climate change & agriculture

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CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE. ‘Modern agriculture has become the art of turning oil into food.’ -B. Clark & R. York (2008:13). “…I want to highlight the fact that among options for mitigating climate change, changing diets is something one should consider." -Rajendra Pachauri, IPCC head. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

‘Modern agriculture has become the art of turning oil into food.’

-B. Clark & R. York (2008:13)

“…I want to highlight the fact that among options for mitigating climate change, changing diets is something one should consider."

-Rajendra Pachauri, IPCC head

Page 2: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

UNEVENNESS• ‘Developed World’: 80 kg/person• ‘Developing World’: ~30 kg/person

World Meat Production Per Person, 1961-2004

0

10

20

30

40

50

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Source: FAO

Kilo

gram

s

44% increaseby 2030 (FAO proj.)

The ‘Meatification’ of Human Diets

Page 3: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Farm animal vs. human population

Human Population

Farm Animal Population

Animals Slaughtered /

year

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

1965 1975 1985 1995 2005Source: FAO

-late 19th C – global chicken population ~100,000,000

-today: chickens killed annually ~50,000,000,000

-in the US, more chickens killed in 1 day today than were killed all year in 1930

Page 4: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Mechanization

Simplification&

Standardization

But…

‘Nature doesn’t know monocultures’

Page 5: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Mechanization

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

Page 6: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Increased vulnerability

to weeds, insectsdisease…

Mechanization

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

Agro-ChemicalsHerbicides,InsecticidesFungicides,

Disinfectants

‘Enhanced Seeds’

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

Page 7: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Mechanization

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

Agro-ChemicalsHerbicides,InsecticidesFungicides,

Disinfectants

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

disarticulation of livestock from

landscape

Animal-Pharma

Increased vulnerability

to weeds, insectsdisease…

‘Enhanced Seeds’

Page 8: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Increased vulnerability

to weeds, insectsdisease…

Mechanization

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

Agro-ChemicalsHerbicides,InsecticidesFungicides,

Disinfectants

‘Enhanced Seeds’

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

Distance & Durability of Food

‘Food miles’disarticulation of livestock from

landscape

Animal-Pharma

Page 9: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Increased vulnerability

to pests, weeds,disease…

Mechanization

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

Agro-ChemicalsHerbicides,InsecticidesFungicides,

Disinfectants

‘Treadmill effect’

‘Enhanced Seeds’

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

Distance & Durability of Food

OUTPUTS

‘Food miles’

Agriculture as through-flow, industrial process

biophysical overrides hinge on FOSSIL ENERGY & DERIVATIVES

disarticulation of livestock from

landscape

Animal-Pharma

INPUTS

Page 10: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Animal-Pharma

disarticulation of livestock from

landscape

Simplification&

Standardization‘Soil Mining’

Increased vulnerability

to pests, weeds,disease…

Mechanization

INPUTS

Fertilizeresp. Nitrogen,Potassium, &Phosphorous

Agro-ChemicalsHerbicides,InsecticidesFungicides,

Disinfectants

‘Treadmill effect’

‘Enhanced Seeds’

agro-ecosystems: relatively closed-loop cycles of nutrients and energy and managed diversity

Distance & Durability of Food

OUTPUTS

‘Food miles’

Agriculture as through-flow, industrial process

WASTES

persistent toxicity

C02 emissionsC02 emissions

C02 emissions

water pollution

water pollution

C02 + CH4 emissions

water pollution

water consumption

violence

Page 11: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE
Page 12: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

16:15:13:1

grain-fed livestock: “reverse protein factories” (Lappe)

Page 13: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Our ‘Ecological Hoofprint’ -protein, carbohydrates, minerals, etc. lost in

cycling feed through livestock = as livestock production expands, extra land space needed for agriculture

Page 14: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

LIVESTOCK Prod’n =18% of anthropogenic GHG

- clearing forested land (biggest)- fertilizer (prod’n + transport)- farm vehicles- ruminant flatulence

“…I want to highlight the fact that among options for mitigating climate change, changing diets is something one should consider."

-Rajendra Pachauri, IPCC head

Shun meat, says UN climate chief BBC News (Sept. 8, 2008)

Page 15: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Fragments, or the cusp of bigger changes…?

Community ShareAgriculture (CSAs)

Food Miles

Farmworker Unions

Animal WelfareMovement Animal Rights –

Veganism

rising concernabout climate change

community resistance to

factory farming

progressivefarmer

organizations

(e.g. NFU, NFFC) community gardening

& permaculture movement

Soaring Organic Demand

Civil disobedience…GMO crop-burnersGuerrilla Gardening

Fair Trade

strugglesto get back to the land

Page 16: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

Community ShareAgriculture (CSAs)

Food Miles

Farmworker Unions and

Mobilizing ‘Illegals’Animal Welfare

Movement

Animal Rights – Veganism

community resistance to

factory farming

community gardening

& permaculture movement

Soaring Organic Demand

Civil disobedience…GMO crop-burnersGuerrilla Gardening

strugglesto get back to the land

Fair Tradeprogressivefarmer

organizations

(e.g. NFU, NFFC)

rising concernabout climate change

challenge: widen & connect!

Page 17: CLIMATE CHANGE & AGRICULTURE

“To ask the biggest questions, we can start with the most personal – what do we eat?”

• Frances Moore Lappe

the ‘intimate commodity’