cla az gop primary topline results -- july 30, 2014
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CLA AZ GOP Primary Topline Results -- July 30, 2014TRANSCRIPT
121 State Street HarperPolling.com [email protected] Harrisburg, PA 17101
Arizona Republican Primary Election Poll Results
July 28-29, 2014
Q: How likely are you to vote in the August 26th Republican primary elections? Extremely likely 93% Very likely 5% Somewhat likely 3%
Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. Ken Bennett Favorable 33% Unfavorable 14% Not sure 53%
Doug Ducey Favorable 41% Unfavorable 30% Not sure 29%
Christine Jones Favorable 28% Unfavorable 44% Not sure 29%
Frank Riggs Favorable 12% Unfavorable 22% Not sure 66%
Scott Smith Favorable 26% Unfavorable 20% Not sure 54%
Andrew Thomas Favorable 25% Unfavorable 36% Not sure 39%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, or Andrew Thomas? Bennett 12% Ducey 26% Jones 15% Riggs 5% Smith 15% Thomas 11% Not sure 16%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which of the following candidates would be your second choice: Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, or Andrew Thomas? Bennett 21% Ducey 19% Jones 16% Riggs 5% Smith 8% Thomas 6% Not sure 24%
Now, I am going to read you two names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. Tom Horne Favorable 28% Unfavorable 50% Not sure 22%
Mark Brnovich Favorable 17% Unfavorable 12% Not sure 72%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Tom Horne or Mark Brnovich? Horne 33% Brnovich 39% Not sure 28%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Wil Cardon, Justin Pierce, or Michele Reagan? Cardon 17% Pierce 26% Reagan 28% Not sure 30%
Q: If the Republican primary election for State Treasurer were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Jeff DeWit, Hugh Hallman, or Randy Pullen? DeWit 13% Hallman 15% Pullen 13% Not sure 60%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: John Huppenthal or Diane Douglas? Huppenthal 28% Douglas 39% Not sure 33%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Corporate Commission were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Tom Forese, Doug Little, Lucy Mason, or Vernon Parker? Little 17% Forese 9% Mason 12% Parker 17% Not sure 46%
Q: And since you can vote for two candidates, who would be your second choice? Little 11% Forese 16% Mason 9% Parker 5% Not sure 59%
Q: Do you support the goals and ideals of the Tea Party? Yes 58% No 18% Not sure 24%
Demographics: Media Market
PHOENIX (PRESCOTT) 82% TUCSON (SIERRA VISTA) 15% YUMA-EL CENTRO 2%
Party Affiliation
Republican 87% Independent or any other party 13%
Gender
Female 52% Male 48%
Age
18 to 39 11% 40 to 54 21% 55 to 65 28% 66 or older 40%
Race
White 90% Hispanic or Latino 3% Native American 1% Other 6%
Ideology
Very Conservative 45% Somewhat Conservative 38% Moderate 14% Liberal 2% Not sure 1%
METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 600 likely Republican primary voters and the margin of error is +/-4%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted July 28-29, 2014 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.