research
Outcome
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods Fields of Application
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field of Application x
Field of Application y
Field of Application z
Field research
Outcome
Technology
Processes
Structures
#3
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Sectors Practice Examples
Analysis ofImpact factors
Evaluation ofInterfaces
Methods Fields of Application
#1
#2
#n
Social Network Analysis
Objective Hermeneutic
Statistical Analysis
Field of Application x
Field of Application y
Field of Application z
Field research
Outcome
Technology
Processes
Structures
Concepts
#3
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ICT
Water
Transport
Buildings
Resilience
Energy
Incentives
Regulations
Education Urban Planning
Image
R&D Tactics
Business Tactics
Organization Structure
Strategic Planning
City System
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New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
Singapore Green Efficiency Labfor Asia
TokyoPPP for Sustainable
Development
FreiburgSmall GreenBottom-Up City
Copenhagen Livability and
Green Growth
BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
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Indirect Impact
Dir
ect
Impa
ct
y
x
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?What is Smart
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Which strategy makes the park safer?
Source:einmalumdieecke.blogspot.com, 2012 Source:Hustvedt, 2014
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How to fight crime? Source:Andreas Solardo, 2014
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Where to plant a tree?
Source:K
leen
and
Gre
en, 2
014
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New York Tokyo
BerlinCopenhagen Freiburg
Singapore
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New York Tokyo
Berlin
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
TokyoPPP for Sustainable
Development
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
TokyoPPP for Sustainable
Development
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BerlinThe InnovativeGerman Capital
New York CityLong-Term Thinking
for Resilience
TokyoPPP for Sustainable
Development
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What do all projects have in common?
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What do all projects have in common?
✓ Using data and ICT to serve the citizens
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What do all projects have in common?
✓ Using data and ICT to serve the citizens
✓ Building bridges to overcome gaps
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What do all projects have in common?
✓ Using data and ICT to serve the citizens
✓ Building bridges to overcome gaps
✓ Using predictive analytics to makebetter decisions
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”“The city of the futurewill be based on evidence,
not on assumptions.
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2002 2004 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20142012
Sociology, Education, PoliticsUniversity of Düsseldorf
Dr. Eng.Bauhaus-University Weimar
Dipl. Social Sciences (M. Sc.)University of Düsseldorf
Research AssociateDZA
Research AssociateIMIBE
Research FellowBauhaus-University Weimar
Head of Health and Infection ReportingState Office Brandenburg
Research ScientistFraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering IAO
Visiting Research FellowNorthwestern University
Dominik P.H. KalischSocial Scientist
Dr.-Eng.
http://www.kalisch.biz
2015
Visiting Assistant ProfessorSchool of BusinessTrinity University
Visiting Assistant ProfessorShidler College of BusinessUniversity of Hawai’i at Manoa
Dipl. Social Education (M. Ed)University of Essen