ck2017: join the urban revolution!
TRANSCRIPT
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PHOTO BY MICHAEL FLESHMAN ANDREW STEER, PRESIDENT & CEO, WRI
JOIN THE URBAN `
REVOLUTION!
ConnectKaro, April 5th, 2017
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3% in 1800
75% in 2050
50% in 2000
14% in 1900
30% in 1950
SHIFT TO AN URBANIZED WORLD
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THE EXTRAORDINARY URBANIZATION CHALLENGE
Source: UN Habitat; UN World Urbanization Prospects 2014 Revision; Image: Harvey
Barrison
• Globally, 800 million per decade
• India’s urban population will double to 800 million by 2050
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1 billion in 1990
2 billion in 2010
5 billion by 2030
EXPLOSION OF THE GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
Source: Reuters, McKinsey
Photo: Flickr/ben124
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2015-2030 – UNPRECEDENTED URBAN GROWTH –
ESPECIALLY IN S. ASIA & AFRICA
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DRASTIC CHANGES IN CITIES
Photo: Flickr/RICO Lee
Globally, urban infrastructure will more
than
DOUBLEin the next 15 years
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INDIA AT THE CENTER OF THINGS
75% of India’s
2050 infrastructure
has yet to be built
Source: Global Buildings Performance Network
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MEDIUM SIZE CITIES WILL GROW THE MOST
Note: N = 1,692 urban agglomerations (populations ≥ 300,000 inhabitants).
Sources: United Nations (2014); World Bank country classification.
1M to 5M
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THIS?
Image: Flickr/RodrigoSolon
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OR THIS?
Image: Flikr/Andreas
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THE CITIES REVOLUTION: A NEW URBANISM
Image: Flickr/Frikjan
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A NEW URBAN PARADIGM:COMPACT, CONNECTED, COORDINATED AND RESILIENT
Source: New Climate Economy; Image: Flickr/Chris Wilkinson
$3 trillion savings on
infrastructure 2015-2030
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COVENANT OF MAYORS: SCALING ACTION
7,000+ Cities
Source: covenantofmayors.eu
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URBAN PLANNING
Photo by Meena Kadri/Flickr.
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HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS
Atlanta’s built-up area
Population: 2.5 millionUrban area: 4,280 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes CO2 per person
Population: 2.8 millionUrban area: 162 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes CO2 per person
ATLANTA BARCELONA
Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)
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HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS
Atlanta’s built-up area
Population: 2.5 millionUrban area: 4,280 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes CO2 per person
Population: 2.8 millionUrban area: 162 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes CO2 per person
ATLANTA BARCELONA
Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)
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URBAN SPRAWL IS COSTLY
Image: Flickr/Jeff Turner; Source: The New Climate Economy
14% GDP Houston, TX spends on transport
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COMPACT, CONNECTED, AND COORDINATED
CITIES SAVE MONEY
Image: Wikimedia Commons/Bob Collowân; Source: The New Climate Economy
4% GDP Copenhagen spends on transport
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COMPACT CITIES HAVE FASTER GROWING
ECONOMIES
Source: IIHS,2011,h\p://iihs.co.in/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/IUC-Book.pdf
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INDIA’S SPRAWL IS DIFFERENT
Source: Sholomo Angel
9 m2
•per person in Mumbai
42.5 m2
per person in Urban China
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TRANSIT-ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT
Image: EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility
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INDIA’S 100 SMART CITIES
Source: NASA Marshall Space Flight Center/Flickr
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MOBILITY
Photo by: Ashwat Mahendran/Flickr
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Photo: Flickr/Neil Rickards
Workers lose 8 days per year sitting in traffic
-- and 1.3 million die in accidents
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SEARCH FOR LOW COST HIGH QUALITY PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
* Busway / BRT year commencement
Source: BRTData.org, March 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
5
10
15
20
25
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Cu
mu
lative
nu
mb
er
of citie
s
Ne
w c
itie
s
Bus Rapid Transport Takes OffIn 2017, Bus Rapid
Transit serves:
206 Cities
34 million passengers per
day
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SHARING ECONOMY TAKES OFF
(Laurence Coss/BBC)
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PROGRESSIVE TRANSPORT
POLICIES
(Congestion Charge London)
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RECLAIMING INDIA'S STREETS-- RAAHGIRI DAY
Photo: Flickr/EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility
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Photo: Flickr/Paladin27
BIG DECISIONS: SHARED, AUTONOMOUS, AND
ELECTRIC?
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ENERGY
Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell
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ALMOST ALL CITIES FAIL AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
SOURCE: Mortality data from World Health Organisation:
http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.wrapper.ENVHEALTH3
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• Source: WHO
6.7mDeaths from
air pollution
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$266 BillionInvestment in renewable
energy capacity was double
coal & gas last year
Photo: Google Earth
RENEWABLE ENERGY SURGES
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INDIA’S CLEAN ENERGY AMBITIONS
Narendra Modi, Flickr
From 3 gigawatts to
100 gigawatts
solar power by 2022
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Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.
INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022
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Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.
INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022
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Photo: Flickr/Brookhaven National Lab
COMPETITION FOR WORLD’S LARGEST
SOLAR PLANT
November 2016: India
648 Megawatts
January 2017: China
850 Megawatts
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URBAN RESILIENCE
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FLOOD RISK MAGNIFIED BY 1 METER SEA LEVEL
RISE AND MUCH STRONGER STORMS
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URBAN POOR ARE AT THE FOREFRONT
2300 deathsBy 2015 heat wave
Photo source: Tsering Topgyal/ Associated Press, click here; 1The Natural Resources
Defense Council, click here
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RESILIENT CITIES NEEDED
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URBAN COMMUNITY RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT
• Initiated in Brazilian Cities
• 3 cities: Rio, Surat, Semarang
• Plans for climate resilience
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PRIVATE SECTOR
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
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NEW LEADERSHIP FROM PRIVATE SECTOR
• 1,000+ commit to carbon pricing
• 83 commit to 100% renewable energy
• 204 commit to Science-Based Targets
Photo: iStock
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South Region
INDIA GHG PROGRAM
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50+Businesses
formally
managing
emissions
through IGHGP
100+Businesses
formally
measuring their
emissions using
GHG Protocol
44+Businesses
working on an
Internal Carbon
Price
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP ON LOW CARBON MEASURES
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Mahindra Steel
Science Based
Target
Commitment to align ambitions with
<2°C
Godrej & Boyce
Carbon Neutrality
By 2020-21
Mahindra &
Mahindra
$10 / tonne Carbon Price
Achieve 25% reductions in emissions intensity
of output
Infosys
100% RE
Reduce emissions intensity of operations by
55.4% per employee by 2018
Delhi Airport
Achieved Carbon
Neutrality
In 2016
Tata Chemicals
Internal Carbon Price
Adopted Internal Carbon Price in 2016
DRIVING AMBITIOUS ACTION
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WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM CITIES THAT
HAVE TRANSFORMED?
Photo Credits: Deutsche Welle/Patrick Benning/Flickr; GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons
Medellin, Colombia Surat, India
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FIVE REVOLUTIONS FOR INDIAN CITIES
• New Urban Development
• People-Friendly Mobility
• Clean Energy
• Climate Resilience
• Private Sector Leadership
Photo by Benoit Colin/WRI
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PHOTO BY BENOIT COLIN/WRI
THANK YOU!