civitas institute poll presentation
DESCRIPTION
Civitas Institute Poll Presentation. October 2013. National Research. 600 Registered Voters: 25% Cell Margin of Error =+/-4.00% Field Dates: October 20-24, 2013. Party Registration. # CivitasPoll. Party Registration CarolinaTransparency.com. # CivitasPoll. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Civitas Institute Poll Presentation
October 2013
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600 Registered Voters: 25% Cell
Margin of Error =+/-4.00%
Field Dates: October 20-24, 2013
National Research
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22%
12%
8%29%
28%
Registration - Self-ID
Strong GOP GOPDemocrat Strong DemocratIndependent
Party Registration
34%
43%
23%
Registration as Polled
Republican Democrat Independent
#CivitasPoll
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Party RegistrationCarolinaTransparency.com
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '1
1
Feb '1
1
Mar '11
May '1
1Jul '1
1
Sep '1
1
Oct '11
Jan '1
2
Feb '1
2
Mar '12
May '1
2
July '12
Sep '1
2
Oct '12
Jan '1
3
Feb '1
3
Mar '13
Apr '13
May '1
3
Jun '13
Oct '13
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
20%
44%
31%
Liberal Conservative Moderate
If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
#CivitasPoll
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Performance Data
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1-4 5-7 8-100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2%5%
92%
#CivitasPoll
On a scale of one to ten, how likely are you to vote in the 2014 election for national and state offices? 1 = Not at all likely 5 = 50/50 10 = Certain you will
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Oct
'12
Oct
'1310%
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
40%
19%
55%
75%
Right Direction Wrong Track
Do you feel things in the United States are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track?
#CivitasPoll
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Jan
'11
Feb
'11
Mar
'11
May
'11
Jul '
11Se
p '1
1O
ct '1
1Ja
n '1
2Fe
b '1
2M
ay '1
2Ju
l '12
Sep
'12
Oct
'12
Jan
'13
Feb
'13
Mar
'13
Apr '
13M
ay '1
3Ju
n '1
3O
ct '1
320%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%
33%
57%
Right Direction Wrong Track
Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track?
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '12
Mar '12
May '12
Jul '12
Sep '12
Nov '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
Apr '13
May '13
Oct '13
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
37%
0.38
Republican Democrat
And if the election for the North Carolina State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the:
#CivitasPoll
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Elect a Republican who will support Governor McCrory's
programs and policies.
Elect a Democrat who will be a check and balance to Governor
McCrory's policies and programs.
Don’t Know/Neither/Other
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
38%
41%
20%
#CivitasPoll
And if the election for North Carolina State Legislature were held today which of the following is more important to you? Would you rather…
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Elect a Republican who will be a check and balance to President Obama’s policies and programs.
Elect a Democrat who will support President Obama’s
programs and policies.
Don’t Know/Neither/Other
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
48%
37%
15%
#CivitasPoll
In the next election for US Senator from North Carolina, which of the following is more important to you? Would you rather…
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Feb '13 May '13 Oct '1330%
40%
50%48%
37%
Elect Republican Elect Democrat
In the next election for US Senator from North Carolina, which of the following is more important to you? Would you rather…
#CivitasPoll
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
28% 15% 8% 43% 5%
Very Favorable Somewhat FavorableSomewhat Unfavorable Very UnfavorableNo Opinion
Favorability – President Barack Obama
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '12
Feb '12
Mar '12
May '12
Jul '12
Sept '12
Nov '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
May '13
Jun '13
Oct '13
40%
50%
60%
43%
52%
Favorable Unfavorable
Now, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama.
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '12
Feb '12
Mar '12
May '12
Jul '12
Sept '12
Nov '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
May '13
Oct '13
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
44%
53%
Approve Disapprove
Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President of the United States.
#CivitasPoll
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When I say the name "President Barack Obama," what one or two descriptive words come to mind?
#CivitasPoll
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
17% 26% 15% 29% 12%
Very Favorable Somewhat FavorableSomewhat Unfavorable Very UnfavorableNo Opinion
Favorability – Governor Pat McCrory
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '12 Feb '12 Mar '12 May '13 Jun '13 Oct '130%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
43%44%
Favorable Unfavorable
Now, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Governor Pat McCrory.
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '12 Feb '12 Mar '12 May '13 Oct '130%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
46%44%
Approve Disapprove
Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job that Pat McCrory is doing as Governor of North Carolina.
#CivitasPoll
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When I say the name "Governor Pat McCrory," what one or two descriptive words come to mind?
#CivitasPoll#CivitasPoll
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
14% 26% 13% 22% 23%
Very Favorable Somewhat FavorableSomewhat Unfavorable Very UnfavorableNo Opinion
Favorability – Senator Kay Hagan
#CivitasPoll
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Mar '13 Jun '13 Oct '1320%
30%
40%
50%
40%
34%
Favorable Unfavorable
Now, please tell if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Senator Kay Hagan.
#CivitasPoll
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Jan '13 Feb '13 Oct '1320%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
43%
37%
Approve Disapprove
Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job that Kay Hagan is doing as US Senator.
#CivitasPoll
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Re-elect New Person Undecided/Don't Know/More Info
Needed
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
18%Definitely
35%Definitely
19%
12% Probably
15%Probably
#CivitasPoll
Has Kay Hagan performed her job as US Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or is it time to give a new person a chance?
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
9% 22% 14% 14% 30%
Very Favorable Somewhat FavorableSomewhat Unfavorable Very UnfavorableNo Opinion
Favorability – Richard Burr
#CivitasPoll
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Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job that Richard Burr is doing as US Senator.
#CivitasPoll
7%
29%18%
16%Strong ApproveSomewhat ApproveSomewhat Dis-saproveStrong Disapprove
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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
15% 17% 11% 39% 15%
Very Favorable Somewhat FavorableSomewhat Unfavorable Very UnfavorableNo Opinion
Favorability – Tea Party
#CivitasPoll
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Oct '11 Jul '13 Oct '1320%
30%
40%
50%
60%
32%
50%
Favorable Unfavorable
Now, please tell if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party.
#CivitasPoll
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#CivitasPoll
If the Republican primary for US Senate were being held today and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you vote between… (Rep & UNA voters Only)
Harris
Tillis
Grant
Brannon
Undecided
Not Voting
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
4% 5% 2% 3%
57%
19%
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North Carolina Taxes
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When I mention North Carolina state taxes what comes to mind?
#CivitasPoll#CivitasPoll
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Raised sales taxLowered everyone's income tax
ratesCut taxes on the wealthy
Raised income taxes
Nothing
Eliminated tax deductions
Other/Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
19%
19%
16%
16%
13%
7%
34%
#CivitasPoll
In North Carolina, what action did the General Assembly take when it came to taxes? (More than one response accepted)
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Overall, have your taxes gone up, gone down or have they stayed the same over the last year?
Gone up Gone down Stayed the same
Don't Know0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
50%
4%
35%
11%
#CivitasPoll
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National Issues
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Support Oppose Don't Know/No Opinion
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
26%Strongly
45%Strongly
10%
10% Somewhat
8%Somewhat
36%
54%
#CivitasPoll
Do you support or oppose the new health care law known as The Affordable Care Act? (Split Sample)
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Access
Fair
Helps the Poor
Necessity
Affordable
Favorable
Pre-existing Conditions
Other/None/Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30%
22%
16%
16%
16%
13%
13%
1%
12%
#CivitasPoll
And why do you support The Affordable Care Act?
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Cost
Mandate
Won't Work
Unfavorable
Socialism
Unfair
Have Insurance
Other/None/Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
28%
16%
13%
12%
7%
7%
6%
33%
#CivitasPoll
And why do you oppose The Affordable Care Act?
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Support Oppose Don't Know/No Opinion
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
27%Strongly
44%Strongly
11%
12% Somewhat
7%Somewhat
#CivitasPoll
Do you support or oppose the new health care law known as “Obamacare”?
39%
51%
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Fair
Access
Affordable
Favorable
Necessity
Pre-existing Conditions
Helps the Poor
Other/None/Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30%
24%
21%
17%
14%
11%
10%
8%
9%
#CivitasPoll
And why do you support Obamacare?
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Cost
Mandate
Socialism
Won't Work
Taxes
Complicated
Unfavorable
Other/None/Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
27%
24%
14%
11%
9%
7%
6%
33%
#CivitasPoll
And why do you oppose Obamacare?
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Don't Know/No Opinion
Oppose
Support
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Obamacare - 11%
Obamacare - 50%
ACA - 10%
ACA - 54%
ACA - 36%
Obamacare - 38%
Do you support or oppose the new health care law known as The Affordable Care Act/“Obamacare”?
#CivitasPoll
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Yes
No
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Total - 9%
90%
#CivitasPoll
With the newly enacted federal health care law, the federal government is running a health care exchange for individuals to purchase health insurance. Have you had any experience with the health care exchange?
I have signed up - 3%I was unsuccessful in accessing - 3%I accessed but have not signed up - 3%
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Republican
President Obama and Democrats in Washington DC
Republican Members of Congress in Washington DC
Both Equally
Don't Know
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
31%
42%
24%
3%
#CivitasPoll
In your opinion, who would you say is mostly to blame for the Federal Government shutdown that happened earlier this month...
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31%
69%
1%
YesNoDon't Know
#CivitasPoll
Did the recently concluded Federal Government shutdown impact you or someone in your family personally?
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Republican
FurloughedLoss of Pay
Saw and ImpactServices
Military ImpactVacation
Financial ImpactEmotional ImpactFederal Employee
Other/None0% 10% 20% 30%
23%17%
15%10%10%
8%7%
5%4%
17%
#CivitasPoll
And how were you impacted?
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72%
22%
3% 1%
WhiteBlackLatinoNative American
Ethnicity
#CivitasPoll
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66+ 56-65 41-55 26-40 18-250%
10%
20%
30%
25%
20%
25%
17%
8%
Age
#CivitasPoll
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48%52%MenWomen
Gender
#CivitasPoll
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Don’t Know/Refused
Spouse
Unemployed
Work for Government
Self Employed
Work for Private Company
Retired
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
3%
4%
8%
9%
11%
32%
33%
Employment
#CivitasPoll
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
32%33%
Are Self Employed Work for a Private Company Work for GovernmentAre a Spouse Are Retired Are Unemployed
In terms of your current employment status, would you say you…
#CivitasPoll
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Other/Don't Know/Refused
Disability or injury
No work available
My Age
Able to financially retire
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
12%
14%
3%
53%
18%
#CivitasPoll
And what would you say is the MAIN reason that you are retired?
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Tumblr
NoOther/Don't
Know
46%
13%
3%
12%
7%
10%
3%
50%
1%
Social Media Use
#CivitasPoll
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Northeast
Southeast
Western
Piedmont Triad
Charlotte
Triangle
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
11%
15%
15%
18%
19%
22%
Geographic Area
#CivitasPoll